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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1734885
2032 年固网通讯市场预测:按产品类型、网路类型、服务类型、技术、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Fixed-line Communications Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Product Type (Routers, Set-top Box (STB) and Fiber-optic Cables), Network Type, Service Type, Technology, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,预测期内全球固网通讯市场以 13.32% 的复合年增长率成长。
固网通讯系统是指使用有线网路(例如同轴电缆、光纤和铜线电话线)传输语音、资料和视讯的系统。固网通讯系统提供可靠且通常高容量的资料传输,但与无线通讯不同,它们依赖实体基础设施来连接使用者。对于有线电视、宽频网路和固定电话等服务,这些系统通常用于机构、商业和住宅环境。儘管无线和行动技术日益普及,固网通讯对于确保可靠的连接仍然至关重要,尤其是在需要安全资料传输和高速网路的地方。
根据TRAI用户数据,印度有线电视用户数预计将从2024年4月底的3426万成长到2024年5月底的3,473万,净增加47万,月增率为1.38%。
对可靠、高速网路的需求日益增长
云端运算、高画质串流、视讯会议和即时线上游戏等高频宽应用的日益普及,推动了对可靠高速网路存取的需求。与行动网路相比,固定宽频速度更稳定,延迟更低,尤其是在透过光纤网路传输时。企业和消费者越来越多地选择固网连接,以获得可靠的服务,尤其是在多用户接入、海量资料传输和持续连接至关重要的环境中。此外,随着数位消费的成长,固网服务正被定位为一种可选的公共设施,而非必要的基础设施。
基础设施实施高成本
基础设施建设(尤其是光纤网路部署)所需的巨额资本支出是固网通讯的主要障碍之一。铺设电缆涉及挖沟、取得路权、土木工程、网路设备等相关成本。在地形崎岖、交通拥挤的城市和人口稀少的地区,这些成本甚至更高,这使得服务扩展在财务上不切实际。此外,由于投资回收期较长,私人业者不愿在没有政府支持和收益保障的情况下投资固网基础设施。
人们对数位娱乐和智慧家居的兴趣日益浓厚
高清视讯串流、云端游戏、智慧家庭技术以及扩增实境/虚拟实境 (AR/VR) 应用都在推动对可靠、闪电般快速的家庭互联网的需求,而固网连接正是提供这种服务的最佳途径。语音助理、家庭自动化平台、安全系统和连网电器只是众多智慧型装置中的一小部分,它们需要始终在线、低延迟的互联网,而行动连线通常难以提供这种服务。现代数位家庭所需的多设备支援和频宽可以透过固定宽频(尤其是光纤)实现。此外,消费行为的这些变化为宽频供应商和网路服务供应商提供了巨大的成长机会,他们可以透过改进产品和服务来吸引更多客户。
政策变化和监管不确定性
不可预测的监管变化、政策转变以及不定期的政府激励措施都可能固网市场产生不利影响。市场准入、许可要求、税收、频谱分配和其他问题的延误都可能扰乱产业计画和营运。许多国家的政策架构与最新技术发展脱节,或是更新速度过慢,难以鼓励创新。此外,电讯法律和资费的频繁修订可能会阻碍外国直接投资,并增加长期基础设施规划的复杂性和风险。
新冠疫情对固网通讯市场产生了许多影响,但总体而言是积极的,因为保持社交距离和全球封锁措施增加了对可靠高速互联网连接的需求,以支持数位娱乐、远端医疗、线上教育和远距办公。此外,疫情导致的网路流量激增凸显了行动网路在支援长时间高频宽活动的局限性,凸显了固定宽频(尤其是光纤连线)的重要性。然而,疫情也暴露出一些弱点,包括劳动力短缺和供应链中断导致基础设施部署放缓,以及消费者和小型企业的财务负担阻碍了新设施的安装和升级。
路由器市场预计将成为预测期内最大的市场
预计路由器领域将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。路由器对于控制和引导固网通讯中的资料流至关重要。无论是住宅通信还是商业通讯,路由器都能促进资料在各种设备和互联网之间的顺畅传输。随着对高速互联网以及5G和物联网等最尖端科技的需求不断增长,对高效路由器的需求也日益增长。随着智慧家庭、远端办公和各行各业数位转型的兴起,路由器已成为确保可靠、快速互联网接入的关键设备,并已成为固网通讯基础设施的重要组成部分。
预计光纤领域在预测期内将实现最高的复合年增长率。
预计光纤市场将在预测期内实现最高成长率。高速互联网服务需求的不断增长以及光纤宽频基础设施的建设是这一增长的主要驱动力。例如,在亚太地区,预计到2028年,光纤接入线路将占新兴市场固定接入线路总量的63%左右,泰国和印度等新兴市场的渗透率预计将更高。此外,这一趋势凸显了光纤技术对于满足住宅和商业用户日益增长的连接需求至关重要。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。这种主导地位的背后是互联网使用率的不断增长、快速的都市化以及中国、印度和日本等国家对数位基础设施的大量投资。该地区也正在向光纤宽频转型,预计到2028年,光纤到户(FTTH)连接将占亚太发达市场所有固定接入线路的63%左右,新兴市场的这一比例将更高。此外,政府措施和对高速网路服务日益增长的需求是推动这一增长的另外两个因素。
预计中东和非洲 (MEA) 地区在预测期内的复合年增长率最高。该地区正在进行的数位转型,以及政府改善宽频基础设施和连接性的倡议,是这一成长的主要驱动力。为了增强数位服务并满足家庭和企业的需求,阿拉伯联合大公国、沙乌地阿拉伯和南非等国家已将光纤网路建设和 5G 就绪作为优先事项。此外,这些市场的快速扩张也得益于对智慧城市倡议的投资以及对高速网路存取日益增长的需求。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Fixed-line Communications Market is growing at a CAGR of 13.32% during the forecast period. A fixed-line communications system is one that uses wired networks, like coaxial, fiber-optic, and copper telephone lines, to send voice, data, and video. Fixed-line systems provide reliable and frequently high-capacity data transmission, but they depend on a physical infrastructure to connect users, unlike wireless communications. For services like cable television, broadband internet, and landline telephone, these systems are frequently utilized in institutional, commercial, and residential settings. Even with the increasing popularity of wireless and mobile technologies, fixed-line communications are still essential for dependable connectivity, particularly in places that need secure data transfer and high-speed internet.
According to TRAI's subscriber data, the number of wireline subscribers in India increased from 34.26 million at the end of April 2024 to 34.73 million at the end of May 2024, marking a net addition of 0.47 million subscribers and a monthly growth rate of 1.38%.
Growing need for dependable and fast internet
The increasing use of high-bandwidth applications like cloud computing, HD streaming, video conferencing, and real-time online gaming has increased demand for dependable, fast internet access. Compared to mobile networks, fixed-line broadband offers better speed consistency and lower latency, particularly when delivered via fiber-optic networks. Businesses and consumers alike are increasingly choosing fixed-line connections for dependable service, especially in settings where multi-user access, large data transfers, and continuous connectivity are essential. Moreover, fixed-line services are being positioned as optional utilities rather than necessary infrastructure as digital consumption increases.
High costs of infrastructure deployment
The substantial capital expenditure needed for infrastructure deployment, especially in fiber-optic networks, is one of the main obstacles to fixed-line communications. Costs associated with trenching, obtaining right-of-way permits, civil work, and network equipment are high when installing cables. These expenses are even greater in areas with rough terrain, crowded cities, or sparse populations, rendering service expansion financially impractical. Furthermore, private operators are deterred from investing in fixed-line infrastructure without government assistance or guaranteed returns due to the lengthy payback period.
Growing interest in digital entertainment and smart homes
High-definition video streaming, cloud gaming, smart home technologies, and AR/VR applications are all driving up demand for dependable, lightning-fast home internet, which fixed-line connections are best suited to provide. Voice assistants, home automation platforms, security systems, and connected appliances are examples of smart devices that need constant, low-latency internet, which mobile connections frequently find difficult to provide. The multi-device support and bandwidth needed in contemporary digital homes can be obtained with fixed-line broadband, particularly fiber. Moreover, this change in consumer behavior offers broadband providers and ISPs a significant chance to grow by improving their offerings and growing their clientele.
Changes in policy and regulatory uncertainty
Unpredictable regulatory changes, shifting policies, or irregular government incentives can all have a negative effect on the fixed-line market. Planning and operations for businesses can be disrupted by problems like right-of-way delays, licensing requirements, taxation policies, and spectrum allocation. Many nations' policy frameworks are either out of step with the latest technological developments or are updated too slowly to encourage innovation. Additionally, frequent modifications to telecom laws or tariffs may deter foreign direct investment and increase the complexity and risk of long-term infrastructure planning.
The COVID-19 pandemic had a mixed but generally positive effect on the fixed-line communications market because social distancing measures and worldwide lockdowns increased demand for dependable, fast internet connectivity to support digital entertainment, telehealth, online education, and remote work. Furthermore, the pandemic-related spike in internet traffic brought to light the limitations of mobile networks in supporting extended, high-bandwidth activities, highlighting the importance of fixed-line broadband, particularly fiber-optic connections. The pandemic did, however, also highlight weaknesses, including labour shortages and supply chain disruptions that delayed infrastructure deployments, as well as consumer and small business financial strains that hindered new installations or upgrades.
The routers segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The routers segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. Routers are essential for controlling and guiding data flow in fixed-line networks. For both home and business communications, they are in charge of making sure that data moves smoothly between various devices and the internet. Efficient routers are becoming more and more necessary as the demand for high-speed internet and cutting-edge technologies like 5G and IoT grow. As smart homes, remote work, and industry-wide digital transformation gain traction, routers are becoming essential for ensuring dependable and quick internet access, making them a crucial part of the fixed-line communications infrastructure.
The fiber optic segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the fiber optic segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. The rise in demand for high-speed internet services and the development of fiber broadband infrastructure are the main drivers of this growth. In the Asia-Pacific area, for instance, fiber-optic access lines are expected to make up roughly 63% of all fixed access lines in developed markets by 2028, with even higher adoption rates expected in emerging markets like Thailand and India. Moreover, this pattern emphasizes how essential fiber optic technology is to satisfying the expanding demands of both residential and business users for connectivity.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share. This dominance is explained by rising internet usage, fast urbanization, and large investments in digital infrastructure in nations like China, India, and Japan. The region is also seeing a major shift toward fiber-optic broadband; by 2028, fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) connections are expected to make up roughly 63% of all fixed access lines in developed APAC markets, and even more in emerging ones. Additionally, government initiatives and the growing demand for high-speed internet services are two more factors driving this growth.
Over the forecast period, the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. The region's continuous digital transformation, which is being accelerated by government efforts to improve broadband infrastructure and connectivity, is the main driver of this growth. To enhance digital services and meet the needs of both homes and businesses, nations like the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and South Africa are giving top priority to the development of fiber-optic networks and 5G readinesses. Furthermore, this quick market expansion is a result of investments in smart city initiatives as well as the rising demand for high-speed internet access.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Fixed-line Communications Market include Arista Networks Inc., Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd, Aerohive Networks Inc., Manx Telecom Trading Ltd, Avaya Inc., Peak Communications Inc., Allied Telesis Inc., Raycap Inc., Albis Technologies AG, Broadcom Inc and Arris International PLC.
In April 2025, Huawei and SAIC have jointly developed the Shangjie smart car brand, and now both parties are putting in more efforts to expand this new project via EV and battery plants. These plants will open a new production base for SAIC in China. Both SAIC and Huawei have been working for months on a new EV brand called Shangjie. The companies even announced the new brand at the Auto Shanghai 2025.
In November 2024, Broadcom Inc. and Telia Company announced the expansion of their longtime partnership with a new multi-year agreement, which will see Telia further modernize and transform its telco and cloud infrastructure with the VMware product portfolio. Telia, a Nordic and Baltic telecommunications leader and Nordic media house, will continue its network and IT cloud journey with both VMware Telco Cloud Platform and VMware Cloud Foundation as the basis of its modern cloud platform.