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到 2030 年大型燃气涡轮机服务市场预测:按服务类型、涡轮机容量、涡轮机类型、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Heavy Duty Gas Turbine Service Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Service Type (Maintenance and Repair Services, Upgrades and Retrofit Services, Spare Parts Supply and Overhaul), Turbine Capacity, Turbine Type, End User and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2024年全球大型燃气涡轮机服务市场规模为185.6亿美元,预计将以10.5%的复合年增长率成长,到2030年达到337.9亿美元。
用于发电的大型燃气涡轮机的维护、修理和大修 (MRO) 服务是重型燃气涡轮机服务业务的主要重点。这些关键组件的容量通常超过 75MW,并提供可靠、有效的发电。性能优化、升级、零件更换、检查都可以在市场上找到。老化的机队、涡轮机技术的进步以及对可靠发电的日益增长的需求是成长的关键驱动力。
根据国际能源总署 (IEA) 的数据,到 2019年终,全球天然气消费量总量将相当于约 7,601 万太焦耳 (TJ-gross)。该机构也宣布,总摄取量较 2018 年约 7,459 万太焦增长,与前一年同期比较去年同期增加约 142 万太焦。
发电需求不断成长
新兴国家和人口成长导致的发电需求不断增长是推动大型燃气涡轮机市场的因素。随着经济发展和人口成长,电力需求不断增加,促使新电厂的建设和现有电厂的扩建。与其他基于石化燃料的技术相比,燃气涡轮机因其有效性、可靠性和相对较低的排放气体而成为越来越受欢迎的发电选择。为了维持最佳性能和运转率,燃气涡轮机发电厂需要增加维护、修理和大修服务。
天然气价格波动
天然气价格波动对营业成本和投资决策有重大影响。由于天然气是燃气涡轮机的主要燃料,价格波动导致发电设备的营业成本增加。为了节省资金,随着价格上涨,营运商可能会透过改进维护和服务选项来最大限度地提高涡轮机效率。另一方面,较低的天然气价格可能会鼓励对涡轮机技术的投资并提高运转率。为了在不断变化的市场环境中保持可靠性和效率,服务提供者必须不断改进其产品。
政府提高能源效率的倡议
世界各国政府正透过各种措施提高大型燃气涡轮机服务市场的能源效率。这包括设定最低效率要求,为安装或改造更节能的涡轮机提供财政奖励,赞助研究和开发倡议,教育公众有关能源效率的好处,并鼓励燃气涡轮机运营商报告并建立法律体制确保遵守能源效率准则。这些倡议的目标是减少使用燃气涡轮机发电时产生的能源使用和温室气体排放。
技术复杂性和技能短缺
技术复杂性和技术纯熟劳工的缺乏给大型燃气涡轮机维修作业带来了挑战。现代设计和材料正在增加对专业维护和维修的需求。然而,退休、劳动力变化和疫情造成了合格技术人员的严重短缺。结果,服务提供者被迫僱用缺乏经验的员工或依赖分包商,这可能会降低服务品质。需要创新的培训解决方案和人力资源开发来确保可靠的涡轮机操作和维护。
COVID-19 的影响
大型燃气涡轮机维护产业受到COVID-19疫情的严重影响,造成供应链和营运困难。由于停工和社交距离措施,工业活动受到干扰,对涡轮机效率至关重要的维护和维修服务也被推迟。此外,疫情期间能源需求的减少迫使许多设施限制营运能力,导致对燃气涡轮机服务的需求减少。然而,随着疫苗宣传活动的进展和企业恢復运营,由于对可靠能源来源的需求,我们预计服务需求将稳定復苏。
大型涡轮机产业预计将成为预测期内最大的细分市场
由于对可靠、高效能源来源的需求不断增长,尤其是在石油、天然气和发电行业,大型涡轮机领域预计将是最大的。重型涡轮机因其多功能性和高功率而在减少污染物和提高工业运作效率方面受到青睐。清洁能源解决方案的监管要求进一步推动了对大型涡轮机的投资,使其对于当前和未来各种应用的能源供应至关重要。
预计发电业在预测期内复合年增长率最高
由于能源消耗增加、经济扩张以及对环境问题的担忧,发电行业预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高。随着经济和人口的成长,对能源的需求增加,导致新发电厂的建设和现有发电厂的开发增加。与其他石化燃料的技术相比,燃气涡轮机因其可靠性、效率和相对较低的排放而成为发电的流行选择。
由于快速的都市化和工业化以及能源消耗的增加,预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。中国和印度等国家正在投资燃气涡轮机技术,以满足其不断增长的电力需求。该行业也受到法律规范和环境问题的推动。政府电气化和基础设施维修计画需要定期维护和改进,以确保最大效率并遵守环境法规。
由于对节能发电的需求不断增长,预计北美在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。更环保的能源来源和更严格的环境要求的趋势正在推动工业界采用先进的涡轮机技术,以减少排放并提高效率。主要製造商和服务供应商目前正在推动行业创新和竞争,帮助市场蓬勃发展。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Heavy Duty Gas Turbine Service Market is accounted for $18.56 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $33.79 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 10.5% during the forecast period. The maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for large-scale gas turbines used in power production are the main emphasis of the heavy-duty gas turbine service business. These vital parts, which often have capacities greater than 75 MW, provide dependable and effective energy generation. Performance optimization, upgrades, component replacements, and inspections are all available in the market. Aging fleets, advances in turbine technology, and the growing need for dependable power generation are the main drivers of growth.
According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), the total natural gas consumption across the globe equaled about 76.01 million terajoule-gross (TJ-gross) by the end of 2019. The organization also published that the total intake observed a year-on-year increase of around 1.42 million TJ-gross rising from nearly 74.59 million TJ-gross in 2018.
Growing demand for power generation
The growing need for electricity generation driven by emerging economies and growing populations is the factor that propels the market for heavy-duty gas turbine services. The need for electricity rises with economic development and population growth, prompting the building of new power plants and the expansion of existing ones. Because of their effectiveness, dependability, and comparatively low emissions as compared to other fossil fuel-based technologies, gas turbines are an increasingly popular choice for power generation. In order to maintain optimal performance and availability, there is an increasing need for maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for gas turbine power plants.
Fluctuating natural gas prices
Fluctuating natural gas prices significantly influencing operational costs and investment decisions. As natural gas is the main fuel source for these turbines, fluctuations in price can result in higher operating costs for facilities that produce electricity. In order to save expenses, operators may try to maximize turbine efficiency through improved maintenance and service options as prices rise. On the other hand, reduced natural gas prices may promote increased turbine technology investments and utilization rates. In order to maintain dependability and efficiency in the face of shifting market conditions, service providers are always required to modify their products.
Government initiatives for energy efficiency
Governments worldwide are promoting energy efficiency in the heavy-duty gas turbine service market through various initiatives. These include establishing minimum efficiency requirements, offering financial incentives for installing or retrofitting more energy-efficient turbines, sponsoring research and development initiatives, educating the public about the advantages of energy efficiency, and placing in place legal frameworks to guarantee gas turbine operators follow reporting and energy efficiency guidelines. The goal of these initiatives is to lower the energy usage and greenhouse gas emissions that come with using gas turbines to generate electricity.
Technical Complexity and Skill Shortages
Technical complexity and a lack of skilled workers provide difficulties for the heavy-duty gas turbine service business. Modern designs and materials have raised the demand for specialist maintenance and repair expertise. However, a severe lack of qualified technicians has resulted from retirements, changes in the workforce, and the pandemic. As a result, service providers have been forced to engage less experienced staff members or rely on subcontractors, which may lower the quality of their services. Innovative training solutions and workforce development are needed to ensure reliable turbine operations and maintenance.
Covid-19 Impact
The heavy-duty gas turbine servicing sector was severely affected by the COVID-19 epidemic, which resulted in supply chain and operational difficulties. Industrial operations were interrupted as a result of lockdowns and social distancing measures, which delayed maintenance and repair services that are crucial for turbine efficiency. Additionally, reduced energy demand during the pandemic forced many facilities to limit their operational capacity, thus diminishing the requirement for gas turbine services. However, a steady recovery in service demand is expected, driven by the necessity for dependable energy sources, as vaccination campaigns advanced and companies began operating again.
The heavy-duty turbines segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The heavy-duty turbines segment is estimated to be the largest, due to the rising demand for dependable and efficient energy sources, especially in the oil and gas and power generation industries. Heavy-duty turbines are preferred because of their versatility and high output when it comes to reducing pollutants and improving operational efficiency in industries. Heavy-duty turbine investments are further driven by regulatory requirements for cleaner energy solutions, which make them indispensable for supplying energy for a variety of uses in the present and future.
The power generation segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The power generation segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period, as a result of growing energy consumption, expanding economies, and environmental concerns. The need for energy increases as economies and populations rise, which prompts an increase in the building of new power plants and the development of current ones. Due to their dependability, efficiency, and comparatively low emissions as compared to other fossil fuel-based technologies, gas turbines are a common option for power generation.
Asia Pacific is expected to have the largest market share during the forecast period due to the fast-growing urbanization and industrialization, rising energy consumption. Gas turbine technology is being invested in by nations like China and India to meet their increasing electricity demands. The industry is also driven by regulatory frameworks and environmental concerns. Programs for government electrification and infrastructure renovation require routine maintenance and improvements to ensure maximum efficiency and adherence to environmental regulations.
North America is projected to witness the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to a rising need for energy-efficient power generation. Advanced turbine technologies that offer reduced emissions and more efficiency are being adopted by industry due to the trend towards greener energy sources and stricter environmental requirements. Major producers and service providers are current, which promotes innovation and competition in the industry and helps the market flourish.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Heavy Duty Gas Turbine Service Market include Ansaldo Energia, General Electric, Siemens Energy, Mitsubishi Power, Rolls-Royce Holdings plc, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, EthosEnergy, Hitachi Zosen Corporation, Baker Hughes, Solar Turbines, MAN Energy Solutions, MTU Aero Engines, Doosan Heavy Industries & Construction, Sulzer Ltd, ABB Group, Wartsila, Centrax Gas Turbines, John Wood Group, Alstom Power, and Shanghai Electric Group.
In April 2023, Mitsubishi launched Tomoni, its suite of AI-driven digital solutions for monitoring and optimizing gas turbine operations, offering real-time insights and predictive maintenance
In March 2023, General Electric introduced hydrogen-ready gas turbine upgrades, allowing existing turbines to run on a hydrogen-natural gas blend to reduce carbon emissions. This launch aligns with GE's strategy to support decarbonization in power generation.
In February 2023, Siemens introduced its SIESTART Hybrid gas turbine solution, integrating battery storage with gas turbines to increase efficiency and support quick response in power generation during peak demand.