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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1848356
全球再生农业和碳封存市场:预测至2032年-按解决方案、技术/服务、生产商类型、封存机制、最终用户和地区进行分析Regenerative Agriculture and Carbon Sequestration Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Solution, Technology & Services, Producer Type, Sequestration Mechanism, End User, and By Geography |
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根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,预计到 2025 年,全球再生农业和碳封存市场规模将达到 152 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 529 亿美元,预测期内复合年增长率为 19.4%。
再生农业和碳封存涵盖植物肉、乳製品替代品、培养蛋白以及能够复製动物产品质地和营养的新型配料体系。环境问题、健康偏好、动物福利考量以及配方和加工技术的进步正在推动这些产品的成长。零售通路的拓展、餐饮服务业的采用以及感官品质的提升正在提高消费者的接受度。供应链优化和配料创新带来的成本降低,以及监管政策的明朗化和投资,正在促进更广泛的市场渗透。
促进土壤健康
该市场的核心驱动力在于再生农业实践带来的土壤健康根本性改善。透过摒弃传统犁地,引入覆盖作物和多样化的轮作模式,这些方法显着增强了土壤有机质含量。这带来更具韧性的土壤结构、更佳的水分渗透和保持能力以及更高的微生物活性。健康的土壤是碳固存的关键,能够吸收大气中的二氧化碳并将其储存在地下。更健康、更有效率的土地所带来的实际农业效益,是促使农民采用这些方法的主要动力,也是市场成长的直接驱动力。
初始成本高
农民面临许多直接成本,包括新设备、专用覆盖作物种子以及生态系统重新平衡过程中可能出现的短期产量损失。此外,转型通常需要新的知识和管理技能,从而产生培训费用。这些经济负担对于缺乏大量资金的小型农民来说尤其具有挑战性,导致他们犹豫不决,从而阻碍了市场扩张的步伐。如果没有充足的财政支持机制,高昂的初始成本将使许多生产者望而却步,儘管转型有望带来长期收益和成本节约。
政府奖励
加速市场发展的关键在于扩大政府奖励和政策框架。这些措施包括为采用保护措施提供直接补贴、为检验的碳封存提供税额扣抵,以及将其纳入国家气候策略。例如,美国农业部(USDA)的「气候智慧型商品伙伴关係」等项目正在向农业部门注入大量资金。这些倡议透过抵销初始成本和利用碳市场创造新的收入来源,降低了农民转型的风险。此类政府支持不仅推动了供应方的采用,也增强了企业投资可再生供应链的信心,从而扩大了整个市场生态系统。
气候变迁
严重的干旱、洪水和异常的气温会扰乱对再生系统至关重要的精心调控的生物循环。此类极端天气事件会损害覆盖作物,使多年生植物系统面临压力,甚至释放土壤中固存的碳。这种波动性会为碳信用计划带来不确定性,使长期储存保障难以实现,并可能损害碳资产的经济价值。这些固有风险使得农民和投资者都持谨慎态度,并威胁市场的稳定性和可预测性。
疫情初期扰乱了供应链,并转移了政府的关注重点。但最终,它成为了催化剂,鲜明地揭露了传统全球化食品体系的脆弱性。这种意识的增强加速了对具有韧性、在地化和永续农业生产的需求。此外,这场危机凸显了环境与公共卫生之间的联繫,并促使企业和消费者优先考虑供应链的永续性。因此,疫情后的復苏策略正越来越多地将再生农业纳入其中,以此作为重建更强大、更具气候适应能力的食品经济的手段。
预计在预测期内,MRV工具和平台细分市场将成为最大的细分市场。
在预测期内,测量、报告和检验(MRV) 工具和平台预计将占据最大的市场份额,因为它为整个碳封存经济提供了至关重要的支柱。如果没有可靠、可扩展且经济高效的 MRV,量化和货币化碳信用额度是不可能的。此类数位化平台和工具使农民能够准确追踪其影响,并使买家能够信任其购买产品的环境完整性。随着受监管和自愿性碳市场的日益成熟,对稳健的 MRV 解决方案的需求不容忽视,这使得该领域成为市场生态系统的基础和最主导的组成部分。
预计在预测期内,农业、林业和畜牧业板块的复合年增长率将最高。
由于农业生产与巨大的碳封存潜力之间存在强大的协同效应,预计农林复合系统在预测期内将实现最高成长率。这些将树木、农作物和牲畜结合的系统,能够提供来自木材、水果、坚果和碳信用额的多种收入来源,从而提高农场盈利并分散风险。此外,它们还具有显着的生态学效益,包括增加生物多样性和改善微气候。随着农民和大地主寻求更具韧性和经济可行性的再生农业途径,农林复合系统的多方面吸引力正在迅速扩大。
预计北美地区在预测期内将占据最大的市场份额。其领先地位得益于成熟的农业技术产业、私部门对碳农业计画的大量投资以及政府的支持政策。此外,大型农户的高度认知和强大的科研基础设施也推动了相关技术的早期应用。主要企业参与者的存在以及成熟的自愿性碳市场也巩固了北美的主导地位,使其成为再生农业领域的活动、投资和创新中心。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将实现最高的复合年增长率。这一快速成长主要源自于人口稠密国家迫切需要解决土壤劣化和粮食安全问题。此外,印度和中国等国的政府倡议也极大地推动了永续发展,这些国家正在推广永续实践以实现其气候目标。该地区广阔的农业用地蕴藏着巨大的碳封存潜力。随着人们环保意识的提高和监测、报告和核查(MRV)技术的普及,亚太地区的技术应用速度可能会比成熟市场更快。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Regenerative Agriculture and Carbon Sequestration Market is accounted for $15.2 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $52.9 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 19.4% during the forecast period. Regenerative agriculture and carbon sequestration includes plant-based meats, dairy alternatives, cultured proteins, and novel ingredient systems that replicate animal product texture and nutrition. Growth is propelled by environmental concerns, health preferences, animal welfare considerations, and technical advances in formulation and processing. Wider retail distribution, foodservice adoption, and improved sensory quality increase consumer acceptance. Cost reductions through optimized supply chains and ingredient innovations, together with regulatory clarity and investment enable broader market penetration.
Soil Health Improvement
The core driver for this market is the fundamental improvement in soil health that regenerative practices deliver. By moving away from conventional tillage and incorporating cover crops and diverse rotations, these methods significantly enhance soil organic matter. This leads to a more resilient soil structure, improved water infiltration and retention, and increased microbial activity. Healthy soil is the very engine of carbon sequestration, pulling CO2 from the atmosphere and storing it underground. Consequently, the tangible agronomic benefits of healthier, more productive land are a primary motivator for farmer adoption, directly fueling market growth.
High Initial Costs
Farmers face immediate costs for new equipment, specialized seeds for cover crops, and potential short-term yield dips as ecosystems rebalance. Furthermore, the shift often demands new knowledge and management skills, incurring training expenses. This financial burden is particularly challenging for smaller operations without ample capital reserves, creating a hesitancy that restrains the pace of market expansion. Without adequate financial support mechanisms, the high initial cost can prevent many producers from making the transition, despite the promised long-term benefits and cost savings.
Government Incentives
A major opportunity for market acceleration lies in the expanding suite of government incentives and policy frameworks. These include direct subsidies for adopting conservation practices, tax credits for verified carbon sequestration, and integration into national climate strategies. Programs like the USDA's Partnerships for Climate-Smart Commodities are channeling significant funding into the agricultural sector. Such initiatives de-risk the transition for farmers by offsetting initial costs and creating new revenue streams through carbon markets. This governmental push not only stimulates supply-side adoption but also bolsters corporate confidence in investing in regenerative supply chains, thereby expanding the entire market ecosystem.
Climate Variability
Severe droughts, floods, and unseasonal temperatures can disrupt the carefully managed biological cycle's essential for regenerative systems. These extreme events can damage cover crops, stress perennial systems, and even lead to the release of sequestered carbon from soils. Such volatility introduces uncertainty into carbon credit projects, making it difficult to guarantee long-term sequestration levels and potentially undermining the financial value of carbon assets. This inherent risk can make both farmers and investors cautious, threatening the stability and predictability of the market.
The pandemic initially disrupted supply chains and shifted governmental focus, temporarily slowing some market investments. However, it ultimately acted as a catalyst by starkly exposing the fragility of conventional, globalized food systems. This heightened awareness accelerated the demand for resilient, localized, and sustainable agricultural production. Furthermore, the crisis underscored the link between environmental health and public health, pushing corporations and consumers to prioritize supply chain sustainability. Consequently, post-pandemic recovery strategies began to incorporate regenerative agriculture as a means to build back more robust and climate-resilient food economies.
The MRV tools and platforms segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The MRV tools and platforms segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period because it provides the essential backbone for the entire carbon sequestration economy. Without reliable, scalable, and cost-effective MRV, the quantification and monetization of carbon credits would be impossible. These digital platforms and tools enable farmers to accurately track their impact and allow buyers to trust the environmental integrity of their purchases. As both regulatory and voluntary carbon markets mature, the demand for robust MRV solutions becomes non-negotiable, making this segment the foundational and most dominant component of the market ecosystem.
The agroforestry & silvopasture segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the agroforestry & silvopasture segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate due to its potent synergy of agricultural production and significant carbon sequestration potential. These systems, which integrate trees with crops or livestock, offer multiple revenue streams from timber, fruit, nuts, and carbon credits, enhancing farm profitability and risk diversification. Moreover, they deliver exceptional ecological co-benefits like enhanced biodiversity and improved microclimates. As farmers and large landowners seek more resilient and economically viable pathways into regenerative agriculture, the multifunctional appeal of agroforestry makes it an increasingly attractive and rapidly expanding practice.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share. This leadership is anchored by a well-established agricultural technology sector, significant private sector investment in carbon farming programs, and supportive government policies. Furthermore, high awareness levels among large-scale farmers and robust scientific research infrastructure have accelerated early adoption. The presence of major corporate players and a mature voluntary carbon market also contribute to North America's dominant position, creating a concentrated hub of activity, investment, and innovation in the regenerative agriculture space.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. This rapid growth is fueled by the pressing need to address soil degradation and food security concerns in densely populated countries. Additionally, substantial governmental initiatives in nations like India and China, which are promoting sustainable practices to meet climate goals, are providing a significant push. The region's vast agricultural land area presents a massive untapped potential for carbon sequestration. As awareness grows and MRV technologies become more accessible, the adoption rate in Asia Pacific is set to accelerate faster than in more mature markets.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Regenerative Agriculture and Carbon Sequestration Market include Indigo Ag, Inc., Cargill Incorporated, Soil Capital, General Mills Inc., Nestle S.A., Unilever PLC, PepsiCo, Inc., McDonald's Corporation, Kering S.A., Danone S.A., Boomitra, Carbon8 Systems, Yara International ASA, Agreena, Perennial, Varaha, Loam Bio, InPlanet, Nori, and CarbonZero.Eco.
In October 2025, Two leading global food companies, Mars and Cargill, announced they are spurring the development of more than 224MWac* of new renewable energy capacity through five virtual power purchase agreements (PPAs) in Poland. The PPAs were signed with GoldenPeaks Capital, one of Europe's fastest-growing independent producers of renewable energy.
In October 2023, General Mills, Walmart and Sam's Club announced a collaboration today to help accelerate the adoption of regenerative agriculture on 600,000 acres in the U.S. by 2030. This represents the approximate number of acres General Mills engages to source key ingredients for its products sold through Walmart and Sam's Club. Initial projects will be supported through grants administered by the National Fish and Wildlife Foundation (NFWF) and seek to advance regenerative agriculture outcomes across a variety of crops, including wheat, in the Northern and Southern Great Plains.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.