市场调查报告书
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2030 年聚合物市场预测:按类型、製程、应用、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Polymer Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Thermoplastics, Thermosetting Plastics, Elastomers, Biodegradable Polymers and Other Applications), Process, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2024年全球聚合物市场规模为8,268亿美元,预计2030年将达到1,2,689亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为7.4%。
聚合物是大而复杂的分子,由称为单体的重复次单元,这些亚基以锁状结构共用连接。这些单体可以相同或不同,形成具有不同性能的不同类型的聚合物。聚合物可以是天然存在的,例如蛋白质、核酸和多醣,也可以是合成的,例如聚乙烯和尼龙等塑胶。聚合物的强度、柔韧性和弹性等性能取决于所用单体的类型、单体的排列以及聚合物链的长度。由于其多功能性,聚合物在许多应用中发挥着至关重要的作用,从服装类和容器等日常产品到医学和技术中使用的先进材料。
据加拿大医疗保健资讯研究所(CIHI)称,政府计划2021年在医疗保健方面支出3,080亿美元。
聚合物加工和合成领域的创新
改进的聚合技术、新型催化剂和更好的加工方法等进步正在导致高性能聚合物的诞生,这些聚合物具有客製化的特性,例如增加的强度、柔韧性和热稳定性。这些创新促进了航太、医疗保健和电子等产业特种聚合物的开发,扩大了市场机会。
原物料价格波动
石化产品和天然气等关键原料的价格波动直接影响聚合物製造商的生产成本。原材料成本上涨可能导致最终产品价格上涨,从而减少对成本敏感的行业和消费者的需求。特别是对于那些无法将成本增加转嫁给客户的公司来说,这种波动会挤压利润率并减缓市场扩张。
生物医学技术的进步
药物传输系统、组织工程和医疗设备等领域的技术创新正在推动对高性能和高度生物相容性聚合物的需求。这些进步使得能够开发具有客製化特性的聚合物,例如受控的生物分解性、增加的机械强度以及改善与生物组织的相互作用。因此,聚合物製造商拥有新的市场机会来开发和供应医疗保健应用的尖端材料。
健康和安全问题
对某些聚合物排放的危险化学物质(例如挥发性有机化合物和有毒添加剂)的担忧可能会导致监管审查的加强。这可能会导致更严格的法规、更高的合规成本,甚至禁止使用某些材料。这些法规可能会扰乱生产过程,并需要昂贵的产品再製造或重新设计,从而阻碍聚合物市场的成长和稳定性。
COVID-19 大流行扰乱了供应链、导致原材料短缺和生产放缓,对聚合物市场产生了重大影响。对某些聚合物的需求激增,特别是口罩和手套等医疗和卫生产品,推动了这些产业的成长。相反,汽车和建筑等行业的需求下降,影响了整体市场表现。随着该行业寻求适应新的健康和环境优先事项,这种流行病也加速了永续和可回收聚合物的趋势。
热塑性塑胶产业预计将在预测期内成为最大的产业
热塑性塑胶可反覆熔融和改性,对射出成型和挤出等各种製造工艺适应性强,预计在预测期内增长最快。这种灵活性正在推动汽车、包装、电子和消费品等行业的需求。易于加工和可回收性也有助于其受欢迎,支持永续性目标并减少对环境的影响。
管道及附件产业预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高
预计管道和附件领域在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。这是因为在管道和附件中使用聚合物比金属等传统材料具有耐腐蚀、重量轻和易于安装等优点。因此,PVC、PE、PPR等聚合物广泛应用于管道、给排水系统。全球建筑和基础设施计划的增加正在推动对聚合物管道和附件的需求。
预计北美在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率,因为它拥有包括汽车製造在内的强大工业基础,并且由于其耐用性、轻量化和成本效益等特点,正在推动对各种聚合物的需求。马苏。此外,由于聚合物的多功能性和成本效益,电子产品、包装和家用产品等消费性产品对聚合物的需求仍然强劲。
由于快速的工业化、都市化以及包装、汽车、建筑和电子等各种最终用途行业的需求不断增加,预计亚太地区在预测期内将保持最高的复合年增长率。由于製造业扩张和人口成长,中国、印度、日本和韩国是主要贡献者。此外,消费者对软包装解决方案的认识和需求不断增长。在汽车领域,聚合物对于生产轻盈、节能的汽车至关重要,并有助于市场扩张。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Polymer Market is accounted for $826.8 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $1268.9 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 7.4% during the forecast period. A polymer is a large, complex molecule composed of repeated subunits called monomers, which are covalently bonded in a chain-like structure. These monomers can be identical or different, forming a variety of polymer types with diverse properties. Polymers can be naturally occurring, such as proteins, nucleic acids, and polysaccharides, or synthetically produced, such as plastics like polyethylene and nylon. The properties of a polymer such as its strength, flexibility, and elasticity are influenced by the type of monomers used, their arrangement, and the length of the polymer chain. Due to their versatility, polymers are crucial in many applications, from everyday items like clothing and containers to advanced materials used in medicine and technology.
According to Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI), the government planned to spend USD 308 billion in 2021 on the healthcare sector.
Innovations in polymer processing and synthesis
Advances such as improved polymerization techniques, novel catalysts, and better processing methods lead to the creation of high-performance polymers with tailored properties, like increased strength, flexibility, or thermal stability. These innovations enable the development of specialized polymers for industries like aerospace, healthcare, and electronics, broadening market opportunities.
Fluctuations in the prices of raw materials
Volatile costs for key raw materials, such as petrochemicals and natural gas, directly affect production expenses for polymer manufacturers. Increased raw material costs can lead to higher prices for end products, potentially reducing demand from cost-sensitive industries and consumers. This volatility can also strain profit margins, especially for companies unable to pass increased costs onto customers potentially slowing market expansion.
Advances in biomedical technology
Innovations in areas such as drug delivery systems, tissue engineering, and medical devices have created a growing need for high-performance, biocompatible polymers. These advancements enable the development of polymers with tailored properties, such as controlled biodegradability, enhanced mechanical strength, and improved interaction with biological tissues. This, in turn, opens up new market opportunities for polymer manufacturers to develop and supply cutting-edge materials for healthcare applications.
Health and safety issues
Concerns about harmful chemicals released from certain polymers, such as volatile organic compounds or toxic additives, can lead to increased scrutiny from regulatory bodies. This often results in stricter regulations, higher compliance costs, and potential bans on specific materials. Such regulations can disrupt production processes and necessitate costly reformulations or redesigns of products hindering growth and stability in the polymer market.
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the polymer market by disrupting supply chains, causing raw material shortages, and delaying production. The demand for certain polymers surged, particularly for medical and hygiene products like masks and gloves, driving growth in those segments. Conversely, industries such as automotive and construction experienced reduced demand, affecting overall market performance. The pandemic also accelerated trends toward sustainable and recyclable polymers as industries sought to adapt to new health and environmental priorities.
The thermoplastics segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The thermoplastics is expected to be the largest during the forecast period as they can be repeatedly melted and reformed, making them highly adaptable for various manufacturing processes, such as injection molding and extrusion. This flexibility drives demand across industries like automotive, packaging, electronics, and consumer goods. Their ease of processing and recyclability contributes to their popularity, supporting sustainability goals and reducing environmental impact.
The pipes & fittings segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The pipes & fittings segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period owing to the use of polymers in pipes and fittings offers advantages such as corrosion resistance, lightweight, and ease of installation compared to traditional materials like metal. This has led to widespread adoption of polymers like PVC, PE, and PPR in plumbing, water supply, and drainage systems. The growth in construction and infrastructure projects globally boosts the demand for polymer pipes and fittings.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to North America's strong industrial base, including automotive manufacturing, drives demand for various polymers due to their properties such as durability, lightweight, and cost-effectiveness. Further the demand for polymers in consumer goods, such as electronics, packaging, and household products, remains strong due to their versatility and cost efficiency.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the highest CAGR over the forecast period due to rapid industrialization, urbanization, and rising demand from various end-use industries such as packaging, automotive, construction, and electronics. China, India, Japan, and South Korea are key contributors, driven by their expanding manufacturing sectors and growing population. Moreover the increasing consumerism and demand for flexible packaging solutions. In the automotive sector, polymers are essential for lightweight and fuel-efficient vehicle production contributing to market expansion.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Polymer market include Dow Inc., BASF SE, LyondellBasell Industries, ExxonMobil Chemical Company, SABIC, Royal DSM., Covestro AG, Formosa Plastics Corporation, Evonik Industries AG, Chevron Phillips Chemical Company, Sadara Chemical Company., Huntsman Corporation, Mitsui Chemicals Inc, Eastman Chemical Company.
In July 2024, BASF launched game-changing heat and light stabilizer Tinuvin(R) NOR(R) 211 AR for sustainable farming practices. Tinuvin NOR 211 AR offers an effective value-in-use solution for agricultural plastics exposed to intense UV radiation, thermal stress, and inorganic chemicals commonly used in crop management and disinfection.
In July 2024, BASF introduced Haptex(R) 4.0, the future of sustainable synthetic leather, owing to its recyclability, Haptex 4.0 is also produced without any waste residue, and hence a more sustainable manufacturing process.
In May 2024, ExxonMobil completed acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources. The merger of ExxonMobil and Pioneer creates an Unconventional business with the largest, high-return development potential in the Permian Basin.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.