市场调查报告书
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1453931
到 2030 年虚拟电厂(虚拟电厂,VPP)市场预测:按组件类型、部署类型、来源、技术、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Virtual Power Plant Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Component Type (Hardware, Software, Services and Other Component Types), Deployment Type, Source, Technology, Application, End User, and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2023年全球虚拟电厂(VPP)市场规模将达41亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为20.0%,预计2030年将达到147.1亿美元。
虚拟发电厂 (VPP) 虚拟发电厂 (VPP) 是分散式发电资源(例如太阳能电池板、风力发电机和电池储存系统)的云端基础的集中,这些发电资源经过协调后可充当单一整合发电厂。做到了。 VPP透过先进的软体和控制系统,优化分散式能源的运行,提供电网的稳定性、弹性和能源交易服务。实现可再生能源的高效利用,减少对传统石化燃料发电厂的依赖,并支持向更永续和更有弹性的能源系统过渡。 VPP 在实现可再生能源併入电网方面发挥关键作用。
根据国际能源总署(IEA)的报告,2020年全球电力需求将成长4%,达到900太瓦时,成长速度约为所有其他型态能源需求的两倍。
可再生能源併网
VPP 透过实现分散式能源 (DER) 与电网的无缝整合和优化,在这项转型中发挥关键作用。向更永续的低碳能源系统的过渡需要对太阳能和风能等间歇性可再生能源进行有效管理。此外,先进的软体和控制系统可确保可再生能源的高效利用,最大限度地减少限电,并增强电网的弹性和弹性。
初始成本高
部署 VPP 需要在硬体、软体和基础设施方面进行大量前期投资。特别是,高昂的初始成本可能会成为小型组织或财务资源有限的组织的进入障碍,从而阻碍潜在投资者并限制 VPP 的采用。此外,VPP系统的复杂性和对专业技术知识的需求也增加了初始成本,从而逐渐缩小了市场规模。
技术进步
云端基础的平台和先进的软体解决方案可实现不同分散式能源产品组合的无缝整合和集中,从而提高电网的弹性和弹性。数位化、通讯和控制技术的进步正在彻底改变 VPP 的运作方式,从而实现分散式能源的即时监控、控制和优化。此外,锂离子电池、液流电池等储能係统的技术创新也在VPP市场的成长中发挥重要作用。
缺乏意识和教育
VPP 在能源产业是一个相对较新的概念,许多潜在相关人员对其好处和功能的了解和了解可能有限。政策制定者和监管者可能对法律规范和市场结构缺乏了解,导致缺乏支持性政策、法规和奖励。此外,这种意识的缺乏导致不愿意投资和参与 VPP 计划,从而阻碍了这个市场。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19大流行对虚拟发电厂(Virtual Power Plant,VPP)市场产生了一些负面影响,主要是由于供应链中断、计划延误和经济不确定性。旅行限制、封锁措施和社交距离要求正在扰乱位置、审核流程和建设活动。此外,疫情也影响了能源市场,工业活动减少和消费行为变化导致能源需求和价格波动。
软体部分预计将在预测期内成为最大的部分
软体部分预计将占据最大份额,因为它在组织和优化构成 VPP 的各种分散式能源 (DER) 方面发挥关键作用。这些软体平台利用先进的演算法、人工智慧 (AI) 和机器学习 (ML) 技术来预测能源发电、消费模式和市场状况。此外,这些软体平台通常具有用户友好的介面和仪表板,可为相关人员提供支持,从而推动该细分市场的成长。
云端基础的细分市场预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高
由于互联网上託管的远端伺服器用于管理和调节分散式能源(DER),因此基于云端基础的细分市场预计在预测期内将出现最高的复合年增长率。云端基础的平台具有多种优势,包括扩充性、可存取性和即时资料处理能力。此外,这些解决方案集中了分散式能源的控制和管理,实现资源的高效集中、最佳化和调度,以满足电网需求,从而推动该领域的成长。
由于再生能源来源的采用增加、数位化技术的进步以及能源市场法规的演变,欧洲在预测期内占据了最大的市场占有率。德国、荷兰、丹麦和英国等国家利用成熟的可再生能源产业和支持性法规结构。此外,该地区雄心勃勃的可再生能源目标,以及增强电网弹性和弹性的需求,正在推动对 VPP 解决方案的需求。
由于多样化的能源格局、支持性的法规环境和市场改革,预计北美在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。北美 VPP 市场得益于资料分析和通讯技术的进步,这些技术实现了即时监控、控制和最佳化。此外,联邦、州和地方各级的政策倡议正在增加投资,奖励清洁能源技术的采用,并促进该地区的成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Virtual Power Plant Market is accounted for $4.10 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $14.71 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 20.0% during the forecast period. A virtual power plant (VPP) is a cloud-based aggregation of decentralized power generation sources, such as solar panels, wind turbines, and battery storage systems, coordinated to function as a single integrated power plant. Through advanced software and control systems, a VPP optimizes the operation of distributed energy resources to provide grid stability, flexibility, and energy trading services. It allows for the efficient utilization of renewable energy sources, reduces reliance on traditional fossil fuel power plants, and supports the transition to a more sustainable and resilient energy system. VPPs play a crucial role in enabling the integration of renewable energy into the grid.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA) report, the global demand for electricity climbed by 4%, or 900 TWh, in 2020, expanding almost twice as quickly as the demand for all other forms of energy.
Renewable energy integration
VPPs play a crucial role in this transition by enabling the seamless integration and optimization of distributed energy resources (DERs) into the grid. The transition towards a more sustainable and low-carbon energy system necessitates efficient management of intermittent renewable energy sources such as solar and wind power. Moreover, advanced software and control systems ensure efficient utilization of renewable energy, minimize curtailment, and enhance grid flexibility and resilience.
High initial costs
Implementing a VPP requires substantial upfront investments in hardware, software, and infrastructure. The high initial costs can deter potential investors and limit the adoption of VPPs, particularly for smaller organizations or those with limited financial resources, creating a barrier to entry. Furthermore, the complexity of VPP systems and the need for specialized technical expertise also contribute to the initial costs, which gradually impede this market size.
Technological advancements
Cloud-based platforms and advanced software solutions enable seamless integration and aggregation of diverse DER portfolios, enhancing grid flexibility and resilience. Advances in digitalization, communication, and control technologies have revolutionized the way VPPs operate, allowing for real-time monitoring, control, and optimization of DERs. In addition, technological innovations in energy storage systems, such as lithium-ion batteries and flow batteries, have also played a crucial role in the growth of the VPP market.
Lack of awareness and education
VPPs are a relatively new concept in the energy industry, and many potential stakeholders may have limited knowledge or understanding of their benefits and functionalities. Policymakers and regulators may have a limited understanding of the regulatory frameworks and market structures, resulting in a lack of supportive policies, regulations, and incentives. Moreover, this lack of awareness can lead to a reluctance to invest in or participate in VPP programs, hindering this market.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic has had several negative impacts on the virtual power plant (VPP) market, primarily due to disruptions in supply chains, project delays, and economic uncertainty. Travel restrictions, lockdown measures, and social distancing requirements have hindered site inspections, permitting processes, and construction activities. Furthermore, the pandemic has impacted energy markets, with reduced industrial activity and changes in consumer behavior leading to fluctuations in energy demand and pricing.
The software segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The software segment is estimated to hold the largest share due to its pivotal role in orchestrating and optimizing the diverse array of distributed energy resources (DERs) that make up the VPP. These software platforms leverage advanced algorithms, artificial intelligence (AI), and machine learning (ML) techniques to forecast energy generation, consumption patterns, and market conditions. Moreover, these often feature user-friendly interfaces and dashboards that empower stakeholders, which are driving this segment's expansion.
The cloud-based segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The cloud-based segment is anticipated to have highest CAGR during the forecast period, due to the use of remote servers hosted on the internet to manage and coordinate distributed energy resources (DERs). Cloud-based platforms offer several advantages, including scalability, accessibility, and real-time data processing capabilities. Furthermore, these solutions centralize the control and management of DERs, allowing efficient aggregation, optimization, and dispatch of resources to meet grid demand, thereby boosting this segment's growth.
Europe commanded the largest market share during the extrapolated period owing to the increasing deployment of renewable energy sources, advancements in digitalization technologies, and evolving energy market regulations. Countries such as Germany, the Netherlands, Denmark, and the United Kingdom are leveraging their mature renewable energy sectors and supportive regulatory frameworks. In addition, the region's ambitious renewable energy targets, along with the need to enhance grid flexibility and resilience, are driving demand for VPP solutions.
North America is expected to witness highest CAGR over the projection period, owing to the region's diverse energy landscape, supportive regulatory environment, and market reforms. North America's VPP market is benefiting from advancements in data analytics and communication technologies, enabling real-time monitoring, control, and optimization. Furthermore, policy initiatives at the federal, state, and provincial levels are raising investments, incentivizing the adoption of clean energy technologies, and propelling the growth of this region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Virtual Power Plant Market include Next Kraftwerke, Siemens, Centrica, Tesla, Toshiba Energy Systems & Solutions, ABB, Sunverge Energy, Inc., Hitachi, Ltd., Limejump Limited, AutoGrid Systems, Inc., General Electric, Sonnen, Lumenaza GmbH, Schneider Electric and Shell.
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Table Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.