市场调查报告书
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2030 年商用车市场预测:按车辆类型、推进类型、动力来源、最终用户和地区分類的全球分析Commercial Vehicles Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type, Propulsion Type, Power Source, End User and by Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2024年全球商用车市场价值将达到12,827.3亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为9.3%,到2030年将达到21,870.4亿美元。
商用车辆主要促进商业环境中人员和产品的移动。此类别包括各种车辆,包括卡车、货车、巴士和计程车,每种车辆都是为了满足特定行业的需求而设计的。商用车辆对于物流和运输行业至关重要,因为它们可以让产品轻鬆地从生产商转移到经销商再到最终客户。此外,它们是大众交通工具不可或缺的一部分,提供可靠且有效的交通方式。
根据美国卡车运输协会 (ATA) 的数据,卡车运输业运输了美国近 70% 的货运吨位,这表明商用车在美国经济中发挥重要作用。
最后一哩配送的需求不断增加
最后一英里交付(将货物从配送中心运送到最终客户的交付的最后阶段)的重要性随着网路购物的兴起而凸显。在这个阶段确保客户满意度至关重要,因为快速、准确的交付至关重要。此外,对最后一哩交付解决方案不断增长的需求增加了对灵活、高效且能够在城市环境中按时交付货物的轻型商用车的需求。
燃料成本波动
商用车营运成本可能会受到燃油价格极端波动的显着影响。随着燃料价格上涨,运输成本也会上涨,可能会损害物流和快递公司的利润率。这种波动可能会使公司难以正确规划和预算,并可能导致机队更新和扩张延迟。此外,某些地区燃油价格的不可预测性可能会阻碍公司投资新的商用车,并鼓励他们寻找其他交通选择。
电动商用车的成长
随着永续性和减少碳排放变得越来越重要,商用车销售面临着巨大的机会。随着公司寻求减少对环境的影响并满足严格的排放标准,电动商用车 (ECV) 的使用越来越受欢迎。由于电池技术和可靠的充电基础设施的进步,ECV 变得更加实用和实惠。此外,各国政府也提供税收减免和补贴等奖励,以鼓励电动车的使用。由于这一趋势,製造商有巨大的机会来製造和销售各种电动卡车、货车和巴士。
网路安全风险与技术颠覆
虽然技术进步带来许多好处,但商用车市场也面临新的威胁。科技的快速进步需要对新设备和员工培训的持续投资,这可能会导致财务资源紧张。商用车中数位技术和连接的日益融合也引发了人们对网路安全的担忧。资料外洩和网路攻击可能会严重扰乱业务、危及安全,并使企业损失数百万美元。此外,製造商和营运商还面临确保联网汽车和自动驾驶车辆的安全性以维持客户信任和监管合规性的挑战。
COVID-19 大流行对需求、供应链和生产造成了重大干扰,对商用车市场产生了重大影响。由于封锁和限制,汽车销量下降,製造设施暂时关闭,零件交付延迟。这场大流行加速了向网路购物的转变,增加了对最后一英里送货服务的需求,同时由于工业活动下降而减少了对远距运输的需求。
重型商用卡车市场预计将在预测期内成为最大的市场
重型商用卡车细分市场在商用车中占据最大的市场占有率,主要是由于其远距运输的本质特征以及能够承载大负载的能力。这些卡车对于采矿、建筑和物流等许多行业至关重要,因为它们可以有效地远距运输重物。此外,国际贸易的增加、基础设施的扩大以及对有效供应链管理的需求不断增加是推动重型卡车需求的主要因素。
电动车 (EV) 领域预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高
在商用车市场中,电动车 (EV) 细分市场的复合年增长率最高。电池技术的进步、更严格的排放法规以及对环境问题的日益关注是这种快速增长的主要原因。世界各国政府制定政策并提供奖励以鼓励电动车的采用,进一步支持了这种成长。与传统内燃机汽车相比,电动车 (EV) 具有许多优势,包括营业成本更低、排放气体更低、运行更安静。
亚太地区占据商用车市场的最大份额。中国、印度等主要经济体正在快速工业化和都市化,导致商用车需求大幅成长,并占据主导地位。庞大且不断增长的人口、不断壮大的中阶以及基础设施发展的进步进一步推动了该地区的市场扩张。此外,亚太地区在商用车行业中占据了重要的市场占有率,这主要是由于主要汽车製造商的存在和具有竞争力的定价策略。
拉丁美洲地区商用车市场的复合年增长率最高。物流和运输投资的增加、基础设施发展措施和经济復苏计画是这项成长的主要驱动力。主要参与者是巴西和墨西哥,受益于客运和货运需求的增加以及政府升级道路网络的努力。此外,该地区不断发展的大都会圈和不断改善的经济环境也促进了商用车销售的高成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Commercial Vehicles Market is accounted for $1282.73 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $2187.04 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 9.3% during the forecast period. Commercial vehicles primarily facilitate the movement of people and products in a commercial setting. A vast variety of vehicles, including trucks, vans, buses, and taxis, are included in this category; each is designed to satisfy the demands of a particular industry. Commercial vehicles are essential to the logistics and transportation industries because they make it easier for products to be moved from producers to distributors and final customers. Moreover, they are an essential component of public transportation, offering dependable and effective ways to get around.
According to the American Trucking Associations (ATA), the trucking industry is responsible for moving nearly 70% of all freight tonnage in the United States, underscoring the critical role that commercial vehicles play in the nation's economy.
Growing requirement for delivery in the last mile
The importance of last-mile delivery, which is the last stage of delivery where products are transported from a distribution center to the final customer, has been brought to light by the rise in online shopping. Ensuring customer satisfaction during this phase is crucial because prompt and precise deliveries are essential. Additionally, the need for light commercial vehicles that are nimble, effective, and able to maneuver through urban settings in order to deliver goods on time has increased due to the growing demand for last-mile delivery solutions.
Varying costs of fuel
The operating costs of commercial vehicles can be greatly impacted by the extreme volatility of fuel prices. The cost of transportation goes up with rising fuel prices, which can hurt logistics and delivery companies' profit margins. Businesses find it difficult to properly plan and budget because of this volatility, which could cause delays in fleet renewal or expansion. Furthermore, the unpredictability of fuel prices in certain areas can discourage businesses from investing in new commercial vehicles and push them to look for other forms of transportation.
Growth of electric commercial automobiles
Commercial vehicle sales have a big chance as sustainability and cutting carbon emissions become more and more important. The use of electric commercial vehicles (ECVs) is growing in popularity as companies look to reduce their environmental impact and meet strict emission standards. ECVs are becoming more practical and affordable thanks to developments in battery technology and a reliable charging infrastructure. Additionally, governments everywhere are providing incentives to encourage the use of electric vehicles, including tax breaks and subsidies. Manufacturers have a great chance to create and sell a variety of electric trucks, vans, and buses thanks to this trend.
Cybersecurity risks and technological disruption
While there are many benefits to technological advancements, the market for commercial vehicles also faces new threats. Quick advances in technology necessitate ongoing investments in new equipment and employee training, which can put strain on financial resources. Concerns about cybersecurity are also raised by the growing integration of digital technologies and connectivity features in commercial vehicles. Data breaches and cyberattacks have the potential to seriously impair operations, jeopardize security, and cost a large amount of money. Furthermore, manufacturers and operators are facing an increasing challenge in ensuring the security of connected and autonomous vehicles in order to uphold customer confidence and regulatory compliance.
The COVID-19 pandemic caused major disruptions in demand, supply chains, and production, which had a profound effect on the commercial vehicle market. Vehicle sales decreased, manufacturing facilities experienced temporary shutdowns, and component deliveries were delayed as a result of lockdowns and restrictions. The pandemic hastened the transition to online shopping, increasing the need for last-mile delivery services while decreasing the need for long-distance transportation as a result of a decline in industrial activity.
The Heavy-duty Commercial Trucks segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The heavy-duty commercial truck segment commands the largest market share among commercial vehicles, mainly because of its indispensable function in long-distance transportation and ability to tow large loads. Because they can move heavy loads over long distances with efficiency, these trucks are vital to many industries, such as mining, construction, and logistics. Additionally, the rise in international trade, the expansion of infrastructure, and the growing demand for effective supply chain management are the main factors driving the demand for heavy trucks.
The Electric Vehicle (EV) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
In the commercial vehicle market, the electric vehicle (EV) segment is growing at the highest CAGR. Advances in battery technology, stricter emission regulations, and growing environmental concerns are the main causes of this surge. This growth is being further fuelled by governments around the world enacting policies and offering incentives to encourage the adoption of electric vehicles. Compared to conventional internal combustion engine vehicles, electric vehicles (EVs) have a number of benefits, such as lower operating costs, lower emissions, and quieter operating vehicles.
Within the commercial vehicle market, the Asia-Pacific region has the largest share. Major economies like China and India are rapidly industrializing and becoming more urbanized, which has greatly increased demand for commercial vehicles and contributed to their dominance. Further supporting market expansion in the area is its sizable and expanding population, growing middle class, and increased infrastructure development. Moreover, Asia-Pacific has a significant market share in the commercial vehicle industry, which is largely due to the presence of major vehicle manufacturers and competitive pricing strategies.
The commercial vehicle market is growing at the highest CAGR in the Latin America region. Increased investments in logistics and transportation, infrastructure development initiatives, and economic recovery programs are the main drivers of this growth. Key players include Brazil and Mexico, which gain from increased demand for both passenger and freight transportation as well as from government initiatives to upgrade road networks. Additionally, the region's growing metropolitan areas and improving economic climate are also factors in the strong growth rate of commercial vehicle sales.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Commercial Vehicles market include Tata Motors Limited, General Motors Company, Bosch Rexroth AG, Volkswagen AG, Ford Motor Company, AB Volvo, Toyota Motor Corporation, Mitsubishi Motors Corporation, Daimler AG, Navistar International Corporation, Mercedes-Benz Group AG, Ashok Leyland Limited, Hyundai Motor Company, Robert Bosch GmbH, Mahindra & Mahindra Limited and Isuzu Motors Limited.
In February 2024, Volkswagen Group and Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. (M&M) have signed the first supply agreement on components of Volkswagen's MEB for Mahindra's purpose-built electric platform INGLO, taking a definitive step further on their joint vision for e-mobility collaboration. The deal covers the supply of certain electric components as well as unified cells.
In October 2023, General Motors and the United Auto Workers union have reached a tentative contract agreement that could end a six-week-old strike against Detroit automakers, a person briefed on the deal. The deal follows the pattern set with Ford last week and Jeep maker Stellantis over the weekend.
In October 2023, Tata Motors and Freight Commerce Solutions Private Limited ('Freight Tiger') have signed a Securities Subscription Agreement (SSA) and a Shareholders Agreement (SHA) for the acquisition of 26.79% stake in 'Freight Tiger' for a consideration of Rs 150 Crores. The SSA also includes a provision enabling Tata Motors to further invest Rs 100 Crores over the next two years, at the then prevailing market value.