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航空和航太

市场调查报告书

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1336653

全球可持续航空燃油市场 - 2023-2030

Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market - 2023-2030

出版日期: 2023年08月22日 | 出版商:

DataM Intelligence | 英文 185 Pages | 商品交期: 约2个工作天内

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简介目录

市场概况

全球可持续航空燃油市场在2022年达到3.208亿美元，预计到2030年将达到35.810亿美元，2023-2030年预测期间年复合成长率为35.2%。

在预测期内，政府鼓励绿色技术的新倡议最有可能推动全球可持续航空燃油市场的增长。国际航空运输协会（IATA）建议各国政府采取各种政策倡议，以增加可持续航空燃料的生产和采用。

科学家们正在研究用于开发可持续航空燃料的新的潜在原料。希腊国际希腊大学的科学家于 2023 年 2 月发表的一篇研究论文探讨了利用固体废物生物质作为可持续航空燃料生产的潜在原料。

市场动态

可持续燃料生产的进展

可持续燃料生产的新进展可能会显着降低生产成本，从而提高其采用率。 2022年10月，美国跨国工程技术公司霍尼韦尔国际有限公司宣布开发出一项将乙醇转化为喷气燃料的新技术。该公司计划在未来几年开始大规模商业生产。

航空公司正在与政府机构合作，研究可持续燃料生产的新方法。例如，2023 年 6 月，新西兰国家航空公司与新西兰政府合作，宣布投资 200 万美元，资助一系列可持续航空燃料生产新方法的高级研究。

航空公司加大减排力度

由于航空业是交通运输领域碳排放的最大单一贡献者，航空公司面临着越来越大的减排压力。许多政府，特别是北美和欧洲的政府，已开始对高排放的行业和公司征收严格的碳税。碳税有可能严重削弱航空公司的盈利能力。

此外，投资者在对公司进行投资时越来越多地考虑环境、社会和治理（ESG）评级。大多数全球航空公司在 ESG 指标上得分较低，因此难以吸引价值投资者。从长远来看，航空公司采用可持续航空燃料将大大有助于减少排放，

降低成本竞争力

可持续航空燃料的生产成本较高，主要是由于原料供应不稳定、生产能力和支持基础设施有限等多种因素。儘管新的进步在过去十年中大幅降低了成本，但可持续航空燃料仍然比传统航空燃料贵 10-20%。

可持续航空燃料的成本相对较高，使其与传统航空燃料相比缺乏竞争力。航空业竞争激烈，航空公司通常利润率较低。采用航空燃料会增加航空公司的运营成本，侵蚀利润率，并使它们失去与竞争对手的竞争力。

COVID-19 影响分析

由于大流行限制，商业航空旅行陷入停顿，COVID-19 大流行导致航空业完全混乱。许多航空公司都面临着现金流大幅减少的困境，一些航空公司甚至因疫情带来的经济不确定性而申请破产。它大大减少了可持续航空燃料的使用。

这一流行病还导致全球供应链问题，造成原料供应中断，从而影响可持续航空燃料的生产。许多支持可持续航空燃料发展的政府政策被搁置，给全球市场增长带来了进一步的复杂性。

俄罗斯-乌克兰战争影响分析

儘管俄罗斯和乌克兰之间持续的战争对各个行业造成了干扰，但不太可能对全球可持续航空燃油市场产生重大影响。大部分主要市场发展都发生在远离衝突的西欧和北美。此外，俄罗斯境内可持续燃料的发展有限，从中长期来看不太可能在全球市场中占据重要份额。

Market Overview

Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market reached US$ 320.8 million in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 3,581.0 million by 2030, growing with a CAGR of 35.2% during the forecast period 2023-2030.

Over the forecast period, new government initiatives to encourage green technologies are most likely to drive the growth of the global sustainable aviation fuel market. The international air transport association (IATA) has recommended various policy initiatives that can be undertaken by governments to increase production and adoption of sustainable aviation fuel.

Scientists are researching new potential feedstocks for the development of sustainable aviation fuels. A research paper published in February 2023, by scientists from the International Hellenic University in Greece explores the usage of solid waste biomass as a potential feedstock for sustainable aviation fuel production.

Market Dynamics

Advances in Sustainable Fuel Production

New advances in sustainable fuel production are likely to bring down production costs significantly, thus improving its adoption rates. In October 2022, Honeywell International Ltd., a U.S.-based multinational engineering and technology company, announced that it had developed a new technology for the conversion of ethanol into jet fuel. The company plans to commence large-scale commercial production in the coming years.

Airlines are partnering with government bodies to research new methods of sustainable fuel production. For instance, in June 2023, Air New Zealand, the flag carrier of New Zealand, in partnership with the New Zealand government, have announced a US$ 2 million investment to fund a set of advanced studies into new methods of sustainable aviation fuel production.

Increasing Emission Reduction Efforts by Airlines

With aviation being the single largest contributor of carbon emissions within the transportation sector, airlines are under increasing pressure to cut emissions. Many governments, particularly those in North America and Europe have begun imposing stiff carbon taxes on industries and companies having high emissions. Carbon taxes have to potential to significantly erode the profitability of airlines.

Furthermore, investors are increasing taking into account environmental, social and governance (ESG) ratings into consideration while undertaking investments in companies. Most global airlines score poorly on ESG metrics, making it difficult to attract value investors. The adoption of sustainable aviation fuel by airlines will go a long way towards reducing emissions in the long term,

Reduced Cost Competitiveness

Sustainable aviation fuel has high cost of production, mainly on account of various factors such as volatile feedstock availability, limited production capacity and support infrastructure. Although new advances have drastically brought down costs over the previous decade, sustainable aviation fuel still remains 10-20% more expensive than conventional jet fuel.

The relatively high costs of sustainable aviation fuel renders it uncompetitive against conventional jet fuel. The aviation industry is highly competitive and airlines typically operate on low margins. Adopting aviation fuels can increase operating costs for airlines, erode profit margins and make them uncompetitive against rivals.

COVID-19 Impact Analysis

The COVID-19 pandemic led to a complete disruption of the aviation industry as commercial air travel ground to a halt due to pandemic restrictions. Many airlines struggled with drastically reduced cash flow, with some airlines even filing for bankruptcy due to the economic uncertainties of the pandemic. It significantly reduced the adoption of sustainable aviation fuels.

The pandemic also led to global supply chain problems, creating disruptions in feedstock availability, thus affecting the production of sustainable aviation fuels. Many government policies in support of sustainable aviation fuel development were put on hold, creating further complications for global market growth.

Russia- Ukraine War Impact Analysis

Although the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine has created disruptions for various industries, it is unlikely to majorly affect the global sustainable aviation fuel market. Much of the major market developments have been occuring in western Europe and North America, far away from the conflict. Furthermore, the development of sustainable fuel within Russia is limited and it is unlikely to account for a significant share of the global market over the medium and long term.

Segment Analysis

The global sustainable aviation fuel market is segmented based on type, aircraft type, platform and region.

Commercial Aviation Will Continue to Account for the Largest Market Share

Commercial aviation accounts for nearly two thirds of the global market. Commercial aviation operates the largest fleet of aircraft, with data suggesting nearly 25,000 aircraft currently in operation in 2022. With large-scale emissions, commercial aviation represents an ideal starting point for expanding the adoption of sustainable aviation fuel.

One of the major factors that makes commercial aviation one of the biggest platforms for sustainable aviation fuel is that support infrastructure already exists and can be adapted for sustainable fuel usage with minimal modifications. Commercial aviation is likely to continue to account for the largest share of the global market over the medium and long term.

Geographical Analysis

Government Initiatives to Propel Market Growth in Europe

Government support and initiatives have led to increased adoption of sustainable aviation fuel in Europe. The European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), has mandated 2% sustainable aviation fuel blending for fuel dispensed at European airports. Furthermore, the European Commission, the legislative body of the European Union (EU), has proposed measures to increase adoption of sustainable fuel to 63% by 2050.

In April 2023, the EU adopted binding targets for sustainable aviation fuel usage and adoption. Companies are already entering into partnership agreements to adopt sustainable aviation fuel. For instance, in July 2023, DER Touristik, one of Germany's largest tour operators, announced a partnership with the German flag carrier Lufthansa, to promote the adoption of sustainable aviation fuel.

Competitive Landscape

The major global players include: Neste, Fulcrum BioEnergy, LanzaTech, TotalEnergies, Gevo, SG Preston, Velocys plc, Northwest Advanced Bio-Fuels,LLC, Red Rock Biofuels and Prometheus Fuels.

Why Purchase the Report?

To visualize the global sustainable aviation fuel market segmentation based on type, aircraft type, platform and region, as well as understand key commercial assets and players.
Identify commercial opportunities by analyzing trends and co-development.
Excel data sheet with numerous data points of sustainable aviation fuel market-level with all segments.
PDF report consists of a comprehensive analysis after exhaustive qualitative interviews and an in-depth study.
Product mapping available as Excel consisting of key products of all the major players.

The global sustainable aviation fuel market report would provide approximately 57 tables, 58 figures and 185 Pages.

Target Audience 2023

Aviation Fuel Producers
Aircraft Manufacturers
Industry Investors/Investment Bankers
Research Professionals
Emerging Companies

1. Methodology and Scope

1.1. Research Methodology
1.2. Research Objective and Scope of the Report

2. Definition and Overview

3. Executive Summary

3.1. Snippet by Type
3.2. Snippet by Aircraft Type
3.3. Snippet by Platform
3.4. Snippet by Region

4. Dynamics

4.1. Impacting Factors
- 4.1.1. Drivers
  - 4.1.1.1. Increasing Drive for Decarbonization of Transportation
  - 4.1.1.2. Increasing Industrial Collaboration
  - 4.1.1.3. Advances in Sustainable Fuel Production
  - 4.1.1.4. Increasing Emission Reduction Efforts by Airlines
- 4.1.2. Restraints
  - 4.1.2.1. Limited Production Capacity
  - 4.1.2.2. Reduced Cost Competitiveness
- 4.1.3. Opportunity
- 4.1.4. Impact Analysis

5. Industry Analysis

5.1. Porter's Five Force Analysis
5.2. Supply Chain Analysis
5.3. Pricing Analysis
5.4. Regulatory Analysis

6. COVID-19 Analysis

6.1. Analysis of COVID-19
- 6.1.1. Scenario Before COVID
- 6.1.2. Scenario During COVID
- 6.1.3. Scenario Post COVID
6.2. Pricing Dynamics Amid COVID-19
6.3. Demand-Supply Spectrum
6.4. Government Initiatives Related to the Market During Pandemic
6.5. Manufacturers Strategic Initiatives
6.6. Conclusion

7. By Type

7.1. Introduction
- 7.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 7.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Type
7.2. Biofuel*
- 7.2.1. Introduction
- 7.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
7.3. Hydrogen Fuel
7.4. Power-to-Liquid Fuel
7.5. Gas-to-Liquid Fuel

8. By Aircraft Type

8.1. Introduction
- 8.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
- 8.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Aircraft Type
8.2. Fixed Wing*
- 8.2.1. Introduction
- 8.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
8.3. Rotary Wing

9. By Platform

9.1. Introduction
- 9.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Platform
- 9.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Platform
9.2. Commercial Aviation*
- 9.2.1. Introduction
- 9.2.2. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%)
9.3. Military Aviation
9.4. Business Aviation
9.5. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs)

10. By Region

10.1. Introduction
- 10.1.1. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Region
- 10.1.2. Market Attractiveness Index, By Region
10.2. North America
- 10.2.1. Introduction
- 10.2.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
- 10.2.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 10.2.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
- 10.2.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Platform
- 10.2.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
  - 10.2.6.1. U.S.
  - 10.2.6.2. Canada
  - 10.2.6.3. Mexico
10.3. Europe
- 10.3.1. Introduction
- 10.3.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
- 10.3.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 10.3.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
- 10.3.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Platform
- 10.3.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
  - 10.3.6.1. Germany
  - 10.3.6.2. UK
  - 10.3.6.3. France
  - 10.3.6.4. Italy
  - 10.3.6.5. Spain
  - 10.3.6.6. Rest of Europe
10.4. South America
- 10.4.1. Introduction
- 10.4.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
- 10.4.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 10.4.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
- 10.4.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Platform
- 10.4.6. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
  - 10.4.6.1. Brazil
  - 10.4.6.2. Argentina
  - 10.4.6.3. Rest of South America
10.5. Asia-Pacific
- 10.5.1. Introduction
- 10.5.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
- 10.5.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 10.5.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
- 10.5.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Country
  - 10.5.5.1. China
  - 10.5.5.2. India
  - 10.5.5.3. Japan
  - 10.5.5.4. Australia
  - 10.5.5.5. Rest of Asia-Pacific
10.6. Middle East and Africa
- 10.6.1. Introduction
- 10.6.2. Key Region-Specific Dynamics
- 10.6.3. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Type
- 10.6.4. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Aircraft Type
- 10.6.5. Market Size Analysis and Y-o-Y Growth Analysis (%), By Platform

11. Competitive Landscape

11.1. Competitive Scenario
11.2. Market Positioning/Share Analysis
11.3. Mergers and Acquisitions Analysis

12. Company Profiles

12.1. Neste*
- 12.1.1. Company Overview
- 12.1.2. Product Portfolio and Description
- 12.1.3. Financial Overview
- 12.1.4. Recent Developments
12.2. Fulcrum BioEnergy
12.3. LanzaTech
12.4. TotalEnergies
12.5. Gevo
12.6. SG Preston
12.7. Velocys plc
12.8. Northwest Advanced Bio-Fuels, LLC
12.9. Red Rock Biofuels
12.10. Prometheus Fuels

LIST NOT EXHAUSTIVE