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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1880560
潮汐能和波浪能市场预测至2032年:按类型、部署方式、应用和区域分類的全球分析Tidal and Wave Energy Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Type (Tidal Energy, and Wave Energy), Deployment (Nearshore, and Offshore), Application, and By Geography |
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根据 Stratistics MRC 的一项研究,预计到 2025 年,全球潮汐能和波浪能市场价值将达到 19 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 34 亿美元。
预计在预测期内,潮汐能和波浪能将以8.5%的复合年增长率成长。潮汐能和波浪能专注于利用涡轮机、振动装置和浮体式平台将洋流、潮汐和海面波浪转化为电能。其涵盖资源评估、技术开发、计划部署以及沿海和岛屿地区的电网併网。其优点包括:发电高度可预测、与脱碳目标高度契合、创造当地就业机会,以及在海洋资源丰富的地区实现可再生能源结构的多元化。
根据国际可再生能源机构(IRENA)的数据,截至2024年底,全球海洋能(潮汐能和波浪能)的总设备容量约为494兆瓦。
全球为实现脱碳和可再生能源多元化所做的努力
各国政府和企业正积极实现能源结构多元化,不再只依赖太阳能和风能等间歇性能源。潮汐能和波浪能提供了一种可预测且可靠的基本负载能源,这对电网稳定至关重要。这种稳定的发电特性使其成为严格的脱碳目标和增强国家能源安全的理想选择,从而推动了该领域的大量投资和政策支持。
技术尚不成熟,商业部署有限。
与成熟的可再生能源不同,大多数潮汐能和波浪能装置仍处于示范或试点阶段,缺乏规模经济效益,无法实现具有成本竞争力的发电。恶劣的海洋环境也带来了巨大的技术挑战,导致维护成本高昂和营运风险。缺乏可靠的成功案例阻碍了大规模私人投资,并减缓了商业部署的步伐。
偏远海上企业对电力供应的需求不断成长
为偏远海上工业设施(包括石油和天然气平台、海上水产养殖场)以及离岛社区供电,是重要的全新机会。这些设施传统上依赖高成本且污染严重的柴油发电机。潮汐能和波浪能係统可以为这些局部微电网提供更清洁、永续且最终更具成本效益的替代方案。这个应用领域代表着一个可行的短期市场,能够提供对该技术成熟至关重要的收入和营运数据。
政府支持政策的不确定性与不一致性
市场面临政府奖励和法规结构不确定性带来的重大威胁。海洋能源计划的长期开发週期极易受到政治优先事项转变、上网电价补贴政策(FIT)调整、津贴计画到期等因素的影响。这种政策不确定性造成了投资环境的动盪,使得开发商难以获得从试点阶段过渡到全面商业化计划所需的长期融资。因此,这可能会抑制整体市场成长。
疫情对潮汐能和波浪能产业造成了沉重打击,导致计划大规模延期和供应链瓶颈。工厂停工和国际旅行限制阻碍了零件生产,并妨碍了现场关键的安装和维护工作。此外,经济衝击暂时将政府和私人资本从新兴技术领域转移,减缓了创新和投资的步伐。然而,这场危机也激发了全球对清洁能源的兴趣,将其纳入经济復苏计划,可能带来长期的利多因素。
预计在预测期内,潮汐能领域将占据最大的市场份额。
预计在预测期内,潮汐能将占据最大的市场份额,这主要是因为与波浪能相比,潮汐能的技术成熟度更高。潮汐流和潮汐拦潮系统利用潮汐运动的可预测性,从而能够进行精确的发电量预测,并更容易併入电网。此外,多个示范计划,尤其是在欧洲和加拿大,已成功证明了其在商业化前阶段的可行性,这增强了投资者和电力公司对该技术在不久的将来实现公用事业规模发电的潜力的信心。
预计在预测期内,发电业将呈现最高的复合年增长率。
预计在预测期内,发电领域将实现最高成长率。这主要得益于为实现可再生能源目标而加速将海洋能併入国家电网的倡议。随着技术可靠性的提高和成本的下降,潮汐能和波浪能正变得越来越具有竞争力,有望成为大规模发电的理想选择。此外,与小规模示范计画相比,对併网计划的投资不断增加,也推动了该领域在预测期内的加速成长。
预计在整个预测期内,欧洲将保持最大的市场份额,这得益于各国政府的大力支持以及欧盟雄心勃勃的脱碳目标。该地区聚集了大量技术开发商,尤其是在英国和法国,并且是许多世界主要潮汐能计划的所在地。此外,上网电价补贴和创新津贴等扶持政策为计划开发创造了有利环境,有助于欧洲巩固其当前的市场领导地位。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将实现最高的复合年增长率,这主要得益于其漫长的海岸线以及各国政府对可再生能源结构多元化日益增长的兴趣。韩国、中国和澳洲等国已开始大力投资海洋能源研究和示范计划,以开发利用其丰富的潮汐能和波浪能资源。此外,沿海人口和工业迫切需要电力供应,同时减少对进口石化燃料的依赖,这些因素进一步推动了这一成长,为市场扩张创造了沃土。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Tidal and Wave Energy Market is accounted for $1.9 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $3.4 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 8.5% during the forecast period. The tidal and wave energy focuses on converting ocean currents, tides, and surface waves into electricity using turbines, oscillating devices, and floating platforms. It spans resource assessment, technology development, project deployment, and grid integration in coastal and island regions. Benefits include highly predictable generation, strong alignment with decarbonization targets, local job creation, and diversification of the renewable mix in areas with strong marine resources.
According to IRENA, total global ocean (tidal + wave) energy capacity was about 494 MW by the end of 2024.
Global push for decarbonization and renewable energy diversification
Governments and corporations are actively diversifying their energy portfolios beyond intermittent sources like solar and wind. Tidal and wave energy offer a highly predictable and reliable baseload power alternative, which is crucial for grid stability. This consistent generation profile makes it an attractive option for meeting stringent decarbonization targets and enhancing national energy security, thereby driving significant investment and policy support into the sector.
Immature technology with limited commercial deployment
Unlike more established renewables, most tidal and wave devices remain in the demonstration or pilot phase, lacking the economies of scale for cost-competitive generation. The harsh marine environment also presents substantial engineering challenges, leading to high maintenance costs and operational risks. This lack of a proven, bankable track record discourages large-scale private investment and slows the pace of commercial rollout.
Growing demand for powering remote offshore operations
A substantial emerging opportunity lies in providing power for remote offshore industrial operations. This includes electrifying oil and gas platforms, offshore aquaculture farms, and remote island communities, which traditionally rely on expensive and polluting diesel generators. Tidal and wave energy systems can offer a cleaner, more sustainable, and ultimately cost-effective alternative for these localized microgrids. This specific application represents a viable near-term market that can provide crucial revenue and operational data to help the technology mature.
Uncertain and inconsistent government support policies
The market faces a considerable threat from the unpredictability of government incentives and regulatory frameworks. Long-term development cycles for marine energy projects are highly vulnerable to shifts in political priorities, changes in feed-in tariffs, or the expiration of grant programs. This policy uncertainty creates a volatile investment landscape, making it difficult for developers to secure the long-term financing required to advance from pilot to full-scale commercial projects, thereby stalling overall market growth.
The pandemic severely disrupted the tidal and wave energy sector, causing widespread project delays and supply chain bottlenecks. Factory shutdowns and restrictions on international travel stalled component manufacturing and prevented crucial on-site installation and maintenance work. Furthermore, the economic fallout led to a temporary reallocation of government and private capital away from nascent technologies, slowing the pace of innovation and investment. However, the crisis also reinforced the global focus on clean energy as part of economic recovery plans, offering a potential tailwind for the long term.
The tidal energy segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The tidal energy segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, primarily due to its higher technological maturity compared to wave energy. Tidal stream generators and barrage systems benefit from the predictable nature of tidal movements, which allows for accurate power output forecasting and easier grid integration. Furthermore, several pre-commercial projects, particularly in Europe and Canada, have successfully demonstrated viability, giving investors and utilities more confidence in the technology's near-term potential for utility-scale power generation.
The power generation segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the power generation segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, driven by the increasing focus on integrating marine energy into national grids to meet renewable targets. As technology reliability improves and costs begin to decline, tidal and wave power are becoming more competitive for large-scale electricity production. Additionally, growing investments in projects designed specifically for grid supply, rather than small-scale pilot demonstrations, are fueling the accelerated growth of this segment over the forecast period.
During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share, backed by strong governmental support and ambitious decarbonization goals set by the European Union. The region boasts a high concentration of technology developers and has been the site of most of the world's flagship tidal energy projects, particularly in the UK and France. Moreover, supportive policy mechanisms like feed-in tariffs and innovation grants have created a favorable environment for project development, consolidating Europe's position as the current market leader.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, driven by its extensive coastline and rising governmental interest in diversifying its renewable energy mix. Countries like South Korea, China, and Australia are beginning to invest heavily in marine energy research and demonstration projects to harness their significant tidal and wave resources. This growth is further propelled by the urgent need to power coastal populations and industries while reducing reliance on imported fossil fuels, creating fertile ground for market expansion.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Tidal and Wave Energy Market include Orbital Marine Power Ltd, SIMEC Atlantis Energy Ltd, Nova Innovation Ltd, Ocean Power Technologies, Inc., Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd, CorPower Ocean AB, Eco Wave Power Global AB, Seabased AB, AW-Energy Oy, Minesto AB, Verdant Power, Inc., Mocean Energy Ltd, Ocean Energy Ltd, Wave Swell Energy Ltd, Ocean Renewable Power Company, Inc., Scotrenewables Tidal Power Ltd, and Wello Oy.
In November 2025, Orbital Marine Power Ltd authorized Canada's first tidal energy array and awarded an IECRE feasibility statement for their O2-X turbine. Their partnerships and expansions include projects in Scotland, Canada, and the US.
In November 2025, Eco Wave Power Global AB launched its first US project, with strategic advancements in Europe, Asia, and Africa, and plans for third to fifth wave projects in Los Angeles, Taiwan, and Portugal. The company also holds a projects pipeline of 404.7 MW.
In September 2024, Nova Innovation Ltd secured three 15-year Contracts for Difference (CfD) from the UK government for 6MW tidal energy projects in Orkney, supporting long-term project financing and expansion.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.