![]() |
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1662718
2030 年农林业市场预测:按产品、系统和地区进行的全球分析Agroforestry Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Product (Timber & Lumber and Fiber Crops, Fruits and Nuts, Vegetables and Herbs, Medicinal Plants and Other Products), System and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球农林业市场预计在 2024 年达到 1,104.1 亿美元,到 2030 年将达到 1,844.6 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 8.93%。农林业是一种永续的土地管理技术,涉及将树木和灌木引入农业景观,以在作物、牲畜和环境之间建立互惠互利的关係。农林业将林业与农业结合在一起,透过固碳来改善土壤健康、增加生物多样性并减缓气候变迁。林带种植、牲畜放牧和防风林都是旨在优化农民经济和环境效益的常见系统的例子。
根据国际林业研究中心(CIFOR-ICRAF)的研究,农林业系统具有巨大的碳封存潜力。研究强调,增加农业用地的树木覆盖率可以吸收大量二氧化碳,使农林业成为缓解气候变迁的重要工具。
人们对生物多样性的兴趣日益浓厚
单一农业和森林砍伐对世界各地生态系统的威胁加速了保护生物多样性的运动。透过恢復劣化地区并为花粉传播者、鸟类和其他野生动物建立栖息地,农林业促进了生态系统的稳定。除了改善授粉和病虫害防治等生态系服务外,多样化的农林业系统(包括多种作物和畜牧业)还可以降低因病虫害造成农作物歉收的可能性。此外,由于其生物多样性,农林业受到永续农业倡议者和有环保意识的消费者的欢迎。
初始和持续投资高
农林业系统通常需要初始成本,包括种植树木、安装灌溉系统和改变土地利用模式。特别是在木材和水果种植的情况下,农林业系统可能需要几年的时间才能产生显着的效益,而传统农业中的农作物在一个季节内就能获利。依赖快速现金收入的人们和资源有限的小农户可能会因经济回报的延迟而望而却步。此外,与树木护理、病虫害管理和采伐相关的成本增加了经济负担,并限制了农林业技术的采用。
解决气候减缓与碳封存问题
随着全球重视减少碳排放和应对气候变化,农林业已成为有用的碳封存技术。农林系统中的树木吸收和储存大量二氧化碳,支持国际碳补偿倡议。作为重新造林计画和碳信用计画的一部分,政府、企业和非政府组织正在增加对农林业运作的投资。此外,农林业实践为农民和土地所有者提供了获得经济奖励和生态系统服务付款(PES)的机会。
不可预测的天气模式和气候变化
儘管农林业被宣传为气候变迁的补救措施,但它并不能免受气候变迁的影响。农林系统中树木、作物和牲畜的生长和生产力会受到不稳定天气模式的严重影响,包括长期干旱、强降雨和突然的气温变化。飓风、洪水和野火是一些极端天气事件的例子,它们可能严重破坏这些系统,导致农民损失并减缓市场扩张。此外,气候条件的变化可能会导致农林业物种在某些地区不再适合,因此需要持续投资于调适和研究。
COVID-19 疫情以多种方式影响了农林业市场。一方面,木材、水果和坚果等农林产品受到物流困难、劳动力短缺和全球供应链中断的影响。封锁和贸易活动的限制导致许多小农户收入损失,市场准入减少。然而,这场疫情也凸显了有弹性和永续的农业实践的重要性,并引发了人们对农林业的兴趣,认为农林业是提高粮食安全、实现收入来源多样化和降低气候变迁风险的一种方式。儘管面临眼前的障碍,许多地区的政府和组织已推出倡议,支持农林业发展,作为疫情后復苏计划的一部分,为该行业的长期增长创造了前景。
木材和纤维作物部分预计将在预测期内成为最大的部分
预计预测期内木材、木材和纤维作物部分将占据最大的市场占有率。这项优势源自于建筑、家具、纸张和纺织品等各行各业对木材和纤维产品的强劲需求。农林业系统将木材树木与作物和牲畜结合在一起,是满足世界木材需求同时解决森林砍伐等环境问题的永续方式。此外,木材生产的长期经济效益和全球对永续林业实践日益增长的兴趣增强了这一领域在农林业市场的主导地位。
预计预测期内农林牧系统部分将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
预计农林业和畜牧业系统部分将在预测期内呈现最高的成长率。该部门将农业、林业和畜牧业结合起来,提供全面的土地管理方法,以提高永续性和生产力。农林牧复合系统的好处包括增加生物多样性、提高土壤肥力并为农民提供多种收入来源。此外,该领域的快速成长很大程度上归因于对综合土地管理解决方案的需求和对永续农业实践的日益关注。
在预测期内,亚太地区预计将占据最大的市场占有率,因为它拥有庞大的农业基础、良好的气候以及对永续农业实践日益增长的需求。中国、印度和印尼等国家正率先引进农林业系统,将作物、树木和牲畜融为一体,以最大限度地利用土地,改善生物多样性,提高土壤肥力。该地区对环境永续性的承诺以及政府对农林业实践的支持努力极大地增强了其市场优势。此外,对粮食安全以及多样化农业系统日益增长的需求也推动了该地区农林业的发展。
预计预测期内中东和非洲的复合年增长率最高。人们对农林业防治水土流失和沙漠化的能力的认识不断提高,以及不断增长的人口对食物、燃料和木材日益增长的需求是这种扩张的主要驱动力。鑑于该地区独特的气候和地理挑战,包括干旱地区和土壤劣化,农林业实践对于恢復劣化的土地和加强粮食安全至关重要。此外,农林业整合系统的使用增加,正在改善环境的永续性,并为当地农民提供新的收入来源,有助于扩大市场。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Agroforestry Market is accounted for $110.41 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $184.46 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.93% during the forecast period. Agroforestry is a sustainable land management technique that establishes a mutually beneficial relationship between crops, livestock, and the environment by incorporating trees and shrubs into agricultural landscapes. Agroforestry, which combines forestry and agricultural practices, improves soil health, increases biodiversity, and slows down climate change by sequestering carbon. Alley cropping, silvopasture, and windbreaks are examples of common systems that are intended to optimize the financial and environmental advantages for farmers.
According to a study conducted by the Centre for International Forestry Research-World Agroforestry (CIFOR-ICRAF), agroforestry systems have significant potential for carbon sequestration. The study highlights that increasing tree cover on agricultural land can capture substantial amounts of CO2, making agroforestry a key tool for mitigating climate change.
Growing interest in biodiversity
The movement to protect biodiversity has accelerated due to the threats that monoculture farming and deforestation pose to ecosystems around the world. By restoring degraded areas and establishing habitats for pollinators, birds, and other wildlife, agro forestry promotes the stability of ecosystems. In addition to improving ecosystem services like pollination and natural pest control, diverse agro forestry systems, like multi-species cropping and silvopasture, lower the chance of crop failure brought on by pests or diseases. Additionally, agro forestry has gained popularity among supporters of sustainable agriculture and environmentally conscious consumers due to its biodiversity.
Expensive initial outlay and sustained investment
Planting trees, setting up irrigation systems and changing land-use patterns are all common upfront costs associated with agroforestry systems. Particularly when it comes to the cultivation of timber or fruit trees, agroforestry systems may take several years to yield significant returns, in contrast to conventional farming, where crops yield profits in a single season. Those who depend on quick cash or small-scale farmers with limited resources may be put off by this delay in financial returns. Furthermore, the expenses linked to tree care, pest management, and harvesting exacerbate the financial strain and restrict the implementation of agroforestry techniques.
Initiatives for climate mitigation and carbon sequestration
Agroforestry has become a useful technique for sequestering carbon as a result of the global emphasis on lowering carbon emissions and addressing climate change. Significant amounts of carbon dioxide are absorbed and stored by trees in agroforestry systems, supporting international carbon offset initiatives. As part of reforestation initiatives and carbon credit programs, governments, businesses, and non-governmental organizations are investing more and more in agroforestry projects. Moreover, by implementing agroforestry practices, farmers and landowners can now take advantage of financial incentives and payments for ecosystem services (PES).
Unpredictable weather patterns and climate change
Agroforestry is not impervious to the effects of climate change, despite being marketed as a remedy for it. The development and productivity of trees, crops, and livestock in agroforestry systems can be significantly impacted by erratic weather patterns, such as protracted droughts, heavy rainfall, or abrupt temperature changes. Cyclones, floods, and wildfires are examples of extreme weather events that can seriously harm these systems, causing farmers to lose money and slowing market expansion. Additionally, shifting climatic conditions may make some agroforestry species less suitable in different areas, necessitating ongoing adaptation and research investment.
The COVID-19 pandemic had a mixed impact on the agroforestry market. On the one hand, agroforestry products like timber, fruits, and nuts were impacted by logistical difficulties, labor shortages, and disruptions in global supply chains. Lockdowns and restricted trade activities caused many smallholder farmers to lose income and have less access to markets. However, the pandemic brought to light the significance of resilient and sustainable farming methods, which sparked a greater interest in agroforestry as a way to improve food security, diversify sources of income, and reduce climate risks. Despite immediate obstacles, governments and organizations in a number of areas launched initiatives to support agroforestry as part of post-pandemic recovery plans, creating long-term growth prospects for the industry.
The Timber & Lumber and Fiber Crops segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The Timber & Lumber and Fiber Crops segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. The strong demand for timber and fiber products across a range of industries, including construction, furniture, paper, and textiles, is what is causing this dominance. Agroforestry systems, which combine timber trees with crops or livestock, offer a sustainable way to meet the demand for timber worldwide while tackling environmental issues like deforestation. Moreover, this segment's dominant position in the agroforestry market has been solidified by the long-term financial benefits of timber production as well as the growing emphasis on sustainable forestry practices worldwide.
The Agrosilvopastoral Systems segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the agrosilvopastoral systems segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, which combines agriculture, forestry, and livestock to provide a comprehensive approach to land management that boosts sustainability and productivity. Benefits of agrosilvopastoral systems include increased biodiversity, improved soil fertility, and a variety of revenue streams for farmers. Additionally, the segment's rapid growth is largely driven by the need for integrated land management solutions and the growing emphasis on sustainable agricultural practices.
During the forecast period, the Asia-Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share due to its large agricultural base, favourable climate, and growing demand for sustainable farming practices. Countries such as China, India, and Indonesia are leading the way in the adoption of agroforestry systems, which integrate crops, trees, and livestock to maximize land use, improve biodiversity, and improve soil fertility. The region's commitment to environmental sustainability, along with government initiatives supporting agroforestry practices, significantly contributes to its market dominance. Furthermore, the growing need for food security and diversified farming systems is another factor driving the growth of agroforestry in this region.
Over the forecast period, the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. Growing knowledge of agroforestry's ability to counteract soil erosion and desertification, along with the growing need for food, fuel, and lumber as a result of population expansion, are the main drivers of this expansion. Agroforestry practices are crucial for restoring degraded lands and enhancing food security because of the region's particular climatic and geographical challenges, which include arid zones and deteriorating soils. Moreover, the increasing use of agroforestry systems, which integrate agriculture and forestry, improves environmental sustainability and gives local farmers new sources of income, which helps the market expand.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Agroforestry market include EcoPlanet Bamboo, Center for Agroforestry (University of Missouri), Weyerhaeuser, AGERpoint, Inc., TerraCarbon LLC, Rainforest Alliance, Center for International Forestry Research and World Agroforestry (CIFOR-ICRAF), Heartland Global, Inc., Tribmoon Agroforestry Private Limited, Green City Biotech and Agroforestry Systems Inc.
In February 2024, Weyerhaeuser Company and Lapis Energy LP announced the execution of an exclusive exploration agreement for subsurface carbon dioxide sequestration in Arkansas, Louisiana and Mississippi. The agreement covers 187,500 acres of subsurface rights owned by Weyerhaeuser and spans five potential sequestration sites, including two locations that were previously identified by Weyerhaeuser as prospective opportunities for carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) development.
In June 2016, EcoPlanet Bamboo has signed a long-term lease, tripling the size of its Ghana forestry operations to 26,000 acres (10,500 hectares). This expanded area will enable the landscape scale restoration of a highly degraded ecosystem in a commercially viable manner.