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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1851055
中国废弃物管理:市场份额分析、行业趋势、统计数据和成长预测(2025-2030 年)China Waste Management - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030) |
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预计到 2025 年,中国废弃物管理市场规模将达到 1,770 亿美元,到 2030 年将达到 2,380 亿美元,年复合成长率为 6.10%。

「美丽中国」规划和国家碳中和路线图中的政策承诺正在将废弃物转化为收入来源。二、三线城市的都市化、企业ESG(环境、社会和治理)责任要求以及资本市场对环境官民合作关係的需求,都在推动对综合解决方案的持续需求。 「零废弃城市」计画引入的标准化框架提高了计划的融资可行性,而人工智慧路线规划和基于区块链的废弃物追踪等数位技术则提升了营运效率。国内业者向东南亚和中东的国际扩张,凸显了该产业正从纯粹的市政服务模式向出口导向、技术密集的资源回收产业转型。
全球1,010多家焚化厂占全球总产能的近一半,但由于原料供应不稳定,许多焚化厂的运作负荷低于设计负荷。 2025年的改革将把上网电价补贴机制转变为市场定价,同时整合绿色电力的再生能源凭证。一座热效率为70.9%的焚化厂,其投资回收期约为4.8年,这意味着即使补贴有限,也能获利。产能过剩正促使中国企业投资越南和海湾地区,输出承包工程和维运技术。
人口快速流动导致都市固态废弃物成长速度超过基础设施的处理能力。国家发展与改革委员会2024年的报告证实,农村地区的排放率已达90%,但都市化进程加快的地区仍面临处理能力不足的问题。市场对可扩展、轻资产的系统需求日益增长,这些系统将智慧垃圾桶与模组化转运站结合。在该国2030年实现所有都市区100%安全处置废弃物的目标推动下,中南部城市正采用废弃物垃圾焚化发电解决方案。技术供应商受益于将设备与数位化运维服务捆绑在一起的合同,这加快了部署週期并降低了前期投资风险。
预算紧张限制了中型城市为公私合营项目(PPP)提供年金担保的能力,导致计划执行延期并增加了交易对手风险。开发人员正透过轻资产服务模式和收益分成安排来应对这项挑战,以减少市政现金支出,同时维持服务水准。此外,结合绿色债券和碳信用额的混合融资工具也正在出现,以填补资金缺口。
到2024年,生活废弃物将占中国废弃物管理市场的40.8%,巩固其在垃圾收集网路规划中的核心地位。都市区家庭数量的持续增长和消费支出的增加将推动垃圾量从垃圾桶转向垃圾车,迫使市政当局引入物联网智慧垃圾桶,这些垃圾桶只有在装满80%时才会启动收集,从而将路线效率提高30%。受电商包装和外带配送趋势的推动,预计到2030年,电商废弃物的复合年增长率将达到11.6%,成为所有排放来源中成长最快的。广东和江苏两省的履约中心已经开始与专门从事纸板包装和塑胶粉碎的第三方营运商签订合同,这表明随着废弃物流的集中化,服务专业化程度也在不断提高。
更严格的居民垃圾分类规定要求在居民家门口进行四类分类:可回收物、食物废弃物、危险废弃物和剩余废弃物。这项监管措施推动了对颜色编码垃圾桶和人工智慧视觉系统的需求,这些系统可在转运站验证分类的准确性。都市区公私合作计画将收集、推广和数据报告整合到一份合约中,使私人公司能够获得多年的收入可见度。同时,产业丛集正在将危险废弃物管理外包给获得认证的处理商,这些处理商提供从源头到最终处置的全程可追溯性,从而将其服务范围扩展到生活废弃物之外。
中国废弃物管理市场报告按来源(居民、商业、其他)、服务类型(处置/处理、其他)、废弃物类型(城市固态废弃物、工业危险废弃物、其他)和地区(华东、华北、其他)排放。报告提供了上述所有细分市场的市场规模和预测(以美元计)。
The China Waste Management Market is valued at USD 177 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 238 billion by 2030, advancing at a 6.10% CAGR.

Policy commitments embedded in the Beautiful China blueprint and the national carbon-neutrality timetable are converting waste streams into revenue sources, as shown by waste-to-energy plants that now account for almost half of global installed capacity. Urbanization in tier-2 and tier-3 cities, corporate ESG mandates, and capital-market appetite for environmental public-private partnerships are reinforcing steady demand for integrated solutions. Standardized frameworks introduced through the zero-waste city program are improving project bankability, while digital technologies such as AI-enabled route planning and blockchain waste tracking strengthen operational performance. International expansion by domestic operators into Southeast Asia and the Middle East reveals a shift from a purely municipal service model toward an export-oriented, technology-rich resource recovery industry.
More than 1,010 incineration plants form almost half of global capacity, yet many run below design load because of uneven feedstock supply. The 2025 reform moves feed-in tariffs toward market-based pricing while integrating green electricity certificates. Facilities achieving 70.9% thermal efficiency show payback periods near 4.8 years, enabling profitability with limited subsidies. Overcapacity is driving Chinese firms to invest in Vietnam and the Gulf states, exporting turnkey plants and O&M expertise.
Rapid migration is lifting municipal solid waste output faster than infrastructure can keep pace. The 2024 National Development and Reform Commission report confirms 90% rural collection coverage, yet urbanizing districts still face capacity shortfalls. Demand is rising for scalable, asset-light systems that combine smart bins with modular transfer stations. Central and Southern cities are adopting waste-to-energy as a dual solution for waste and electricity, supported by a national goal of 100% safe disposal in all urban areas by 2030. Technology suppliers benefit from contracts that bundle equipment with digital O&M services, accelerating deployment cycles and reducing upfront capital risks.
Budget pressures restrict the ability of mid-sized cities to guarantee PPP annuities, delaying project execution and raising counterparty risk. Developers respond with asset-light service models and revenue-sharing arrangements that reduce municipal cash outlay yet preserve service standards. Blended-finance vehicles incorporating green bonds and carbon credits are emerging to close funding gaps.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Residential waste contributed 40.8% of the Chinese waste management market in 2024, cementing its role as the backbone for collection network planning. Continuous urban household formation and rising consumer spending push bin-to-truck volumes upward, compelling municipalities to deploy IoT-enabled smart bins that trigger pickups only when 80% full, lifting route efficiency by 30%. Commercial waste, propelled by e-commerce packaging and food delivery trends, is forecast to register an 11.6% CAGR to 2030, the fastest among all sources. Retail fulfillment centers in Guangdong and Jiangsu have already contracted third-party operators for dedicated cardboard baling and plastics shredding, illustrating how service specialization follows waste-stream concentration.
Enhanced residential segregation rules require four-stream sorting that separates recyclables, food, hazardous, and residual waste at the doorstep. This regulatory push spurs demand for color-coded container fleets and AI vision systems that verify sorting accuracy at transfer stations. Urban neighborhood PPPs bundle collection, outreach, and data reporting under single contracts, creating multi-year revenue visibility for private firms. In parallel, industrial clusters outsource hazardous waste management to certified handlers offering cradle-to-grave manifest traceability, expanding service scope beyond household waste.
The Chinese Waste Management Market Report is Segmented by Source (Residential, Commercial, and More), by Service Type (Disposal/Treatment and More), by Waste Type (Municipal Solid Waste, Industrial Hazardous Waste, and More), and by Region (Eastern China, Northern China, and More). The Report Offers Market Size and Forecasts in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.