1-Octene的需求分析（按类型、应用和预测分析）（2034年）

全球1-Octene市场规模预计将从2023年的12亿美元成长到2032年的14亿美元，复合年增长率稳定在2.6%左右。这一成长轨迹主要受聚乙烯生产、塑性体、线性醇和润滑剂等各种终端产业对1-Octene需求的不断成长所驱动。 1-Octene，也称为Octene-1，是一种高级α-烯烃，其特征是α（伯）碳原子上有一个双键，使其成为许多工业过程中一种有价值的化学中间体。

需求动态

1-Octene最主要且最大的用途是作为聚乙烯生产中的共聚单体，占全球市场的近80%。 1-Octene与乙烯共聚，赋予聚乙烯产品抗撕裂、回弹性及长保质期等特性。这些增强型聚乙烯广泛应用于软包装薄膜、血袋和导管等医疗设备、汽车内装、隔热材料、运动用品等。Octene-乙烯共聚物的多功能性和高性能使其成为许多高价值应用领域不可或缺的材料。

除了聚合物之外，1-Octene也是直链醇和润滑剂的前驱物。透过氢甲酰化，1-Octene可以转化为直链醛，例如壬醛，壬醛可以进一步氧化为壬酸。此外，壬醇加氢可生成1-壬醇，这是一种广泛用于塑化剂的脂醇类。儘管这些应用目前仅占市场的一小部分，但特种化学品生产需求的不断增长有助于稳定整体市场。

区域需求概览

就消费量而言，北美引领全球1-Octene需求，这主要得益于其先进的聚乙烯工业和强劲的包装产业。美国仍是该地区最大的市场，其人均塑胶消费量高达每年150公斤以上，远高于全球平均。包装、汽车和医疗产业对聚乙烯的需求支撑了其强劲的市场影响。

西欧紧随其后，成为第二大消费国，其严格的监管标准和高性能塑胶的创新推动了对1-Octene的需求。由于快速的工业化以及汽车、电气和电子、建筑和消费品行业日益增长的应用，包括印度、中国和东南亚国协在内的亚太新兴经济体预计将成为成长最快的市场。这些产业对1-Octene基共聚物的采用率不断提高，预计将在预测期内进一步加速该地区的需求成长。

竞争格局

全球1-Octene市场主导壳牌石油公司、埃克森美孚、萨索尔有限公司、英力士、沙乌地基础工业公司、雪佛龙菲利普斯化学公司、陶氏化学公司、银蕨化学公司、赢创、鼎晖精细化工和LG化学等主要化学企业主导。这些公司正利用其综合生产能力、技术专长和策略性区域布局，保持主导地位，并满足日益增长的全球需求。

市场驱动力与挑战

全球对塑胶（尤其是聚乙烯）日益增长的需求是 1-Octene市场扩张的主要驱动力。聚乙烯在包装、消费品和工业应用中的广泛使用确保了 1-Octene作为性能增强共聚单体的稳定消费。当前塑胶轻量、耐用和可回收的趋势与OcteneOctene的特性高度契合，使其成为开发下一代聚合物材料的关键基石。这种波动可能会影响生产成本和市场定价，从而减缓投资和扩张。此外，来自Butene和Hexene等其他线性 α-烯烃的竞争带来了替代风险，尤其是在性能差异较小的应用中。环境法规和永续性压力也可能透过鼓励替代材料和回收来影响市场动态。

本报告对全球 1-Octene市场进行了深入分析，包括市场动态、行业趋势、细分市场需求和製造商概况。

目录

第一章 引言

第二章 市场摘要

• 市场演变
• 需求概览
• 产业结构
• 战略问题
• 最终用途趋势
• 成长预测

第三章 经济与能源展望

• GDP与人口统计
• 货币和财政政策
• 原油产量和价格
• 天然气
• 电费

第四章 终端使用部门绩效

• 包装
• 车
• 建造
• 电气和电子
• 家电
• 其他的

5.1-Octene介绍与市场概况

• 产品描述
• 等级和特点
• 原料
• 製造过程
• 环境问题
• 价值链
• 目的

第六章市场动态与产业趋势

• 市场动态
  • 驱动程式
  • 限制因素
  • 机会
  • 任务

第七章 全球 1-Octene需求分析（按应用划分）（数量和价值）（2018-2034）

• 战略问题与新冠疫情的影响
• 需求分析与预测（2018-2034）
  • 要求
  • 需求成长率
  • 驱动因素分析
• 全球1-Octene市场应用状况
• 聚乙烯（HDPE、LLDPE）
• 塑性体
• 直链醇（PVC、塑化剂、界面活性剂）
• 润滑剂
• 其他的

第 8 章。需求分析与市场回顾-按地区/国家 (数量和价值) (2018-2034)

• 战略问题与新冠疫情的影响
• 需求分析与预测（2018-2034）
• 要求
• 需求成长率
• 1-Octene市场应用
• 北美洲
• 美国
• 加拿大
• 墨西哥
• 西欧
• 德国
• 法国
• 义大利
• 英国
• 西班牙
• 其他西欧国家
• 中欧/东欧
• 俄罗斯
• 波兰
• 其他中欧和东欧国家
• 亚太地区
• 中国
• 日本
• 印度
• 韩国
• 其他亚太地区
• 拉丁美洲
• 中东和非洲

第九章定价分析

第十章 评估关键策略问题和机会

• 市场吸引力评估
• 前景与目标市场研究

第十一章 策略建议与提案

第十二章公司分析

• 1-Octene製造商概况/公司分析
  • 基本讯息
  • 总部、主要市场
  • 拥有
  • 公司财务
  • 製造地
  • 全球销售
  • 员工总数
  • 产品系列/服务/解决方案
  • 采用的关键业务策略和 Prismane Consulting 概述
  • 近期动态
  • 目标公司
• Shell Chemicals
• Exxon Mobil Corporation
• Evonik Industries
• LG Chemicals
• Sasol Limited
• The Dow Chemical Company
• Silver Fern Chemical Inc.
• CDH Fine Chemicals
• 其他製造商

第十三章 附录

The global Octene-1 market is expected to grow steadily, with its value projected to rise from USD 1.2 billion in 2023 to USD 1.4 billion by 2032, reflecting a CAGR of around 2.6%. This growth trajectory is primarily driven by rising demand for Octene-1 across various end-use industries, notably polyethylene production, plastomers, linear alcohols, and lubricants. Octene-1, also known as 1-octene, is a higher alpha-olefin characterized by a double bond positioned at the alpha (first) carbon atom, making it a valuable chemical intermediate in numerous industrial processes.

Production Processes and Technologies

Octene-1 production predominantly relies on two commercial routes: oligomerization of ethylene and the Fisher-Tropsch (FT) process. The oligomerization of ethylene is the more widely used approach and involves multiple proprietary technologies such as the Ethyl Corporation Process by INEOS, the Shell Higher Olefin Process (SHOP) by Shell Oil Company, the Gulf process by Chevron Phillips Chemical Company, the Sablin process by Sabic-Linde, and the Idemitsu Petrochemical process. Among these, the SHOP process is particularly common. It operates by passing purified ethylene through an oligomerization reactor, where titanium chloride acts as a catalyst in the presence of an organoaluminum co-catalyst. The reaction is carefully controlled in temperature and pressure to favor the formation of octene-1. The use of inert solvents like heptane or hexane aids in managing the reaction rate by dissipating heat. The resulting mixture of oligomers is separated via fractional distillation, yielding purified octene-1 that meets stringent quality standards.

The Fisher-Tropsch process offers an alternative production pathway by converting synthesis gas derived from coal or methane into fuels and chemicals, from which linear alpha-olefins including octene-1 can be extracted through narrow distillation cuts. Both these production routes contribute to the overall supply of octene-1 but vary in scale, feedstock dependency, and geographic availability.

Market Capacity and Regional Production

The global capacity for octene-1 was estimated at around 1,000 kilotons in 2023, with forecasts projecting a rise beyond 1,300 kilotons by 2032. North America dominates production capacity, led by major chemical companies such as Chevron Phillips Chemical (CPChem), INEOS, and Shell. The United States, with its established petrochemical infrastructure and developed downstream industries, is the largest producer within this region. INEOS Oligomers operates a significant facility in Canada, further consolidating North America's leading position in the global octene-1 market.

Following North America, the Middle East and Africa region ranks as the second-largest producer of octene-1. Key countries such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and South Africa maintain sizeable production capacities. South Africa's Sasol operates two dedicated octene-1 plants with a combined capacity of approximately 196 kilotons. These facilities capitalize on regional feedstock availability and strategic access to export markets.

Western Europe also holds a significant share of octene-1 production capacity, with facilities located primarily in Belgium and Spain, operated by INEOS Oligomers and Dow Chemical Company respectively. Other regions including Asia Pacific, Central and Eastern Europe, and others hold comparatively smaller capacities but are witnessing incremental growth due to expanding downstream industries.

Demand Dynamics

Octene-1's largest and most dominant application is as a co-monomer in the production of polyethylene, accounting for nearly 80% of the global market. When copolymerized with ethylene, octene-1 imparts enhanced properties such as improved tear resistance, elasticity, and long shelf life to polyethylene products. These enhanced polyethylene variants find widespread use in flexible packaging films, medical devices such as blood bags and catheters, automotive trim, thermal insulation, and sporting goods. The versatility and performance of octene-ethylene copolymers make them indispensable in numerous high-value applications.

Beyond polymers, octene-1 is also a precursor for linear alcohols and lubricants. Through hydroformylation, octene-1 converts to linear aldehydes such as nonanal, which further oxidize to nonanoic acid-a key raw material for lubricant esters. Additionally, hydrogenation of nonanal produces 1-nonanol, a fatty alcohol widely used in plasticizers. Although these applications currently represent a smaller segment of the market, their growing demand in specialty chemical production contributes to overall market stability.

Regional Demand Overview

In terms of consumption, North America leads the global octene-1 demand, driven largely by its advanced polyethylene industry and robust packaging sector. The United States remains the largest market within this region, supported by high per capita plastic consumption exceeding 150 kilograms annually, significantly above the global average. The demand for polyethylene in packaging, automotive, and healthcare sectors underpins this strong market presence.

Western Europe follows as the second-largest consumer, where stringent regulatory standards and innovation in high-performance plastics drive octene-1 demand. Emerging economies in the Asia Pacific region, including India, China, and ASEAN countries, are anticipated to be the fastest-growing markets due to rapid industrialization and expanding applications in automotive, electrical and electronics, construction, and consumer goods industries. The increased adoption of octene-1-based copolymers in these sectors is expected to further accelerate regional demand growth over the forecast period.

Competitive Landscape

The global octene-1 market is led by several major chemical producers, including Shell Oil Company, ExxonMobil, Sasol Limited, INEOS, Sabic, Chevron Phillips Chemical, Dow Chemical Company, Silver Fern Chemical Inc, Evonik, CDH Fine Chemicals, and LG Chemicals. These companies leverage their integrated production capabilities, technological expertise, and strategic regional presence to maintain leadership positions and meet growing global demand.

Market Drivers and Challenges

The growing worldwide demand for plastics, especially polyethylene, serves as the primary driver for the expansion of the octene-1 market. Polyethylene's extensive use in packaging, consumer products, and industrial applications ensures steady consumption of octene-1 as a performance-enhancing co-monomer. The ongoing trend toward lightweight, durable, and recyclable plastics aligns well with octene-1's properties, making it a crucial component in the development of next-generation polymer materials. Such fluctuations impact production costs and market pricing, potentially slowing investment and expansion. Furthermore, competition from other linear alpha-olefins such as butene and hexene poses a substitution risk, particularly in applications where performance differentials are marginal. Environmental regulations and sustainability pressures may also influence market dynamics by encouraging alternative materials or recycling initiatives.

Table of Contents

1. Introduction

• Scope
• Market Coverage
  • Application
  • Regions
  • Countries
• Years Considered
  • Historical - 2018 - 2023
  • Base - 2024
  • Forecast Period - 2025 - 2034
• Research Methodology
  • Approach
  • Research Methodology
  • Prismane Consulting Market Models
  • Assumptions & Limitations
  • Abbreviations & Definitions
  • Conversion Factors
  • Data Sources

2. Market Synopsis

• Market Evolution
• Demand Overview
• Industry Structure
• Strategic Issues
• End-use Trends
• Growth Forecast

3. Economic & Energy Outlook

• GDP and Demographics
• Monetary & Fiscal Policies
• Crude Oil Production and prices
• Natural Gas
• Electricity Prices

4. End-use Sector Performance

• Packaging
• Automotive
• Construction
• Electrical & Electronics
• Consumer Appliances
• Others

5. Introduction to 1-Octene and Market Overview

• Product Description
• Grades & Properties
• Raw Material
• Manufacturing Process
• Environmental Issues
• Value Chain
• Applications

6. Market Dynamics and Industry Trends

• Market Dynamics
  • Drivers
  • Restraints
  • Opportunities
  • Challenges

7. Global 1-Octene Demand Analysis, By Application (Volume, Value) (2018-2034)

• Strategic Issues and COVID-19 Impact
• Demand Analysis and Forecast (2018- 2034)
  • Demand
  • Demand Growth Rate (%)
  • Driving Force Analysis
  • Global 1-Octene Market, By Application
• Polyethylene (HDPE & LLDPE)
• Plastomers
• Linear Alcohols (PVC, Plasticizers & Surfactants)
• Lubricants
• Others

8. Demand Analysis and Market Review, By Region, By Country (Volume, Value), (2018- 2034)

• Strategic Issues and COVID-19 Impact
• Demand Analysis and Forecast (2018 - 2034)
• Demand
• Demand Growth Rate (%)
• 1-Octene Market, By Application

Note: Demand Analysis has been provided for all major Regions / Countries as mentioned below. The demand (consumption) split by application has been provided for each of the countries / regions in Volume (Kilo tons) and Value (USD Million).

• North America
• USA
• Canada
• Mexico
• Western Europe
• Germany
• France
• Italy
• United Kingdom
• Spain
• Rest of Western Europe
• Central & Eastern Europe
• Russia
• Poland
• Rest of Central & Eastern Europe
• Asia-Pacific
• China
• Japan
• India
• South Korea
• Rest of Asia-Pacific
• Central & South America
• Middle East & Africa

Note: CAGR will be calculated for all the applications to arrive at the regional / global demand growth for the forecast period (2025 - 2034)

9. Pricing Analysis

10. Key Strategic Issues and Business Opportunity Assessment

• Market Attractiveness Assessment
• Prospective & Target Market Study

11. Strategic Recommendation & Suggestions

12. Company Analysis

• 1-Octene Manufacturers Profiles/ Company Analysis
  • Basic Details
  • Headquarter, Key Markets
  • Ownership
  • Company Financial
  • Manufacturing Bases
  • Global Turnover
  • Total Employee
  • Product Portfolio / Services / Solutions
  • Key Business Strategies adopted and Prismane Consulting Overview
  • Recent Developments
  • Companies Covered -
• Shell Chemicals
• Exxon Mobil Corporation
• Evonik Industries
• LG Chemicals
• Sasol Limited
• The Dow Chemical Company
• Silver Fern Chemical Inc.
• CDH Fine Chemicals
• Other Manufacturers

Note: This section includes company information, company financials, manufacturing bases and operating regions. Company financials have been mentioned only for those companies where financials were available in SEC Filings, annual reports, or company websites. All the reported financials in this report are in U.S. Dollars. Financials reported in other currencies have been converted using average currency conversion rates. Company profiles may include manufacturers, suppliers, and distributors.

13. Appendices

• Demand - Regions
• Demand - Countries