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全球磷肥市场:到 2028 年的预测 - 按产品(磷酸二铵、三磷酸钙和其他产品)、作物类型、形态、分销渠道、应用和地区分析Phosphate Fertilizers Market Forecasts to 2028 - Global Analysis By Product (Diammonium Phosphate, Triple Superphosphate and Other Products), Crop Type, Form, Distribution Channel, Application and Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC,2022年全球磷肥市场规模将达到662.6亿美元,2028年将达到1033亿美元,预测期内復合年增长率为7.68%。
磷是植物生长的重要因素,因为它促进根系、种子和成熟植物的形成。 为了提高当地的磷含量,农民和园丁向土壤和植物中添加含磷酸盐的肥料。 几乎所有植物都需要磷来支持健康生长,但幼苗尤其容易受到低水平磷的影响。 现代农业绝对需要含磷无机肥料,以最大限度地提高牧草和粮食产量。 磷肥市场受到肉类消费增加和耕地不足的推动。
据美国农业部称,该国将在 2021 年扩大农田,种植 9400 万英亩玉米和 8500 万英亩大豆,并增加氮肥用量。 据世界银行统计,2018年美国可耕地面积(占土地面积的百分比)约为17.2%。
市场动态
驱动程序
可耕地有限
印度、中国和美国等多个国家的人均耕地面积下降是推动磷肥需求增长的主要驱动力之一。 含磷肥料有助于提高产量。 随着人均耕地面积减少和人口不断增长,需要增加农业产量以满足粮食生产需求。 作物保护是农民用来满足世界粮食需求的一项关键战略。 此外,在农作物上使用磷肥以满足日益增长的粮食需求是一项经过反复试验才实现的技术。 由于工业化和城市化进程加快,未来的农业扩张受到质疑。 鑑于对肉类和其他食品的需求增加,对磷肥的需求可能会增加。
法规
严格的法规和环境限制
由于缺乏指导磷矿供需的市场和自由贸易法规,全球磷肥市场的结构和运作正在不断演变。 为了管理和监督它,政府采用法规和国有企业战略。 为应对国际磷肥市场的重大变化,政府加大干预力度,磷矿市场和磷矿供应面临压力。 人们越来越意识到磷酸盐的低效利用和流失,尤其是随着城市化进程、磷的 P2O5 转化以及镉污染对人类健康和环境的不利影响,影响了磷肥市场。这只是问题的一小部分它给。
机会
人口增长和粮食需求增加
即使地球上的人口在增长,但为了养活更多人,对有效农产品和设备的需求也在不断增长。 世界耕地面积和农业生产面积都急剧减少,对磷复合肥(DAP/MAP和NPK)等优质肥料的需求日益增加。 未来,如果农业和灌溉技术的创新不断发展,喷灌和滴灌的使用范围扩大,预计将有助于磷肥市场的扩大。
威胁
价格变化
限制磷肥市场增长的因素包括价格波动和限制使用磷肥的政府法规。 能源成本波动是推动磷肥价格波动的主要因素。 此外,运输成本、汇率、政策选择等不可控因素也是显着影响化肥产品国际贸易的重要变量。 预计所有这些因素都将限制未来几年的市场扩张。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19 时代及以后的市场增长受到了影响。 市场正在扩大主要是由于对磷肥的需求增加,但其他因素,如难以获得必要的原材料,可能会抑制这种增长。 我们的研究专家研究了历史数据,以揭示 COVID-19 大流行对磷肥市场和主要市场驱动力的影响。 为了提高竞争优势,您可以通过对驱动因素的综合分析来确定您的最终目标并改进您的营销策略。
预计磷酸一铵 (MAP) 部分在预测期内将成为最大的部分
由于 MAP 价格低廉且含有大量磷,估计磷酸一铵 (MAP) 部分将实现有利可图的增长。 作为磷和氮的重要来源,磷酸一铵是最重要的磷肥。 历史上,MAP 一直用作颗粒肥料,在农业应用中取得了巨大成功。 由于它是水溶性的,所以直接使用或作为原料生产多种复合肥,如磷酸氮、磷酸钾等。
在预测期内,预计谷物和谷物行业的复合年增长率最高。
在预测期内,谷物和谷物行业预计将以最快的复合年增长率增长,因为谷物和谷物占所有农作物消费的大部分。 此外,五谷杂粮在世界上具有种植面积大的特点。 在谷物种植中使用肥料变得越来越普遍。 对磷肥的需求也受到全球谷物消费量增加的推动,如大米、小麦、黑麦、玉米、燕麦、高粱和大麦。 随着世界人口的增加,对粮食的需求不断增加,磷肥市场有望进一步扩大。
市场份额最高的地区
由于亚太地区依赖进口的国家对大米和蔬菜等食品的需求增加以及食品产量的快速增长,亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。 农业也是印度经济的基石,占国内生产总值的很大一部分。 印度生产的大部分农作物依次为小麦、大米、豆类、香料和香料製品。 印度是对农产品需求最旺盛的国家之一。 因此,预计市场需求在预测期内将会增加。
复合年增长率最高的地区
由于农业生产活跃,预计欧洲是预测期内復合年增长率最高的地区,其中德国排名第四,法国排名第六。 两国共同拥有欧盟近三分之一的农业用地。
主要发展
2022 年 5 月,化肥製造商 Coromandel International 将以 1960 万美元(约合 150 克朗)的价格收购总部位于非洲塞内加尔的磷酸盐矿业公司 Baobab Mining and Chemicals Corporation (BMCC) 45% 的股份。这是一个时间表.
2022 年 5 月,Indian Potash Ltd 与 Israel Chemical Ltd 签署了一份为期五年的合同,每年进口 0.6 至 65 万吨 Muryas Potash。
2022年2月,全球领先的化肥生产商之一欧洲化学集团(Eurochem or Group)宣布,近期完成了对巴西Cerra do Salitre磷酸盐项目的收购。
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According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Phosphate Fertilizers Market is accounted for $66.26 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach $103.30 billion by 2028 growing at a CAGR of 7.68% during the forecast period. Phosphorus is a crucial component for plant growth since it promotes the formation of roots, seeds, and mature plants. To increase the local phosphorus levels, farmers and gardeners add fertiliser with phosphates to the soil and plants. Although nearly all plants require phosphorus to support healthy growth, young plants are particularly sensitive to low levels. Inorganic fertilisers that contain phosphorus are completely necessary in modern farming to maximise the yield of forage and cereals. The market for phosphate fertilisers is driven by rising meat consumption and a shortage of arable land.
According to the US Department of Agriculture, the country expanded the farmlands to plant 94.0 million acres of corn and 85.0 million acres of soybeans, which resulted in greater consumption of nitrogenous fertilizers in 2021. According to the World Bank, arable land (percentage of land area) in the United States was around 17.2% of the total land in 2018.
Market Dynamics:
Driver:
Limited accessibility to cultivable land
The decrease in the amount of arable land per person in various countries, including India, China, the United States, and others, is one of the key drivers boosting demand for phosphorus fertilisers. Fertilizers with phosphorus contribute to higher output. In order to meet the need for food production, agricultural yields must increase because there is less arable land per person and more people. Crop protection is a crucial strategy used by farmers to supply the world's food requirement. Using phosphorus fertilisers on crops to meet the increased demand for food products is also a tried-and-true technology. Due to the growing industrial and urbanisation, future agricultural land expansion is doubtful. Given the increased demand for meat and other food products, there may be an increase in the need for phosphorus fertilisers.
Restraint:
Strict Regulations and Environmental Constraints
The structure and operation of the global phosphorus fertilisers market have been continuously evolving as a result of the absence of market and free trade regulations guiding the supply and demand of phosphate rock. To manage and oversee them, the government employs regulations and state-owned company strategies. The market and the supply of phosphate rock suffer as a result of increased government intervention in response to significant changes in the phosphorus fertilisers market internationally. Increasing awareness of inefficient phosphate usage and loss, particularly in light of urbanisation, the P2O5 grade of phosphorus, cadmium pollution due to its detrimental effects on human health and the environment, and these are just a few of the problems affecting the market for phosphate fertilisers.
Opportunity:
Increase in population and rising food demand
The demand for effective agricultural goods and equipment is rising in response to the world's expanding population in order to feed more people despite the planet's expanding population. The amount of arable land and agricultural production area in the world are both drastically decreasing, which has increased demand for high-quality fertilisers like phosphatic compound fertilisers (DAP/MAP or NPK). In the upcoming years, it is projected that rising agricultural and irrigation technology innovation as well as expanding sprinkler or drip irrigation use will contribute to the market expansion of phosphatic fertilisers.
Threat:
Price volatility
Some of the constraints limiting the growth of the phosphate fertilisers market include price volatility and government rules restricting the usage of phosphate-based fertilisers. The primary factor causing price volatility for these fertilisers is changing energy costs. Other important variables that have a significant impact on the international trade in fertiliser products include transportation costs, exchange rates, policy choices, and other uncontrolled factors. All of these elements are anticipated to limit market expansion in the upcoming years.
COVID-19 Impact
The market's growth during and after the COVID-19 era has suffered. The market is expanding primarily due to the rising demand for phosphate fertilisers, but other elements, such as difficulties in obtaining necessary raw materials, may restrain this growth. Our research experts have examined historical data to determine the COVID-19 pandemic's effect on the phosphate fertilisers market as well as the key market drivers. To achieve a competitive edge, end goals can be determined and marketing strategies can be improved with the aid of a comprehensive analysis of the drivers.
The monammonium phosphate (MAP) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The monammonium phosphate (MAP) segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to the fact that MAP is inexpensive and includes a sizable amount of phosphorus. Since it is an essential source of both phosphorus and nitrogen, MAP is the most significant phosphate fertiliser. Historically, it has been used as a granular fertiliser with great success in agricultural applications. It is used directly or as a raw ingredient to create a variety of complex fertilisers, including nitrogen phosphate and nitrogen phosphate potassium, because of its water solubility.
The cereals & grains segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The cereals & grains segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period, due to the fact that grains and cereals make up the majority of all consumed crops. Additionally, there is a significant global area under cultivation for grains and cereals. The use of fertiliser in the cultivation of grains and cereals has gained popularity. The demand for phosphate fertiliser in this market is also being driven by the rising consumption of cereals and grains including rice, wheat, rye, corn, oats, sorghum, and barley around the world. It is anticipated that an increasing worldwide population would raise food demand, which will further fuel market expansion for phosphate fertilisers.
Region with highest share:
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the rising demand for food items like rice and vegetables from import-dependent countries in the Asia Pacific region and the burgeoning food production. Additionally, the agriculture industry is the foundation of the Indian economy and accounts for a significant portion of its GDP. India produces the majority of its crops in the following order: wheat, rice, pulses, spices, and spice goods. India is one of the nations with the strongest demand for goods made from agricultural sources. As a result, it is predicted that demand for the market would increase over the projection period.
Region with highest CAGR:
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the region's agricultural production, which includes Germany as one of the fourth greatest producers and France as the sixth largest producer. Nearly one-third of the agricultural land in the European Union is owned by these two nations collectively.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Phosphate Fertilizers Market include Euro chem, Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Inc., Agrium Inc., Israel Chemicals Limited, The Mosaic Co., Coromandel International Ltd., Hubei Xingfa Chemicals Group Co. Ltd., Jordan Phosphate Mines Co.PLC, Nutrien Ltd., OCP SA, Mosaic Co., PhosAgro AG., Yara International ASA, CF Industries Holdings Inc., PJSC PhosAgro, RAWAG, Inttraders and Shams Chemicals Co.
Key Developments:
In May 2022, Coromandel International, a fertilizer manufacturer, plans to buy a 45% stake in Baobab Mining and Chemicals Corporation (BMCC), a rock phosphate mining firm based in Senegal Africa, for $19.6 million (approximately $150 crore).
In May 2022, Indian Potash Ltd signed a five-year agreement with Israel Chemical Ltd to import 0.6-0.65 million tonnes of potash muriate annually.
In February 2022, EuroChem Group (hereafter referred to as "EuroChem" or "the Group"), a leading global producer of fertilizer, recently announced that it had completed the acquisition of the Serra do Salitre phosphate project in Brazil.
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Crop Types Covered:
Forms Covered:
Distribution Channels Covered:
Applications Covered:
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Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.