市场调查报告书
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1438058
2030 年超高温灭菌牛奶市场预测:按产品类型、来源、型态、分销管道和地区进行的全球分析UHT Milk Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product Type (Skimmed UHT Milk, Semi-Skimmed UHT Milk and Full-Cream UHT Milk), Source (Animal-based Milk and Plant-based Milk), Form, Distribution Channel and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2023 年全球 UHT 牛奶市场规模为 690 亿美元,预计在预测期内将以 8.0% 的复合年增长率增长,到 2030 年达到 1,180 亿美元。
超高温(UHT) 巴斯德消毒奶是指短暂暴露在极高温下的巴氏杀菌奶,可杀死原料乳中可能存在的任何不必要的有害细菌,而不会影响其营养成分。经过巴氏杀菌后,牛奶变得更轻,所需的加工时间更少,因此食用起来极为安全。它含有多种营养成分,包括蛋白质、钙、碳水化合物、锌、钾、镁、磷、核黄素、维生素A、维生素B12。它在常温下的保质期比鲜牛奶更长。
根据 2022 年 ProCon.Org资料,加拿大 59% 的人口患有乳糖不耐症,美国36%。
延长有效期限
延长 UHT 牛奶的保存期限是增加 UHT 牛奶市场占有率的关键因素。 UHT 加工方法将牛奶在短时间内加热到很高的温度,有效地对其进行巴氏杀菌并去除有害细菌。这个过程使超高温灭菌牛奶的保质期比传统巴氏杀菌牛奶显着延长。由于没有细菌,牛奶保持微生物稳定,减缓腐败并延长保质期。
价格敏感度
UHT製程需要专门的设备和封装技术,使得製造成本略高。这种成本通常会转嫁给消费者,使得超高温灭菌牛奶成为商店上相对昂贵的产品。价格敏感性源于这样一个事实:消费者的购买力有限,更有可能选择价格较低的替代品。这可能会阻碍超高温灭菌牛奶市场的普及和成长。
产品安全卫生
产品安全和卫生是 UHT(超高温)牛奶市场的关键驱动力,在消费者信心和市场成长方面发挥着至关重要的作用。消费者对食品安全和卫生的意识日益增强,他们被超高温灭菌牛奶可降低细菌污染风险的独特特性所吸引。 UHT 牛奶的密封性进一步提高了产品安全性,并防止外部污染物影响牛奶品质。
包装问题
这些包装材料(包括塑胶、铝和纸的组合)的复杂性可能会阻碍市场的成长,因为消费者越来越永续性永续性。然而,环保意识的增强促使消费者寻求环保的替代品,迫使食品和饮料产业采用更永续的包装解决方案。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19的出现导致UHT牛奶产业出现重大供应链中断、需求波动、生产停顿和原料短缺。酪农产业正面临前所未有的挑战,由于需求和供应问题低迷,牛奶产量不可能完全减少。此外,原料供应和乳製品生产同时受到干扰。
脱脂超高温灭菌奶产业预计将在预测期内成为最大的产业
由于保质期长和便利性高,脱脂超高温奶行业估计占据最大的市场份额。在 UHT 脱脂奶的生产中,大部分脂肪在 UHT 加工之前透过分离过程去除。结果是脂肪含量显着降低的乳製品,受到注重健康、寻求清淡、低脂肪选择的消费者的青睐。此外,随着饮食意识的不断提高和对健康食品选择的重视,超高温灭菌牛奶的市场正在扩大。
预计粉体产业在预测期内复合年增长率最高
预计粉末产业在预测期内将出现良好的成长。粉末状灭菌奶粉具有多种优点,包括延长保质期、易于储存以及由于重量轻和体积小而降低运输成本。此外,粉末状灭菌奶粉的便利性扩大了其在各个行业的应用,包括食品和饮料行业,它是復原奶、烘焙产品和糖果零食生产中的关键成分。
由于保质期更长和消费者生活方式的改变,欧洲在估计期间占据了最大的市场占有率。凭藉成熟的乳製品行业和先进的加工技术,欧洲消费者将超高温灭菌牛奶视为可靠且方便的乳製品来源,不需要立即冷藏。此外,超高温灭菌牛奶易于携带,非常适合旅行和户外活动。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将实现盈利成长。该地区人口的多元化和不断增长,加上快速的都市化和不断变化的消费者生活方式,促进了对方便且持久的乳製品的强劲需求,使超高温灭菌牛奶成为首选。此外,中阶的不断壮大、可支配收入的增加以及对超高温灭菌牛奶安全意识的增强正在进一步推动市场扩张。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global UHT Milk Market is accounted for $69 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $118 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.0% during the forecast period. Ultra-high temperature (UHT) milk is pasteurized milk that is exposed to ultra-heat for a short time to kill any unwanted and harmful bacteria that may be present in raw milk without losing any of its nutritional content. After pasteurization, it becomes lighter and requires less processing time, making it extremely safe to consume. It provides various nutrients, such as protein, calcium, carbohydrates, zinc, potassium, magnesium, phosphorous, riboflavin, and vitamins A and B12. Compared with fresh milk, it has a longer shelf life at room temperature.
According to ProCon.Org data from 2022, Canada has 59% and the United States has 36% of the lactose-intolerant population.
Extended shelf life
The extended shelf life of UHT milk is a pivotal driver fueling its prominence in the market. The UHT processing method involves heating milk to ultra-high temperatures for a short duration, effectively sterilizing it and eliminating harmful bacteria. This process endows UHT milk with a significantly longer shelf life compared to traditional pasteurized milk. The absence of bacteria ensures that the milk remains microbiologically stable, delaying spoilage and extending its usability.
Price sensitivity
The UHT process involves specialized equipment and packaging technologies, contributing to a slightly elevated production cost. This cost is often transferred to consumers, making UHT milk relatively more expensive on store shelves. Price sensitivity arises from the fact that consumers have limited purchasing power and are more inclined to choose lower-priced alternatives. This can hinder the widespread adoption and growth of the UHT milk market.
Product safety and hygiene
Product safety and hygiene stand as crucial drivers in the UHT (Ultra High Temperature) milk market, playing a pivotal role in consumer trust and market growth. Consumers, increasingly conscious of food safety and hygiene, are drawn to UHT milk due to its inherent properties that reduce the risk of bacterial contamination. The hermetic sealing of UHT milk further enhances product safety, preventing external contaminants from compromising the quality of the milk.
Packaging concerns
The complexity of these packaging materials, including the combination of plastic, aluminum, and paper, may hinder the market's growth as consumers increasingly prioritize sustainability. However, environmental consciousness has led consumers to seek eco-friendly alternatives, pressuring the food and beverage industry to adopt more sustainable packaging solutions.
Covid-19 Impact
The emergence of COVID-19 has caused significant disruptions to the supply chain, variations in demand, production halts, and shortages of raw materials in the UHT milk industry. The dairy sector has been facing unprecedented challenges, and it was not possible to completely cut down milk production owing to low demand and supply issues. Moreover, there have been disruptions to both the raw material supply and the output of dairy products simultaneously.
The skimmed UHT milk segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The skimmed UHT milk segment is estimated to hold the largest share, due to the extended shelf life and convenience. The production of skimmed UHT milk involves removing the majority of the fat content through a separation process before subjecting it to the UHT treatment. This results in a dairy product with significantly reduced fat content, making it a preferred choice for health-conscious consumers seeking a lighter and leaner option. Moreover, as dietary consciousness continues to grow and with an increasing emphasis on healthier food choices, the market for UHT milk is expanding.
The powder segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The powder segment is anticipated to have lucrative growth during the forecast period. The powder form of UHT milk offers several advantages, including extended shelf life, ease of storage, and reduced transportation costs due to its lower weight and volume. Additionally, the convenience of UHT milk in powder form extends its applications to various industries, including the food and beverage sector, where it serves as a key ingredient in the production of reconstituted milk, bakery products, and confectioneries.
Europe commanded the largest market share during the extrapolated period owing to the longer shelf life, and changing consumer lifestyles. With a well-established dairy industry and advanced processing technologies, European consumers appreciate UHT milk's ability to offer a reliable and convenient source of dairy without the need for immediate refrigeration. Additionally, the portability of UHT milk makes it a popular choice for travel and outdoor activities.
Asia Pacific is expected to witness profitable growth over the projection period. The region's diverse and expanding population coupled with rapid urbanization and changing consumer lifestyles, has fostered a robust demand for convenient and long-lasting dairy products, positioning UHT milk as a preferred choice. Furthermore, the rising middle class, increasing disposable incomes, and a growing awareness of UHT milk's safety attributes further fuel the market's expansion.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the UHT Milk Market include Groupe Lactalis SA, Danone SA, Nestle S.A., Arla Foods amba, Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited, China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation Ltd., Dana Dairy Group, Yili Group and Hochwald Foods.
In December 2023, Groupe Lactalis S.A. agreed to acquire Dairy Partners Americas Brasil Ltda. from Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited and Nestle S.A. for BRL 700 million.
In July 2022, Danone has launched the new Dairy & Plants Blend baby formula to meet parents' desire for feeding options suitable for vegetarian, flexitarian and plant-based diets, while still meeting their baby's specific nutritional requirements.
In August 2021, Danone SA announced an expansion of its one-year-old partnership with Brightseed, creator of the Forager artificial intelligence, which maps and predicts the health impact of plant-based compounds.