市场调查报告书
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1617198
2030 年航太物流市场预测:按太空船类型、有效载荷、技术、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Space Logistics Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Spacecraft Type (Manned Spacecraft, Unmanned Spacecraft, Reusable Spacecraft and Other Spacecraft Types), Payload, Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据Stratistics MRC预测,2024年全球太空物流市场规模将达59.2亿美元,预计2030年将达到214.3亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为18.2%。
太空物流是指支援太空任务所需的资源和系统的规划、协调和管理。太空物流包括太空船、卫星和物资的运输、储存和交付。太空物流也涵盖燃料、备件和科学设备等方面,以确保从卫星部署到星际探勘的太空行动及时、安全地执行。
根据瑞银报告,已有 500 多人註册并愿意支付约 25 万美元,参加 2019 年新墨西哥州 VSS Unity 的亚轨道太空旅行。
日益关注太空站运行
对太空站运作日益增长的关注,特别是国际太空站(ISS),将增加对定期补给任务、货物运输和乘员运输的需求。随着各国和私人企业扩大对太空站的研究,对食品、设备、燃料和科学材料运输等持续支援服务的需求不断增加。此外,月球和火星住家周边设施的未来计画将扩大太空物流的格局,促进太空船、货物管理和星际供应链的创新,并刺激市场扩张。
太空碎片风险
太空物流的太空碎片风险源自于退役卫星、用过的火箭级和地球轨道上其他废弃物的堆积。这些碎片对包括货机在内的运作太空船构成威胁,并可能造成碰撞和损坏。随着太空交通的增加,发生与碎片相关的事故的可能性也随之增加,因此必须实施成本高昂的缓解措施。这些风险会增加营运费用、推迟任务并带来监管挑战,从而阻碍市场成长。
扩大太空旅行
随着 SpaceX、蓝色起源和维珍银河等公司推进太空旅游,他们需要专门的太空载人运输、设备和乘客住宿物流。这包括开发可重复使用的太空船、乘客安全系统和在轨设施。此外,人们对太空旅行的兴趣日益浓厚,正在推动太空基础设施的创新,为物流提供者支持商业航太的太空船发射、维护和货物运输创造新的机会,从而加速市场成长。
营运成本高
航太物流运作成本高是由于太空船製造、火箭发射、燃料和维护成本高。开发和维护太空任务的基础设施需要大量投资,特别是在可重复使用的火箭和先进的货运系统方面。此外,安全措施、法规遵循和专业人员也导致高成本。高成本减缓了市场扩张并限制了可及性,尤其是在新兴太空市场。
COVID-19 的影响
COVID-19 大流行推迟了发射,影响了供应链,并因旅行限製而阻碍了物资和人员的流动,从而暂时扰乱了太空物流市场。然而,疫情加速了太空物流的数位转型和创新,增加了对自主系统和虚拟协作的依赖。随着復苏的进展,人们对太空探勘和卫星部署的兴趣再次增加,市场正在復苏。
预计货运物流业在预测期内将是最大的
预计货运补给部门将在整个预测期内获得最大的市场占有率。货物补给中的太空物流涉及太空站、卫星和其他太空任务所必需的物资、设备和科学材料的运输。货运补给物流对于维持长期太空探勘、实现人类在太空的持续存在以及支持科学研究和卫星运作至关重要。
研究机构领域预计在预测期内复合年增长率最高
预计研究机构部门在预测期内将表现出最高的复合年增长率。研究机构的太空物流重点是将科学设备、实验和材料运送到太空进行研究。研究机构依赖太空物流来准确交付精密设备、资料采集系统和其他研究工具。高效率的物流能够促进太空科学和其他领域的进步,支持长期的太空探勘和新技术的开发。
在太空探勘、卫星部署和商业太空营运投资增加的推动下,亚太地区预计将在预测期内创下最大的市场占有率。中国、印度、日本和韩国等国家正在该地区主导太空倡议,重点是推动太空技术、卫星服务和行星际任务。该地区也是一家不断成长的私人航太公司的所在地,致力于推动可重复使用火箭和自主太空船的创新。随着太空基础设施和研究能力的提高,亚太地区正成为全球太空物流的关键参与者。
在政府强劲投资和私营部门创新的推动下,预计北美在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。美国透过 NASA 以及 SpaceX、Blue Origin 和 Rocket Lab 等私人公司在太空探勘、卫星部署和货物补给任务方面处于领先地位。该地区强大的基础设施、可重复使用火箭的技术进步以及不断扩大的太空旅行计划正在推动对高效物流的需求。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Space Logistics Market is accounted for $5.92 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $21.43 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 18.2% during the forecast period. Space logistics refers to the planning, coordination, and management of resources and systems required to support space missions. It involves the transportation, storage, and delivery of spacecraft, satellites, and supplies to and from space. Space logistics also covers aspects such as fuel, spare parts, and scientific instruments, ensuring the timely and safe execution of space operations, from satellite deployment to interplanetary exploration.
According to UBS report, more than 500 individuals signed up, each prepared to pay roughly $250,000 for tickets to suborbital space journeys on the VSS Unity in New Mexico in 2019.
Increased focus on space station operations
Increased focus on space station operations, particularly the International Space Station (ISS) drives demand for regular resupply missions, cargo delivery, and crew transportation. As countries and private entities expand space station research, the need for continuous support services-such as sending food, equipment, fuel, and scientific materials-intensifies. Furthermore, future plans for lunar and Mars habitats will increase the scope for space logistics, promoting innovations in spacecraft, cargo management, and interplanetary supply chains, fueling market expansion.
Risk of space debris
The risk of space debris in space logistics arises from defunct satellites, spent rocket stages, and other discarded objects accumulating in Earth's orbit. This debris poses a threat to operational spacecraft, including cargo transport vehicles, potentially causing collisions or damage. As space traffic increases, the likelihood of debris-related accidents rises, making it essential to implement costly mitigation measures. This risk hampers market growth by increasing operational expenses, delaying missions, and prompting regulatory challenges.
Expansion of space tourism
As companies like SpaceX, Blue Origin, and Virgin Galactic advance in space tourism, they require specialized logistics for crew transport, equipment, and passenger accommodations in space. This includes the development of reusable spacecraft, passenger safety systems, and in-orbit facilities. Additionally, the growing interest in space tourism drives innovations in space infrastructure, creating new opportunities for logistics providers to support spacecraft launches, maintenance, and cargo delivery for commercial space flights, which thereby accelerates the market growth.
High operational costs
High operational costs in space logistics stem from the expensive nature of spacecraft manufacturing, rocket launches, fuel, and maintenance. Developing and maintaining infrastructure for space missions requires significant investment, especially for reusable launch vehicles and advanced cargo systems. Additionally, safety measures, regulatory compliance, and specialized personnel contribute to the high costs. The high costs slow down market expansion and limit accessibility, particularly in emerging space markets.
Covid-19 Impact
The covid-19 pandemic temporarily disrupted the space logistics market by delaying launches, impacting supply chains, and hindering the movement of materials and personnel due to travel restrictions. However, the pandemic accelerated digital transformation and innovation in space logistics, with increased reliance on autonomous systems and virtual collaboration. As recovery progresses, the market is rebounding, with renewed interest in space exploration and satellite deployment.
The cargo resupply segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The cargo resupply segment is predicted to secure the largest market share throughout the forecast period. Space logistics in cargo resupply involves the transportation of essential supplies, equipment, and scientific materials to space stations, satellites, and other space missions. Cargo resupply logistics are crucial for maintaining long-term space exploration, enabling sustained human presence in space and supporting scientific research and satellite operations.
The research institutions segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The research institutions segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR during the forecast period. Space logistics in research institutions focuses on transporting scientific equipment, experiments, and materials to space for research purposes. Research institutions rely on space logistics for precise delivery of sensitive instruments, data collection systems, and other research tools. Efficient logistics enable advancements in space science and other fields, supporting long-term space exploration and the development of new technologies.
Asia Pacific is expected to register the largest market share during the forecast period driven by increasing investments in space exploration, satellite deployment, and commercial space ventures. Countries like China, India, Japan, and South Korea are leading the region's space initiatives, with a focus on advancing space technology, satellite services, and interplanetary missions. The region is also home to growing private space companies, which are pushing innovation in reusable rockets and autonomous spacecraft. As space infrastructure and research capabilities improve, Asia Pacific is emerging as a key player in global space logistics.
North America is projected to witness the highest CAGR over the forecast period fuelled by strong government investment and private sector innovation. The United States, through NASA and private companies like SpaceX, Blue Origin, and Rocket Lab, is at the forefront of space exploration, satellite deployment, and cargo resupply missions. The region's robust infrastructure, technological advancements in reusable rockets, and expanding space tourism initiatives are boosting the demand for efficient logistics.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Space Logistics Market include SpaceX, Northrop Grumman Innovation Systems, Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Thales Alenia Space, Airbus Defence and Space, Impulso.Space, Spaceflight Industries, Sierra Nevada Corporation, Arianespace, Blue Origin, Orbital Sciences Corporation, Rocket Lab, Astroscale, ExPace, Iridium Communications and Maxar Technologies.
In November 2024, Impulso.Space USA Corp. signed a multi-mission launch services contract with D-Orbit, reinforcing a longstanding collaboration that continues to elevate the scope of end-to-end space solutions. This agreement also includes multiple satellite launches as part of upcoming SpaceX Transporter Rideshare missions, with Impulso.Space providing comprehensive mission management services, including all logistical and technical support, from their state-of-the-art facility in Florida.
In February 2022, Northrop Grumman launched the mission robotic vehicle and mission extension pods. These technologies are designed to extend the life of satellites in orbit, reducing the need for new satellites and providing a sustainable, cost-effective solution for satellite maintenance.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.