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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1339916
到 2030 年柴油发动机市场预测 - 按转速、额定功率、操作、用途、最终用户和地区进行全球分析Diesel Engine Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Speed (High (1200-1800 rpm, Above 1800 rpm), Medium (720-1200 rpm) and Low (Up to 720 rpm)), Power Rating, Operation, Application, End User and By Geography |
据Stratistics MRC预测,2023年全球柴油发动机市场规模将达到639亿美元,预计到2030年将达到981亿美元,预测期内年复合成长率为6.3%。
柴油机,即内燃机,通过压缩圆柱形容器内的空气并点燃燃料,将化学能转化为机械能。大型船舶、火车头、货车均由这种能源提供动力来源。柴油发动机由于其高运行性能和燃油效率而越来越受到最终用户的欢迎。柴油发动机具有高度适应性和多功能性,因为它们旨在满足从小型发电机到大型船舶的各种动力和性能需求。柴油发动机因其多功能性而成为各种用途的流行选择。
根据EIA《2019年国际能源展望》,预计到2040年全球能源需求每年将增长2.11%。据《世界能源展望》报导,撒哈拉以南非洲地区电气化率为35%,但只有19%的农村地区用上了电,导致5.5亿人用不上电。
汽车工业的扩张是推动市场增长的主要要素之一。柴油发动机的需求量很大,因为它们比汽油发动机具有许多优势,包括更好的燃油经济性、更少的污染物和更高的功率输出。随着汽车需求的增加,柴油发动机的需求也会增加。这一增长是由多种变量推动的,包括经济发展、都市化的加快以及消费者对个人交通偏好的增加。
替代发电和存储技术包括 SOFC 电池、太阳能、可再生能源、电池和燃料电池,并在许多发达国家得到应用。此外,太阳能和风能等可再生能源的增长正在压低每单位能源生产的价格。与可再生能源相比,柴油发电的成本高出两到三倍。因此,这个要素阻碍了市场的扩张。
通过混合发电,可以将所需的电力发送到离网或偏远地区,例如电报塔、偏远工业场地、小村庄和岛屿。大多数离网地区位于电力供应不广泛的开发中国家。这些偏远地区的能源需求通过将柴油发电机与可再生能源相结合的混合发电系统来满足。因此,这已成为推动市场扩张的主要因素。
柴油比汽油和其他替代燃料更昂贵,因此特别不适合长期活动。预防性维护需要对润滑、冷却、注油、启动电池和燃油滤清器进行定期维护和加油。这些成本高于可再生技术的营业成本,并增加了柴油发动机的总体运营和维修成本。急剧上升的燃油价格以及柴油发动机的运营和维护成本要素了该领域的增长。
柴油发动机销售受到 COVID-19 爆发的负面影响。这场大流行造成了供应链崩坏,主要是由于航运业的中断,影响了从柴油发动机的生产到交付柴油发动机所需的运输的各个方面。商业和工业基础设施的发展以及对电力自给自足的需求正在扩大并推动柴油发动机市场。
预计备用市场在预测期内将是最大的市场。应急电源通常由备用柴油机提供。在电网停电时,消费者可以暂时依靠柴油发电机来满足需求。由于柴油发电机启动速度快、启动成本低以及缺乏重要的商业性可行的替代品等特性,备用柴油发动机是其他类型中最受欢迎的选择。
由于最终用户对稳定可靠的电力供应的需求不断增加,预计工业领域在预测期内将出现最高的年复合成长率。柴油发电最适合作为工业部门的备用电源。一般来说,工业部门的商业运营消耗大量电力。柴油发电发动机提供更好的可靠性并提高供电质量。
由于基础设施发展和电力需求不断增长,预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。生活水准的提高、都市化和人口增长是促进该地区市场扩张的要素。由于用电力消耗量大幅增加,电力基础设施薄弱的发展中国家预计难以保证稳定的电力供应。
预计欧洲在预测期内将保持最高的年复合成长率。市场增长预计将进一步受到建筑、汽车、电力和天然气等各个应用领域渗透率不断上升的影响。此外,随着世界各国政府制定减少柴油发动机排放气体的法规,世界各地的製造商都在尝试开发柴油发动机。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Diesel Engine Market is accounted for $63.9 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $98.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 6.3% during the forecast period. An internal combustion engine, the diesel engine compresses the air inside a cylindrical vessel to ignite the fuel, transforming chemical energy into mechanical energy. Large ships, locomotives and goods trucks are all powered by this energy source. Diesel engines are increasingly favoured by end users due to their higher operational performance and fuel efficiency. Diesel engines may be constructed to satisfy a variety of power and performance needs, from small generators to massive marine vessels, making them adaptable and versatile as well. They are a popular option for a variety of applications because of their versatility.
According to the EIA's International Energy Outlook 2019, global energy demand is anticipated to rise by 2.11% annually until 2040. According to World Energy Outlook, in Sub-Saharan Africa, the electrification rate is 35%, but only 19% of the rural areas are electrified, leaving 550 million people without access to electricity.
The expansion of the automobile industry is one of the primary drivers driving market growth. Diesel engines are in high demand because they have various benefits over petrol engines, including better fuel efficiency, reduced pollutants, and higher power output. As the demand for automobiles rises, so does the demand for diesel engines. This increase has been fueled by a variety of variables, including as economic development, expanding urbanisation, and rising consumer preference for personal transportation.
Alternative power generating and storage technologies include SOFC cells, solar PVs, renewable energy, batteries, and fuel cells in many industrialised countries. Additionally, the growth of renewable energy sources like solar and wind has reduced the price of energy production per unit. Compared to renewable energy sources, the cost of producing diesel power is two to three times higher. Consequently, this factor is impeding market expansion.
The required electricity can be sent to off-the-grid or remote locations, such as telecom towers, remote industrial sites, tiny settlements, islands, and more via hybrid power generation. The majority of the off-grid areas are found in developing countries where electricity is not commonplace. Such remote locations' energy requirements are met by hybrid power systems that combine diesel generators and renewable energy sources. As a result, this is the main element driving the market's expansion.
Diesel fuel is more expensive than substitutes like petrol and other fuels, especially for longer-duration activities. Regular servicing and refuelling of the lubrication, cooling, fueling, starting batteries, and fuel filters are necessary for preventive maintenance. These expenses are greater than the operating costs of renewable technologies and add up to the overall operating and maintenance costs of diesel engines. High fuel prices as well as the operating and maintenance expenses of diesel engines are the factors hampering the segment growth.
Diesel engine sales were negatively impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak. Due to disruptions mostly in the shipping industry, the pandemic caused the supply chain to break down, affecting everything from the production of diesel engines to the transportation required for their delivery. The developments of commercial and industrial infrastructures as well as the requirement for dependable electricity are driving the market for diesel power engines in terms of market expansion.
The standby segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period. Emergency power supplies are typically provided by standby diesel engines. The consumer can temporarily rely on diesel-powered generators to meet demand in the case of a grid outage. Standby diesel engines are the most preferable option among the other types due to their qualities, including quick starting, low starting costs for generators powered by diesel engines, and the lack of significant commercially viable alternatives.
The industrial segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period, due to growing demand for constant and reliable power supply from these end-users. Diesel power generation is most appropriate as a standby source for the industrial sector. Generally, the industrial sector consumes more power for its business operations. A diesel power engine offers better reliability and enhances the quality of the power supply.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period, owing to increasing infrastructural developments and electricity demand. The rising level of life, urbanisation, and expanding population are all factors contributing to the market's expansion in the area. Due to their massive increase in power consumption, developing countries with weak power infrastructure are expected to have a difficult time ensuring a steady supply of electricity.
Europe is projected to hold the highest CAGR over the forecast period. The market growth is anticipated to be further impacted by rising penetration across a variety of application sectors, such as construction, cars, electricity & gas, etc. Additionally, governments all over the world have put restrictions in place to reduce the emissions from diesel engines, which has prompted manufacturers to experiment with the development of diesel engines.
Some of the key players in Diesel Engine market include: Hyundai Heavy Industries Co. Ltd, Cummins Inc., Doosan Corp., Kohler Co, Deere & Company, Caterpillar Inc., Man SE, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd, Wartsila Oyj Abp, Ford Motor Company, Rolls-Royce Holding PLC, General Motors Company, Delphi Automotive System Private Limited, AGCO Corporation, Continental AG, Yanmar Co., Ltd. and Kubota Corporation.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.