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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1916624
全球碳农业和农业排碳权市场预测至2032年:按类型、排碳权类型、机制、部署模式、最终用户和地区划分Carbon Farming & Agricultural Carbon Credits Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Type, Carbon Credit Type, Mechanism, Deployment Mode, End User and By Geography |
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根据 Stratistics MRC 的一项研究,全球碳农业和农业排碳权市场预计在 2025 年价值 6.1635 亿美元,预计到 2032 年将达到 17.3147 亿美元,在预测期内的复合年增长率为 15.9%。
碳农业和农业排碳权是指采用气候智慧型农业实践,将大气中的碳储存在土壤和植物生物质中,从而减少与农业相关的排放。碳透过保护性耕作、轮作、再生放牧和植树造林等措施被封存在土地中。封存的碳被量化并认证为排碳权,农民可以在受监管或自愿的市场上出售这些碳信用。这种方法促进了环境永续性,提高了土壤肥力,并为农民提供了新的收入来源,同时也有助于实现全球气候目标。
农业技术的进步
遥感探测、物联网土壤感测器和卫星影像等精密农业工具正在提高土壤碳含量测量和监测的准确性。数位化农场管理平台能够更精确地追踪覆盖作物和犁地等再生农业实践。自动化和数据分析有助于优化投入使用,同时增加碳固存。改进的可追溯性系统增强了农业排碳权买家的信任度。这些技术正在降低整个排碳权信用价值链的不确定性,并提高透明度。随着农业技术解决方案价格的降低,其在已开发市场和新兴农业市场的应用都在不断增长。
复杂检验(MRV)
土壤碳含量因地区、作物类型和气候条件而异,难以进行标准化测量。监测、核查和核实(通讯协定通常需要长期资料收集、实验室检测和第三方审核——这些流程会增加成本和行政负担,尤其对中小农户而言更是如此。缺乏全球统一标准进一步加剧了碳信用额度的可比较性和可接受性问题。数位化MRV工具正在兴起,但尚未获得监管机构和买家的广泛信任。因此,复杂的检验要求阻碍了计划的扩充性和市场参与企业的参与。
生态系服务的积累
除了碳封存之外,再生农业还能带来许多好处,例如提高生物多样性、改善土壤保水能力和提升土壤健康。农民除了可以获得排碳权外,还可以透过将这些额外效益货币化,从而创造新的收入来源。企业买家越来越重视全面的永续性成果,而不仅仅是碳抵销。一些地区的政策架构开始认可并奖励多功能土地利用方式。环境监测技术的进步使得量化这些额外服务变得更加容易。这一趋势正在提高计划的盈利,并吸引着不同类型的投资者。
土地掠夺与社会公平
当大型投资者主要为了取得排碳权而收购农地时,当地农民和社区可能会被迫迁离。开发中地区薄弱的土地所有权制度加剧了土地掠夺的风险。小规模往往缺乏与机构投资者竞争的法律和经济能力,这可能导致碳农业价值链中利润分配不均。社会舆论反弹和声誉风险可能会阻碍企业参与管治不善的计划。
新冠疫情扰乱了农业活动,并延缓了多个碳汇农业计划的实施。旅行限制阻碍了实地调查、土壤取样和第三方检验活动。供应链中断影响了再生农业所需的种子、投入品和监测设备的采购。然而,这场危机加速了远端监测和数据收集数位化工具的应用。各国政府和气候变迁机构在疫情后的復苏计画中更加重视基于自然的解决方案。在此期间,对永续农业和气候适应能力的投资兴趣增加。因此,作为绿色復苏策略的一部分,碳汇农业获得了新的发展动力。
在预测期内,土壤碳封存领域将占据最大的市场规模。
由于土壤碳封存技术在农业系统中具有广泛的适用性,预计在预测期内,该领域将占据最大的市场份额。犁地、轮作和覆盖作物等耕作方式已被广泛采用并充分理解。这些方法能够增加土壤有机碳含量,同时提高生产力和土壤韧性。与林业相关的替代方案相比,土壤碳封存计划的实施成本相对较低。它们适用于各种规模的农业经营,从小小规模到大型商业农场均可适用。随着科学检验的不断完善,买家对土壤排碳权的信心也不断增强。
在预测期内,金融机构和碳基金板块的复合年增长率将最高。
预计在预测期内,金融机构和碳基金板块将实现最高成长率。这主要得益于不断增长的资本流入,这些资金支持大规模碳农业和再生农业计划。银行和专注于气候的基金正在开发与碳排放成果挂钩的客製化金融产品。风险分担机制和混合融资模式降低了农民的进入门槛。机构投资者将农业排碳权视为长期的气候行动资产。透明度的提高数位化MRV(测量、报告和检验)系统的完善正在增强投资者信心。
由于欧洲地区拥有强有力的气候政策和法规结构,预计在预测期内,该地区将占据最大的市场份额。欧盟通用农业政策(CAP)正在加强碳排放和永续性奖励的整合。农民和相关企业的高度重视正在推动市场成熟。已建立的碳排放登记系统和认证机构正在提升市场信誉。公私合营正在加速成员国先导计画的推进。
预计亚太地区在预测期内将实现最高的复合年增长率。农业的快速扩张和广阔的耕地蕴藏着巨大的碳封存潜力。各国政府正推行气候智慧型农业倡议,以应对粮食安全和减排排放。跨国公司参与度的提高正在推动该地区对排碳权的需求。数位农业的进步正在提升监测和检验能力。小规模聚合模式正在促进更广泛的农户参与。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Carbon Farming & Agricultural Carbon Credits Market is accounted for $616.35 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $1731.47 million by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 15.9% during the forecast period. Carbon farming and agricultural carbon credits involve adopting climate-smart agricultural practices that store atmospheric carbon in soils and plant biomass and lower farm-based emissions. Methods such as conservation tillage, crop rotation, regenerative grazing, and tree integration help lock carbon into the land. The sequestered carbon is quantified and certified as carbon credits, which farmers can sell in regulated or voluntary markets. This approach promotes environmental sustainability, enhances soil fertility, and provides farmers with new revenue streams while contributing to global climate goals.
Advancements in Ag-Tech
Precision agriculture tools such as remote sensing, IoT-enabled soil sensors, and satellite imagery are improving the measurement and monitoring of soil carbon levels. Digital farm management platforms enable farmers to track regenerative practices like cover cropping and reduced tillage with greater accuracy. Automation and data analytics are helping optimize input usage while enhancing carbon sequestration outcomes. Improved traceability systems are increasing confidence among buyers of agricultural carbon credits. These technologies reduce uncertainty and enhance transparency across carbon credit value chains. As ag-tech solutions become more affordable, adoption is expanding across both developed and emerging agricultural markets.
Complex verification (MRV)
Soil carbon levels vary widely across regions, crop types, and climatic conditions, making standardized measurement difficult. MRV protocols often require long-term data collection, laboratory testing, and third-party audits. These processes increase costs and administrative burden, particularly for small and medium-sized farmers. The lack of globally harmonized standards further complicates credit comparability and acceptance. Digital MRV tools are emerging but are not yet universally trusted by regulators and buyers. As a result, complex verification requirements slow project scalability and market participation.
Stacking ecosystem services
Beyond carbon sequestration, regenerative agriculture delivers benefits such as improved biodiversity, water retention, and soil health. Farmers can potentially generate additional revenue streams by monetizing these co-benefits alongside carbon credits. Corporate buyers are increasingly seeking holistic sustainability outcomes rather than carbon offsets alone. Policy frameworks in several regions are beginning to recognize and reward multifunctional land-use practices. Advances in environmental monitoring are making it easier to quantify these additional services. This trend is enhancing project profitability and attracting diversified investor interest.
Land grabbing & social equity
Large investors may acquire farmland primarily for carbon credit generation, displacing local farmers and communities. Weak land tenure systems in developing regions heighten the risk of land grabbing. Smallholder farmers often lack the legal or financial capacity to compete with institutional buyers. This can lead to unequal benefit distribution across the carbon farming value chain. Social backlash and reputational risks may deter corporate participation in poorly governed projects.
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted agricultural operations and delayed the implementation of several carbon farming projects. Restrictions on mobility limited field assessments, soil sampling, and third-party verification activities. Supply chain interruptions affected access to seeds, inputs, and monitoring equipment needed for regenerative practices. However, the crisis accelerated the adoption of digital tools for remote monitoring and data collection. Governments and climate-focused institutions increased attention on nature-based solutions during post-pandemic recovery planning. Investment interest in sustainable agriculture and climate resilience strengthened during this period. As a result, carbon farming gained renewed momentum as part of green recovery strategies.
The soil carbon sequestration segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The soil carbon sequestration segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, due to its broad applicability across agricultural systems. Practices such as no-till farming, crop rotation, and cover cropping are widely adopted and well understood. These methods enhance soil organic carbon while improving productivity and resilience. Soil-based projects offer relatively lower implementation costs compared to forestry-based alternatives. They are compatible with both smallholder and large-scale commercial farming operations. Growing scientific validation is strengthening buyer confidence in soil carbon credits.
The financial institutions & carbon funds segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the financial institutions & carbon funds segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, due to increasing capital inflows are supporting large-scale carbon farming and regenerative agriculture projects. Banks and climate-focused funds are developing tailored financing instruments linked to carbon outcomes. Risk-sharing mechanisms and blended finance models are lowering entry barriers for farmers. Institutional investors are viewing agricultural carbon credits as long-term climate assets. Enhanced transparency and digital MRV systems are improving investment confidence.
During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share, due to strong climate policies and regulatory frameworks. The European Union's Common Agricultural Policy increasingly integrates carbon and sustainability incentives. High awareness among farmers and agribusinesses supports market maturity. Well-established carbon registries and certification bodies enhance market trust. Public-private partnerships are accelerating pilot projects across member states.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. Rapid agricultural expansion and large arable land availability create significant carbon sequestration potential. Governments are introducing climate-smart agriculture initiatives to address food security and emissions reduction. Rising participation from multinational corporations is boosting regional carbon credit demand. Improvements in digital agriculture are enhancing monitoring and verification capabilities. Smallholder aggregation models are enabling broader farmer participation.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Carbon Farming & Agricultural Carbon Credits Market include Indigo Ag, Carbon Crop, Nori, Boomitra, Soil Capital, Regrow Ag, Agreena, Terra Global, Agoro Carbon, South Pole, Bayer AG, Cargill, Inc., CIBO Technologies, Ecosystem Services Market Consortium (ESMC), and Rabobank.
In October 2025, Mars and Cargill, announced they are spurring the development of more than 224MWac* of new renewable energy capacity through five virtual power purchase agreements (PPAs) in Poland. The PPAs were signed with GoldenPeaks Capital, one of Europe's fastest-growing independent producers of renewable energy.
In September 2025, CIBO Technologies announced its partnership with Sand County Foundation, a national nonprofit recognized for equipping landowners with practical conservation tools, to power a multi-year Regional Conservation Partnership Program (RCPP) initiative, funded by the USDA NRCS.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.