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自动中型及大型卡车市场
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1823721

自动中型及大型卡车市场

Automated Medium-Duty and Heavy-Duty Trucks: Global Sales and Revenue Forecasts for Autonomous Trucking, 2025-2034
出版日期: | 出版商: Guidehouse Research | 英文 33 Pages | 订单完成后即时交付

价格

多年来，自动驾驶技术的进步引起了媒体的广泛关注，尤其是在轻型车辆领域。这些技术通常允许驾驶员将双手从方向盘上移开，在某些情况下，视线甚至可以离开道路。最近的趋势集中在无人驾驶计程车和共乘乘车上，这些车辆无需驾驶员，在某些情况下甚至无需前排安全监控。

本报告评估了中重型 (MHD) 卡车的销售和收入潜力，这些卡车可能在整个路线行驶过程中无需持续监控。这些卡车的总车辆额定重量 (GVWR) 为 10,000 磅（4,536 公斤）或更大。本分析涵盖车辆总重 (GVWR) 在 10,000 至 26,000 磅（4,536 至 11,793 公斤）之间的中型卡车，以及车辆总重 (GVWR) 超过 26,000 磅（11,793 公斤）的重型卡车。此外，本分析也涵盖了自动驾驶技术在公路和越野路况下的用例。

预计全球无人驾驶（即自动驾驶）MHD 卡车的销量将在预测期末趋于成熟，到 2034 年将达到约 36,000 辆，其中，由于快速增长和有利的监管条件，中国将占约三分之一的市场占有率。

目录

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 市场问题

  • 简介
  • 促进因素
    • 简化的ODD
    • 驱动短缺与驱动成本
    • 降低总体拥有成本
  • 障碍
    • 公众对自动化的看法
    • 劳动政治
    • 资金问题

第3章 产业价值链

  • 简介
  • 竞争情形
  • 产业价值链
    • M&A活动

第4章 市场预测

  • 调查手法
  • MHD卡车销售预测
  • 自动MHD卡车销售预测
    • 大型卡车销售预测自动化
    • 中型卡车的自动销售预测
  • 自动MHD卡车的收益预测
    • 大型卡车的销售额预测自动化
    • 中型卡车的自动收益预测
  • 自动公路式MHD卡车销售预测
  • 自动卸载MHD卡车的销售预测

第5章 结论·建议

  • 3个大的要点
  • 推荐事项

第6章 与缩写简称一览

第7章 目录

第8章 图表

第9章 调查范围，资讯来源，调查手法及註解

Product Code: MF-MHDAV-25

For many years, advances in automated driving technology have received significant media attention, particularly in the light-duty vehicle segment. Generally, these technologies enable drivers to remove their hands from the wheel, and, in some cases, their eyes from the road. Recent developments have focused on robotaxis, rideshare vehicles that operate without a driver or sometimes, without a safety monitor in the front seat.

This report evaluates the potential sales and revenues of medium- and heavy-duty (MHD) trucks that are capable of operating without continuous supervision, potentially through their entire routes. Their gross vehicle weight rating (GVWR) is greater than 10,000 pounds/4,536 kilograms. The analysis covers both medium-duty trucks, whose GVWR is between 10,000 and 26,000 pounds/4,536 and 11,793 kilograms, and heavy-duty trucks whose GVWR is greater than 26,000 pounds/11,793 kilograms. It also includes on-road and off-road use cases for autonomous technologies.

Guidehouse Research anticipates that global sales of hands-off/eyes-off (i.e., automated) MHD trucks will only mature toward the end of the forecast period, reaching approximately 36,000 units by 2034, with China accounting for nearly one-third of the market due to rapid growth and favorable regulatory conditions.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1 Market Overview
  • 1.2 Scope
  • 1.3 Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1 Introduction
  • 2.2 Drivers
    • 2.2.1 Simplified ODDs
    • 2.2.2 Driver Shortages and Driver Costs
    • 2.2.3 Lower TCO
  • 2.3 Barriers
    • 2.3.1 Public Opinion on Automation
    • 2.3.2 Workforce Political Power
    • 2.3.3 Funding Issues

3. Industry Value Chain

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Competitive Landscape
  • 3.3 Industry Value Chain
    • 3.3.1 M&A Activities

4. Market Forecasts

  • 4.1 Methodology
  • 4.2 MHD Truck Sales Forecasts
  • 4.3 Automated MHD Truck Sales Forecasts
    • 4.3.1 Automated Heavy-Duty Truck Sales Forecasts
    • 4.3.2 Automated Medium-Duty Truck Sales Forecasts
  • 4.4 Automated MHD Truck Revenue Forecasts
    • 4.4.1 Automated Heavy-Duty Truck Revenue Forecasts
    • 4.4.2 Automated Medium-Duty Truck Revenue Forecasts
  • 4.5 Automated On-Road MHD Truck Sales Forecasts
  • 4.6 Automated Off-Road MHD Truck Sales Forecasts

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

  • 5.1 Three Big Takeaways
  • 5.2 Recommendations
    • 5.2.1 MHDV Autonomy Developers
    • 5.2.2 MHD OEMs
    • 5.2.3 Government Policymakers
    • 5.2.4 Trucking Fleet Operators

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7. Table of Contents

8. Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology & Notes

List of Figures

  • Chart 1-1. Automated MHD Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-1. MHD Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-2. Automated MHD Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-3. Automated Heavy-Duty Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-4. Automated Medium-Duty Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-5. Automated MHD Truck Revenues, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-6. Automated Heavy-Duty Truck Revenues, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-7. Automated Medium-Duty Truck Revenues, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-8. Automated On-Road MHD Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-9. Automated Off-Road MHD Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Figure 3-1. Pictorial Representation of the Automated MHD Truck Value Chain