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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1961218
飞机开式晶粒市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会和预测:按飞机类型、应用类型、零件尺寸类型、地区和竞争格局划分,2021-2031年Aircraft Open Die Forging Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Aircraft Type, By Application Type, By Component Size Type, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球飞机用开式晶粒市场预计将从 2025 年的 59.3 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 88.1 亿美元,复合年增长率为 6.82%。
该市场指的是在简单的开放式模具中对加热金属进行变形的工艺,对于製造大型高强度部件(例如结构梁、发动机轴和起落架气缸)至关重要。推动该市场成长的关键因素包括民航机产量的復苏以及支持机身现代化改造项目的抗疲劳部件日益增长的重要性。根据通用飞机製造商协会 (GAMA) 预测,到 2024 年,公务机出货量预计将成长 4.7%,达到 764 架,凸显了市场对这些飞机所需专用锻造零件的强劲需求。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 59.3亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 88.1亿美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 6.82% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 大型零件 |
| 最大的市场 | 北美洲 |
然而,阻碍市场扩张的一大挑战是原物料成本的波动,尤其是构成航太应用基础的钛合金和镍基合金的价格波动。锻造过程中高能耗带来的供应链瓶颈和价格波动进一步挤压了企业的营业利润率。这些限制因素导致生产前置作业时间延长,使製造商难以满足主要原始设备製造商(OEM)的严格交货期限要求。
全球民航机产量和交付的激增,正成为开晶粒模锻市场的主要成长引擎,因为该製程对于製造起落架气缸和发动机轴等高强度部件至关重要。随着航空公司积极更新机队以提高燃油效率并满足不断復苏的客运需求,对高强度锻造钛合金和高温合金零件的需求也随之激增。近期原始设备製造商(OEM)的生产数据反映了这项生产活动的活性化。据空中巴士公司称,交付了766架商用飞机,这凸显了支撑如此快速增长的生产速度的锻造供应链所面临的巨大压力。
同时,为实现军用飞机机队现代化而增加的国防预算,正推动对用于下一代战斗机和战略轰炸机的专用自由锻造部件的显着需求。世界各国政府都在加大投入以提升空中优势能力,这直接导致了对坚固的机身结构和推进部件的订单。根据斯德哥尔摩国际和平研究所(SIPRI)的数据,2024年全球军事支出将成长9.4%,达到创纪录的2.7兆美元。这一增长主要归因于装备升级和地缘政治紧张局势。这种强劲的市场环境提振了主要供应商的财务业绩,豪迈特航空航天公司(Haumett Aerospace)报告称,其2024年第三季度的收入同比增长11%,凸显了市场对先进航太锻造产品的强劲需求。
原料成本,尤其是钛合金和镍基合金价格的波动,以及持续存在的供应链瓶颈,是限制全球飞机用开式晶粒市场成长的主要障碍。这些限制因素导致生产营运存在显着的不确定性,高能耗投入品和关键金属的价格波动挤压了利润空间,并使长期合约的履行变得更加复杂。此外,这些关键资源的短缺迫使製造商延长生产前置作业时间,使得满足主要航太设备製造商严格的交付要求变得越来越困难。
这种营运负担限制了业界利用不断增长的订单的能力,并有效地限制了可交付到组装的成品零件数量。这些延误的影响在航空业未完成订单的累积上尤其明显。根据国际航空运输协会(IATA)预测,到2024年,全球民航机积压量订单将达到创纪录的17,000架以上,这种情况主要是由普遍存在的供应链中断和材料短缺造成的。如此巨大的订单表明,儘管需求强劲,但由于难以获得必要的原材料和维持高效的生产率,锻造市场的显着扩张受到了机械性的限制。
透过引入数位化製程模拟和自动化开式晶粒系统,对生产设施进行策略性现代化改造已成为主流趋势,使製造商能够以更高的精度生产复杂形状的产品。各公司正积极以数位化锻造生产线取代老旧的基础设施,这些生产线利用即时感测器数据来最大限度地减少加工误差,并增强国防和核能应用领域的结构完整性。这种设备现代化的趋势在大型设施升级中显而易见,旨在确保国家的製造业产能。根据《製造商》杂誌报道,2024年12月,谢菲尔德锻造厂(Sheffield Forgemasters)投资2.86亿英镑签订了一份合同,作为其资本重组计划的一部分,其中包括建造英国最大的自动化晶粒式模锻生产线之一,以替换过时的设备并提高生产效率。
同时,随着高能耗热处理製程脱碳压力的日益增大,采用永续和节能的製造方式已成为重中之重。锻造製造商正积极推动生产扩张与环境影响的分离,透过优化炉窑运作和采用低碳技术,努力实现严格的ESG(环境、社会和治理)目标。这项旨在减少航太零件碳足迹的努力,正在推动整个供应链发生可衡量的营运变革。根据Haumet Aerospace发布的《2024年环境、社会和管治报告》,该公司与2019年基准值相比,温室气体排放减少了21.7%。这是透过对生产流程效率和能源管理进行策略性改进而取得的显着成就。
The Global Aircraft Open Die Forging Market is projected to expand from USD 5.93 Billion in 2025 to USD 8.81 Billion by 2031, registering a compound annual growth rate of 6.82%. This market involves the deformation of heated metal between simple dies without complete enclosure, a process that is essential for manufacturing large, high-strength components such as structural beams, engine shafts, and landing gear cylinders. The primary drivers supporting this growth include the resurgence in commercial aviation production rates and the critical necessity for fatigue-resistant parts to support fleet modernization programs. According to the General Aviation Manufacturers Association, business jet shipments increased by 4.7% to reach 764 units in 2024, underscoring the robust demand for the specialized forged assemblies required in these aircraft.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 5.93 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 8.81 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 6.82% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Large Components |
| Largest Market | North America |
However, a significant challenge impeding market expansion is the volatility of raw material costs, particularly for titanium and nickel-based alloys which are fundamental to aerospace applications. Supply chain bottlenecks and fluctuating prices for the high energy input required for the forging process further strain operational margins. These constraints can extend production lead times, creating difficulties for manufacturers attempting to align with the aggressive delivery schedules mandated by major original equipment manufacturers.
Market Driver
The surge in global commercial aircraft manufacturing and deliveries acts as a primary growth engine for the open die forging market, as the process is critical for producing high-strength components like landing gear cylinders and engine shafts. As airlines aggressively modernize fleets to improve fuel efficiency and meet recovering passenger demand, the need for fatigue-resistant forged titanium and superalloy parts has intensified. This heightened production activity is reflected in recent OEM output figures; according to Airbus, the manufacturer delivered 766 commercial aircraft to 86 customers throughout 2024, underscoring the immense pressure on the forging supply chain to support escalating build rates.
Simultaneously, escalating defense budgets for military fleet modernization are driving significant demand for specialized open die forgings used in next-generation fighter jets and strategic bombers. Governments worldwide are increasing spending to enhance air superiority capabilities, directly translating into orders for robust airframe structures and propulsion components. According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, global military expenditure rose by 9.4% to reach a record $2.7 trillion in 2024, a surge largely attributed to equipment upgrades and geopolitical tensions. This robust environment is bolstering the financial performance of key suppliers; according to Howmet Aerospace, the company's Engineered Structures segment reported an 11% year-over-year revenue increase in the third quarter of 2024, highlighting the strong market appetite for advanced aerospace forged products.
Market Challenge
The volatility of raw material costs, particularly for titanium and nickel-based alloys, combined with persistent supply chain bottlenecks, constitutes a significant barrier to the growth of the Global Aircraft Open Die Forging Market. These constraints introduce severe unpredictability into manufacturing operations, where fluctuating prices for high energy inputs and essential metals erode profit margins and complicate the execution of long-term contracts. Furthermore, the scarcity of these critical resources forces manufacturers to extend production lead times, making it increasingly difficult to meet the aggressive delivery schedules mandated by major aerospace original equipment manufacturers.
This operational strain restricts the industry's ability to capitalize on rising orders, effectively capping the volume of finished components that can be delivered to the assembly lines. The impact of these delays is evident in the accumulation of unfulfilled orders across the broader aviation sector. According to the International Air Transport Association, the global commercial aircraft backlog reached a historic high of over 17,000 aircraft in 2024, a situation driven largely by these pervasive supply chain disruptions and material shortages. This substantial backlog demonstrates that while demand is robust, the forging market's actual expansion is being mechanically restricted by the inability to secure necessary inputs and maintain efficient production rates.
Market Trends
The strategic modernization of production facilities through the adoption of digital process simulation and automated open die systems is a dominant trend, enabling manufacturers to produce complex geometries with greater precision. Companies are aggressively replacing aging infrastructure with digitized forging lines that utilize real-time sensor data to minimize machining allowances and enhance structural integrity for defense and nuclear applications. This shift toward recapitalization is evident in major facility upgrades designed to secure sovereign manufacturing capabilities. According to The Manufacturer, in December 2024, Sheffield Forgemasters committed £286 million to contracts for its recapitalization program, which includes the construction of the UK's largest automated open-die forging line to replace legacy machinery and improve throughput efficiency.
Simultaneously, the implementation of sustainable and energy-efficient manufacturing has become a critical priority as the industry faces pressure to decarbonize energy-intensive thermal processes. Forging houses are actively decoupling production growth from environmental impact by optimizing furnace operations and adopting low-carbon technologies to meet stringent ESG targets. This focus on reducing the carbon footprint of aerospace components is driving measurable operational changes across the supply chain. According to Howmet Aerospace's 2024 Environmental, Social and Governance Report, the company achieved a 21.7% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from its operations compared to a 2019 baseline, a milestone realized through strategic improvements in production process efficiency and energy management.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Aircraft Open Die Forging Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Aircraft Open Die Forging Market.
Global Aircraft Open Die Forging Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: