市场调查报告书
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1324231
2030 年轨道运输和太空旅游市场预测 - 按车辆类型、用途、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Sub-Orbital Transportation and Space Tourism Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type, Application, End User and By Geography |
据Stratistics MRC预测,2023年全球轨道交通和太空旅游市场规模将达7.2858亿美元,预测期内年复合成长率为19.3%,预计到2030年将达到25.0589亿美元。
亚轨道飞行涉及不到达地球轨道的短途旅行,但可以让乘客体验失重并见证地球的曲率。随着私人太空公司的出现,对于寻求太空旅游的个人来说,太空旅行的刺激正在成为现实。这些公司开发可重复使用的火箭和航天飞机,以在亚轨道飞行中运送小群付费乘客。
据瑞银估计,到 2030 年,仅太空旅游市场的价值就可能达到 30 亿美元。
据预测,在多云的天空期间,太空旅游将变得更加重要和受欢迎。太空旅游让普通大众可以安排太空旅游,只是为了休閒。维珍银河和蓝色起源等公司正在拓展太空旅游的疆域。更多市场参与企业参与的项目,如Space Adventures的绕月飞行“DSE Alpha”项目,也有望刺激市场扩张。
由于太空旅游的最新发展以及各大航太之间的激烈竞争,太空旅游的成本很高。预计这一要素将成为全球轨道交通和太空旅游市场的主要限制要素。例如,维珍银河出售的太空旅游初始票价在20万美元至25万美元之间,预计未来还会增加。
亿万富翁正在花费数百万美元来开发和测试可用于太空旅游的太空船。太空旅游和亚轨道旅游市场将进一步受益于此。例如,蓝色起源公司刚刚完成了新谢泼德号 (NS-17) 的第二次飞行,该飞行器搭载了美国宇航局的月球着陆器。作为火箭和太空舱系统,New Shepard 是完全独立的,不需要内部手动控制。在不久的将来,这些进步可能会为太空旅游开闢新的选择并刺激行业扩张。
太空旅游航班延误是轨道交通和太空旅游市场的主要威胁。由于商业航天业的目标是让个人能够进行太空旅游,推迟太空旅游飞行可能会产生一些负面后果。首先,延误会削弱客户的信心和热情,导致对太空旅游体验的需求下降。由于太空旅游时间的不确定性,潜在客户可能会失去兴趣或选择其他体验。
COVID-19 大流行的意外出现极大地扰乱了几乎所有行业,轨道交通和太空旅游领域也不例外。停工扰乱了药品和疫苗以外的其他领域的发展,并对世界各地的亚轨道运输和太空旅游产业产生了毁灭性影响。为了保护宇航员的安全,卫星发射活动和测试也被暂停,阻碍了市场扩张。
由于市场上运营的公司不断努力开发更便宜的太空旅游解决方案,太空旅游市场占据了最大的份额。太空旅游预计将在政府拥有的太空船(包括俄罗斯联盟号和国际太空站(ISS))或其他私营公司拥有的太空船上进行。由于世界上第一位太空旅游、美国商人的旅程,太空旅游重新流行起来。
在预测期内,由于越来越多的公司强调通过高空气球将客户运送到平流层,预计高空气球领域的年复合成长率最高。例如,太空视角致力于将付费客户送到太空边缘,在那里他们可以获得地球曲率的罕见景观。顾客可以乘坐名为“海王星”的球形白色太空舱进入平流层。太空舱类似于一个旋转的陀螺,有一个大玻璃窗,据说可以提供更好的视野。推进剂将是一个充满氢气的大型半透明气球。
预计在预测期内,北美区域市场将占全球轨道交通和太空旅游市场的最高份额。在这一领域,大公司成功的演示实验和火箭发射的数量正在不断增加,为这些公司和其他希望进入该领域的公司创造了新的、有利的和巨大的潜力,一个隐藏的视角正在出现。此外,此类试验的成功表明这些系统是可行的,可以帮助公司营销其产品。预计西德克萨斯发射场和美国航天发射场等实现亚轨道航天的航天发射场将增加轨道交通和太空旅游,推动北美市场的扩张。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将呈现最高增长率。这是因为公司越来越多地为游客提供太空乘车服务。 CAS Space 是中国科学院 (CAS) 的一家商业子公司,致力于开髮用于商业卫星发射的火箭,并宣布打算将人类送入太空。 CAS Space 正在开发一种单级可重复使用火箭,最多可搭载 7 名乘客,在 62 英里的卡门线(地球大气层与外太空之间的边界)上空飞行 10 分钟。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Sub-Orbital Transportation and Space Tourism Market is accounted for $728.58 million in 2023 and is expected to reach $2505.89 million by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 19.3% during the forecast period. Sub-orbital flights involve brief journeys that do not reach Earth's orbit but still allow passengers to experience weightlessness and witness the curvature of the planet. With the advent of private space companies, it has become a reality for private individuals who seek the thrill of space travel. These companies have developed reusable rockets and spaceplanes that can carry a small number of paying passengers on sub-orbital flights.
According to UBS, the space tourism market alone could be worth $3bn by 2030.
During the overcast period, it is predicted that space tourism would become more significant and well-liked. Space tourism will enable the general public to arrange a trip to space just for leisure. The frontier of space tourism is being expanded by companies like Virgin Galactic and Blue Origin. Projects involving additional market participants, including Space Adventures' "DSE Alpha" project for a circumlunar voyage to the Moon, are also anticipated to spur market expansion.
The cost of space tourism will be high as a result of recent developments in space tourism and stiff competition among leading aerospace companies. This factor is expected to emerge as a leading restrictive factor for the global sub-orbital transportation and space tourism market. For instance, initial ticket costs for space tourism sold by Virgin Galactic are in the range of USD 200,000 to USD 250,000 and are only expected to increase in the future.
The billionaires are spending a lot of money developing and testing spaceships that can be used for space tourism. The markets for space tourism and suborbital travel will benefit even more from this. As an illustration, Blue Origin just flew "New Shepard," or NS-17, which carried NASA's lunar landing hardware for its second trip. The New Shepard, a rocket-and-capsule system, is entirely self-contained and does not require manual control from the inside. In the near future, such advances are likely to open up new options for space tourism, spurring industry expansion.
The delay in space tourism flights poses a significant threat in the sub orbital transportation and space tourism market. As the commercial space industry aims to make space travel accessible to private individuals, postponements in space tourism flights can lead to several negative consequences. First and foremost, delays can erode customer confidence and enthusiasm, potentially leading to a decline in demand for space tourism experiences. Potential customers may lose interest or opt for alternative experiences due to uncertainty surrounding the timing of their space journey.
The COVID-19 pandemic's unexpected emergence severely disrupted practically every industry, and the suborbital travel and space tourism sectors are no exception. The shutdown prevented the development of anything besides drugs and vaccinations, which had a devastating impact on the sub-orbital transportation and space tourism industries worldwide. To protect the safety of the crew, the satellite launch activities and tests were also put on hold, which hindered the market's expansion.
The space tourism segment held the largest share in the market owing to the increasing initiatives by companies operating in the market for development of more affordable solutions for space travel. Space tourism is expected to take place either on established government-owned spacecraft, including the Russian Soyuz, as well as the International Space Station (ISS) or other private-company-owned vehicles. Space tourism has gained new popularity after journey of the world's first space traveler, who was an American businessman.
During the projection period, the high-altitude balloon segment is expected to have the greatest CAGR due to businesses' growing emphasis on transporting clients in high-altitude balloons to the stratosphere. For instance, Space Perspective is focusing on sending paying customers to the edge of space, where they may get a rare view of the Earth's curvature. Customers will be able to travel to the stratosphere in a spherical white capsule named Neptune, which resembles a spinning top and has big glass windows that would provide a better view. The propellant will be a large, hydrogen-filled, translucent balloon.
The North America region market is estimated to witness the highest share of the global Sub-Orbital Transportation and Space Tourism market during the forecast period. A growing number of successful demonstrations and rocket launches by large corporations in this sector have created new, lucrative, and high-potential prospects for both those companies and other companies looking to enter the field. Additionally, these successful testing have shown that these systems are feasible and can help businesses market their own products. The space ports that enable sub-orbital spaceflights, like the West Texas Launch Site and the Spaceport America Launch Site, are anticipated to increase sub-orbital transportation and space tourism operations and propel the expansion of the North American market.
The Asia Pacific region is expected to have the highest growth rate over the forecast period. Due to increasing initiatives by companies to offer tourists rides to space. CAS Space, which is a business spinoff of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), has been developing rockets for commercial satellite launches and declared its intention to take humans into space. CAS Space is developing a single-stage reusable rocket capable of carrying up to seven passengers for a 10-minute flight above the Karman line at 62 miles, which is recognized as the boundary of Earth's atmosphere and outer space.
Some of the key players in Sub-Orbital Transportation and Space Tourism market include Aerostar International, Inc., Blue Origin , Equatorial Space Systems Pte Ltd., Exos Aerospace Systems & Technologies, Inc., Near Space Corporation, Orbspace, PD AeroSpace, Raven Aerostar, Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX), Space Perspective Inc., Swedish Space Corporation, UP Aerospace Inc., Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc., World View Enterprises, Zero 2 Infinity S.L and Zero Gravity Corporation.
In January 2022, Chinese firm Space Transportation announced to have raised more than USD 46.3 million for its hypersonic space plane plans in a new fundraising round. The funding will be used to develop commercial suborbital and hypersonic vehicles.
In August 2021, Virgin Orbit confirmed plans to become a public company by merging with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). The combined company is valued at $3.2 billion, and Virgin Orbit will receive $483 million in cash at close, including a $100 million PIPE.
In April 2021, Florida-based space balloon company Space Perspective , which is a business that plans to offer tourists stratospheric balloon flights, officially opened ticket sales just days after its first test flight