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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1889409
绿色化学品市场预测至2032年:按产品类型、原料、技术、应用和地区分類的全球分析Green Chemicals Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Product Type, Source, Technology, Application, and By Geography |
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根据 Stratistics MRC 的一项研究,预计到 2025 年,全球绿色化学品市场价值将达到 1,453 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 3,095 亿美元。
预计在预测期内,绿色化学品市场将以11.4%的复合年增长率成长。绿色化学品是指使用可再生原料、更清洁的製程或技术生产的化学品,与传统石油化学产品相比,其环境影响较小。此类别包括生物基溶剂、界面活性剂、聚合物、特殊化学品和中间体,广泛应用于包装、清洁剂、农业和汽车等各个领域。绿色化学品的优点包括减少温室气体排放、降低毒性、减少环境残留。它们还有助于提高合规性,更符合客户和投资者对永续产品的期望,从而促进逐步摆脱化石原料依赖。
企业永续发展活动和碳中和目标
企业永续发展措施和碳中和目标是绿色化学品市场的关键驱动力。製造商正在探索低碳原料和生产工艺,以满足科学碳目标和环境、社会及公司治理(ESG)预期。包装、汽车、建筑、消费品等行业的公司正逐步以生物基溶剂、聚合物和界面活性剂取代石油化学原料,以减少生命週期排放。此外,来自投资者、零售商和品牌所有者的压力正迫使供应商为其产品申请生态标籤认证,这推动了长期承购协议的签订,并促进了整个产业链中全球绿色化学品生产能力的资本投资。
来自低成本石化燃料替代品的竞争
来自低成本石化燃料替代品的竞争持续限制绿色化学品市场的发展,特别是在价格敏感型应用领域,例如大宗塑胶、燃料和通用溶剂。传统石化产品受惠于数十年来优化的基础设施、规模经济以及化石能源补贴,使其单位成本低于许多生物基或可再生原料配方。此外,油气价格的波动会暂时扩大成本差距,使得绿色产品在缺乏强有力的监管和财政支持政策的情况下,难以赢得竞标、获得长期合约并打入新兴市场。
政府对生物基产业的奖励和资金支持
政府对生物基产业的奖励和资助为绿色化学品的应用提供了强劲的推动力,尤其是在那些优先考虑净零排放路径和循环经济战略的地区。津贴、税额扣抵和优惠采购计划降低了生物炼製厂、生物基聚合物工厂和绿色溶剂生产商的计划风险。此外,欧洲、北美和亚洲的专案计画正在促进对试点设施、规模化基础设施以及合作研发的资金注入。此类政策支持有助于弥合成本差距,吸引私人投资,并加速创新绿色化学技术在全球盈利的市场中的商业化。
实现与现有化学品性能相当的挑战
如何实现与现有化学品性能相当仍然是一大挑战,因为许多绿色替代品必须在耐久性、加工性和相容性方面达到甚至超越其石油化工同类产品。在工程塑胶、涂料、黏合剂和高性能界面活性剂等应用中,即使稳定性或保存期限略有不足,也会令配方师望而却步。此外,终端用户通常规避风险,在转换产品之前会要求进行广泛的检验、认证和现场测试。这些障碍可能会在未来几年减缓绿色替代品的普及速度,延长销售週期,并限制其在全球高要求行业的渗透。
新冠疫情对绿色化学品市场产生了复杂的影响。初期,封锁措施衝击了物流和农业生产,扰乱了供应链、计划进度和原材料供应。许多生物基化学品生产商面临工厂停产和来自建筑、汽车和工业客户需求下降的困境。同时,人们对韧性和永续性的日益重视促使政策制定者和企业重新评估其筹资策略。此外,多个地区实施的经济刺激方案已纳入绿色转型目标,从而加强了全球对生物基和低碳化学品的长期支持。
预计在预测期内,生物基聚合物和塑胶领域将占据最大的市场份额。
预计在预测期内,生物基聚合物和塑胶细分市场将占据最大的市场份额,随着包装、汽车和消费品行业的品牌所有者努力减少化石基树脂的使用并提高可回收性,该细分市场规模将不断扩大。这些材料生命週期排放低,并且可以透过工程设计使其在薄膜、硬质包装、纤维和特殊应用领域表现出色。此外,一次性塑胶法规和生产者延伸责任制正在加速对可堆肥和生物基解决方案的需求。随着产能的扩大和成本的下降,该细分市场有望巩固其作为市场关键组成部分的地位。
预计在预测期内,微生物和藻类衍生产品领域将以最高的复合年增长率成长。
由于微生物和藻类衍生领域处于碳捕获、废弃物回收和先进生物技术的交汇点,预计该领域在预测期内将实现最高成长率。目前正在进行试点和商业计划,以开发藻类衍生的油脂、色素、蛋白质和特种化学品,从而创造多元化的收入来源。此外,能源、相关企业和生技公司之间的合作正在降低规模化生产的风险。随着生产成本的下降和法规结构的日益清晰,该领域有望从利基市场发展成为主流产品。
预计在预测期内,欧洲将保持最大的市场份额,这得益于严格的环境法规、雄心勃勃的绿色交易目标以及成熟的化学品製造基础。该地区拥有完善的生物基原料基础设施、强大的研发网路以及许多丛集于高附加价值应用的特种化学品製造商。此外,消费者对永续性意识的提高也增强了对经认证的环保产品的需求。这些结构性优势将使欧洲继续保持在全球绿色化学创新领域的领先地位。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将实现最高的复合年增长率,这主要得益于工业化程度不断提高的经济体扩大了生物基化学品和可再生材料的产能。政府的支持性政策、日益增强的环保意识以及中国、印度、日本和东南亚等地的庞大国内市场都在支持这一需求。此外,具有竞争力的原料供应以及对现代化生物炼製厂的投资也吸引了许多本土企业和跨国公司。随着供应链日益摆脱对化石原料的依赖,亚太地区可望成为全球经济成长的引擎。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Green Chemicals Market is accounted for $145.3 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $309.5 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 11.4% during the forecast period. Green chemicals refer to those produced using renewable feedstocks, cleaner processes, or lower-impact technologies in comparison to conventional petrochemicals. This category includes bio-based solvents, surfactants, polymers, specialty chemicals, and intermediates used in various sectors such as packaging, detergents, agriculture, and automotive. The benefits of green chemicals encompass reduced greenhouse gas emissions, lower toxicity, and decreased environmental persistence. They also support improved regulatory compliance and align more closely with customer and investor expectations for sustainable products, facilitating a gradual transition away from fossil-based inputs.
Corporate sustainability initiatives and carbon neutrality goals
Corporate sustainability initiatives and carbon neutrality goals are a primary engine for the green chemicals market, as manufacturers seek low-carbon feedstocks and processes to meet science-based targets and ESG expectations. Companies in packaging, automotive, construction, and consumer goods are gradually replacing petrochemical inputs with bio-based solvents, polymers, and surfactants to reduce lifecycle emissions. Moreover, pressure from investors, retailers, and brand owners is pushing suppliers to certify products under eco-labels, stimulating long-term offtake agreements and capital investment in green chemical capacity worldwide across industrial value chains.
Competition from low-cost fossil fuel-based alternatives
Competition from low-cost fossil fuel-based alternatives continues to restrain the green chemicals market, especially in price-sensitive applications such as bulk plastics, fuels, and commodity solvents. Conventional petrochemicals benefit from decades of optimized infrastructure, scale efficiencies, and subsidized fossil energy, which keep unit costs lower than many bio-based or renewable formulations. Additionally, fluctuating oil and gas prices can temporarily widen the cost gap, making it difficult for green products to win tenders, secure long-term contracts, and penetrate emerging markets without strong regulatory and fiscal support policies.
Government incentives and funding for bio-based industries
Government incentives and funding for bio-based industries provide a powerful tailwind for green chemical adoption, particularly in regions prioritizing net-zero pathways and circular economy strategies. Grants, tax credits, and preferential procurement schemes lower project risk for biorefineries, bio-based polymer plants, and green solvent producers. Furthermore, mission-oriented programs in Europe, North America, and Asia are directing capital into pilot facilities, scale-up infrastructure, and R&D collaborations. This policy support helps close cost gaps, crowd in private investment, and accelerate commercialization of innovative green chemistries across global end-markets profitably.
Challenges in achieving performance parity with established chemicals
Challenges in achieving performance parity with established chemicals remain a critical threat, as many green alternatives must match or exceed the durability, processability, and compatibility of petrochemical incumbents. In applications such as engineering plastics, coatings, adhesives, and high-performance surfactants, even small compromises in stability or shelf life can deter formulators. Moreover, end-users are often risk-averse, requiring extensive validation, certifications, and field trials before switching. These hurdles can slow adoption, extend sales cycles, and limit penetration into demanding industrial segments worldwide for many coming years ahead.
Covid-19 had a mixed impact on the green chemicals market, initially disrupting supply chains, project timelines, and feedstock availability as lockdowns affected logistics and agricultural outputs. Many bio-based chemical producers faced plant shutdowns and weaker demand from construction, automotive, and industrial customers. At the same time, heightened awareness of resilience and sustainability encouraged policymakers and companies to re-evaluate sourcing strategies. Additionally, recovery packages in several regions have embedded green transition objectives, reinforcing long-term support for bio-based and low-carbon chemicals globally.
The bio-based polymers & plastics segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The bio-based polymers & plastics segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period and is gaining scale as brand owners in packaging, automotive, and consumer goods commit to reducing fossil-derived resin usage and improving recyclability. These materials offer lower lifecycle emissions and can be engineered for comparable performance in films, rigid packaging, fibers, and specialty applications. Moreover, regulations on single-use plastics and extended producer responsibility schemes are accelerating demand for compostable and bio-attributed solutions. As production capacities expand and costs decrease, this segment consolidates its position as the market's anchor.
The microorganism/algae-based segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the microorganism/algae-based segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate because it sits at the intersection of carbon capture, waste valorization, and advanced biotechnology. Pilot and commercial projects are exploring algae-derived oils, pigments, proteins, and specialty chemicals, creating diversified revenue streams. Moreover, collaborations between energy companies, agribusinesses, and biotech firms are de-risking scale-up. As production costs trend lower and regulatory frameworks clarify, this segment is positioned to evolve from niche to mainstream offerings.
Europe is expected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period, supported by stringent environmental regulations, ambitious Green Deal targets, and a mature chemicals manufacturing base. The region has well-established infrastructure for bio-based feedstocks, strong R&D networks, and a dense cluster of specialty chemical producers focused on high-value applications. Additionally, consumer awareness of sustainability is relatively high, reinforcing demand for certified eco-friendly products. These structural advantages enable Europe to remain a key hub for green chemical innovation globally.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR as industrializing economies expand their capacity for bio-based chemicals and renewable materials. Supportive government policies, rising environmental awareness, and large domestic markets in China, India, Japan, and Southeast Asia underpin demand. Moreover, competitive feedstock availability and investments in modern biorefineries attract both regional and multinational players. As supply chains diversify away from purely fossil-based inputs, Asia Pacific is expected to emerge as a growth engine worldwide.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Green Chemicals Market include BASF SE, Dow Inc., DuPont de Nemours, Inc., Cargill, Incorporated, Archer Daniels Midland Company, Evonik Industries AG, Novozymes A/S, Corbion N.V., Braskem S.A., Arkema S.A., Solvay S.A., Croda International Plc, Clariant AG, Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation, NatureWorks LLC, and PTT Global Chemical Public Company Limited.
In September 2025, BASF delivered the first biomass-balanced 3-(dimethylamino)propyl-amine in Asia Pacific, certified under ISCC PLUS and REDcert2, reducing the product's carbon footprint via mass balance.
In October 2024, BASF and AM Green entered a memorandum of understanding to evaluate low-carbon chemicals produced with renewable energy in India, including offtake of 100,000 tons of green ammonia annually.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.