![]() |
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1587642
2030 年碳氢化合物市场预测:按类型、来源、应用和地区分類的全球分析Hydrocarbon Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Aliphatic Hydrocarbons, Aromatic Hydrocarbons and Other Types), Source, Application and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2024年全球碳氢化合物市场规模将达到4,381亿美元,预计2030年将达到6,286亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为6.2%。
碳氢化合物是由氢和碳原子组成的有机化合物,作为原油、天然气、煤炭等石化燃料的主要成分,在能源领域至关重要。碳氢化合物有两种:脂肪族和芳香族。根据其分子结构和大小,碳氢化合物在室温下以气态、液态或固体存在。这些碳氢化合物用于能源生产以及塑胶、溶剂等的製造。
根据牛津经济研究院预测,到2030年,全球建筑业产值预计将成长85%,达到15.5兆美元,其中三个领先国家是美国、中国和印度。
全球能源需求增加
碳氢化合物在运输、製造和发电等领域中发挥着重要作用。对建筑、电子和汽车中必不可少的碳氢化合物石化产品的需求不断增加,进一步扩大了碳氢化合物的应用范围。能源需求的成长正在吸引对碳氢化合物领域的投资,从而导致新领域的开发和技术创新,从而提高开采和生产效率。
环境问题
世界各国政府正在製定更严格的法律来减少碳氢化合物的二氧化碳排放。这些法律包括限制采矿、碳排放税以及推广绿色能源来源以限制其扩张。此外,环境问题导致公众对碳氢化合物公司的审查力度加大,使其难以获得社会许可,并面临相关人员和当地社区的强烈反对,导致计划核准也可能难以扩大。
采矿和生产技术创新
水平钻井和水力压裂等技术的进步大大提高了碳氢化合物开采的效率,使得开采以前无法开采的石油和天然气矿床成为可能,特别是在页岩地层中。因此,美国的页岩油气产量正在迅速增加,并且透过增加产量和降低营运成本,它们正在增加在全球市场的影响力。
与自然能源的竞争
国际能源总署(IEA)表示,随着各国转向水力发电、风能和太阳能等清洁能源来源,对石化燃料的需求预计将下降。特别是,再生能源来源的使用不断增加的交通和发电行业预计将阻碍市场成长。
COVID-19大流行对碳氢化合物市场产生了严重影响,由于停工和经济活动减少,导致全球需求急剧下降。主要产油国实施减产稳定物价,新计画投资明显放缓。随着经济逐步重新开放,需求已开始復苏,但向可再生能源的转变和对石化燃料的更严格监管引起了碳氢化合物行业的长期担忧。
预计脂肪烃产业在预测期内将是最大的
预计脂肪族碳氢化合物领域将在整个预测期内获得最大的市场占有率。这是因为脂肪族烃是各领域不可或缺的原料。脂肪烃主要用于生产化学中间体、润滑剂和溶剂。此外,由于其高适应性,在建筑、汽车、製药等行业的需求量很大,使其在碳氢化合物行业中变得越来越重要。
预计液化石油气产业在预测期间内复合年增长率最高
液化石油气产业预计将在预测期内显着成长,因为它是一种用途广泛的能源来源,用于住宅供暖、烹饪、工业加工和运输等各个行业。它也是石化产品的关键原料,增加了在碳氢化合物市场的重要性。低碳排放使其成为永续性目标的一个有吸引力的选择,并且与全球脱碳努力的结合支持了市场的进一步成长。
预计北美地区在估计期间将占据最大的市场占有率。水平钻井和水力压裂等技术创新大大扩大了美国页岩气产业的碳氢化合物供应。因此,国内产量也在增加。随着北美经历人口增长、都市化和工业化,碳氢化合物对于供暖、发电和运输至关重要。
预计亚太地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。这是因为政府政策、能源基础设施投资和法律规范对于确保该地区的能源供应和促进探勘和生产活动至关重要。包装、建筑和医疗保健等行业对石化产品的需求不断增加,进一步刺激了对碳氢化合物的需求并推动市场成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Hydrocarbon Market is accounted for $438.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $628.6 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 6.2% during the forecast period. Hydrocarbons are organic compounds made up of hydrogen and carbon atoms, essential in the energy sector as primary components of fossil fuels like crude oil, natural gas, and coal. They can be aliphatic or aromatic, with aliphatic hydrocarbons being alkanes, alkenes, and alkynes, and aromatic hydrocarbons having aromatic rings. Hydrocarbons can exist in gaseous, liquid, or solid states at room temperature, depending on their molecular structure and size. These hydrocarbons are used in energy production and manufacturing products like plastics and solvents.
According to Oxford Economics, it is estimated that the global construction industry output increase by 85% to reach US$ 15.5 Tn by 2030, with the three major countries -the U.S., China, and India.
Increasing global energy demand
Hydrocarbons are crucial in sectors like transportation, manufacturing, and power generation. The increasing demand for petrochemical products from hydrocarbons, essential in construction, electronics, and automotive, further expands the scope of hydrocarbon applications. This growth in energy demand attracts investments in the hydrocarbon sector, leading to the development of new fields and technological innovations improving extraction and production efficiency.
Environmental concerns
Stricter laws are being put in place by governments all over the world to lower carbon emissions from hydrocarbons. These laws include restrictions on extraction, carbon taxes, and the promotion of greener energy sources limiting their ability to expand. Further, environmental concerns have raised public scrutiny of hydrocarbon corporations, which could lead to social license difficulties and pushback from stakeholders and communities, making project approvals and expansions more difficult.
Innovations in extraction and production technologies
Advances in technology such as horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing have greatly increased the efficiency of hydrocarbon extraction, making it possible to recover previously unreachable oil and gas deposits, particularly in shale formations. As a result, shale oil and gas production has surged in nations like the US due to higher output levels and reduced operating costs boosting the global market presence.
Competition from renewables
The demand for fossil fuels is expected to decrease as nations switch to cleaner energy sources like hydropower, wind, and solar, according to the International Energy Agency. This change, which is motivated by climate goals, is anticipated to have an effect on the market share of hydrocarbons, especially in the transportation and power generating industries where renewable energy sources are being utilized more and more hampering the market growth.
The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted the hydrocarbon market, leading to a dramatic decline in global demand due to lockdowns and reduced economic activity. Production cuts were implemented by major oil-producing nations to stabilize prices, while investments in new projects slowed significantly. As economies gradually reopened, demand began to recover, but the shift towards renewable energy sources and increased regulatory scrutiny of fossil fuels raised long-term concerns for the hydrocarbon sector.
The aliphatic hydrocarbons segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The aliphatic hydrocarbons segment is predicted to secure the largest market share throughout the forecast period because in many different sectors, aliphatic hydrocarbons are essential raw materials. They are mostly employed in the production of chemical intermediates, lubricants, and solvents. In addition their adaptability fuels substantial demand in industries like construction, automotive, and pharmaceuticals, hence reinforcing their significance in the hydrocarbon industry.
The liquefied petroleum gas segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The liquefied petroleum gas segment is projected to witness substantial growth during the projection period as it is a versatile energy source used in various sectors, including residential heating, cooking, industrial processes, and transportation. It's also a key feedstock for petrochemicals, enhancing its importance in the hydrocarbon market. Its lower carbon emissions make it an attractive option for sustainability targets, aligning with global decarbonization efforts thereby encouraging in further market growth.
During the estimation period, the North America region is expected to capture the largest market share owing to technological innovations like horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing, the US shale gas sector has greatly expanded the supply of hydrocarbons. As a result, domestic production has increased. Hydrocarbons are essential for heating, power production, and transportation in North America due to the region's expanding population, urbanization, and industrialization.
Over the forecasted timeframe, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR due to government policies and investments in energy infrastructure and regulatory frameworks are crucial for securing energy supply and promoting exploration and production activities in the region. The increasing demand for petrochemicals in industries like packaging, construction, and healthcare further stimulates hydrocarbon demand, enhancing market growth.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Hydrocarbon Market include Celanese Corporation, Chevron Corporation, China Petrochemical Corporation, Dow, DuPont, Eastman Chemical Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Indian Oil Corporation Ltd., Lesco Chemical Limited, LyondellBasell Industries Holdings B.V, Recochem Corporation, Reliance Industries Limited., Royal Dutch Shell, Saudi Arabian Oil Co and TotalEnergies.
In April 2024, Celanese Corporation announced several strategic milestones at its Clear Lake, Texas, and Nanjing, China, plants to enhance the competitive cost position, sustainable footprint and operational flexibility of the Acetyl Chain (AC) business and allow it to meet future demand growth.
In October 2024, DuPont announced the successful completion of a significant expansion for photoresist manufacturing capacity at the DuPont Sasakami Site in Agano-shi, Niigata, Japan. The project was celebrated with a traditional Japanese Tamagushi Houten Ceremony, symbolizing wishes for continued success, prosperity and peace.
In October 2024, Exxon Mobil Corporation has executed the largest offshore carbon dioxide (CO2) storage lease in the U.S. with the Texas General Land Office (GLO). The over 271,000-acre site complements the onshore CO2 storage portfolio ExxonMobil is developing, and further solidifies the U.S. Gulf Coast as a carbon capture and storage (CCS) leader.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.