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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1953479
碳农业市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会及预测(依计划类型、实务、最终用户、地区和竞争格局划分,2021-2031年)Carbon Farming Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Project Type, By Practice, By End User, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球碳农业市场预计将从 2025 年的 5.4434 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 12.8961 亿美元,复合年增长率为 15.46%。
碳农业是指一系列旨在将大气中的二氧化碳固存在土壤和植物生物质中的专业农业管理措施,它既是一种基于自然的应对气候变迁的解决方案,又能产生可交易的排碳权。这一市场成长的主要驱动力是企业为实现严格的净零排放目标而寻求高品质碳移除抵销额度的需求不断增长。此外,为保障长期粮食安全而迫切需要恢復劣化农田,这也构成了一个结构性驱动因素,为碳农业的推广提供了经济奖励,使其不受自愿碳市场波动的影响。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 5.4434亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 12.8961亿美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 15.46% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 综合农业和畜牧业系统 |
| 最大的市场 | 北美洲 |
然而,该领域在土壤有机碳的测量、报告和检验(MRV)方面面临着许多障碍,高成本和技术复杂性目前阻碍了大规模实施。缺乏统一且经济的量化通讯协定常常导致人们对碳信用的可靠性产生不确定性,这可能会吓退谨慎的投资者。根据森林趋势(Forest Trends)的生态系统市场报告,儘管到2024年自愿碳市场的总交易额将缩减至5.35亿美元,但由于买家更倾向于选择碳移除资产,农业计划类别的平均碳信用价格却出现了特异性上涨。
企业净零排放承诺和不断扩大的ESG(环境、社会和治理)承诺正在从根本上改变全球碳农业市场的需求结构。随着跨国公司寻求供应链脱碳,特别是透过减少范围3排放,它们越来越多地与农民合作,实施能够产生检验碳资产的再生农业实践。这种积极的筹资策略源于获取高可信度碳移除信用额的需求,以支持其官方气候行动声明并降低监管风险。根据2024年3月发布的《科学碳目标倡议(SBTi)2023年监测报告》,预计到2023年底,设定检验的科学碳目标的公司数量将翻一番,达到4204家,这表明未来对陆基碳移除以排放不可避免的排放的需求将显着增长。
同时,政府的支持政策和财政奖励正在帮助农民降低转型风险。公共部门资金对于弥合实施覆盖作物和犁地设备所需的初始投资与未来碳收益实现之间的资金缺口至关重要。例如,美国农业部在2024年4月的新闻稿中宣布,将在2024财年为其区域保护伙伴关係计画拨款15亿美元,该计画旨在支持采用气候智慧型农业实践。这些公共机制通常与私人支付方案协同运作,从而提高土壤碳封存计划的整体经济可行性。作为私营部门发展势头的一个例子,Agrina公司报告称,该公司在2024年向欧洲各地的农民支付了1500万欧元,用于购买其产生的碳信用额,这证实了早期采用者可获得的流动性正在增加。
全球碳农业市场成长的最大障碍在于土壤有机碳测量、报告和检验(MRV)的高成本和技术复杂性。准确量化碳固存需要严格且昂贵的采样程序,这往往会挤压农民的利润空间,并削弱小规模计划的经济可行性。缺乏经济高效且统一的调查方法,导致碳移除声明的有效性存在系统性不确定性,并造成企业买家可信赖的高保真资产短缺。因此,由于担心信誉和与「绿色清洗」相关的潜在声誉风险,规避风险的投资者往往会犹豫不决,不愿进行投资。
这种结构性瓶颈直接限制了市场的供给面,阻碍了满足全球需求所需的快速扩张。根据森林趋势组织(Forest Trends)的生态系统市场报告,2024年自愿碳市场发行的碳信用下降了20%。这一萎缩主要是由于计划註册速度放缓以及对土地利用调查方法的审查力度加大。发行量的下降表明,测量、报告和检验(MRV)方面的局限性正在严重阻碍检验计划的推进,而这些项目对于市场扩张至关重要。
人工智慧 (AI) 与基于卫星的监测、核查和核查 (MRV) 系统的融合,正从根本上改变全球碳农业市场,消除传统土壤取样带来的成本障碍。新型遥感探测技术利用机器学习演算法分析卫星影像,精确量化大片农田的土壤有机碳含量,无需昂贵的实验室物理检测。这项技术革新有效地将营运规模与管理成本脱钩,使小规模农户能够盈利参与碳市场。 Boomitra 在 2025 年 6 月的新闻稿中宣布的一项突破性协议,便是这项营运模式转变的典型案例。该公司签署了一份合同,提供 50 万个完全使用其专有的 AI 和遥感探测技术检验的碳移除信用额度,证明了数位化检验技术的商业性可行性。
同时,高可信度、基于移除的排碳权的兴起正将资金流向永续碳封存资产。企业买家正逐渐放弃低成本、基于避免的碳抵消,转而选择基于经过调查方法(例如生物炭施用和可衡量的土壤碳含量提升)的碳信用。这种「回归品质」的趋势正在推动市场供应端的大规模长期投资,因为相关人员优先考虑那些能够经受严格的永久性和额外性检验的资产。南极研究所2025年5月发布的报告《基于自然和技术的碳移除》显示,投资者在2021年至2024年间承诺向碳移除计划投入约300亿美元,这凸显了这一趋势。这显示市场对高品质碳排放的强烈偏好,而非简单的减排。
The Global Carbon Farming Market is projected to expand from USD 544.34 Million in 2025 to USD 1289.61 Million by 2031, registering a CAGR of 15.46%. Defined as a specialized suite of agricultural management practices intended to sequester atmospheric carbon dioxide into soil and plant biomass, carbon farming serves as a nature-based solution to climate change while producing tradable carbon credits. This market growth is chiefly underpinned by intensifying demand from corporations looking for high-quality removal offsets to satisfy strict net-zero emissions goals. Additionally, the critical necessity to restore degraded arable land for long-term food security acts as a structural driver, offering an economic incentive for adoption that exists independently of voluntary carbon market volatility.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 544.34 Million |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 1289.61 Million |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 15.46% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Integrated Crop-Livestock System |
| Largest Market | North America |
Nevertheless, the sector confronts a significant obstacle regarding the measurement, reporting, and verification (MRV) of soil organic carbon, where elevated costs and technical complexities currently hinder scalable implementation. The absence of unified, affordable quantification protocols often creates uncertainty concerning credit integrity, which can discourage cautious investors. According to Forest Trends' Ecosystem Marketplace, in 2024, the agriculture project category uniquely observed a rise in average credit prices due to buyer preference for removal assets, even as the total transaction value of the voluntary carbon market shrank to USD 535 million.
Market Driver
The escalation of corporate net-zero pledges and ESG commitments is fundamentally altering the demand dynamics of the Global Carbon Farming Market. As multinational organizations aim to decarbonize their supply chains, particularly regarding Scope 3 emissions, they are increasingly partnering with agricultural producers to implement regenerative practices that yield verifiable carbon assets. This aggressive procurement strategy is driven by the need to obtain high-integrity removal credits to validate public climate claims and mitigate regulatory risks. According to the Science Based Targets initiative's 'SBTi Monitoring Report 2023', published in March 2024, the number of companies with validated science-based targets doubled to 4,204 by the end of 2023, indicating a substantial future requirement for land-based carbon removals to offset unavoidable emissions.
Simultaneously, the introduction of supportive government policies and financial incentives is de-risking the operational transition for agricultural producers. Public sector funding is crucial to bridge the financial divide between the initial capital outlay required for cover crops or no-till equipment and the eventual realization of carbon revenue. For instance, the U.S. Department of Agriculture announced in an April 2024 'Press Release' that $1.5 billion would be available in fiscal year 2024 for the Regional Conservation Partnership Program to assist farmers in adopting climate-smart practices. These public mechanisms often operate alongside private payment schemes, enhancing the overall economic viability of soil sequestration projects. Illustrating this private sector momentum, Agreena reported in 2024 that it paid out €15 million to farmers across Europe for generated carbon certificates, confirming the rising liquidity available to early adopters.
Market Challenge
The most significant hurdle impeding the growth of the Global Carbon Farming Market is the high cost and technical complexity associated with the Measurement, Reporting, and Verification (MRV) of soil organic carbon. Accurate quantification of carbon sequestration necessitates rigorous and expensive sampling protocols, which often erode profit margins for farmers and render smaller projects economically unfeasible. This lack of cost-effective, unified methodologies creates systemic uncertainty regarding the validity of carbon removal claims, leading to a shortage of high-integrity assets that corporate buyers can trust. Consequently, risk-averse investors often withhold capital due to concerns over credit quality and potential reputational risks related to greenwashing.
This structural bottleneck directly constrains the supply side of the market, preventing the rapid scaling necessary to meet global demand. According to Forest Trends' Ecosystem Marketplace, in 2024, the volume of carbon credits issued in the voluntary market declined by 20 percent, a contraction largely attributed to the slowdown in project registrations and intensified scrutiny of land-use methodologies. This decrease in issuance illustrates how MRV limitations are actively stifling the pipeline of verified projects that are essential for market expansion.
Market Trends
The Integration of AI and Satellite-Based MRV Systems is fundamentally transforming the Global Carbon Farming Market by dismantling the cost barriers associated with traditional soil sampling. New remote sensing technologies utilize machine learning algorithms to analyze satellite imagery, allowing for the accurate quantification of soil organic carbon levels across vast agricultural landscapes without the need for expensive physical lab tests. This technological evolution effectively decouples operational scaling from administrative costs, enabling smaller farms to participate profitably in carbon markets. A testament to this operational shift occurred when, according to Boomitra in a June 2025 'Press Release', the company finalized a landmark agreement to deliver 500,000 carbon removal credits verified exclusively through its proprietary AI and remote sensing capabilities, proving the commercial acceptance of digital verification.
Concurrently, the Emergence of High-Integrity and Removal-Based Carbon Credits is shifting capital flows toward durable sequestration assets. Corporate buyers are increasingly abandoning low-cost avoidance offsets in favor of credits derived from methodologies with lower reversal risks, such as biochar application and measurable soil carbon enhancement. This flight to quality is driving substantial long-term investment into the supply side of the market, as stakeholders prioritize assets that can withstand rigorous scrutiny regarding permanence and additionality. This trend is highlighted by the fact that, according to South Pole's May 2025 'Nature-based and tech-based carbon removals' report, investors committed nearly $30 billion to carbon removal projects between 2021 and 2024, signaling a robust market preference for high-quality sequestration over simple emission reductions.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Carbon Farming Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Carbon Farming Market.
Global Carbon Farming Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: