自动驾驶公车市场规模、份额及成长分析（按自动驾驶等级、公车类型、动力传动系统、电池类型、应用和地区）－2025-2032 年产业预测

2023 年自动驾驶公车市场规模为 21 亿美元，预计将从 2024 年的 24.9 亿美元成长到 2032 年的 98.2 亿美元，预测期间（2025-2032 年）的复合年增长率为 18.7%。

由于人工智慧的进步、感测器的改进以及连接性的增强，自动驾驶公车市场预计将经历显着增长。这些技术创新提高了安全性、可靠性和营运效率，使自动驾驶公车成为缓解交通拥堵、减少排放气体和解决城市交通挑战的有力解决方案。越来越多的公司被这些车辆带来的成本效益所吸引，刺激了物流和共乘等各个领域的创新。然而，安全问题和监管挑战以及部署此类系统所需的高昂前期成本仍然是广泛采用的障碍。随着技术的不断发展，市场可能会扩大，为寻求创新策略改善公共交通和城市基础设施的交通管理部门和机构提供机会。

目录

介绍

• 调查目的
• 研究范围
• 定义

调查方法

• 资讯采购
• 二次资料和一次资料方法
• 市场规模预测
• 市场假设与限制

执行摘要

• 全球市场展望
• 供需趋势分析
• 细分机会分析

市场动态与展望

• 市场概览
• 市场规模
• 市场动态
  • 驱动因素和机会
  • 限制与挑战
• 波特的分析

关键市场考察

• 关键成功因素
• 竞争程度
• 主要投资机会
• 市场生态系统
• 市场吸引力指数（2024年）
• PESTEL分析
• 总体经济指标
• 价值链分析
• 定价分析
• 监管格局
• 案例研究

自动驾驶公车市场规模（按自动驾驶水准和复合年增长率） (2025-2032)

• 市场概览
• 1级：驾驶员辅助
• 2级：部分自动化
• 第 3 级：条件自动化
• 4级：进阶自动化
• 5级：全自动

自动驾驶公车市场规模（依公车类型划分）及复合年增长率（2025-2032）

• 市场概览
• 全尺寸巴士
• 中型巴士
• 小巴
• 电动公车
• 氢燃料电池公车

自动驾驶公车市场规模（按动力传动系统和复合年增长率） (2025-2032)

• 市场概览
• 电
• 杂交种
• 内燃机（ICE）

自动驾驶公车市场规模（按电池类型和复合年增长率） (2025-2032)

• 市场概览
• 锂离子
• 固态
• 铅酸电池

自动驾驶公车市场规模（按应用划分）及复合年增长率（2025-2032）

• 市场概览
• 公共运输
• 员工交通
• 校园交通
• 第一/最后一哩交通
• 旅游休閒

自动驾驶巴士市场规模（按地区）及复合年增长率（2025-2032）

• 北美洲
  • 美国
  • 加拿大
• 欧洲
  • 德国
  • 西班牙
  • 法国
  • 英国
  • 义大利
  • 其他欧洲国家地区
• 亚太地区
  • 中国
  • 印度
  • 日本
  • 韩国
  • 其他亚太地区
• 拉丁美洲
  • 巴西
  • 其他拉丁美洲
• 中东和非洲
  • 海湾合作委员会国家
  • 南非
  • 其他中东和非洲地区

竞争资讯

• 前五大公司对比
• 主要企业市场定位（2024年）
• 主要市场参与者所采取的策略
• 近期市场趋势
• 公司市场占有率分析（2024年）
• 主要企业简介
  • 公司详情
  • 产品系列分析
  • 公司分部份额分析
  • 收益与前一年同期比较对比（2022-2024 年）

主要企业简介

• AB Volvo（Sweden）
• Mercedes-Benz Group AG（Germany）
• Aptiv PLC（Ireland）
• Continental AG（Germany）
• Denso Corporation（Japan）
• Baidu（China）
• Nuro, Inc.（USA）
• EasyMile（France）
• Hino Motors, Ltd.（Japan）
• Karsan Otomotiv Sanayi ve Ticaret AS（Turkey）
• LeddarTech（Canada）
• Milla Group（France）
• Navya（France）
• NFI Group（Canada）
• Proterra Inc.（USA）
• Robert Bosch GmbH（Germany）
• SoftBank Corp.（Japan）
• Toyota Motor Corporation（Japan）
• Transdev（France）

结论和建议

Autonomous Bus Market size was valued at USD 2.1 billion in 2023 and is poised to grow from USD 2.49 billion in 2024 to USD 9.82 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 18.7% during the forecast period (2025-2032).

The autonomous bus market is poised for significant growth, driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, improved sensors, and enhanced connectivity. These technological innovations enhance safety, reliability, and operational efficiency, making autonomous buses a compelling solution for reducing traffic congestion, lowering emissions, and addressing urban mobility challenges. Businesses are increasingly attracted to the cost-efficiency these vehicles offer, fostering innovation across various sectors, including logistics and ridesharing. However, safety concerns and regulatory challenges present hurdles to widespread adoption, along with the high initial costs associated with implementing these systems. As technology continues to evolve, the market will likely expand, providing opportunities for transportation authorities and agencies seeking innovative strategies to improve public transit and urban infrastructure.

Top-down and bottom-up approaches were used to estimate and validate the size of the Autonomous Bus market and to estimate the size of various other dependent submarkets. The research methodology used to estimate the market size includes the following details: The key players in the market were identified through secondary research, and their market shares in the respective regions were determined through primary and secondary research. This entire procedure includes the study of the annual and financial reports of the top market players and extensive interviews for key insights from industry leaders such as CEOs, VPs, directors, and marketing executives. All percentage shares split, and breakdowns were determined using secondary sources and verified through Primary sources. All possible parameters that affect the markets covered in this research study have been accounted for, viewed in extensive detail, verified through primary research, and analyzed to get the final quantitative and qualitative data.

Autonomous Bus Market Segments Analysis

Global Autonomous Bus Market is segmented by Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application and region. Based on Level of Autonomy, the market is segmented into Level 1: Driver Assistance, Level 2: Partial Automation, Level 3: Conditional Automation, Level 4: High Automation and Level 5: Full Automation. Based on Bus Type, the market is segmented into Full-Size Bus, Mid-Size Bus, Mini-Bus, Electric Bus and Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus. Based on Powertrain, the market is segmented into Electric, Hybrid and Internal Combustion Engine (ICE). Based on Battery Type, the market is segmented into Lithium-Ion, Solid-State and Lead-Acid. Based on Application, the market is segmented into Public Transportation, Employee Transportation, Campus Transportation, First-Mile/Last-Mile Transportation and Tourism and Leisure. Based on region, the market is segmented into North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America and Middle East & Africa.

Driver of the Autonomous Bus Market

A significant factor propelling the growth of the autonomous bus market is the widespread adoption of artificial intelligence, advanced algorithms, and sophisticated sensors. These technologies are crucial for ensuring the safety and efficiency of self-driving vehicles. The integration of machine learning and data analytics plays a pivotal role, enabling continuous performance enhancement of autonomous buses by leveraging real-time data and experiences. This technological advancement not only boosts operational safety but also improves reliability, making autonomous buses a more viable and appealing transportation solution for cities worldwide. As these innovations continue to evolve, they will further drive market expansion and acceptance.

Restraints in the Autonomous Bus Market

The Autonomous Bus market faces significant restraints primarily due to the high costs associated with acquiring and maintaining the technology. The intricate hardware required for these vehicles, such as advanced sensors and specialized software, remains prohibitively expensive for many potential users. Moreover, the ongoing expenses associated with system maintenance and necessary upgrades further exacerbate the financial burden, making investment in autonomous buses less appealing. As a result, the overall high costs involved could deter potential buyers, limiting the broader adoption and implementation of autonomous bus technology in the market.

Market Trends of the Autonomous Bus Market

The Autonomous Bus market is experiencing significant growth driven by the rise of Connected and Autonomous Mobility (CAM), which integrates cutting-edge technologies like 5G, edge computing, artificial intelligence, and IoT. This transformative approach aims to revolutionize passenger transport and goods logistics, offering enhanced efficiency, safety, and user experience. As cities seek sustainable transportation solutions to combat congestion and reduce carbon emissions, autonomous buses are being increasingly adopted. The demand for seamless, tech-enabled transit options is propelling investments in infrastructure and innovation, establishing CAM as a key driver behind the expansion of the autonomous bus sector, setting the stage for a future of smart urban mobility.

Table of Contents

Introduction

• Objectives of the Study
• Scope of the Report
• Definitions

Research Methodology

• Information Procurement
• Secondary & Primary Data Methods
• Market Size Estimation
• Market Assumptions & Limitations

Executive Summary

• Global Market Outlook
• Supply & Demand Trend Analysis
• Segmental Opportunity Analysis

Market Dynamics & Outlook

• Market Overview
• Market Size
• Market Dynamics
  • Drivers & Opportunities
  • Restraints & Challenges
• Porters Analysis
  • Competitive rivalry
  • Threat of substitute
  • Bargaining power of buyers
  • Threat of new entrants
  • Bargaining power of suppliers

Key Market Insights

• Key Success Factors
• Degree of Competition
• Top Investment Pockets
• Market Ecosystem
• Market Attractiveness Index, 2024
• PESTEL Analysis
• Macro-Economic Indicators
• Value Chain Analysis
• Pricing Analysis
• Regulatory Landscape
• Case Studies

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size by Level of Autonomy & CAGR (2025-2032)

• Market Overview
• Level 1: Driver Assistance
• Level 2: Partial Automation
• Level 3: Conditional Automation
• Level 4: High Automation
• Level 5: Full Automation

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size by Bus Type & CAGR (2025-2032)

• Market Overview
• Full-Size Bus
• Mid-Size Bus
• Mini-Bus
• Electric Bus
• Hydrogen Fuel Cell Bus

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size by Powertrain & CAGR (2025-2032)

• Market Overview
• Electric
• Hybrid
• Internal Combustion Engine (ICE)

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size by Battery Type & CAGR (2025-2032)

• Market Overview
• Lithium-Ion
• Solid-State
• Lead-Acid

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size by Application & CAGR (2025-2032)

• Market Overview
• Public Transportation
• Employee Transportation
• Campus Transportation
• First-Mile/Last-Mile Transportation
• Tourism and Leisure

Global Autonomous Bus Market Size & CAGR (2025-2032)

• North America (Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application)
  • US
  • Canada
• Europe (Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application)
  • Germany
  • Spain
  • France
  • UK
  • Italy
  • Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific (Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application)
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • Rest of Asia-Pacific
• Latin America (Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application)
  • Brazil
  • Rest of Latin America
• Middle East & Africa (Level of Autonomy, Bus Type, Powertrain, Battery Type, Application)
  • GCC Countries
  • South Africa
  • Rest of Middle East & Africa

Competitive Intelligence

• Top 5 Player Comparison
• Market Positioning of Key Players, 2024
• Strategies Adopted by Key Market Players
• Recent Developments in the Market
• Company Market Share Analysis, 2024
• Company Profiles of All Key Players
  • Company Details
  • Product Portfolio Analysis
  • Company's Segmental Share Analysis
  • Revenue Y-O-Y Comparison (2022-2024)

Key Company Profiles

• AB Volvo (Sweden)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Mercedes-Benz Group AG (Germany)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Aptiv PLC (Ireland)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Continental AG (Germany)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Denso Corporation (Japan)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Baidu (China)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Nuro, Inc. (USA)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• EasyMile (France)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Hino Motors, Ltd. (Japan)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Karsan Otomotiv Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (Turkey)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• LeddarTech (Canada)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Milla Group (France)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Navya (France)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• NFI Group (Canada)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Proterra Inc. (USA)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Robert Bosch GmbH (Germany)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• SoftBank Corp. (Japan)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Toyota Motor Corporation (Japan)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments
• Transdev (France)
  • Company Overview
  • Business Segment Overview
  • Financial Updates
  • Key Developments

Conclusion & Recommendations