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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1716392
2032 年肥料市场预测:按产品类型、形态、作物类型、应用和地区分類的全球分析Fertilizers Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Product (Organic, Inorganic and Other Products), Form, Crop Type, Application and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,2025 年全球肥料市场价值为 4,025 亿美元,预计到 2032 年将达到 6,809 亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为 7.8%。
肥料是施用于土壤和植物的物质,透过提供氮、磷和钾等必需的营养物质来促进生长和生产力。肥料可以是有机的,来自堆肥或粪肥等天然来源,也可以是无机的,透过人工合成来提供精确的营养配方。肥料在现代农业中发挥着至关重要的作用,有助于提高作物产量、土壤肥力和粮食安全。全球正在采用永续肥料,包括缓释肥料和生物基肥料,以平衡农业生产力和生态系统保护,并确保土壤的长期健康和永续性。
根据联合国粮食及农业组织预测,2050年,全球70%的人口预计将居住在城市。
政府补贴和政策
政府透过化肥补贴提高农业生产力的努力正在推动市场成长。印度的 PM-KISAN 计画和欧盟的通用农业政策 (CAP) 等计画为农民使用化学肥料提供了奖励。新兴国家对尿素和氮磷钾化肥的补贴正在减轻小农户的经济负担并刺激需求。鼓励使用平衡营养物质来改善土壤健康的政策将进一步促进市场扩张。此外,针对低碳肥料的气候补贴与全球永续性目标一致。
原料成本波动
天然气、磷矿和钾肥等主要投入品的价格波动影响了化肥的生产成本。俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的衝突等地缘政治紧张局势加剧了关键矿产供应链的不确定性。这些波动对製造商的净利率带来压力,并导致最终用户的价格波动。开发中地区的农民面临收购价格挑战,导致他们延后收购或降低施用率。在燃料市场波动的情况下,能源密集型生产过程进一步增加了成本风险。
奈米液体肥料
奈米涂层和液体配方的创新将提高营养效率并减少向环境中的洩漏。 IFFCO 和 Haifa Group 等公司正在投资精准作物投放系统。这些产品透过最大限度地减少浪费和提高产量稳定性来满足缺水地区的需求。灌溉和叶面喷布技术的日益普及正在支持市场渗透。环保奈米肥料的监管核准也为有机农业领域打开了大门。
依赖进口
许多国家高度依赖进口化肥,这使其面临贸易中断和外汇风险。例如,印度30%至40%的钾肥依赖进口,使其容易受到全球钾肥价格上涨的影响。对俄罗斯和白俄罗斯等主要出口国的製裁对主要市场的供应链造成压力。资源丰富地区的地缘政治不稳定加剧了交货延迟和库存短缺。严重依赖进口也限制了国内价格管制和农业復原力。
疫情扰乱了化肥供应链,造成暂时供不应求和价格上涨。然而,各国政府已将农业列为重要部门,并放宽了管制以稳定供应。自疫情爆发以来,受粮食安全担忧和囤货行为的推动,需求急剧反弹。这场危机也加速了化肥分配和精密农业实践的数位化。
有机农业预计将成为预测期内最大的细分市场
由于消费者对无化学和环保食品的偏好日益增长,预计有机食品将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。世界各国政府透过补贴、认证计画和宣传活动支持有机农业。土壤劣化的加剧也促使农民寻求永续的土壤改良替代方案。有机食品产业的成长直接影响对天然和生物肥料的需求。此外,利用有机废弃物生产肥料符合全球循环经济倡议。
预计在预测期内,传统部分将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
由于其广泛的可用性和即时的有效性,预计传统领域将在预测期内见证最高的成长率。产量农业区的农民喜欢使用常规肥料,因为其起效快且熟悉。机械化和精密农业的进步使得传统肥料的施用更有效率。新兴经济体继续投资于传统投入,以提高粮食生产力并满足日益增长的需求。此外,涂层和缓释技术的创新正在提高传统产品的性能。
在预测期内,亚太地区预计将占据最大的市场占有率,因为该地区拥有庞大的农业基础,并且由于人口稠密而对食品的需求不断增加。印度和中国等国家都见证了政府对化肥补贴和农村发展的大力支持。耕地面积的扩大和种植模式的多样化正在推动全部区域化肥使用量的增加。主要生产商和出口商的存在也增加了亚太地区的优势。此外,生物肥料和营养管理实践的本地创新正在推动永续的市场扩张。
在预测期内,北美地区预计将呈现最高的复合年增长率,因为精密农业技术和特殊肥料的采用将推动成长。美国农业法案强调永续农业实践并支持生物肥料的研究和发展。加拿大钾肥出口和墨西哥农业产业的不断发展进一步促进了该地区的发展。气候友善政策和碳信用计画正在奖励低排放肥料的生产。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Fertilizers Market is accounted for $402.5 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $680.9 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 7.8% during the forecast period. Fertilizers are substances applied to soil or plants to enhance growth and productivity by supplying essential nutrients like nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. They can be organic, derived from natural sources like compost and manure, or inorganic, produced synthetically to provide precise nutrient formulations. Fertilizers play a crucial role in modern agriculture, helping improve crop yields, soil fertility, and food security. Sustainable fertilizer practices, including slow-release and bio-based alternatives, are being adopted globally to balance agricultural productivity with ecological conservation, ensuring long-term soil health and sustainability.
According to the Food and Agriculture Organization, 70% of the global population is expected to live in cities by 2050.
Government subsidies & policies
Government initiatives promoting agricultural productivity through fertilizer subsidies are accelerating market growth. Programs like India's PM-KISAN and the EU's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) incentivize fertilizer adoption among farmers. Subsidies for urea and NPK fertilizers in emerging economies reduce financial burdens on smallholders, boosting demand. Policies encouraging balanced nutrient use to enhance soil health further drive market expansion. Additionally, climate-focused subsidies for low-carbon fertilizers align with global sustainability goals.
Fluctuating raw material costs
Volatility in prices of key inputs like natural gas, phosphate rock, and potash disrupts fertilizer production costs. Geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, exacerbate supply chain uncertainties for critical minerals. These fluctuations strain profit margins for manufacturers, leading to unstable pricing for end-users. Farmers in developing regions face affordability challenges, delaying purchases and reducing application rates. Energy-intensive production processes further amplify cost risks amid shifting fuel markets.
Nano & liquid fertilizers
Innovations in nano-coated and liquid formulations enhance nutrient efficiency and reduce environmental leaching. Companies like IFFCO and Haifa Group are investing in precision delivery systems for targeted crop uptake. These products cater to water-scarce regions by minimizing waste and improving yield consistency. Rising adoption of fertigation and foliar spraying techniques supports market penetration. Regulatory approvals for eco-friendly nano-fertilizers also open doors in organic farming sectors.
Dependency on imports
Many countries rely heavily on imported fertilizers, exposing them to trade disruptions and currency risks. For instance, India imports 30-40% of its potash, leaving it vulnerable to global price spikes. Sanctions on major exporters like Russia and Belarus strain supply chains for key markets. Geopolitical instability in resource-rich regions compounds delivery delays and inventory shortages. Over-reliance on imports also limits domestic price control and agricultural resilience.
The pandemic disrupted fertilizer supply chains, causing temporary shortages and price surges lockdowns delayed mining, production, and logistics, particularly in China and North Africa. However, governments prioritized agriculture as an essential sector, easing restrictions to stabilize supplies. Post-pandemic, demand rebounded sharply due to food security concerns and stockpiling. The crisis also accelerated digitization in fertilizer distribution and precision farming practices.
The organic segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The organic segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to rising consumer preference for chemical-free and environmentally friendly food products. Governments worldwide are supporting organic farming with subsidies, certification schemes, and awareness programs. Increasing soil degradation has also pushed farmers toward sustainable soil-enriching alternatives. The growth of the organic food industry is directly influencing demand for natural and bio-based fertilizers. Moreover, the use of organic waste in fertilizer production aligns with global circular economy initiatives.
The conventional segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the conventional segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate due to their widespread availability and fast-acting nature. Farmers in high-yield agricultural zones prefer conventional fertilizers for their quick results and familiarity. Ongoing mechanization and precision agriculture are enabling more efficient application of traditional fertilizers. Emerging economies continue to invest in conventional inputs to enhance food productivity and meet rising demand. Furthermore, innovations in coating and slow-release technologies are improving the performance of conventional products.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share owing to its large agricultural base and increasing food demand from dense populations. Countries like India and China are witnessing strong governmental backing for fertilizer subsidies and rural development. Expanding farmland under cultivation and diverse cropping patterns are boosting fertilizer usage across the region. The presence of major producers and exporters also reinforces Asia Pacific's dominance. Additionally, regional innovation in biofertilizers and nutrient management practices is driving sustainable market expansion.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR due to Precision agricultural technologies and adoption of specialty fertilizers propel growth. The U.S. Farm Bill's focus on sustainable practices supports biofertilizer R&D. Canada's potash exports and Mexico's agro-industrial growth further stimulate regional dynamics. Climate-smart policies and carbon credit programs incentivize low-emission fertilizer production.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Fertilizers Market include Westfarmers, Yara International, Nutrien, The Mosaic Company, CF Industries Holdings, K+S Group, EuroChem Group, Israel Chemicals, OCP Group, Haifa Group, IFFCO, Sinofert Holdings Limited, Coromandel International Limited, Uralkali, Bunge Limited, and Syngenta.
In February 2025, Coromandel International Limited received an order from the Government of Andhra Pradesh extending capital and other subsidies for the proposed investment of ₹1,539 crore towards the expansion of the fertilizer manufacturing facility at Kakinada. The incentives include 45% of eligible Fixed Capital Investment, subject to certain compliances and conditions.
In December 2024, Coromandel International partnered with International Fertilizer Development Center (IFDC) to advance fertilizer innovation and sustainable agriculture in India. The collaboration focuses on next-generation fertilizers to enhance nutrient efficiency and reduce environmental impact.
In September 2024, Mosaic Company reported operational disruptions affecting its Potash and Phosphate segments, reducing third-quarter production and shipment volumes. Despite challenges, the company-maintained resilience in financial outlook and continued share buyback programs.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.