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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1961359
长期照护机构市场-全球产业规模、份额、趋势、机会和预测:按机构类型、服务类型、所有权类型、地区和竞争情况划分,2021-2031年Skilled Nursing Facility Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Facility Type, By Service Type, By Ownership Type, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球长期照护市场预计将从 2025 年的 992.4 亿美元成长到 2031 年的 1,479.3 亿美元,复合年增长率达到 6.88%。
疗养院是指为因受伤、慢性疾病或术后復健需要持续照护的患者提供24小时医疗监护、復健治疗和长期支持的专业医疗机构。推动这一市场成长的主要因素包括全球人口快速老化以及失智症和心血管疾病等慢性病盛行率的不断上升。所有这些都需要长期、专业的医疗介入和机构内照护。
| 市场概览 | |
|---|---|
| 预测期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市场规模:2025年 | 992.4亿美元 |
| 市场规模:2031年 | 1479.3亿美元 |
| 复合年增长率:2026-2031年 | 6.88% |
| 成长最快的细分市场 | 独立的 |
| 最大的市场 | 北美洲 |
儘管市场前景广阔,但仍面临一个重大障碍:严重的劳动力短缺,这极大地限制了服务的可及性和营运能力。劳动力短缺迫使医疗机构满载运转,难以满足病患需求。美国医疗保健协会的数据显示了这一问题的严重性,数据显示,到2024年,美国46%的养老院将不得不限制新患者的接收,这主要是由于人员配备方面的挑战。
政府资助和偿还模式的建设性演变,对市场起到了至关重要的稳定作用,并直接影响到面临通膨压力的医疗服务提供者的财务状况。透过调整支付标准,使其更准确地反映患者照护的复杂性和严重性,联邦政策确保医疗机构保持必要的流动性,以支付员工薪资并提升临床能力。正如美国医疗保险和医疗补助服务中心在2024年7月发布的《2025财年长期护理机构可预见支付计划最终规则》中所述,当局已决定在下一财年将联邦医疗保险A部分对长期护理机构的支付净额增加约14亿美元,为维持其运营提供必要的资金。
同时,随着公共和私人医疗保健支出不断增长,主要市场参与者正加速扩大营运规模并进行策略整合,以满足日益增长的需求。各公司积极投资收购和振兴区域网络,将其服务范围扩展至服务不足地区的专业復健支援服务。例如,Ensign Group在2024年10月的新闻稿中宣布达成协议,将田纳西州的八家养老院和阿拉巴马州的一家养老院纳入其投资组合,这充分体现了其扩张的坚定决心。这项投资活动得益于其稳健的财务基础。 Sabra Healthcare REIT报告称,在2024年第二季度,其护理和过渡护理机构的EBITDARM覆盖率达到1.85,超过了疫情前的水平。
严重的劳动力短缺是限制全球长期照护市场成长的主要阻碍因素。合格人员(例如註册护士和认证护理助理)的匮乏迫使机构管理者为了维持安全标准和合规性而自愿缩减营运规模。与生产可以自动化的行业不同,该行业高度依赖人工,因此人员短缺会立即导致可用床位数量减少。结果,机构无法应对不断增长的医院出院人数,导致收入停滞不前,并有效地限制了市场潜力。
近期数据显示,养老产业正面临显着的结构性萎缩,凸显了人手短缺的影响。根据美国医疗保健协会(AHCA)预测,到2024年,美国20%的养老院将因人手不足而被迫关闭部分楼宇、单元或楼层。这种物理容量的减少将无法满足人口结构变化带来的激增需求,直接导致整个产业的稳定性和成长放缓。
人工智慧 (AI) 在预测分析领域的应用正成为一种变革性趋势,能够提升营运效率和临床决策水准。医疗机构越来越多地使用机器学习演算法来分析住户数据,有助于及早发现健康状况恶化并降低再入院率。鑑于该行业人才短缺的现状,这种技术变革也有助于减轻员工排班和监管报告等行政工作的负担,这一点至关重要。然而,与其他医疗保健领域相比,养老院的 AI 应用速度仍然缓慢。根据《专业护理新闻》(Skilled Nursing News) 2025 年 12 月发布的报告,预计到 2025 年,养老院的 AI 应用率仅为 4.5%,略高于 2023 年的 3.1%,这表明养老院的数位化仍有很大的提升空间。
同时,向单人病房和居家式设施设计的转变正在重塑市场格局,以适应不断变化的感染控制标准和消费者偏好。营运商正透过将多人病房改造成单人病房来缓解过度拥挤的问题,这项策略既减少了床位总数,也提高了住户的隐私和临床安全。这种结构性调整正在收紧供需平衡,并提高剩余床位的使用率。根据老年住宅和护理投资中心 (NIC) 2025 年 1 月的报告,2024 年第三季护理机构的运转率上升至 84.5%。这一成长部分归功于向单人病房配置的策略性转变以及由此导致的营运床位数量的减少。
The Global Skilled Nursing Facility Market is projected to experience significant expansion, rising from a valuation of USD 99.24 Billion in 2025 to USD 147.93 Billion by 2031, achieving a CAGR of 6.88%. Skilled Nursing Facilities are defined as specialized healthcare institutions offering round-the-clock medical oversight, rehabilitation therapies, and long-term support for patients needing continuous nursing care due to injuries, chronic illnesses, or post-surgical recovery requirements. The primary forces driving this market growth include a rapidly aging global population alongside an increasing prevalence of chronic conditions like dementia and cardiovascular diseases, both of which demand extended professional medical intervention and institutionalized care.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 99.24 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 147.93 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 6.88% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Freestanding |
| Largest Market | North America |
Despite these growth prospects, the market confronts a major obstacle in the form of critical workforce shortages, which severely limit service availability and operational capacity. This lack of available labor forces facilities to operate below their full potential, making it difficult to meet patient demand. Data from the American Health Care Association illustrates the severity of this issue, revealing that in 2024, 46 percent of nursing homes in the United States were forced to restrict new patient admissions specifically as a result of these staffing challenges.
Market Driver
The constructive evolution of government funding and reimbursement models serves as a vital stabilizing force for the market, directly addressing the financial solvency of operators contending with inflationary pressures. By adjusting payment rates to more accurately reflect the complexity and acuity of patient care, federal policies are ensuring that facilities maintain the liquidity necessary to support workforce wages and upgrade clinical capabilities. As noted by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services in the 'Fiscal Year 2025 Skilled Nursing Facility Prospective Payment System Final Rule' from July 2024, the administration finalized a net increase of roughly $1.4 billion in Medicare Part A payments to skilled nursing facilities for the upcoming fiscal year, providing capital essential for sustaining operations.
Concurrently, the rise in public and private healthcare spending is fueling a wave of operational scaling and strategic consolidation among major market players to accommodate increasing demand. Corporate entities are actively deploying capital to acquire and revitalize regional networks, thereby improving the reach of specialized restorative services in underserved areas. For instance, The Ensign Group announced in an October 2024 press release that it agreed to add eight skilled nursing operations in Tennessee and one in Alabama to its portfolio, indicating a strong appetite for expansion. This investment activity is supported by strengthening financial fundamentals; Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. reported that its skilled nursing and transitional care facilities achieved an EBITDARM coverage ratio of 1.85x in the second quarter of 2024, exceeding pre-pandemic performance.
Market Challenge
Critical workforce shortages constitute a severe restriction on the growth of the Global Skilled Nursing Facility Market. The scarcity of qualified personnel, such as registered nurses and certified nursing assistants, compels administrators to voluntarily curtail operational capacity to uphold safety standards and regulatory compliance. Unlike industries where production can be automated, this sector relies heavily on direct human interaction, meaning a staff deficit immediately results in fewer available beds. Consequently, facilities are unable to absorb the increasing volume of hospital discharges, leading to revenue stagnation and effectively placing a ceiling on the market's potential.
The consequences of this deficit are visible in recent industry data highlighting significant structural contractions within the sector. According to the American Health Care Association, 20 percent of nursing homes in the United States completely closed a wing, unit, or floor in 2024 solely due to labor shortages. This reduction in physical capacity prevents the market from meeting the surging demand caused by demographic shifts, directly resulting in a deceleration of overall industry stability and growth.
Market Trends
The Adoption of Artificial Intelligence for Predictive Analytics is developing as a transformative trend, allowing operators to improve operational efficiency and clinical decision-making. Facilities are increasingly incorporating machine learning algorithms to analyze resident data, facilitating the early detection of health deterioration and reducing hospital readmissions. This technological shift also alleviates administrative burdens, such as staff scheduling and regulatory reporting, which is crucial given the sector's labor constraints. However, adoption remains slow compared to other healthcare segments; Skilled Nursing News reported in December 2025 that AI adoption in nursing facilities rose from 3.1 percent in 2023 to just 4.5 percent in 2025, indicating substantial room for future digital modernization.
Simultaneously, the Shift Toward Private Rooms and Homelike Facility Designs is reshaping the market's physical landscape to align with evolving infection control standards and consumer preferences. Operators are actively de-densifying properties by converting multi-bed wards into single-occupancy units, a strategy that enhances resident privacy and clinical safety while reducing overall bed inventory. This structural contraction generates a tighter supply-demand dynamic, boosting utilization metrics for the remaining capacity. According to the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care's January 2025 report, nursing care occupancy increased to 84.5 percent in the third quarter of 2024, a gain partially driven by the strategic migration toward private room configurations and the resulting reduction in operational bed counts.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Skilled Nursing Facility Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Skilled Nursing Facility Market.
Global Skilled Nursing Facility Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: