市场调查报告书
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2030 年区域供冷市场预测:按来源、生产技术、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析District Cooling Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Source, Production Technique, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2023 年全球区域供冷市场规模为 10.34 亿美元,预计到 2030 年将达到 14.94 亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为 5.4%。
区域冷却是一种集中供冷系统,为特定地区或区域内的多个建筑物和设施提供空调和冷冻服务。区域冷却具有多种优势,包括能源效率、较低的环境影响以及较低的单一建筑物的维护成本。
根据美国海洋暨大气总署 (NOAA) 的数据,过去 100 年来全球平均气温上升了约 1.4°F (0.8 度C)。
能源效率
区域冷却系统集中生产冷冻水,与分散冷却方法相比可以优化能源消耗。此外,由于区域冷却是集中式的,因此可以采用高效能冷却器和蓄热系统等先进技术,有助于降低消费量和营业成本。因此,能源效率已成为市场扩张的关键驱动力。
初始投资高
实施区域供冷系统需要在基础设施、集中供冷设备和电网的建设和安装方面进行大量初始投资。这些成本根据计划的规模和复杂性以及当地的人事费用和材料成本而有所不同。但这些成本阻碍了开发商和业主的发展,尤其是在财政资源和预算有限的地区,并抑制了市场需求。
都市化和基础设施发展
以城市发展和人口密度不断增加为特征的快速都市化导致对冷却解决方案的需求急剧增加,特别是在人口稠密的地区。此外,现代化规划城市基础设施的发展为整合集中冷却解决方案创造了机会。因此,都市化和基础设施发展是采用区域供冷系统的主要驱动力。
季节性变化
在室外温度较低或冷却需求减少期间,区域冷却系统可能会以低于最佳容量的速度运行,导致效率低下并增加营业成本。这种波动可能导致非高峰期间基础设施的利用不足,进而影响区域供冷计划的整体经济效益。此外,季节性波动可能需要对热能能源储存解决方案进行大量投资,以储存多余的冷却能力并确保在需求低迷期间稳定可靠的供应。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19 大流行对区域冷却市场产生了重大影响。与这种病毒相关的健康和安全问题促使优先事项发生转变,将注意力和资源从非必要计划(包括区域倡议措施)上转移开。此外,供应链中断和劳动力短缺进一步阻碍了建筑和维护活动,推迟了计划,并影响了大流行期间的整体市场动态。
天然气产业预计将在预测期内成为最大的产业
预计天然气产业将占据最大份额。天然气作为冷冻水生产的初级能源发挥重要作用。该过程非常高效,有助于提高区域冷却系统的整体能源效率。此外,天然气燃气涡轮机固有的弹性使其能够快速响应不断变化的冷却需求,有助于提高整体系统的稳定性和效率。
预计电动式冷冻产业在预测期内复合年增长率最高
预计电动式冷冻领域在预测期内将出现良好成长。电动式冷冻是基本部件,在空调和冷冻用冷冻水的生产中发挥至关重要的作用。此外,随着对冷却解决方案的需求不断增加,电动式冷冻仍然是可靠且必不可少的组件,增加了对高效冷却的需求,并减少了都市区和工业环境中的能源消耗和环境影响,平衡考虑以促进市场需求。
由于都市化不断加快、人口增长以及对节能和永续冷却解决方案的需求不断增长,亚太地区在预测期内占据了最大的市场占有率。该地区的主要城市越来越多地采用区域供冷作为应对高密度城市发展相关挑战的策略方法。此外,该地区的热带和亚热带气候以高温高湿度为特征,增加了对有效冷却解决方案的需求。
由于重视永续城市发展和对高效冷却解决方案的需求不断增加,预计北美在预测期内将实现盈利成长。该地区气候多样,从北部寒冷的气温到南部炎热潮湿的地区,凸显了自适应冷却解决方案的重要性。区域供冷凭藉其集中式工厂和灵活的技术,提供了应对气候变迁的有效手段。随着都市化的加速和对永续性的日益关注,北美仍然是区域供冷系统发展和成长的重要地区。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global District Cooling Market is accounted for $1034 million in 2023 and is expected to reach $1494 million by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 5.4% during the forecast period. District cooling is a centralized cooling system that provides air conditioning and refrigeration services to multiple buildings or facilities within a specific geographic area or district. District cooling offers several advantages, including energy efficiency, reduced environmental impact, and lower maintenance costs for individual buildings.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the average global temperature has increased by around 1.4° F (0.8° C) in the last 100 years.
Energy efficiency
District cooling systems centralize the production of chilled water, allowing for optimized energy consumption compared to decentralized cooling methods. Moreover, the centralized nature of district cooling enables the use of advanced technologies, such as high-efficiency chillers and thermal storage systems, contributing to reduced energy consumption and operating costs. Therefore, energy efficiency is a significant factor propelling market expansion.
High initial investment
Implementing a district cooling system requires substantial upfront capital for infrastructure development, construction, and installation of centralized cooling plants and distribution networks. These costs can vary depending on the size and complexity of the project, as well as the local labor and material costs. However, these costs can be a deterrent for developers and building owners, particularly in regions with limited financial resources or budget constraints, which hampers market demand.
Urbanization and infrastructure development
Rapid urbanization, characterized by the growth of cities and increased population density, has led to a surge in the demand for cooling solutions, especially in densely populated areas. Additionally, the establishment of modern, well-planned urban infrastructure provides opportunities for integrating centralized cooling solutions. Therefore, urbanization and infrastructure development act as key drivers for the adoption of district cooling systems.
Seasonal variations
In periods of low ambient temperatures or reduced cooling needs, district cooling systems may operate at suboptimal capacities, leading to inefficiencies and increased operational costs. These variations can result in underutilization of infrastructure during off-peak seasons, impacting the overall economic viability of district cooling projects. Additionally, seasonal variations may require significant investment in thermal energy storage solutions to store excess cooling capacity during periods of low demand, ensuring a consistent and reliable supply.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted the district cooling market. The health and safety concerns associated with the virus prompted a shift in priorities, diverting attention and resources away from non-essential projects, including district cooling initiatives. Moreover, supply chain disruptions and labor shortages further hampered construction and maintenance activities, delaying projects and affecting overall market dynamics during the pandemic.
The natural gas segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The natural gas segment is estimated to hold the largest share. Natural gas plays a significant role as a primary energy source for the production of chilled water. This process is highly efficient and contributes to the overall energy efficiency of district cooling systems. Additionally, the inherent flexibility of natural gas turbines allows for quick response to varying cooling demands, contributing to the stability and efficiency of the overall system.
The electric chillers segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The electric chillers segment is anticipated to have lucrative growth during the forecast period. Electric chillers are a fundamental component playing a pivotal role in the production of chilled water for air conditioning and refrigeration purposes. Moreover, as the demand for cooling solutions continues to rise, electric chillers remain a reliable and integral component, balancing the need for efficient cooling with considerations for energy consumption and environmental impact in urban and industrial settings, which propels the market demand.
Asia Pacific commanded the largest market share during the extrapolated period owing to increasing urbanization, population growth, and a rising demand for energy-efficient and sustainable cooling solutions. In major cities across the region, the adoption of district cooling has gained prominence as a strategic approach to address the challenges associated with high-density urban development. Furthermore, the region's tropical and subtropical climates, characterized by high temperatures and humidity, amplify the need for effective cooling solutions.
North America is expected to witness profitable growth over the projection period, owing to growing emphasis on sustainable urban development and a need for efficient cooling solutions. The region's diverse climate, ranging from extreme cold in northern areas to hot and humid conditions in the south underscores the importance of adaptable cooling solutions. District cooling, with its centralized plants and flexible technologies, offers an effective means to address these climate variations. As urbanization continues and the focus on sustainability intensifies, North America remains a key region for the development and growth of district cooling systems.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the District Cooling Market include Siemens AG, Emirates Central Cooling Systems Corporation, Keppel DHCS. Pte. Ltd., ADC Energy Systems, Emirates District Cooling LLC, Ramboll Group A/S, Stellar Energy, Shinryo Corporation, Dalkia, ABB Ltd., ADC Energy Systems and Veolia.
In August 2023, Stella Energy Solutions, a utility-scale solar and storage developer, has entered into a multi-year agreement with Empact Technologies, which provides software and services for clean energy tax incentive management.
In April 2023, Veolia Water Technologies & Solutions and Locus Performance Ingredients (Locus PI) announced their exclusive collaboration that will focus on developing new biobased solutions tailored to address process, water and wastewater sustainability and performance challenges.