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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1662597
2030 年汽车凸轮轴市场预测:按车型、製造技术、材料、销售管道和地区进行的全球分析Automotive Camshaft Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Vehicle Type (Passenger Cars and Commercial Vehicles), Manufacturing Technology (Cast Camshaft, Forged Camshaft and Assembled Camshaft), Material, Sales Channel and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球汽车凸轮轴市场预计在 2024 年达到 31 亿美元,到 2030 年将达到 41 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 4.8%。
凸轮轴是内燃机中的旋转轴,用于调节气门的开启和关闭。当轴旋转时,凸角(也称为凸轮)会压向阀门,以精确控制燃料和空气的吸入以及废气的排出。这种协调对于引擎高效运转、功率输出和燃油经济性至关重要。
根据IBIS World的数据,汽车引擎和零件製造业的整体销售额预计将在2024年达到415亿美元。
汽车产量不断成长
由于新兴国家对乘用车和商用车的需求不断增加,产量也不断增加。凸轮轴对于优化引擎性能和燃油经济性至关重要,是内燃机的重要组成部分。引擎技术的进步以及 SUV 和高性能汽车的日益普及推动了对耐用、高效凸轮轴的需求,从而推动了市场成长。
汽车产量成长
与内燃机不同,电动车不需要凸轮轴,从而减少了对该零件的长期需求。随着世界各国政府实施更严格的排放法规,并透过补贴和奖励鼓励人们使用电动车,传统燃料汽车的转型正在加速。这种转变要求製造商必须适应这项变化,探索混合动力汽车零件和替代技术的新机会。
汽车产量不断成长
混合动力汽车将内燃机与电动动力传动系统结合,并需要先进的凸轮轴技术来优化燃油效率和性能。轻量材料和可变气门正时(VVT)系统等技术创新正在提高混合动力汽车的引擎性能。由于排放法规越来越严格以及消费者对环保选择的需求,混合动力汽车的全球销售量激增,凸轮轴製造商完全有能力利用这个不断扩大的市场。
替代引擎技术的开发
无凸轮轴引擎和先进气门驱动系统等替代引擎技术的发展正在威胁传统汽车凸轮轴市场。这些创新旨在不依赖传统的凸轮轴机构来提高燃油经济性并减少排放气体。随着汽车製造商越来越多地寻求这些替代品以满足严格的环境法规,对传统凸轮轴的需求可能会下降。这一趋势将迫使製造商进行创新并多样化产品系列以保持竞争力。
由于汽车生产停顿和供应链中断,COVID-19 疫情扰乱了汽车凸轮轴市场。封锁导致消费者对新车的需求下降,进而影响了凸轮轴的销售。不过,随着疫情过后经济的復苏,汽车产量在强劲需求和基础设施计划投资的推动下出现反弹。这场危机也加速了更轻、更有效率的引擎零件的创新,为该产业带来了长期成长机会。
预测期内,铸造凸轮轴市场预计将成为最大的市场
由于铸造凸轮轴具有成本效益且适合大规模生产,预计在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。铸造凸轮轴广泛用于乘用车和商用车,因为与锻造凸轮轴相比,它们具有更高的耐用性和精度,且製造成本更低。铸造技术的不断进步进一步提高了性能和轻量化特性,使其成为各种车型大规模生产应用的理想选择。
预计预测期内售后市场将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
由于车辆老化导致更换零件的需求增加,预计售后市场将在预测期内见证最高成长率。随着车辆的老化,凸轮轴等关键零件需要经常更换。提供便捷售后产品管道的电子商务平台的兴起正在推动这一领域的成长。此外,再製造凸轮轴的进步为寻求高品质替代品的消费者提供了经济有效的解决方案。
由于欧洲拥有强大的汽车製造基础且专注于先进的引擎技术,预计在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。德国等国家在生产采用可变气门正时(VVT) 等创新凸轮轴设计的高性能汽车方面处于领先地位。该地区更严格的排放法规进一步推动了对可提高燃油经济性并减少污染物的高效引擎部件的需求。
由于中国、印度、日本和韩国等国家的工业化快速发展和汽车产量不断增长,预计亚太地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。可支配收入的提高和都市化正在推动该地区对乘用车和商用车的需求。此外,政府支持国内汽车製造的措施进一步巩固了亚太地区作为汽车凸轮轴市场主要成长区域的地位。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Automotive Camshaft Market is accounted for $3.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $4.1 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 4.8% during the forecast period. Camshafts are revolving shafts found in internal combustion engines that regulate the valves' opening and closing. As the shaft rotates, its lobes, also known as cams, press against the valves to precisely time the intake of fuel and air as well as the release of exhaust gases. For effective engine operation, power output, and fuel economy, this coordinated action is crucial.
According to IBIS World, The overall automobile engine & parts manufacturing industry revenue reached $41.5 billion in 2024.
Growing automotive production
Rising demand for passenger and commercial vehicles, particularly in emerging economies, has led to higher manufacturing volumes. Camshafts, essential for optimizing engine performance and fuel efficiency, are integral to internal combustion engines. With advancements in engine technologies and the growing popularity of SUVs and high-performance vehicles, the need for durable and efficient camshafts continues to rise, driving market growth.
Growing automotive production
Unlike internal combustion engines, EVs do not require camshafts, reducing long-term demand for this component. As governments worldwide implement stricter emission regulations and promote EV adoption through subsidies and incentives, the transition away from traditional fuel-powered vehicles accelerates. This shift challenges manufacturers to adapt by exploring new opportunities in hybrid vehicle components or alternative technologies.
Growing automotive production
Hybrid vehicles combine internal combustion engines with electric powertrains, requiring advanced camshaft technologies to optimize fuel efficiency and performance. Innovations such as lightweight materials and variable valve timing (VVT) systems enhance engine capabilities in hybrids. As global hybrid vehicle sales surge due to stricter emission standards and consumer demand for eco-friendly options, camshaft manufacturers can capitalize on this expanding segment.
Development of alternative engine technologies
The development of alternative engine technologies, such as camless engines and advanced valve actuation systems, threatens the traditional automotive camshaft market. These innovations aim to improve fuel efficiency and reduce emissions without relying on conventional camshaft mechanisms. As automakers increasingly explore these alternatives to meet stringent environmental regulations, the demand for traditional camshafts may decline. This trend forces manufacturers to innovate or diversify their product portfolios to remain competitive.
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the automotive camshaft market due to halted vehicle production and supply chain interruptions. Lockdowns led to reduced consumer demand for new vehicles, impacting camshaft sales. However, as economies recovered post-pandemic, vehicle production rebounded, driven by pent-up demand and investments in infrastructure projects. The crisis also accelerated innovation in lightweight and efficient engine components, fostering long-term growth opportunities for the industry.
The cast camshaft segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The cast camshaft segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to its cost-effectiveness and suitability for mass production. Cast camshafts are widely used in passenger cars and commercial vehicles as they offer durability and precision at a lower manufacturing cost compared to forged alternatives. Continuous advancements in casting techniques have further improved their performance and lightweight properties, making them ideal for high-volume applications across diverse vehicle types.
The aftermarket segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the aftermarket segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate due to increasing demand for replacement parts in aging vehicle fleets. As vehicles age, wear and tear necessitate frequent replacement of critical components like camshafts. The rise of e-commerce platforms offering easy access to aftermarket products boosts this segment's growth. Additionally, advancements in remanufactured camshafts provide cost-effective solutions for consumers seeking high-quality replacements.
During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share due to its strong automotive manufacturing base and focus on advanced engine technologies. Countries like Germany lead in producing high-performance vehicles equipped with innovative camshaft designs such as variable valve timing (VVT). Stringent emission regulations in the region further drive demand for efficient engine components that enhance fuel economy while reducing pollutants.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR owing to rapid industrialization and increasing vehicle production in countries like China, India, Japan, and South Korea. Rising disposable incomes and urbanization boost demand for passenger cars and commercial vehicles in this region. Additionally, government initiatives supporting domestic automotive manufacturing further strengthen Asia Pacific's position as a key growth region for the automotive camshaft market.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Automotive Camshaft Market include MAHLE GmbH, Thyssenkrupp AG, Linamar Corporation, ESTAS Camshaft & Chilled Cast, Precision Camshafts Limited, Engine Power Components Inc., Hirschvogel Holding GmbH, Kautex Textron GmbH & Co. KG, Camshaft Machine Company, COMP Performance Group, Varroc Group, Melling Engine Parts, LACO Camshafts, Sandvik Coromant and Schrick Camshaft.
In April 2024, MAHLE has developed a new valve train system that supports variable valve timing. MAHLE has integrated functions such as engine braking, exhaust gas temperature management, and reduced compression ratio to lower the combustion temperature and pressure level in the valve train.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.