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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1941170
柴油引擎催化剂市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会及预测(依技术、应用、销售管道、地区及竞争格局划分,2021-2031年)Diesel Engine Catalyst Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Technology, By Application, By Sales Channel, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球柴油引擎催化剂市场预计将从 2025 年的 390.1 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 623.2 亿美元,年复合成长率为 8.12%。
这些催化剂,包括选择性催化还原系统和柴油氧化催化剂,是专门设计的部件,用于将有害的废气转化为无害的化合物。推动市场发展的关键因素是严格的国际法规,这些法规强制要求减少颗粒物和氮氧化物的排放,以及重型商务传输领域对柴油动力系统的持续需求,因为柴油动力系统具有卓越的热效率和扭矩特性。欧洲汽车製造商协会 (ACEA) 的最新数据也印证了这一优势,该协会报告称,2023 年在欧盟註册的新重型卡车中,95.7% 将配备柴油引擎。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 390.1亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 623.2亿美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 8.12% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 越野 |
| 最大的市场 | 亚太地区 |
然而,随着世界加速向电气化和替代能源解决方案转型,该产业面临许多挑战。在各国政府脱碳政策的推动下,氢燃料电池技术和电池式电动车的广泛应用,有可能逐步减少内燃机的产量。这种转型有效地缩小了传统废气后处理设备的潜在市场规模,成为其长期市场成长的一大障碍。
全球日益严格的排放气体法规的实施正成为市场成长的关键催化剂。监管机构强制要求采用先进的过滤技术来控制氮氧化物和粒状物排放。这种法律压力迫使製造商采用复杂的后处理系统,以符合不断变化的法规框架,近期推出的欧7排放标准便是这一趋势的典型例证。正如欧洲理事会在2024年4月发布的《欧7:采用新的排放气体法规标准》中所述,该法规要求新型重型车辆在实施后的48个月内达到更新后的排放标准,从而确保对高效排放控制硬体的持续需求。
同时,对重型商用车和非道路施工机械的持续需求,加剧了对柴油动力系统的依赖。采矿和物流等行业仍然依赖柴油发动机,推动了排放气体控制系统的消耗,主要行业参与者的财务表现也印证了这一点。卡特彼勒在2024年2月发布的「2023财年第四季及全年报告」中指出,全年销售额达671亿美元,年增13%。这一增长与废气后后处理组件采购量的增加密切相关。此外,公路车辆市场也保持强劲势头。根据欧洲汽车製造商协会(ACEA)于2024年8月发布的「2024财年上半年新商用车註册量」报告,欧盟新卡车註册量成长3%,达到183,295辆,显示核心市场表现强劲。
全球向电气化和替代动力传动系统的快速转型对全球柴油引擎催化剂市场构成了根本性的结构性风险。随着各国政府实施积极的脱碳政策,并设定了逐步淘汰内燃机的具体时间表,汽车製造商正日益将其研发资金从废气后后处理技术转向电动车(BEV)和氢能技术。这种资金转移势必会缩小柴油氧化催化剂和选择性催化还原(SCR)系统的潜在市场规模,因为传统引擎的淘汰彻底消除了对排放气体控制设备的需求。
在一些面临严峻监管压力的关键区域市场,这种需求萎缩的征兆像已经显现。根据欧洲汽车製造商协会的数据,到2024年,欧盟新车註册量中柴油乘用车的份额将降至11.9%,落后于电池式电动车(BEV),后者将首次达到13.6%的份额。这项统计数据的变化凸显了电动车正在迅速蚕食传统的柴油消费基础。随着这一趋势从乘用车领域扩展到轻型商用车,最终扩展到重型商用车领域,催化剂製造商将面临产量持续下降和长期获利能力降低的情况。
对于催化剂製造商而言,实施先进的铂族金属(PGM)节约策略已成为应对原物料成本波动的关键。工程师们正越来越多地重新配製清洁涂层,以铂金取代昂贵的钯金,从而在不违反法规的前提下优化氧化催化剂中贵金属的比例。这种策略性替代体现在材料消耗模式。世界铂金投资协会于2024年5月发布的《2024年第一季铂金市场报告》预测,2024年汽车铂金需求将成长2%,达到3269千盎司。这主要得益于后处理系统的转变,使得供应商能够在商品市场波动的情况下稳定成本。
同时,降低车辆维修成本和实现永续性目标的需求正在推动对再製造和再製造催化剂系统的需求。营运商正在利用闭合迴路供应链回收贵金属并再生柴油颗粒过滤器,以便在重型车辆应用中重复使用。这种向循环经济模式发展的趋势得到了工业绩效的支持。 Stellantis NV 在 2024 年 2 月发布的「2023 财年全年业绩」报告中指出,其循环经济业务部门的收入同比增长 18%,凸显了再製造零部件(包括排放气体控制硬体)日益增长的商业性吸引力。
The Global Diesel Engine Catalyst Market is projected to expand from USD 39.01 Billion in 2025 to USD 62.32 Billion by 2031, reflecting a CAGR of 8.12%. These catalysts, which include selective catalytic reduction systems and diesel oxidation catalysts, are specialized components designed to transform toxic exhaust emissions into harmless compounds. The market is primarily driven by strict international regulations mandating reduced particulate and nitrogen oxide emissions, alongside the continued necessity of diesel powertrains in heavy-duty commercial transport due to their superior thermal efficiency and torque. This dominance is highlighted by recent data from the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association, which reported that diesel engines comprised 95.7% of new heavy-duty truck registrations in the European Union during 2023.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 39.01 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 62.32 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 8.12% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Off-Road |
| Largest Market | Asia Pacific |
However, the industry faces a substantial hurdle due to the accelerating global shift toward electrification and alternative energy solutions. The widespread uptake of hydrogen fuel cell technologies and battery electric vehicles, propelled by government decarbonization mandates, threatens to progressively reduce the production of internal combustion engines. This transition acts as a significant barrier to long-term market growth by effectively shrinking the total addressable market for traditional exhaust aftertreatment hardware.
Market Driver
The enforcement of rigorous global emission regulations acts as a critical catalyst for market growth, with regulatory bodies mandating advanced filtration technologies to curb nitrogen oxides and particulate matter. This legislative pressure forces manufacturers to implement complex aftertreatment systems to remain compliant with evolving frameworks, a trend exemplified by recent Euro 7 standards. As noted by the European Council in April 2024 under 'Euro 7: Council adopts new rules on emission limits', the legislation requires new heavy-duty vehicles to meet updated limits within 48 months of enactment, thereby ensuring sustained demand for high-efficiency exhaust control hardware.
Simultaneously, the persistent demand for heavy commercial vehicles and off-highway construction equipment reinforces the reliance on diesel powertrains. Sectors such as mining and logistics continue to depend on diesel engines, driving the consumption of emission control systems, as evidenced by the financial performance of key industrial players. Caterpillar Inc. reported in their '4Q and Full-Year 2023 Financial Results' from February 2024 that full-year sales and revenues climbed 13% to $67.1 billion over 2022, a rise closely linked to increased procurement of aftertreatment components. Furthermore, the on-road sector remains resilient; according to the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association's 'New Commercial Vehicle Registrations: H1 2024' released in August 2024, new EU truck registrations grew by 3% to 183,295 units, demonstrating the robustness of the core market.
Market Challenge
The rapid global movement toward electrification and alternative powertrains presents a fundamental structural risk to the Global Diesel Engine Catalyst Market. As governments implement aggressive decarbonization mandates with specific timelines for phasing out internal combustion engines, original equipment manufacturers are increasingly shifting R&D funds away from exhaust aftertreatment in favor of battery electric and hydrogen technologies. This diversion inevitably reduces the total addressable market for diesel oxidation catalysts and selective catalytic reduction systems, as the displacement of conventional engines eliminates the need for emission control hardware entirely.
Evidence of this demand contraction is already apparent in major regional markets facing intense regulatory pressure. Data from the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association reveals that in 2024, the market share for new diesel passenger car registrations in the European Union dropped to 11.9%, falling behind battery-electric vehicles, which captured 13.6% of the market for the first time. This statistical shift highlights the speed at which electric mobility is eroding the traditional diesel consumer base. As this trend expands from passenger segments into light and eventually heavy-duty commercial applications, catalyst manufacturers face a sustained decline in production volumes and long-term revenue potential.
Market Trends
The adoption of advanced Platinum Group Metal (PGM) thrifting strategies has become essential for catalyst manufacturers aiming to manage input cost volatility. Engineers are increasingly reformulating washcoats to replace expensive palladium with platinum, optimizing precious metal ratios in oxidation catalysts without sacrificing compliance. This strategic substitution is reflected in material consumption patterns; the World Platinum Investment Council's 'Platinum Quarterly Q1 2024' from May 2024 forecasts that automotive platinum demand will rise by 2% to 3,269 koz in 2024, driven by this shift in aftertreatment systems, allowing suppliers to stabilize costs despite fluctuating commodity markets.
Concurrently, there is a growing demand for recycled and remanufactured catalyst systems, driven by the need to reduce fleet maintenance costs and achieve sustainability goals. Operators are utilizing closed-loop supply chains to recover precious metals and refurbish diesel particulate filters for reuse in heavy-duty applications. This trend toward circular economy models is validated by industrial performance; Stellantis N.V. reported in their 'Full Year 2023 Results' from February 2024 that their Circular Economy business unit achieved an 18% year-on-year revenue increase, highlighting the expanding commercial traction of remanufactured components, including emission control hardware.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Diesel Engine Catalyst Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Diesel Engine Catalyst Market.
Global Diesel Engine Catalyst Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: