市场调查报告书
商品编码
1438189
2030 年航空燃油市场预测:按燃油类型、飞机类型、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Aviation Fuel Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Fuel Type (Sustainable Fuel, Conventional Fuel and Other Fuel Types), Aircraft Type, End User and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2023年全球航空燃油市场规模将达2,891亿美元,预计2030年将达到8,024亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为15.7%。
航空燃油是液体燃料的一种,作为飞机引擎的动力来源极为重要。它们通常由精製石油製成,并经过严格的品管,以满足严格的航空标准。最常见的喷射机燃料类型提供推动喷射引擎所需的能量。它由碳氢化合物构成,其性能经过精心调整,以确保飞行中的最佳性能、效率和安全性。
根据国际航空运输协会(IATA)统计,国际贸易中约90%的货物透过海运,只有约0.5%透过空运。然而,航空货运约占世界贸易额的35%,金额约6兆美元。
航空旅行需求
市场持续受到航空需求的影响,这是市场动态的关键因素。随着全球旅行需求的復苏,航空燃油的需求预计也会增加。经济復苏、旅行限制放鬆和游客增加等因素导致需求激增。市场参与企业正在监控这些发展并调整其生产和分销策略,以确保该行业符合航空业不断变化的需求。
环境问题
由于传统石化燃料产生大量碳排放,市场面临紧迫的环境挑战。航空燃料的燃烧会导致温室气体排放,加剧气候变迁。减少环境影响的努力包括开发和采用源自可再生资源的永续航空燃料(SAF)。该行业正在应对可扩充性、成本竞争和基础设施适应等挑战。
技术进步
由可再生资源合成的生质燃料作为传统航空燃料的环保替代品正在受到关注。燃料添加剂和燃烧技术的进步旨在提高引擎性能并减少排放气体。合成燃料和氢基推进系统的开发反映了该行业致力于解决环境问题,同时确保未来飞机的永续性。市场正在见证以永续性和效率为重点的重大技术进步。
原油价格波动
油价波动、地缘政治紧张局势和全球经济因素导致航空燃油价格出现不可预测的波动。这种波动凸显了风险管理策略的重要性以及航空业快速适应不断变化的经济和地缘政治条件以确保稳定性和永续性的必要性。市场原油价格波动较快,对航空公司营运成本影响较大。
COVID-19大流行对航空燃油市场产生了重大影响,广泛的旅行限制和航空需求减少导致航空燃油消耗急剧下降。航空公司停飞飞机,导致燃油需求减少和市场过剩。供应过剩和需求减少导致价格大幅下跌,影响了燃料供应商和石油公司。航空业的缓慢復苏进一步延长了航空燃油市场面临的挑战,凸显了市场对外部衝击和全球危机的脆弱性。
预计传统燃料领域在预测期内将是最大的
预计传统燃料领域在预测期内将是最大的。传统航空燃料通常来自原油等传统型资源,主导航空燃料市场。喷射机燃料是精製煤油,主要用于为民航机和军用飞机动力来源。儘管寻找生质燃料和合成燃料等替代燃料不断减少对环境的影响,但由于已建立的基础设施以及与现有飞机引擎的兼容性,传统航空燃料仍然占据主导地位。
预计民用航空领域在预测期内复合年增长率最高
预计民用航空业在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。由于对高效和永续能源来源的持续需求,该行业专注于推动生质燃料和环保替代燃料。监管倡议和技术创新继续影响着该行业,旨在减少碳排放并提高燃油效率。随着全球航空需求的增加,民航业持续对航空燃油市场的未来前景产生重大影响。
预计北美在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。以永续航空燃料为重点,该产业正在加大对清洁替代燃料研发的投资。主要企业之间的监管措施和合作旨在减少航空对环境的影响。儘管面临油价波动带来的挑战,北美航空燃油市场仍在不断发展,融合创新和永续性,以满足充满活力的产业的需求。
预计亚太地区在预测期内复合年增长率最高。该地区的经济发展和可支配收入的增加促进了航空活动的活性化。飞机航班数量和新航空公司的设立迅速增加,对航空燃油的需求也不断增加。政府支持航空业的倡议进一步推动了市场动态。该地区的主要企业正在对基础设施和永续燃料解决方案进行策略性投资,以满足该地区快速成长的航空业不断变化的需求。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Aviation Fuel Market is accounted for $289.1 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $802.4 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 15.7% during the forecast period. Aviation fuel, a specialized type of liquid fuel, is crucial for powering aircraft engines. Typically derived from refined petroleum, it undergoes rigorous quality control to meet stringent aviation standards. Jet fuel, the most common type, provides the energy needed for propulsion in jet engines. Composed of hydrocarbons, its properties are carefully calibrated to ensure optimal performance, efficiency, and safety during flight.
According to International Air Transport Association (IATA), approximately 90% of cargo in international trade is shipped via sea route, and only around 0.5% is transported by air. But this transport by air cargo translates to around 35% of world trade by value or nearly $6 trillion in value.
Air travel demand
The market continues to be influenced by air travel demand, a pivotal factor in its dynamics. As global travel rebounds, the demand for aviation fuel is expected to rise, driven by increased flight operations. Factors such as economic recovery, easing travel restrictions, and growing tourism contribute to the surge in demand. Market participants closely monitor these trends to adjust production and distribution strategies, ensuring the industry aligns with the evolving needs of the aviation sector.
Environmental concerns
The market faces pressing environmental concerns due to the significant carbon footprint associated with traditional fossil fuels. The combustion of aviation fuels contributes to greenhouse gas emissions, exacerbating climate change. Efforts to mitigate environmental impact include the development and adoption of sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) derived from renewable sources. The industry grapples with challenges such as scalability, cost competitiveness, and infrastructure adaptation.
Technological advancements
Biofuels, synthesized from renewable sources, are gaining prominence as eco-friendly alternatives to traditional aviation fuels. Advancements in fuel additives and combustion technologies aim to enhance engine performance and reduce emissions. The development of synthetic fuels and hydrogen-based propulsion systems reflects the industry's commitment to addressing environmental concerns while ensuring future aviation sustainability. The market has witnessed significant technological advancements, focusing on sustainability and efficiency.
Volatility in oil prices
Fluctuations in crude oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and global economic factors contribute to unpredictable shifts in aviation fuel prices. This volatility underscores the importance of risk management strategies and the need for the aviation industry to adapt swiftly to changing economic and geopolitical conditions to ensure stability and sustainability. The market experiences heightened volatility in oil prices, significantly impacting operational costs for airlines.
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the aviation fuel market as widespread travel restrictions and reduced air travel demand led to a sharp decline in aviation fuel consumption. Airlines grounded fleets, resulting in decreased fuel requirements and a surplus in the market. The oversupply and diminished demand caused a substantial drop in prices, affecting fuel suppliers and oil companies. The aviation industry's slow recovery further prolonged the challenges faced by the aviation fuel market, emphasizing the market's vulnerability to external shocks and global crises.
The conventional fuel segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The conventional fuel segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period. Conventional aviation fuel, typically derived from fossil sources like crude oil, dominates the aviation fuel market. Jet fuel, a refined form of kerosene, is the primary choice for powering commercial and military aircraft. While there are ongoing efforts to explore alternative fuels such as biofuels and synthetic fuels to reduce environmental impact, conventional aviation fuel remains the dominant player due to its established infrastructure and compatibility with existing aircraft engines.
The commercial aviation segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The commercial aviation segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period. With a constant need for efficient and sustainable energy sources, the industry focuses on advancements in biofuels and eco-friendly alternatives. Regulatory initiatives and technological innovations continue to shape the sector, aiming for reduced carbon emissions and increased fuel efficiency. As the global demand for air travel grows, the commercial aviation segment remains a key influencer in shaping the future landscape of the aviation fuel market.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. With a focus on sustainable aviation fuels, the industry is witnessing increased investments in research and development for cleaner alternatives. Regulatory initiatives and collaborations among key players aim to reduce the environmental impact of aviation. Despite challenges posed by fluctuating oil prices, the North American aviation fuel market continues to evolve, embracing innovation and sustainability to meet the demands of a dynamic industry.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the highest CAGR over the forecast period. The region's economic development and rising disposable incomes contribute to increased airline activities. With a surge in fleet expansions and new airline ventures, the demand for aviation fuel has escalated. Government initiatives supporting the aviation sector further boost market dynamics. Key players in the region are strategically investing in infrastructure and sustainable fuel solutions to meet the evolving needs of the burgeoning aviation industry in the region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Aviation Fuel market include EAviation Fuelon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, Shell Plc, Indian Oil Corporation Limited, TotalEnergies SE, Valero Energy Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited, World Fuel Service, Red Rock Biofuels LLC, Emirates National Oil Company, Allied Aviation Services Inc., Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, Red Rock Biofuels LLC, Swedish Biofuels AB and Boeing.
In February 2023, Boeing has secured agreements to procure 5.6 million gallons (21.2 million liters) of blended sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) from Neste, the foremost producer of SAF globally. This procurement is aimed at supporting Boeing's U.S. commercial operations until 2023.
In January 2023, The Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) initiated the export of aviation fuel, catering to the requirements of small aircraft and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). This move allows India to enter the global market, valued at approximately USD 2.7 billion, by venturing into petroleum exports.