商用车-市场占有率分析、产业趋势与统计、成长预测（2025-2030 年）

预计 2025 年商用车市场规模将达到 9,100 亿美元，到 2029 年预计将达到 12,200 亿美元，预测期内（2025-2029 年）的复合年增长率为 7.61%。

• 新兴经济体工业部门的成长和商业物流活动的活性化是商用车需求的主要驱动力。需求激增的主要驱动力是建筑业和电子商务行业的扩张，这推动了对高效物料运输的需求。商用车产量在2020年下降300万辆之后将有所回升，2021年将达到约2,320万辆，呈现稳定復苏的态势。
• 由于新冠疫情导致大多数国际边境关闭，商用车製造业在 2021 年面临长期供应链中断，阻碍了市场成长。疫情对交通运输业的影响巨大，对货运业和製造业保障货物的畅通都造成了重大障碍。
• 由于对商用车的需求不断增加，卡车製造商正在推出新的先进卡车以满足日益增长的需求和排放法规。商用车租赁行业也因对业务效率的需求增加以及跨行业公司实现规模经济而成长。近年来，电子商务已成为全球零售业不可或缺的一部分。 2020年，超过20亿人在网路上购买商品和服务，当年全球电子商务销售额超过4.2兆美元。预计未来几年整个商用车市场将经历显着成长。

人们对运输业二氧化碳排放的日益担忧预计将在未来几年推动电动商用车的普及。

• 2021年，全球商用车产量回升，继2020年下降300万辆之后，达到约2,320万辆。轻型商用车通常被归类为重量在3.5吨以下的车辆。广义上，商用车是指任何用于运输货物或人员的机动车辆。北美将在产量方面处于领先地位，2021 年将生产 1,090 万辆商用车。亚洲和大洋洲已成为重型卡车的最大生产地，预计 2021 年产量将达到 330 万辆左右。汽车产业对清洁能源的需求不断增长是这一领域的一个显着成长要素。
• 全球商用车产量在 2019 年至 2020 年期间下降了 13% 之后，于 2021 年復苏。全球商用车市场在疫情期间面临重大中断，由于持续到 2020 年的国家封锁，製造设施陷入停顿。虽然 2021 年需求和产量有所恢復，但由于全球晶片短缺导致产量削减，市场面临挫折。
• 随着人们对交通运输业二氧化碳排放的担忧日益加剧，商用车产业正在优先考虑替代燃料来源。世界各国政府正带头实施法规，鼓励广泛采用电动车。中国、印度、法国和英国已宣布计划在 2040 年停止生产汽油和柴油汽车。预计这一转变将在未来几年推动电动商用车的普及。

全球商用车市场趋势

全球需求成长和政府支持将推动电动车市场成长

• 电动车（EV）已成为汽车产业的重要组成部分，因为它具有提高能源效率、减少温室气体和污染排放的潜力。这种快速成长背后的主要因素是日益增长的环境问题和政府的支持政策。其中，电动车全球销售呈现强劲成长势头，2022年较2021年成长10.82%。据预测，2025年底，电动乘用车年销量将超过500万辆，约占汽车总销量的15%。
• 领先的製造商和组织（例如伦敦警察厅和消防队）正在积极推行电动车策略。例如，该公司设定了在 2025 年实现零排放汽车、在 2030 年实现 40% 货车电气化、到 2040 年实现全电动化的目标。预计全球也将出现类似的趋势，2024 年至 2030 年间电动车的需求和销售量将急剧成长。
• 在电池技术和汽车电气化进步的推动下，亚太地区和欧洲有望主导电动车生产。 2020年5月，起亚汽车欧洲公司公布“S计划”，宣布转向电动化策略。这项决定是在起亚电动车在欧洲创下销售纪录之际做出的。起亚有一个雄心勃勃的计划，到 2025 年在全球推出 11 款电动车，涵盖轿车、SUV 和 MPV 等各个领域。该公司的目标是到 2026 年实现全球电动车年销量达到 50 万辆。

商用车行业概况

商用车市场较为分散，前五大企业占30%的市占率。该市场的主要企业包括北京汽车股份有限公司、戴姆勒股份公司（梅赛德斯-奔驰股份公司）、福特汽车公司、丰田汽车公司、大众汽车公司等。

其他福利

• Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
• 3个月的分析师支持

目录

第一章执行摘要和主要发现

第二章 报告要约

第三章 引言

• 研究假设和市场定义
• 研究范围
• 调查方法

第四章 产业主要趋势

• 人口
  • 非洲
  • 亚太地区
  • 欧洲
  • 中东
  • 北美洲
  • 南美洲
• 人均GDP
  • 非洲
  • 亚太地区
  • 欧洲
  • 中东
  • 北美洲
  • 南美洲
• 消费者汽车购买支出（cvp）
  • 非洲
  • 亚太地区
  • 欧洲
  • 中东
  • 北美洲
  • 南美洲
• 通货膨胀率
  • 非洲
  • 亚太地区
  • 欧洲
  • 中东
  • 北美洲
  • 南美洲
• 汽车贷款利率
• 电气化的影响
• 电动车充电站
• 电池组价格
  • 非洲
  • 亚太地区
  • 欧洲
  • 中东
  • 北美洲
  • 南美洲
• 新款 Xev 车型发布
• 物流绩效指数
  • 非洲
  • 亚太地区
  • 欧洲
  • 中东
  • 北美洲
  • 南美洲
• 燃油价格
• 製造商生产统计
• 法律规范
• 价值炼和通路分析

第五章市场区隔

• 汽车模型
  • 商用车
    • 大型商用卡车
    • 轻型商用皮卡车
    • 轻型商用厢型车
    • 中型商用卡车
• 推进类型
  • 混合动力和电动车
    • 按燃料类别
    • BEV
    • FCEV
    • HEV
    • PHEV
  • 内燃机
    • 按燃料类别
    • 天然气
    • 柴油引擎
    • 汽油
    • LPG
• 按地区
  • 非洲
  • 亚太地区
    • 澳洲
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 印尼
    • 日本
    • 马来西亚
    • 韩国
    • 泰国
    • 其他亚太地区
  • 欧洲
    • 捷克共和国
  • 中东
  • 北美洲
    • 加拿大
  • 南美洲

第六章竞争格局

• 关键策略趋势
• 市场占有率分析
• 商业状况
• 公司简介
  • BAIC Motor Corporation Ltd.
  • BYD Auto Co. Ltd.
  • Daimler AG（Mercedes-Benz AG）
  • Dongfeng Motor Corporation
  • Ford Motor Company
  • General Motors Company
  • Groupe Renault
  • Mahindra & Mahindra Limited
  • Nissan Motor Co. Ltd.
  • Rivian Automotive Inc.
  • Saic General Motors Corporation Limited
  • Scania AB
  • Tata Motors Limited
  • Toyota Motor Corporation
  • Volkswagen AG
  • Volvo Group

第七章：CEO面临的关键策略问题

第 8 章 附录

• 世界概况
  • 概述
  • 五力分析框架
  • 全球价值链分析
  • 市场动态（DRO）
• 资讯来源及延伸阅读
• 图片列表
• 关键见解
• 数据包
• 词彙表

The Commercial Vehicles Market size is estimated at 0.91 trillion USD in 2025, and is expected to reach 1.22 trillion USD by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 7.61% during the forecast period (2025-2029).

• The industrial sector's growth in emerging economies and the rise in commercial logistics activities are key drivers of the demand for commercial vehicles. This demand surge is primarily fueled by the expanding construction and e-commerce industries, which are driving the need for efficient material transportation. Following a dip of three million units in 2020, the production of commercial vehicles rebounded, reaching approximately 23.2 million units in 2021, marking a steady recovery.
• With most international borders closed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the commercial vehicle manufacturing industry faced prolonged disruptions in its supply chain in 2021, hampering market growth. The pandemic's impact on the transportation sector was profound, presenting significant hurdles for both the freight and manufacturing industries in ensuring smooth movement of goods.
• Due to increased demand for commercial vehicles, truck manufacturers have been introducing new advanced trucks to meet the rising demand and emission standards. Commercial vehicle leasing and the rental industry are also growing due to the increasing demand for operational efficiencies and the realization of economies of scale by businesses across multiple industries. E-commerce has become an essential component of the global retail framework in recent years. Over 2 billion people purchased goods or services online in 2020, and global e-commerce sales surpassed USD 4.2 trillion in the same year. The overall commercial vehicle market is expected to grow significantly in the future.

The rising concerns over carbon emissions from the transportation sector are expected to drive the penetration of electric commercial vehicles in the coming years

• In 2021, global commercial vehicle manufacturing rebounded, reaching approximately 23.2 million units, following a decline of 3 million units in 2020. Light commercial vehicles, typically weighing under 3.5 tons, are classified as such. Broadly, commercial vehicles refer to motor vehicles designed for transporting goods and people. North America took the lead in production, manufacturing 10.9 million commercial vehicles in 2021. Asia and Oceania emerged as the top producers of heavy trucks, with an estimated output of nearly 3.3 million units in 2021. A notable growth driver for this sector is the increasing demand for clean energy in the automotive industry.
• After a 13% dip from 2019 to 2020, global commercial vehicle output rebounded in 2021. The global commercial vehicles market faced significant disruptions during the pandemic, with manufacturing facilities shutting down due to national lockdowns that extended into 2020. Although the demand and output recovered in 2021, the market faced a setback due to a global chip shortage, leading to production cutbacks.
• Amid the rising concerns over carbon emissions from the transportation sector, the commercial fleet industry is prioritizing alternative fuel sources. Governments worldwide are taking the lead in implementing regulations to promote electric vehicle adoption. China, India, France, and the United Kingdom have announced plans to halt gasoline and diesel vehicle production by 2040. This shift is expected to drive the penetration of electric commercial vehicles in the coming years.

Global Commercial Vehicles Market Trends

The rising global demand and government support propel electric vehicle market growth

• Electric vehicles (EVs) have become indispensable in the automotive industry, driven by their potential to enhance energy efficiency and reduce greenhouse gas and pollution emissions. This surge is primarily attributed to growing environmental concerns and supportive government initiatives. Notably, global EV sales witnessed a robust 10.82% growth in 2022 compared to 2021. Projections indicate that annual sales of electric passenger cars will surpass 5 million by the end of 2025, accounting for approximately 15% of total vehicle sales.
• Leading manufacturers and organizations, like the London Metropolitan Police & Fire Service, have been actively pursuing their electric mobility strategies. For instance, they have set a target of a zero-emission fleet by 2025, with a goal of electrifying 40% of their vans by 2030 and achieving full electrification by 2040. Similar trends are expected globally, with the period from 2024 to 2030 witnessing a surge in demand and sales of electric vehicles.
• Asia-Pacific and Europe are poised to dominate electric vehicle production, driven by their advancements in battery technology and vehicle electrification. In May 2020, Kia Motors Europe unveiled its "Plan S," signaling a strategic shift toward electrification. This decision came on the heels of record-breaking sales of Kia's EVs in Europe. Kia has ambitious plans to introduce 11 EV models globally by 2025, spanning various segments like passenger vehicles, SUVs, and MPVs. The company aims to achieve annual global EV sales of 500,000 by 2026.

Commercial Vehicles Industry Overview

The Commercial Vehicles Market is fragmented, with the top five companies occupying 30%. The major players in this market are BAIC Motor Corporation Ltd., Daimler AG (Mercedes-Benz AG), Ford Motor Company, Toyota Motor Corporation and Volkswagen AG (sorted alphabetically).

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY & KEY FINDINGS

2 REPORT OFFERS

3 INTRODUCTION

• 3.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
• 3.2 Scope of the Study
• 3.3 Research Methodology

4 KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS

• 4.1 Population
  • 4.1.1 Africa
  • 4.1.2 Asia-Pacific
  • 4.1.3 Europe
  • 4.1.4 Middle East
  • 4.1.5 North America
  • 4.1.6 South America
• 4.2 GDP Per Capita
  • 4.2.1 Africa
  • 4.2.2 Asia-Pacific
  • 4.2.3 Europe
  • 4.2.4 Middle East
  • 4.2.5 North America
  • 4.2.6 South America
• 4.3 Consumer Spending For Vehicle Purchase (cvp)
  • 4.3.1 Africa
  • 4.3.2 Asia-Pacific
  • 4.3.3 Europe
  • 4.3.4 Middle East
  • 4.3.5 North America
  • 4.3.6 South America
• 4.4 Inflation
  • 4.4.1 Africa
  • 4.4.2 Asia-Pacific
  • 4.4.3 Europe
  • 4.4.4 Middle East
  • 4.4.5 North America
  • 4.4.6 South America
• 4.5 Interest Rate For Auto Loans
• 4.6 Impact Of Electrification
• 4.7 EV Charging Station
• 4.8 Battery Pack Price
  • 4.8.1 Africa
  • 4.8.2 Asia-Pacific
  • 4.8.3 Europe
  • 4.8.4 Middle East
  • 4.8.5 North America
  • 4.8.6 South America
• 4.9 New Xev Models Announced
• 4.10 Logistics Performance Index
  • 4.10.1 Africa
  • 4.10.2 Asia-Pacific
  • 4.10.3 Europe
  • 4.10.4 Middle East
  • 4.10.5 North America
  • 4.10.6 South America
• 4.11 Fuel Price
• 4.12 Oem-wise Production Statistics
• 4.13 Regulatory Framework
• 4.14 Value Chain & Distribution Channel Analysis

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION (includes market size in Value in USD and Volume, Forecasts up to 2029 and analysis of growth prospects)

• 5.1 Vehicle Type
  • 5.1.1 Commercial Vehicles
    • 5.1.1.1 Heavy-duty Commercial Trucks
    • 5.1.1.2 Light Commercial Pick-up Trucks
    • 5.1.1.3 Light Commercial Vans
    • 5.1.1.4 Medium-duty Commercial Trucks
• 5.2 Propulsion Type
  • 5.2.1 Hybrid and Electric Vehicles
    • 5.2.1.1 By Fuel Category
    • 5.2.1.1.1 BEV
    • 5.2.1.1.2 FCEV
    • 5.2.1.1.3 HEV
    • 5.2.1.1.4 PHEV
  • 5.2.2 ICE
    • 5.2.2.1 By Fuel Category
    • 5.2.2.1.1 CNG
    • 5.2.2.1.2 Diesel
    • 5.2.2.1.3 Gasoline
    • 5.2.2.1.4 LPG
• 5.3 Region
  • 5.3.1 Africa
  • 5.3.2 Asia-Pacific
    • 5.3.2.1 Australia
    • 5.3.2.2 China
    • 5.3.2.3 India
    • 5.3.2.4 Indonesia
    • 5.3.2.5 Japan
    • 5.3.2.6 Malaysia
    • 5.3.2.7 South Korea
    • 5.3.2.8 Thailand
    • 5.3.2.9 Rest-of-APAC
  • 5.3.3 Europe
    • 5.3.3.1 Czech Republic
  • 5.3.4 Middle East
  • 5.3.5 North America
    • 5.3.5.1 Canada
  • 5.3.6 South America

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

• 6.1 Key Strategic Moves
• 6.2 Market Share Analysis
• 6.3 Company Landscape
• 6.4 Company Profiles
  • 6.4.1 BAIC Motor Corporation Ltd.
  • 6.4.2 BYD Auto Co. Ltd.
  • 6.4.3 Daimler AG (Mercedes-Benz AG)
  • 6.4.4 Dongfeng Motor Corporation
  • 6.4.5 Ford Motor Company
  • 6.4.6 General Motors Company
  • 6.4.7 Groupe Renault
  • 6.4.8 Mahindra & Mahindra Limited
  • 6.4.9 Nissan Motor Co. Ltd.
  • 6.4.10 Rivian Automotive Inc.
  • 6.4.11 Saic General Motors Corporation Limited
  • 6.4.12 Scania AB
  • 6.4.13 Tata Motors Limited
  • 6.4.14 Toyota Motor Corporation
  • 6.4.15 Volkswagen AG
  • 6.4.16 Volvo Group

7 KEY STRATEGIC QUESTIONS FOR VEHICLES CEOS

8 APPENDIX

• 8.1 Global Overview
  • 8.1.1 Overview
  • 8.1.2 Porter's Five Forces Framework
  • 8.1.3 Global Value Chain Analysis
  • 8.1.4 Market Dynamics (DROs)
• 8.2 Sources & References
• 8.3 List of Tables & Figures
• 8.4 Primary Insights
• 8.5 Data Pack
• 8.6 Glossary of Terms