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2030 年氮肥市场预测:按产品、形式、应用和地区分類的全球分析Nitrogenous Fertilizer Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product, Form, Application and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2023年全球氮肥市场规模为667.7亿美元,预计2030年将达到1,136.9亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为7.9%。
氮肥市场是指专门从事含氮化合物肥料生产、分销和销售的农业部门。氮肥透过为植物提供所需的氮养分,在提高土壤肥力和作物产量方面发挥重要作用。这些肥料为植物提供蛋白质合成、叶绿素生产以及整体生长和发育所需的氮。农业严重依赖氮肥来维持土壤健康、提高作物品质并确保粮食安全。
根据科氏农业与能源解决方案公司(Koch)与OCP签署的协议,最大的磷矿开采公司和全球顶级化肥公司将收购约尔夫化肥公司III(JFC III)50%的股权,并将其出售给科赫子公司。
转向精密农业
精密农业根据土壤条件、作物健康和天气模式等即时资料和分析,精确定位需要特定养分(例如氮)的区域,帮助农民散布。这种方法不仅提高了作物产量,而且透过减少肥料的过度使用、减少氮气径流和相关污染,最大限度地减少了对环境的影响。随着农民越来越多地采用精密农业技术来最大限度地提高效率和永续性,针对特定作物和土壤要求量身定制的氮肥的需求不断增加。
原物料价格波动
氮肥主要由氨製成,氨是由天然气和其他含氮化合物产生的。这些原料价格的波动对化肥生产的总成本有重大影响。当原物料价格上涨时,製造商面临生产成本增加,而这些成本往往以氮肥价格上涨的形式转嫁给消费者。然而,这种价格敏感性可能会导致农民的需求减少,特别是那些预算有限或财政资源有限的地区的农民。
人口和作物生产需求的增加
随着世界人口的成长,对粮食的需求也在增加,因此需要扩大农业生产。集中耕作方法需要增加氮肥投入,以维持土壤生产力并满足预期的作物产量。都市化趋势进一步减少耕地面积,增加现有农地扩大生产的压力。因此,由于迫切需要可持续提高作物产量来养活不断增长的全球人口,氮肥市场继续大幅扩张。
与替代肥料的竞争
来自有机肥料和缓释肥料等替代肥料的竞争是氮肥市场面临的主要挑战。由于对环境永续性和土壤健康的担忧,这些替代肥料越来越受到关注。天然有机肥料提供了一种对环境友善的解决方案,同时增加了土壤结构和微生物活性。然而,缓释肥料可以在较长时间内为植物提供养分,从而降低淋滤和径流的风险。
由于封锁措施和行动限製而导致的全球供应链中断导致了物流挑战,影响了原材料和成品的运输。农业活动的减少以及农民对未来需求和市场状况的担忧导致化肥购买量减少,从而导致市场需求下降。然而,外汇波动和旨在减轻疫情对经济影响的政府政策转变对市场动态产生了进一步影响。
亚甲基脲部分预计将在预测期内成为最大的部分
透过提供高效、环保的解决方案,亚甲基脲领域预计将在预测期内占据最大份额。亚甲基脲是一种缓释氮肥,透过逐渐将氮释放到土壤中,为作物提供长期持续的营养。这种受控释放机制不仅确保了植物对养分的最佳吸收,而且最大限度地减少了氮的淋滤和挥发,降低了环境污染的风险,并提高了农业的永续性。
预计油籽和豆类产业在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。
预计油籽和豆类产业在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。豆类作物具有在共生细菌的帮助下透过根瘤固定大气氮的独特能力。这个过程使土壤富含氮,使其肥沃,适合后续作物,包括油籽。另一方面,油籽需要富含氮的土壤才能达到最佳生长和产量。因此,农民经常轮作油籽和豆类作物,以利用其固氮能力并减少对合成氮肥的需求。
在整个估计期间,亚太地区占据了最大的市场份额。亚太地区的政府政策和补贴对于扩大氮肥市场发挥重要作用。这些政策通常包括向购买氮肥的农民提供补贴、对化肥生产和分配实施奖励以及促进永续农业实践等措施。透过提供财政支持和奖励,政府旨在提高农业生产力,确保粮食安全并支持农村经济。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将实现盈利成长。包括精密农业和资料分析在内的数位农业技术正在彻底改变亚太地区的农业实践。这些进步使农民能够优化氮肥散布,并确保根据该地区的特定土壤和作物需求量身定制精确的剂量。这种精确度可以减少浪费,提高养分吸收效率并最大限度地减少对环境的影响。此外,该地区的广泛研究和投资正在推动氮肥生产的创新,从而开发出更高效、更环保的配方。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Nitrogenous Fertilizer Market is accounted for $66.77 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $113.69 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 7.9% during the forecast period. The nitrogenous fertilizer market refers to the sector of the agricultural industry dedicated to the production, distribution, and sale of fertilizers containing nitrogen compounds. Nitrogen fertilizers play a crucial role in enhancing soil fertility and crop yield by supplying plants with the necessary nitrogen nutrients. These fertilizers provide plants with the necessary nitrogen required for protein synthesis, chlorophyll production, and overall growth and development. Agricultural practices heavily rely on nitrogenous fertilizers to maintain soil health, improve crop quality, and ensure food security.
According to a contract signed between Koch Ag & Energy Solutions (Koch) and OCP, the largest phosphate miner and top global fertiliser company will sell a 50% stake in Jorf Fertilizers Company III (JFC III) to a Koch subsidiary.
Shift towards precision agriculture
Precision agriculture enables farmers to optimize the application of fertilizers by precisely targeting areas that require specific nutrients, such as nitrogen, based on real-time data and analysis of soil conditions, crop health, and weather patterns. This approach not only enhances crop yields but also minimizes environmental impacts by reducing overuse of fertilizers, thus mitigating nitrogen runoff and its associated pollution. As farmers increasingly adopt precision agriculture techniques to maximize efficiency and sustainability, the demand for nitrogenous fertilizers tailored to specific crop and soil requirements is escalating.
Volatility in raw material prices
Nitrogenous fertilizers are primarily derived from ammonia, which is produced from natural gas or other nitrogen-containing compounds. Fluctuations in the prices of these raw materials can significantly affect the overall cost of fertilizer production. When raw material prices rise, manufacturers face increased production expenses, which often get passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices for nitrogenous fertilizers. However, this price sensitivity can lead to decreased demand from farmers, particularly those operating on tight budgets or in regions with limited access to financial resources.
Increasing population and crop production demand
As the world population expands, so does the need for sustenance, necessitating higher agricultural output. Intensive farming practices require higher inputs of nitrogenous fertilizers to maintain soil productivity and meet crop yield expectations. The rising trend of urbanization further diminishes arable land, intensifying the pressure on existing agricultural areas to produce more. Consequently, the nitrogenous fertilizer market continues to witness significant expansion, driven by the imperative to sustainably increase crop yields to feed a growing global population.
Competition from alternative fertilizers
Competition from alternative fertilizers, such as organic and slow-release formulations, presents a significant challenge to the nitrogenous fertilizer market. These alternatives are gaining traction due to concerns over environmental sustainability and soil health. Organic fertilizers, derived from natural sources, offer eco-friendly solutions while also enhancing soil structure and microbial activity. However, slow-release fertilizers provide nutrients to plants over an extended period, reducing the risk of leaching and runoff.
Disruptions in global supply chains due to lockdown measures and restrictions on movement led to logistical challenges, affecting the transportation of raw materials and finished products. Reduced agricultural activity and uncertainty among farmers regarding future demand and market conditions resulted in decreased fertilizer purchases, leading to a decline in market demand. However, fluctuations in currency exchange rates and shifts in government policies aimed at mitigating the economic impact of the pandemic further influenced market dynamics.
The Methylene Urea segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
Methylene Urea segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period by offering a highly efficient and environmentally friendly solution. Methylene Urea, a slow-release nitrogen fertilizer, gradually releases nitrogen into the soil, thereby providing sustained nutrition to crops over an extended period. This controlled release mechanism not only ensures optimal nutrient uptake by plants but also minimizes nitrogen leaching and volatilization, reducing the risk of environmental pollution and enhancing agricultural sustainability.
The Oilseeds & Pulses segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Oilseeds & Pulses segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period. Leguminous crops such as pulses have the unique ability to fix atmospheric nitrogen through their root nodules with the help of symbiotic bacteria. This process enriches the soil with nitrogen, making it more fertile for subsequent crops, including oilseeds. Oilseeds, on the other hand, require nitrogen-rich soil for optimal growth and yield. Therefore, farmers often rotate oilseed and pulse crops in their fields to harness this nitrogen-fixing capacity, reducing the need for synthetic nitrogenous fertilizers.
Asia Pacific region commanded the largest share of the market throughout the extrapolated period. Government policies and subsidies in the Asia Pacific region are playing a substantial role in enhancing the nitrogenous fertilizer market. These policies often include measures such as providing subsidies to farmers for purchasing nitrogenous fertilizers, implementing incentives for the production and distribution of fertilizers, and promoting sustainable agricultural practices. By offering financial support and incentives, governments aim to increase agricultural productivity, ensure food security, and support rural economies.
Asia Pacific region estimated to witness profitable growth over the projection period. Digital farming technologies, including precision agriculture and data analytics, are revolutionizing agricultural practices in the Asia Pacific region. These advancements enable farmers to optimize nitrogen fertilizer application, ensuring precise dosages tailored to specific soil and crop needs in the region. This precision reduces waste, enhances nutrient uptake efficiency, and minimizes environmental impact. Moreover, extensive research and investment in the region are driving innovation in nitrogenous fertilizer production, leading to the development of more efficient and environmentally friendly formulations.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Nitrogenous Fertilizer market include Agrium Inc, Bunge Limited, CF Industries Holdings, Inc, Coromandel International Ltd, EuroChem Group AG, Haifa Chemicals Ltd, Indian Farmers Fertilizer Cooperative Limited, Israel Chemicals Ltd, Koch Industries, Inc, OCI Nitrogen BV, Sinofert Holdings Limited, The Mosaic Company and Yara International ASA.
In June 2022, An agreement has been inked between top global ammonia player Yara International ASA and the Japan Bank for International Collaboration (JBIC), a Japanese policy-based financial institution, to further deepen cooperation in the field of clean ammonia.
In March 2022, EuroChem Group announced that it has completed the purchase of the share holding control of Brazilian distributor Fertilizantes Heringer SA, with 51.48% of the shares, further strengthening its production and distribution capacity in Brazil.