市场调查报告书
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1617080
2030 年大豆市场预测:按产品类型、来源、分销管道、形式、应用和地区进行的全球分析Soybean Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product Type (Soybean Seeds, Soybean Oil, Soy Meal, Soy Protein, Soy Lecithin and Other Product Types), Source, Distribution Channel, Form, Application and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC的数据,2024年全球大豆市场规模为1,664亿美元,预计在预测期内将以6.6%的复合年增长率成长,到2030年达到2,441.7亿美元。
大豆是原产于东亚的豆类,因其种子而被广泛种植,富含蛋白质、油和其他必需营养素。大豆以其多功能性而闻名,可用于多种食品,包括豆腐、豆奶、酱油和牲畜饲料。大豆油是用于烹饪和工业用途的主要植物油。它也是植物蛋白的主要来源,因此经常用于纯素食和素食饮食,并且对于生质燃料的生产至关重要。
根据美国,2023年美国豆油产量将达1,228万吨,高于2019年的1,130万吨。豆油需求的成长预计将在预测期内加强市场。
对植物性蛋白质的需求不断增加
植物蛋白的日益普及是推动大豆市场成长的主要因素。随着越来越多的消费者转向素食、纯素和弹性素食,富含优质蛋白质的大豆已成为植物性食品的关键成分。大豆蛋白用于多种产品,包括肉类替代品、乳製品替代品和富含蛋白质的零嘴零食,吸引了注重健康的消费者和寻求永续食品的消费者。人们对植物性饮食的环境效益的认识不断提高,进一步推动了对大豆产品的需求,使大豆成为全球食品产业重要的蛋白质来源。
过量摄取大豆引发的健康问题
对大豆过量摄取潜在健康风险的担忧正在影响大豆市场。一些研究表明,过量摄取豆製品,尤其是含有植物雌激素的豆製品,会破坏荷尔蒙平衡,导致甲状腺功能障碍和生殖健康问题等问题。此外,过量摄取可能会对大豆过敏的人造成风险。这些担忧导致一些消费者谨慎行事,其中一些消费者避开豆製品,转而选择其他植物性蛋白质来源。儘管适量摄取大豆对健康有益,但这些与健康相关的担忧可能会影响对豆製品的需求,特别是在某些市场和人口统计中。
大豆种植技术创新
大豆种植技术创新为大豆市场的扩大做出了重大贡献。基因改造 (GM) 种子、精密农业和先进灌溉技术等创新正在提高作物产量,并使大豆生产更加高效和富有弹性。例如,基因改造大豆经过改造可以抵抗害虫和环境压力,减少对农药的需求并提高整体生产力。此外,感测器和卫星图像等资料主导技术使农民能够优化种植、灌溉和收穫过程,进一步提高生产效率,并有助于满足全球对大豆日益增长的需求。
气候变迁和天气风险
气候变迁和天气相关风险对大豆市场构成主要障碍。大豆对天气高度敏感,干旱、洪水和意外温度变化等极端事件会严重影响作物产量。在美国中西部和巴西等主要产区,降雨模式的变化和干旱期的延长可能会导致产量下降和生产成本上升。这些不可预测的天气事件不仅扰乱供应链,还会导致市场价格波动,使生产商难以製定计划,影响全球大豆供应,最终影响世界贸易。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19 大流行对大豆市场产生了多种影响。最初,全球供应链的中断,包括劳动力短缺和运输延误,给大豆生产和分销带来了挑战。然而,随着消费者寻求更健康的食品,这种流行病也导致对植物蛋白的需求增加。植物性饮食的兴起增加了对豆製品的需求,尤其是肉类替代品。此外,牲畜饲料生产的中断增加了对豆粕的依赖,进一步增加了对大豆的需求。
预计豆粕产业在预测期内将是最大的
由于用作高蛋白动物饲料,特别是在家禽、生猪和畜牧业中,豆粕市场预计是最大的。随着世界对肉类和乳製品的需求增加,对高效、营养的动物饲料的需求也增加。此外,由于环境和健康问题,转向更永续的植物性饲料使得大豆粕更加受欢迎。大豆粕具有成本效益高、营养丰富的特点,是全球首选的牲畜饲料。
预计动物饲料产业在预测期内复合年增长率最高。
由于大豆粕是牲畜蛋白质的重要来源,因此动物饲料产业预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高。随着全球肉类和乳製品消费的增加,特别是在新兴经济体,对高品质、具成本效益的动物饲料的需求不断增加。大豆是一种受欢迎的饲料原料,因为它们蛋白质含量高、易于消化、营养价值高。此外,永续植物来源动物饲料的成长趋势进一步促进了大豆在动物营养中的使用。
由于健康意识的提高和植物性饮食的普及,对豆腐、豆奶和大豆蛋白等豆製品的需求不断增加,预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。此外,该地区畜牧业不断扩大,推动了对大豆粕作为关键饲料原料的需求。都市化进程的加速、收入的增加和饮食模式的改变进一步增加了对豆製品的需求。此外,中国和印度等国家生质燃料生产的扩大也支持了该地区大豆市场的成长。
由于食品、饲料和生质燃料产业对豆基产品的强劲需求,预计北美在预测期内将呈现最高的复合年增长率。美国是大豆主要生产国和出口国,作为植物性食品和肉类替代品的大豆蛋白消费量正在增加。畜牧业的成长将进一步推动饲料级豆粕的需求。此外,在政府政策和永续性目标的支持下,生物柴油产量的增加正在促进北美大豆市场的持续成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Soybean Market is accounted for $166.40 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $244.17 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 6.6% during the forecast period. Soybean is a leguminous plant native to East Asia, widely cultivated for its seeds, which are rich in protein, oil, and other essential nutrients. Known for its versatility, soybeans are used in a variety of food products, including tofu, soy milk, and soy sauce, as well as animal feed. Soybean oil is a major vegetable oil used in cooking and industrial applications. The plant is also a key source of plant-based protein, making it a popular ingredient in vegan and vegetarian diets, and is crucial for biofuel production.
According to the USDA, U.S. soybean oil production reached 12.28 million metric tons in 2023, up from 11.3 million metric tons in 2019. This growing demand for soybean oil is set to bolster the market during the forecast period.
Increasing demand for plant-based proteins
The rising popularity of plant-based proteins is a key factor driving growth in the soybean market. As more consumers shift toward vegetarian, vegan, and flexitarian diets, soybeans, which are rich in high-quality protein, have become a key ingredient in plant-based food products. Soy protein is used in a wide range of meat alternatives, dairy substitutes, and protein-rich snacks, appealing to health-conscious consumers and those seeking sustainable food options. The growing awareness of the environmental benefits of plant-based diets further boosts the demand for soy-based products, positioning soybeans as a critical source of protein in the global food industry.
Health concerns over excessive soy consumption
Concerns about the potential health risks of consuming too much soy are affecting the soybean market. Some studies suggest that high intake of soy products, particularly those containing phytoestrogens, may disrupt hormonal balance, potentially leading to issues like thyroid dysfunction or reproductive health concerns. Additionally, excessive consumption may pose risks for individuals with soy allergies. These concerns have led to cautious consumer behavior, with some avoiding soy-based products in favour of other plant-based protein sources. Despite the health benefits of moderate soy consumption, these growing health-related worries may influence the demand for soy products, particularly in certain markets and demographics.
Technological advancements in soybean farming
Technological innovations in soybean farming are significantly contributing to the expansion of the soybean market. Innovations such as genetically modified (GM) seeds, precision farming, and advanced irrigation techniques have enhanced crop yields, making soybean production more efficient and resilient. GM soybeans, for example, are designed to be resistant to pests, diseases, and environmental stress, which reduces the need for pesticides and increases overall productivity. Additionally, data-driven technologies, like sensors and satellite imagery, enable farmers to optimize planting, irrigation, and harvesting processes, further boosting production efficiency and meeting the rising global demand for soybeans.
Climate change and weather risks
Climate change and weather-related risks present major obstacles to the soybean market. Soybeans are highly sensitive to weather conditions, and extreme events such as droughts, floods, or unexpected temperature shifts can severely impact crop yields. Shifting rainfall patterns and prolonged dry spells in key growing regions, like the U.S. Midwest and Brazil, can lead to reduced harvests and increased production costs. These unpredictable weather events not only disrupt supply chains but also create price volatility in the market, making it harder for producers to plan and affecting global soybean availability, which in turn influences food production and global trade.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic had a mixed impact on the soybean market. Initially, the global supply chain disruptions, including labor shortages and transportation delays, led to challenges in soybean production and distribution. However, the pandemic also led to an increased demand for plant-based proteins as consumers turned to healthier food options. The rise in plant-based diets boosted the demand for soy products, especially in meat alternatives. Additionally, disruptions in animal feed production led to a greater reliance on soymeal, further driving soybean demand.
The soy meal segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The soy meal segment is estimated to be the largest, due to its use as a high-protein animal feed, especially in poultry, swine, and cattle farming. As the global demand for meat and dairy products increases, the need for efficient and nutritious animal feed also rises. Additionally, the shift toward more sustainable and plant-based feed options, due to environmental and health concerns, further boosts the popularity of soy meal. Its cost-effectiveness and high nutritional value make it a preferred choice for livestock feed globally.
The animal feed segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The animal feed segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period, as soy meal, a by-product of soybean processing, is a vital protein source for livestock. As global meat and dairy consumption increases, especially in emerging economies, the need for high-quality, cost-effective animal feed rises. Soybeans are a preferred feed ingredient due to their high protein content, digestibility, and nutritional benefits. Additionally, the growing trend of sustainable and plant-based animal feed options further drives soybean usage in animal nutrition.
Asia Pacific is expected to have the largest market share during the forecast period due to increasing demand for soy-based products, such as tofu, soy milk, and soy protein, due to rising health consciousness and the popularity of plant-based diets. Additionally, the region's growing livestock sector fuels demand for soy meal as a key animal feed ingredient. Increasing urbanization, rising incomes, and changing dietary patterns further contribute to the demand for soy products. Additionally, the expansion of biofuel production in countries like China and India also supports soybean market growth in the region.
North America is projected to witness the highest CAGR over the forecast period, owing to strong demand for soy-based products in food, animal feed, and biofuel sectors. The U.S. is a major producer and exporter of soybeans, with increasing consumption of soy protein in plant-based food products and meat substitutes. The growing livestock industry further boosts the demand for soy meal in animal feed. Additionally, the rise in biodiesel production, supported by government policies and sustainability goals, contributes to the continued growth of the soybean market in North America.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Soybean Market include Cargill, Inc., Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM), Bunge Limited, Louis Dreyfus Company (LDC), Olam Group, China National Chemical Corporation, Wilmar International Limited, Sojaprotein, Golden State Foods Corporation, COFCO Corporation, Sime Darby Plantation, Sinograin, Tate & Lyle PLC, Tyson Foods, Inc., Ruchi Soya Industries Ltd., Adani Wilmar Limited, The Scoular Company, The Andersons, Inc., Bunge Brazil, and Viterra Inc.
In November 2023, Cargill launched a new line of plant-based soy protein products designed for the food industry, aimed at meeting the growing demand for plant-based proteins in meat alternatives and other food products.
In August 2023, Bunge introduced a new soybean oil refining process that increases efficiency and reduces energy consumption, improving sustainability in the production of soybean oil for food and industrial applications.
In May 2023, Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) announced the expansion of its plant-based protein portfolio, including new formulations of soy protein isolates and concentrates to cater to the growing demand for vegan and plant-based foods.
In March 2023, Olam introduced new soy protein concentrates aimed at the food and beverage industry, specifically designed to enhance texture and protein content in meat analogs and snacks.