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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1918138
波浪能市场-2026-2031年预测Wave Energy Market - Forecast from 2026 to 2031 |
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预计波浪能市场将从 2025 年的 93,913,000 美元成长到 2031 年的 254,441,000 美元,复合年增长率为 18.07%。
由于海洋波浪蕴藏着巨大的能量,加上政府的大量投资以及全球向再生能源来源的转型,波浪能市场正经历快速成长。波浪能是一种利用波浪运动产生的可再生能源,其发电装置以各种方式放置在海面上。多种技术透过浮标式吸收器捕捉波浪涌动的能量,然后由线性或旋转式发电机将捕获的能量转化为日常生活所需的电能。
主要市场驱动因素
波能潜力
截至2021年,美国沿海水域的波浪能潜力已达2.64兆度。容量至少1兆瓦的发电机可用于公用事业规模的发电。波浪能利用的潜在位置包括美国西海岸、欧洲、日本和纽西兰。多种新兴的波浪能捕获和转化技术正在推动该产业的发展。这些技术包括在水面或水面下方安装设备,以及将设备锚固在海底。
市场成长要素
在预测期内,可再生能源产业的快速成长和海洋产业对电力需求的不断增加将是波浪能市场成长的主要驱动力。儘管波浪能基础建设的高额资本支出历来限制市场成长,但各国政府目前正加大这类计划的投资,以促进市场扩张。全球波浪能市场的主要企业预计将受益于政府对可再生能源产业的扶持主导和财政支持。
逐步淘汰石化燃料
各公司正积极应对正在改变全球能源产业的能源转型:从石化燃料为基础的能源生产和消费系统转向再生能源来源。预计2019年至2024年间,全球可再生能源供给能力将成长50%。波浪能是最经济的海洋能源形式,占全球整体海洋能源总量的80%之多。波浪能之所以在产业中占据领先地位,是因为其功率密度高,通常为30千瓦/平方米,是风力发电的五倍。先进的预测演算法可以提前10小时至数天预测波浪模式,从而更好地与电网整合。
政府支持计划
各国已采取多种措施支持可再生能源发展,包括设定成长目标、提供补贴以及限制传统电厂的扩建。各国政府可以利用基础设施资源,在整个能源供应链中提供扩充性且经济实惠的解决方案。英国等国已启动清洁能源部署计划,包括开发先进技术以降低技术成本、减少碳排放,并评估各种特殊能源类型的可行性。
发电应用
预计波浪能发电将占据最大的市场份额。其核心应用与大力发展再生能源来源能源发电密切相关。电力产业需要扩大产能以满足日益增长的全球需求。海洋发电因其潜力、可靠性和高可用性,相比其他传统可再生能源,正日益普及并有望主导整个产业。海水淡化领域也十分重要,因为利用海水生产饮用水和生活用水正变得越来越普遍。
国际合作与商业化
各国及相关组织,例如欧洲海洋能源中心和国际能源总署海洋能源系统,正携手合作,透过研发和部署计划加速市场成长。目前,多个早期商业部署和先导计画正在进行中,展现了波浪能作为可靠且永续能源来源的潜力。这些努力为未来的技术进步和成本降低提供了宝贵的经验。
区域趋势
欧洲预计将占据最大的波浪能市场。波浪能是目前最先进的海洋能源技术。欧盟的目标是到2050年建成100吉瓦的波浪能发电装置容量。为了实现这一目标,必须克服诸多挑战,包括技术成熟度、资金筹措、市场开发、行政和环境问题,以及电网连接的可及性,尤其是在偏远地区。这些限制目前阻碍了该产业吸引外来投资以及透过供应链整合实施成本节约策略的能力。
政府倡议
英国:英国政府的目标是到 2031 年使该国 30% 的电力来自海上再生能源来源,并已拨款 1.6 亿英镑用于开发波浪发电工程。
欧盟:欧盟在其「地平线欧洲」计画下,重点关注研究、创新和市场应用,已承诺在 2021 年至 2027 年间投入 3 亿欧元用于波浪能计划。
美国:美国能源局已提供 3,500 万美元资金,用于改善现有的波浪能基础设施。
澳洲:澳洲可再生能源署已为波浪发电工程提供超过 5,000 万澳元的资金。
在技术进步、政府支持以及全球向高功率密度、可预测发电特性的永续再生能源来源转型的迫切需求的推动下,波浪能市场不断发展。
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The wave energy market is set to increase at a 18.07% CAGR, growing from USD 93.913 million in 2025 to USD 254.441 million in 2031.
The wave energy market is experiencing rapid growth driven by high energy potential in ocean waves, substantial government investment, and the global transition toward renewable energy sources. Wave energy-a renewable energy type produced from wave motion-uses electricity generators positioned in various configurations on the ocean's surface. Multiple technologies capture energy from wave rise and fall through absorbers utilizing buoys, with linear or rotational generators transforming recovered energy into electrical energy for daily life applications.
Primary Market Drivers
Wave Energy Potential
The energy potential of waves off coastlines in the United States reached 2.64 trillion kWh in 2021. Electric generators having generating capacity of at least one megawatt are used for utility-scale power. Potential locations for wave energy use include the west coasts of the United States, Europe, Japan, and New Zealand. Several emerging techniques and technologies for capturing wave energy and transforming it into power are fueling the industry. These techniques include positioning equipment on water surfaces or just below, and anchoring equipment to the ocean floor.
Market Growth Factors
The rapid growth of the renewable energy sector and rising electricity needs from the marine industry represent main drivers propelling wave energy market growth over the anticipated timeframe. While high capital expenditures involved in developing infrastructure for generating wave energy previously constrained market growth, governments in various nations are now investing in such projects, fueling market expansion. Top players in the global wave energy market are anticipated to gain from increasing government initiatives and financial support for the renewable energy industry.
Fossil Fuel Transition
Companies are responding to the energy transition transforming the global energy industry from fossil-based energy production and consumption systems to renewable energy sources. Renewable power capacity is projected to increase by 50% globally between 2019 and 2024. Wave energy represents the most economical kind of marine energy, accounting for up to 80% of all marine energy worldwide. Wave energy has high-power density typically at 30 kW/m, making it 5 times more powerful than wind energy, propelling the industry. Waves may be predicted using sophisticated prediction algorithms 10 hours to several days in advance, enabling better integration with power grids.
Government Support Programs
Various tactics are being employed by nations to support renewable energy initiatives, including target-based growth, subsidies, and restrictions on conventional power plant expansion. Governmental organizations can provide scalable, affordable solutions that reach beyond the entire energy supply by using infrastructural resources. Countries like the UK have started projects for clean energy spread involving cost reduction in technology, carbon emissions reduction, and development of cutting-edge technologies to evaluate the viability of unique electricity types.
Power Generation Applications
Wave energy use in power generation is projected to have the largest market share. The core utilization can be linked to strong emphasis on electrical energy production from renewable sources. Increasing the power sector's capacity is required to satisfy growing global demand. Electricity produced from the sea is becoming well-liked and is predicted to dominate the industry due to its potential, dependability, and high availability compared to other conventional renewable resources. The desalination sector also represents a critical area as saltwater use to create drinking water and potable water has grown in popularity.
International Collaboration and Commercialization
Countries and organizations are working together on R&D and deployment projects to hasten market growth, including the European Marine Energy Centre and the Ocean Energy Systems of the International Energy Agency. Several early-stage commercial deployments and pilot projects are now in progress, demonstrating the promise of wave energy as a dependable and sustainable energy source. These initiatives offer insightful information for future technological advancement and cost-cutting.
Regional Dynamics
Europe is anticipated to hold the largest wave energy market share. Wave energy is the most advanced ocean energy technology. The EU aspires to have built 100 GW of wave capacity by 2050. To achieve these objectives, the wave energy industry must overcome various challenges, including those relating to technical readiness, funding, market development, administrative and environmental issues, and accessibility of grid connections, particularly in remote areas. These limitations are currently impeding the sector's capacity to attract inward investments and engage with the supplier chain to unlock cost-reduction strategies.
Government Initiatives
United Kingdom: By 2031, the UK government wants to produce 30% of the nation's power from offshore renewable sources, allocating £160 million toward wave-generating project development.
European Union: With emphasis on research, innovation, and market adoption, the EU has committed €300 million for wave energy projects between 2021 and 2027 under the Horizon Europe program.
United States: For improvements to current wave energy infrastructure, the U.S. Department of Energy offered financing of USD 35 million.
Australia: Wave power projects have received more than AUD 50 million from the Australian Renewable Energy Agency.
Recent Developments
In May 2023, AW-Energy, a pioneer in near-shore wave energy technology, signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Kaoko Green Energy Solutions in Namibia. The MOU intends to manufacture green hydrogen from renewable energy sources, including wave energy, focused on renewable energy growth.
The wave energy market continues evolving, driven by technological advancement, government support, and the global imperative to transition toward sustainable, renewable energy sources with high power density and predictable generation characteristics.
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