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市场调查报告书
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1679282
2030 年自动驾驶摩托车市场预测:按类型、自动驾驶水平、电池类型、技术、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Autonomous Bike Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Electric Bikes, Fully Autonomous Bikes, Hybrid Autonomous Bikes and Other Types), Level of Autonomy, Battery Type, Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球自动驾驶摩托车市场预计在 2024 年将达到 15 亿美元,到 2030 年将达到 82 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 32.9%。自动驾驶自行车,也称为无人驾驶自行车或机器人自行车,配备了各种感测器,包括摄影机、光达、雷达和超音波感测器,使它们能够识别周围环境并安全导航。先进的人工智慧和机器学习演算法处理这些资料并对路径规划、避障和速度控製做出即时决策。致动器控制自行车的转向、踩踏和煞车,而 GPS 和无线通讯等连接功能则支援路线规划和与交通基础设施的互动。
根据美国运输部国家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)发布的资料,2019年警方通报的机动车事故总合675.6万起。
拥挤的都市区和日益增长的最后一哩连接需求
随着城市变得越来越拥挤,人们越来越需要高效的交通途径替代方案来缓解交通拥堵。自动驾驶自行车为短途旅行提供了一种无缝、环保的选择,提供了一个有前景的解决方案。此外,自动驾驶技术的融入将提升使用者体验,使这些自行车成为都市区通勤者的有吸引力的选择。人们对智慧城市计画的兴趣日益浓厚,进一步推动了对自动驾驶自行车的需求,因为它们与减少碳排放和改善城市流动性的目标一致。
开发和生产成本高
自动驾驶所需的先进技术,例如感测器和人工智慧,将推高製造成本。此外,为确保安全性和可靠性而进行的研究和开发相关成本也增加了财务负担。高昂的成本可能会使自动驾驶自行车难以被广大大众接受,从而限制市场渗透。儘管自动驾驶自行车前景光明,但高昂的开发和生产成本是一个主要障碍。
自动送货服务和自行车共享平台的兴起
随着电子商务越来越普及,对高效、及时的配送解决方案的需求也日益增长。自动驾驶自行车可以作为一种经济高效且环保的替代方案,在增强最后一英里的送货服务方面发挥关键作用。此外,共享单车平台可以利用自动驾驶自行车为骑乘者提供便利、无忧的骑乘体验。将自动驾驶技术融入这些服务将提高业务效率和客户满意度。
基础设施有限和技术挑战
自动驾驶自行车的成功普及将在很大程度上取决于强大的基础设施,包括专用自行车道和智慧城市技术。基础设施不足可能会妨碍自动驾驶自行车的平稳运作和安全,这可能会吓跑潜在用户。此外,为了确保自动驾驶自行车的可靠性,需要解决与导航、障碍物侦测和电池寿命相关的技术挑战,这阻碍了市场的成长。
COVID-19 的影响
疫情期间,非接触式外送服务的需求激增,凸显了自动驾驶自行车在确保安全高效送货方面的潜力。但疫情扰乱了供应链,减缓了自动驾驶自行车技术的开发与部署。好的一面是,人们对健康和永续性的日益关注正推动人们对自动驾驶自行车作为一种清洁、安全的交通途径的兴趣。
电动机车市场预计将成为预测期内最大的市场
由于电动机车兼具便利性和效率,预计在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。电动机车为传统交通途径提供了环保的替代方案,并符合人们对永续性日益增长的重视。电池技术的进步和充电基础设施的日益普及进一步推动了这一领域的成长。随着都市区寻求更清洁、更有效率的出行解决方案,电动自动驾驶自行车将引领市场。
预计预测期内,5 级(全自动)部分将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
在实现最高安全性、效率和用户便利性的愿望的推动下,预计 5 级(完全自动驾驶)领域将在预测期内实现最高的成长率。技术进步和严格的测试为 5 级自动驾驶摩托车的商业化铺平了道路。随着这些自行车变得越来越可靠且价格更实惠,它们的普及预计将加速,从而促进该领域的强劲成长。
预计北美地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率,这得益于其发达的基础设施、较高的技术准备度以及支持性的法规环境,从而巩固了其主导地位。北美对智慧城市计画和永续交通解决方案的关注进一步推动了自动驾驶自行车的普及。随着对城市交通解决方案的投资不断增加,北美有望引领市场。
在预测期内,由于对创新运输解决方案的需求,预计亚太地区将呈现最高的复合年增长率。该地区各国政府正积极推动智慧城市计划和永续交通,为自动驾驶自行车的普及创造良好的环境。此外,该地区强大的製造能力和技术进步支持了自动驾驶摩托车的开发和生产。因此,亚太地区将见证该市场的显着成长。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Autonomous Bike Market is accounted for $1.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $8.2 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 32.9% during the forecast period. An autonomous bike, also known as a self-driving or robotic bicycle, is equipped with various sensors like cameras, LiDAR, radar, and ultrasonic sensors, which allow it to perceive the environment and navigate safely. Advanced AI and machine learning algorithms process this data to make real-time decisions for path planning, obstacle avoidance, and speed control. Actuators manage the bike's steering, pedaling, and braking, while connectivity features like GPS and wireless communication enable route planning and interaction with traffic infrastructure.
According to data publicized by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), a total of 6,756,000 police-reported motor vehicle traffic crashes were recorded in 2019.
Increasing urban congestion and last-mile connectivity needs
There is an increasing need for efficient transportation alternatives to alleviate traffic woes as cities become more crowded. Autonomous bikes offer a promising solution by providing a seamless and eco-friendly option for short-distance travel. Additionally, the integration of autonomous technology enhances the user experience, making these bikes an attractive choice for urban commuters. The growing interest in smart city initiatives further amplifies the demand for autonomous bikes as they align with the goals of reducing carbon emissions and improving urban mobility.
High development & production costs
The advanced technologies required for autonomy, including sensors and artificial intelligence, drive up the manufacturing expenses. Additionally, the costs associated with research and development for ensuring safety and reliability add to the financial burden. These high costs can make autonomous bikes less accessible to a broader audience, limiting their market penetration. Thus, despite the promising potential, the high development and production costs of autonomous bikes present a significant restraint.
Rise of autonomous delivery services and bike-sharing platforms
The growing popularity of e-commerce, efficient and timely delivery solutions are in high demand. Autonomous bikes can play a crucial role in enhancing last-mile delivery services by offering a cost-effective and environmentally friendly alternative. Furthermore, bike-sharing platforms can leverage autonomous bikes to provide users with a convenient and hassle-free riding experience. The integration of autonomous technology in these services can lead to improved operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.
Limited infrastructure & technical challenges
Successful deployment of autonomous bikes relies heavily on robust infrastructure, including dedicated bike lanes and smart city technologies. Inadequate infrastructure can hinder the smooth operation and safety of these bikes, deterring potential users. Additionally, technical challenges related to navigation, obstacle detection, and battery life need to be addressed to ensure the reliability of autonomous bikes which hampers the growth of the market.
Covid-19 Impact
During the pandemic, the demand for contactless delivery services surged, highlighting the potential of autonomous bikes in ensuring safe and efficient deliveries. However, the pandemic also disrupted supply chains and delayed the development and deployment of autonomous bike technologies. On the brighter side, the increased focus on health and sustainability has driven interest in autonomous bikes as a clean and safe mode of transportation.
The electric bikes segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The electric bikes segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period owing to compelling combination of convenience and efficiency. Electric bikes provide an eco-friendly alternative to traditional transportation modes, aligning with the growing emphasis on sustainability. The advancements in battery technology and the increasing availability of charging infrastructure further support the growth of this segment. As urban areas seek cleaner and more efficient mobility solutions, electric autonomous bikes are poised to lead the market.
The level 5 (full automation) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the level 5 (full automation) segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate driven by the desire to achieve maximum safety, efficiency, and user convenience. Technological advancements and rigorous testing are paving the way for the commercialization of level 5 autonomous bikes. As these bikes become more reliable and affordable, their adoption is expected to accelerate, contributing to the segment's robust growth.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share due to the region's well-developed infrastructure, high technological readiness, and supportive regulatory environment contribute to its dominant position. North America's focus on smart city initiatives and sustainable transportation solutions further drives the adoption of autonomous bikes. With increasing investments in urban mobility solutions, North America is poised to lead the market.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR attributed to the demand for innovative transportation solutions. Governments in the region are actively promoting smart city projects and sustainable mobility, creating a favorable environment for the adoption of autonomous bikes. Additionally, the strong manufacturing capabilities and technological advancements in the region support the development and production of autonomous bikes. As a result, Asia Pacific is set to experience significant growth in this market.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Autonomous Bike market include Flo Mobility Private Limited, BMW Group, Go X Apollo, Honda Motor Co., Ltd., Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd., Refraction AI, Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd., Tortoise, Tesla, Zebra Technologies, BikeHow, Trek Bicycle Components, Waymon and Auro Robotics.
In February 2025, BMW Group revealed revolutionary electric drive concept with 800V technology for the Neue Klasse. The first Neue Klasse model will go into series production later this year at Plant Debrecen in Hungary.
In February 2025, Honda Motor Co., Ltd. partnered with the United Nations Road Safety Fund (UNRSF) to contribute to global initiatives to reduce fatalities from traffic collisions, including a previously announced commitment of US$3 million over 5 years.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.