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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1802974
2032 年深度造假取证市场预测:按组件、媒体类型、部署模式、技术、应用、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析Deepfake Forensic Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Component, Media Type, Deployment Mode, Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球深度造假取证市场预计在 2025 年达到 1.659 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 22.582 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 45.2%。
深度造假伪造取证是指用于侦测、分析和验证被窜改的数位内容(包括影像、影片、音讯和文字)的专用工具、演算法和服务。取证解决方案利用人工智慧主导的侦测模型,识别元资料、像素化和音讯模式的不一致之处。透过支援检验、风险管理和法规遵循性,深度造假伪造取证增强了人们对数位生态系统的信任,尤其是在媒体、金融、政府和安全领域。
根据《连线》杂誌关于深度造假检测挑战的报道,顶级模型检测到了 82% 的已知深度造假,但仅检测到 65% 的未知深度造假,这凸显了现有取证工具的局限性。
数位身分检验和认证的需求日益增长
复杂的深度造假氾滥,对生物辨识安全系统、金融机构和个人身分验证流程构成了重大威胁。这推动了对高级取证工具的需求,这些工具能够检测人工智慧生成的合成媒体,以防止冒充、诈骗和安全漏洞。此外,监管压力和合规性要求迫使企业投资这些解决方案,以保护数位互动并维护安全的身份验证通讯协定,从而显着促进市场成长。
计算成本和数据要求高
先进的深度造假取证解决方案的高运算成本和大量资料需求阻碍了其市场应用。开发和训练先进的侦测演算法,尤其是基于深度学习的演算法,需要强大的运算能力和大量精确标记的媒体资料集,包括真实媒体和合成媒体。这为小型公司和研究机构设置了巨大的进入门槛,因为相关的基础设施投资巨大。此外,为了与不断发展的生成式人工智慧技术竞争,需要不断地重新训练模型,这进一步加剧了营运成本,并限制了市场渗透。
与网路安全和数位取证解决方案的集成
随着深度造假成为网路攻击、假讯息宣传活动和企业间谍活动的载体,对其的分析正成为整体安全态势的重要组成部分。将取证工具整合到现有的安全资讯和事件管理 (SIEM) 系统、诈欺侦测平台和事件回应工作流程中,可以带来协同增效的价值提案。这种整合能够建构更全面的威胁情报框架,创造新的收益来源,并扩大取证供应商的潜在市场。
大众对数位媒体的信任度下降
随着合成媒体变得难以被人眼辨别,并在自然界中无所不在,一种被称为「谎言红利」的现象可能会出现。这种认知安全性的下降可能会降低取证工具的紧迫性和有效性,并扼杀投资和创新。此外,这种真实性危机威胁着民主进程和社会凝聚力,带来了超越单纯市场动态的社会挑战。
新冠疫情对深度造假伪造取证市场产生了净正向影响。远距办公和数位互动的快速发展加速了线上身分验证和验证系统的普及,同时也扩大了诈骗利用合成深度造假进行攻击的面。网路犯罪分子利用这场危机,利用深度伪造技术进行网路钓鱼和社会工程攻击,暴露了关键漏洞。这种迫在眉睫的威胁情势,加上数位内容消费的增加,迫使政府和企业优先考虑并投资于检测技术以降低风险,从而刺激了这段时期的市场成长。
预测期内,影片细分市场预计将占最大份额
由于消费级深度造假生成工具的广泛普及以及高级影片伪造造成的高风险损害,预计影片领域将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。影片深度造假是最复杂、最令人信服的合成媒体形式之一,其侦测对于防止金融诈骗、政治虚假资讯和诽谤等重大事件至关重要。该领域的主导地位得益于对研发的大量投入,这些投入专注于分析影片内容中固有的时间不一致性、脸部运动和压缩伪影,以满足最紧迫的市场需求。
预计在预测期内,诈欺侦测和金融犯罪预防将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
预计诈骗侦测和金融犯罪预防领域将在预测期内实现最高成长率,这得益于金融服务业(BFSI)越来越多地使用深度造假来规避「了解你的客户」(KYC)和生物识别系统。合成身分和人工智慧产生的视讯资料正被用于帐户接管诈骗和非法贸易,造成巨额财务损失。这种直接的金融威胁迫使金融机构主动采用先进的取证解决方案,推动了该领域的显着成长。此外,旨在打击诈骗的严格监管也为该领域的扩张提供了额外的强劲动力。
预计北美将在预测期内占据最大的市场占有率。这项优势归功于其早期快速采用先进技术、主要深度造假取证解决方案意识层级以及公共和私营部门为应对人工智慧带来的威胁而投入的大量研发资金,巩固了北美的主导地位。该地区强大的金融生态系统也使其成为深度造假诈骗的主要目标,进一步推动了对取证工具的需求。
预计亚太地区将在预测期内实现最高的复合年增长率。这种加速成长的驱动力源自于大规模数数位化措施、网路普及率的提高以及蓬勃发展的金融服务业(BFSI)——该产业正日益受到合成身分诈骗的威胁。亚太地区各国政府正在实施更严格的网路安全政策,为市场扩张创造法规环境。此外,庞大的人口规模以及大量的数位内容生成也带来了独特的挑战,促使人们迫切需要投资深度造假检测技术,以保护公民和关键基础设施免受恶意应用程式的侵害。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Deepfake Forensic Market is accounted for $165.9 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $2258.2 million by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 45.2% during the forecast period. Deepfake forensics refers to specialized tools, algorithms, and services used to detect, analyze, and authenticate manipulated digital content, including images, videos, audio, and text. Leveraging AI-driven detection models, forensic solutions identify inconsistencies in metadata, pixelation, and voice patterns. By enabling validation, risk management, and regulatory compliance, deepfake forensics strengthens trust in digital ecosystems, particularly in media, finance, government, and security sectors.
According to Wired coverage of the Deepfake Detection Challenge, the top model detected 82 % of known deepfakes but only 65 % of unseen ones highlighting the limitations of existing forensic tools.
Rising need for digital identity verification and authentication
The proliferation of sophisticated deepfakes poses a significant threat to biometric security systems, financial institutions, and personal identity verification processes. This has catalyzed demand for advanced forensic tools capable of detecting AI-generated synthetic media to prevent identity theft, fraud, and security breaches. Moreover, regulatory pressures and compliance mandates are compelling organizations to invest in these solutions to safeguard digital interactions and maintain secure authentication protocols, thereby substantially contributing to market growth.
High computational costs and data requirements
Market adoption is hindered by the high computational cost and extensive data requirements associated with advanced deepfake forensic solutions. Developing and training sophisticated detection algorithms, particularly those based on deep learning, necessitates immense computational power and vast, accurately labeled datasets of both authentic and synthetic media. This creates a substantial barrier to entry for smaller enterprises and research institutions due to the associated infrastructure investment. Additionally, the continuous need for model retraining to counter evolving generative AI techniques further exacerbates these operational expenses, limiting market penetration.
Integration with cybersecurity and digital forensics solutions
As deepfakes become a vector for cyberattacks, misinformation campaigns, and corporate espionage, their analysis is becoming an essential component of a holistic security posture. Embedding forensic tools into existing security information and event management (SIEM) systems, fraud detection platforms, and incident response workflows offers a synergistic value proposition. This convergence allows for a more comprehensive threat intelligence framework, creating new revenue streams and expanding the addressable market for forensic vendors.
Erosion of public trust in digital media
As synthetic media becomes indistinguishable to the human eye and pervasive in nature, a phenomenon known as the "liar's dividend" may emerge, where any genuine content can be dismissed as a deepfake. This erosion of epistemic security diminishes the perceived urgency and effectiveness of forensic tools, potentially stifling investment and innovation. Furthermore, this crisis of authenticity threatens democratic processes and social cohesion, presenting a societal challenge beyond mere market dynamics.
The COVID-19 pandemic had a net positive impact on the deepfake forensic market. The rapid shift to remote work and digital interactions accelerated the adoption of online verification and authentication systems, simultaneously expanding the attack surface for fraudsters using synthetic media. Cybercriminals exploited the crisis with deepfake-aided phishing and social engineering attacks, highlighting critical vulnerabilities. This immediate threat landscape, coupled with increased digital content consumption, forced governments and enterprises to prioritize and invest in detection technologies to mitigate risks, thereby stimulating market growth during the period.
The video segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The video segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to the widespread availability of consumer-grade deepfake generation tools and the high potential for damage posed by sophisticated video forgeries. Video deepfakes represent the most complex and convincing form of synthetic media, making their detection paramount for preventing high-impact events like financial fraud, political misinformation, and defamation. The segment's dominance is further fueled by significant investments in R&D focused on analyzing temporal inconsistencies, facial movements, and compression artifacts unique to video content, addressing the most urgent market need.
The fraud detection & financial crime prevention segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the fraud detection & financial crime prevention segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, driven by the escalating use of deepfakes to bypass know your customer (KYC) and biometric authentication systems in the BFSI sector. Synthetic identities and AI-generated video profiles are being weaponized for account takeover fraud and unauthorized transactions, resulting in substantial financial losses. This direct monetary threat is compelling financial institutions to aggressively deploy advanced forensic solutions, fostering remarkable growth. Moreover, stringent regulatory mandates aimed at combating digital fraud are providing an additional, powerful impetus for this segment's expansion.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share. This dominance is attributable to the early and rapid adoption of advanced technologies, the presence of major deepfake forensic solution vendors, and stringent government regulations concerning data security and digital misinformation. Additionally, high awareness levels among enterprises and substantial R&D investments from both public and private sectors in countering AI-generated threats consolidate North America's leading position. The region's robust financial ecosystem also makes it a prime target for deepfake-enabled fraud, further propelling demand for forensic tools.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. This accelerated growth is fueled by massive digitalization initiatives, expanding internet penetration, and a burgeoning BFSI sector that is increasingly vulnerable to synthetic identity fraud. Governments across APAC are implementing stricter cybersecurity policies, creating a conducive regulatory environment for market expansion. Moreover, the presence of a vast population generating immense volumes of digital content presents a unique challenge, driving urgent investments in deepfake detection technologies to protect citizens and critical infrastructure from malicious applications.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Deepfake Forensic Market include Adobe, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Sensity AI, Cognitec Systems, Intel, AMD, NVIDIA, Truepic, Reality Defender, Jumio, iProov, Voxist, Onfido, and Fourandsix Technologies.
In January 2025, McAfee is taking a bold step forward with major enhancements to its AI-powered deepfake detection technology. By partnering with AMD and harnessing the Neural Processing Unit (NPU) within the latest AMD Ryzen(TM) AI 300 Series processors announced at CES, McAfee Deepfake Detector is designed to empower users to discern truth from fiction like never before.
In February 2024, Truepic launched the 2024 U.S. Election Deepfake Monitor, tracking AI-generated content in presidential elections. The company, advised by Dr. Hany Farid, focuses on promoting transparency in synthetic media and developing authentication solutions for preventing misleading media spread.
In February 2024, Meta collaborated with the Misinformation Combat Alliance (MCA) to launch a dedicated fact-checking helpline on WhatsApp in India. The company announced enhanced AI labeling policies for detecting industry-standard indicators of AI-generated content across Facebook, Instagram, and Threads platforms.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.