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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1454082
到 2030 年乏核燃料废弃物管理市场预测:按核子反应炉类型、处置类型、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Spent Nuclear Fuel Waste Management Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Reactor Type (Boiling Water Reactor, Pressurized Water Reactor, Gas Cooled Reactor and Other Reactor Type), Disposal Type, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2023 年全球乏核燃料废弃物管理市场规模为 62 亿美元,预计在预测期内将以 3.0% 的复合年增长率成长,到 2030 年达到 77 亿美元。
乏核燃料(SNF)废弃物管理涉及核子反应炉乏核燃料的安全处理、储存、运输和处置。这是核能生命週期的一个重要方面。目前的方法包括现场储存和深层地质储藏库勘探。挑战包括监管核准、公众意识以及开发长期解决方案的先进技术。
对清洁能源来源的需求不断增加
对包括核能在内的清洁能源来源的需求不断增长,将对乏核燃料(SNF)废弃物管理市场产生正面影响。随着对清洁能源(尤其是核能)需求的增加,乏核燃料废弃物管理市场面临一把双面刃。需求增加会产生更多废弃物,需要储存、运输和潜在的再处理能力。但它也将鼓励投资于更安全、更永续的解决方案,例如深层地质处置库和先进的后处理技术。这个市场的驱动因素是管理不断增加的废物量并与更严格的法规和社会问题取得平衡的需要。
严格的法规和许可要求
高合规标准给产业参与者带来了沉重的财务负担,并阻碍了废弃物管理技术的投资和创新。此外,漫长而复杂的监管审批流程减缓了关键设施的建立,并阻碍了解决方案的及时实施。此外,严格的法律规范增加了不确定性,阻碍了潜在投资者并限制了市场成长。
乏核燃料增加
乏核燃料的累积增加了先进和永续废弃物管理解决方案的迫切性,并推动了储存、后处理和处置技术的创新。政府和行业相关人员被迫投资有效的管理策略,以解决安全问题并遵守严格的法规。这种不断增长的库存正在推动研究和开发倡议并推动市场扩张。
缺乏合适的处置场所
缺乏合适的乏核燃料储存库为废弃物管理市场带来了重大挑战。如果没有确定和核准的处置场,现场长期储存会增加风险并引发安保和安全问题。缺乏合适的处置库还会导致计划规划和执行的不确定性和延误,从而阻碍业界负责任地管理放射性废弃物的能力。缺乏进展可能会削弱公众信心并加剧对核能及其产品的反对。
COVID-19 的影响
供应链中断、劳动力限制和建设活动限制正在阻碍核能计划的进展,包括废弃物管理设施的开发。经济活动放缓也可能影响政府预算和核能项目的资金筹措。此外,疫情也提高了健康和安全意识,影响了公众对核能计划的看法和监管。
预计沸水式反应炉部分在预测期内将是最大的
沸水式反应炉部分预计将出现良好的成长,因为与压水式反应炉核子反应炉。不过,垃圾量的差异并不大,不会对整体市场规模或成长产生重大影响。此外,沸水堆燃料的具体特性(例如热值和放射性)可能会影响地质储存库的要求。这反过来又会影响乏燃料管理的整体策略。
深层地质处置领域预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高。
由于深层地质处置被认为是从环境中隔离放射性废弃物的安全方法,预计深层地质处置领域在预测期内将以最高复合年增长率成长。如果被接受并成功实施,这种方法可以提高公众对核能的认识,并减轻对乏燃料处置长期安全性的担忧。因此,随着市场适应深层地质处置计划的需求,专门从事这些技术的公司可能会有成长机会。
由于该地区核能发电厂的增加,预计亚太地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。中国、日本、印度和韩国是亚太地区核能发电投资的主要国家。这些国家也致力于开发新技术来安全有效地管理乏核燃料,推动该地区的市场成长。
由于美国和加拿大已经建立了乏核燃料仓储设施,预计北美在预测期内将呈现最高的复合年增长率。在美国,内华达州的丝兰山储存库被提案作为长期储存解决方案,但其发展面临各种挑战和争议。此外,放射性废弃物管理的法律规范也是一个重要因素。美国美国核能管理委员会(NRC)和加拿大核能安委员会(CNSC)在监管和监督核能活动(包括乏燃料管理)方面发挥重要作用。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Spent Nuclear Fuel Waste Management Market is accounted for $6.2 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $7.7 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 3.0% during the forecast period. Spent Nuclear Fuel (SNF) Waste Management involves the safe handling, storage, transportation, and disposal of used nuclear fuel from reactors. It is a critical aspect of the nuclear energy lifecycle. Current methods include on-site storage and research on deep geological repositories. Challenges include regulatory approvals, public perception, and developing advanced technologies for long-term solutions.
Increasing demand for clean energy sources
The increasing demand for clean energy sources, including nuclear power, positively impacts the Spent Nuclear Fuel (SNF) Waste Management Market. As the need for clean energy grows, particularly nuclear power, the spent nuclear fuel waste management market faces a double-edged sword. The rising demand generates more waste, requiring increased storage, transportation, and potentially reprocessing capabilities. However, this also fuels investment in safer and more sustainable solutions like deep geological repositories and advanced reprocessing techniques. This market will be driven by the need to balance managing the growing waste volume with stricter regulations and public concerns.
Stringent regulations and licensing requirements
The high compliance standards impose substantial financial burdens on industry participants, hindering investment and innovation in waste management technologies. Moreover, the lengthy and complex regulatory approval processes delay the establishment of critical facilities, impeding the timely implementation of solutions. Moreover, the rigid regulatory framework amplifies uncertainties, discouraging potential investors and limiting the growth of the market.
Growing stockpile of spent nuclear fuel
The accumulation of SNF heightens the urgency for advanced and sustainable waste management solutions, fostering innovation in storage, reprocessing, and disposal technologies. Governments and industry stakeholders are compelled to invest in efficient management strategies to address safety concerns and comply with stringent regulations. This growing stockpile propels research and development initiatives, spurring market expansion.
Lack of suitable disposal sites
The lack of suitable disposal sites for spent nuclear fuel poses significant challenges for the waste management market. Without identified and approved repositories, there is a heightened risk of prolonged onsite storage, increasing security and safety concerns. The absence of suitable sites also leads to uncertainty and delays in project planning and execution, inhibiting the industry's ability to responsibly manage radioactive waste. This lack of progress can erode public trust, exacerbating opposition to nuclear energy and its by-products.
Covid-19 Impact
Disruptions in supply chains, workforce limitations, and restrictions on construction activities have hindered the progress of nuclear projects, including the development of waste management facilities. The slowdown in economic activities has also affected government budgets, potentially influencing funding for nuclear programs. Moreover, the pandemic has heightened awareness of health and safety considerations, impacting public perception and regulatory scrutiny of nuclear projects.
The boiling water reactor segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The boiling water reactor segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, because generally produce slightly less spent nuclear fuel compared to pressurized water reactors (PWRs), the dominant reactor type globally. However, the difference in waste volume is not substantial and doesn't significantly impact the overall market size or growth. Moreover the specific characteristics of BWR fuel, such as its heat generation and radioactivity, can impact the requirements for geological repositories. This, in turn, may influence the overall strategy for spent fuel management.
The deep surface disposal segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The deep surface disposal segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, as deep geological disposal is considered a safe method for isolating radioactive waste from the environment. If this method gains acceptance and is successfully implemented, it may enhance public perception of nuclear energy and reduce concerns related to the long-term safety of spent fuel disposal. Thus companies specializing in these technologies may experience growth opportunities as the market adapts to the demands of deep surface disposal projects.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the increasing number of nuclear power plants in the region. China, Japan, India, and South Korea are the major countries in the Asia Pacific region that are investing in nuclear power generation. These countries are also focusing on developing new technologies for the safe and efficient management of spent nuclear fuel driving the growth of the market in this region.
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to the United States and Canada established storage facilities for spent nuclear fuel. In the U.S., the Yucca Mountain repository in Nevada was proposed as a long-term storage solution, but its development faced various challenges and controversies. Moreover the regulatory framework for nuclear waste management is an essential aspect. The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission (CNSC) play crucial roles in regulating and overseeing nuclear activities, including spent fuel management.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Spent Nuclear Fuel Waste Management Market include Veolia Environnement S.A., Holtec International, Waste Control Specialists LLC, Perma-Fix Environmental Services, Inc., Bechtel Group, Nuclear Fuel Services, Inc., Augean PLC, BHI Energy, Svensk Karnbranslehantering AB, US Ecology Inc, Ansaldo Energia SPA, and EnergySolutions,
In March 2024, Veolia unveiled its new strategic program, GreenUp, for 2024-2027. The program's goal is to become the link missing in ecological transformation by greening and deploying replicable solutions that depollute, decarbonize, and regenerate resources.
In February 2024, Veolia launches its new strategic plan to accelerate ecological transformation to meet growing global demand. Their rapid, large-scale deployment will help erasing 18 million tons of Scope 43 CO2 emissions by 2027 and preserve 1.5 billion m3 of water.
In January 2023, Waste Control Specialists launches bilingual website. This is the latest move in WCS' effort to re-engage with the community and maintain a productive dialogue with neighbors and interested parties.