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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1775477
全球燃气涡轮机市场:2025-2030 年预测Global Gas Turbine Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
全球燃气涡轮机市场预计将从 2025 年的 241.89 亿美元成长到 2030 年的 300.24 亿美元,复合年增长率为 4.42%。
全球电力需求快速成长
全球电力需求是人口成长和快速都市化推动的主要催化剂。 2024年,全球能源需求将成长2.2%,电力需求将成长4.3%,主要得益于建筑电气化、工业数位化以及包括资料中心和人工智慧应用在内的数位化。美国的能源需求成长了1.7%,而预计到2025年,中国的电力消耗量将占全球需求的三分之一。以高效和灵活着称的燃气涡轮机对于满足此需求至关重要,尤其是在联合循环发电厂(CCPP)中,其排放低于燃煤替代能源。
向清洁能源转型
环境法规和永续性目标正在加速从燃煤发电向天然气发电的转变。到2023年,天然气将占美国发电量的43%,而煤炭发电量仅16%。效率达40%至60%的燃气涡轮机排放的温室气体更少,符合全球脱碳目标。技术创新,例如能够燃烧高达50%氢气混合物的氢兼容涡轮机,进一步支持了这一转变。例如,川崎重工于2023年宣布推出一款氢兼容涡轮机,进一步增强了永续性。
天然气供应增加
石油和天然气产量的不断增长,尤其是在美国,正在增加天然气(燃气涡轮机的主要燃料)的供应。 2023年6月,美国主要页岩盆地的石油产量达到了创纪录的933万桶/天,其中二迭纪盆地的产量贡献巨大。天然气供应量的增加支持了燃气涡轮机发电厂的扩张,尤其是在北美。中国国内天然气产量预计也将增加,到2023年将达到2,297亿立方米,将进一步推动市场成长。
技术进步
涡轮机设计、材料和数位解决方案的创新正在提高效率和可靠性。 2023年,n-Dimension和PSM推出了燃气涡轮机数位双胞胎产品,以改善预测性维护。通用电气的H级涡轮机在2023年运转时间超过200万小时,是高效率、低排放技术进步的典范。这些进展降低了营业成本和停机时间,促进了市场发展。
市场区隔分析
按容量
受都市区和工业应用对大规模发电需求的推动,300MW 以上的市场占据主导地位,到 2023 年将占据 36.6% 的市场份额。这些大容量涡轮机因其在联合循环发电厂中的效率而受到青睐,正如通用电气公司 2023 年在澳洲的 435MW 塔拉瓦拉发电厂等计划所见。
依技术
由于其高效率和低排放气体,联合循环涡轮机将在 2023 年以 88% 的收入份额领先。开式循环燃气涡轮机(OCGT) 的热效率高达 44%,是石油天然气和工业领域快速反应应用的首选。
按用途
受全球电力需求和向燃气电厂转型的推动,发电产业将占最大份额(2023年将达到90%)。石油和天然气产业也发挥着重要作用,其使用涡轮机进行远端机械驱动和发电。航空业则受惠于航改型涡轮机的高功率重量比。
地理洞察力
受中国、印度和日本快速工业化的推动,亚太地区将在2023年以38.2%的市占率市场占有率。中国对燃气发电厂的重视,以及印度计划在2030年将天然气占其能源结构的15%的计划,正在推动市场成长。美国将在2023年新增9,132兆瓦的燃气发电装置容量,在页岩气生产和脱碳政策的支持下,在北美占据主导地位。欧洲正在向燃气和氢能燃气涡轮机转型,以实现其净零排放目标,而中东地区则受益于当地的天然气供应。
竞争格局
通用电气、西门子能源、三菱重工、川崎重工和瓦锡兰等主要企业正在推动技术创新。 2023年,通用电气将为澳洲和哈萨克的计划提供高效燃气涡轮机,三菱发电则订单了乌兹别克的塔利马尔詹2号计划。这些公司专注于先进的燃烧技术和数位化解决方案,以提升燃气涡轮机性能。
任务
天然气价格波动和日益严格的环境法规带来了挑战。排放要求,尤其是在欧洲和加拿大,已经增加了2024年的合规成本。来自可再生的竞争以及大型风力涡轮机的高昂资本成本也阻碍了发展中地区电力供应的成长。
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The global gas turbine market is expected to grow from USD 24.189 billion in 2025 to USD 30.024 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 4.42%.
Surging Global Electricity Demand
Global electricity demand is a primary catalyst, fueled by population growth and rapid urbanization. In 2024, global energy demand rose by 2.2%, with electricity demand increasing by 4.3%, driven by electrification in buildings, industry, and digitalization, including data centers and AI applications. The U.S. saw a 1.7% rise in energy demand, while China's electricity consumption is projected to account for one-third of global demand by 2025. Gas turbines, known for their efficiency and flexibility, are critical for meeting this demand, particularly in combined cycle power plants (CCPPs), which offer lower emissions than coal-based alternatives.
Transition to Cleaner Energy
The shift from coal to natural gas-fired power generation is accelerating due to environmental regulations and sustainability goals. In 2023, natural gas accounted for 43% of U.S. electricity generation, compared to coal's declining 16%. Gas turbines, with efficiencies of 40-60%, produce fewer greenhouse gas emissions, aligning with global decarbonization efforts. Innovations like hydrogen-ready turbines, capable of burning up to 50% hydrogen blends, further support this transition. For instance, in 2023, Kawasaki Heavy Industries unveiled a turbine supporting hydrogen blends, enhancing sustainability.
Increased Natural Gas Availability
Rising oil and gas production, particularly in the U.S., boosts natural gas supply, a key fuel for gas turbines. In June 2023, U.S. oil output from major shale basins reached a record 9.33 million bpd, with the Permian Basin contributing significantly. This increased natural gas availability supports the expansion of gas turbine-based power plants, particularly in North America. China's domestic gas production also grew, reaching 229.7 billion cubic meters in 2023, reinforcing market growth.
Technological Advancements
Innovations in turbine design, materials, and digital solutions are enhancing efficiency and reliability. In 2023, n-dimensional and PSM launched a gas turbine digital twin product, improving predictive maintenance. General Electric's H-Class turbines, surpassing two million operating hours in 2023, exemplify advancements in high-efficiency, low-emission technology. These developments reduce operational costs and downtime, driving market adoption.
Market Segmentation Analysis
By Capacity
The >300 MW segment dominates, holding a 36.6% share in 2023, driven by demand for large-scale power generation in urban and industrial applications. These high-capacity turbines are favored for their efficiency in combined cycle plants, as seen in projects like GE's 435 MW Tallawarra power station in Australia in 2023.
By Technology
Combined cycle turbines led with an 88% revenue share in 2023, due to their high efficiency and lower emissions. Open cycle gas turbines (OCGTs), with up to 44% thermal efficiency, are preferred for rapid-response applications in oil and gas and industrial sectors.
By Application
The power generation segment holds the largest share (90% in 2023), driven by global electricity demand and the shift to gas-based plants. The oil and gas sector is also significant, using turbines for mechanical drives and power generation in remote operations. The aviation sector benefits from aeroderivative turbines' high power-to-weight ratio.
Geographical Insights
Asia-Pacific leads with a 38.2% market share in 2023, driven by rapid industrialization in China, India, and Japan. China's focus on gas-fired plants and India's plan to expand natural gas to 15% of its energy mix by 2030 fuel growth. The U.S., with 9,132 MW of new gas-fired capacity added in 2023, dominates North America, supported by shale gas production and decarbonization policies. Europe is transitioning to gas and hydrogen-ready turbines to meet net-zero goals, while the Middle East benefits from local gas availability.
Competitive Landscape
Key players, including General Electric, Siemens Energy, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, and Wartsila, drive innovation. In 2023, GE supplied high-efficiency turbines for projects in Australia and Kazakhstan, while Mitsubishi Power secured orders for Uzbekistan's Talimarjan-2 project. These companies focus on advanced combustion technologies and digital solutions to enhance turbine performance.
Challenges
Volatility in natural gas prices and stricter environmental regulations pose challenges. In 2024, compliance costs increased due to emission reduction mandates, particularly in Europe and Canada. Competition from renewables and high capital costs for large-scale turbines also hinder growth in developing regions.
Segmentation: Key Benefits of this Report:
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