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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1909983
建构数位医疗生态系统:数位医疗的未来,2040 年Building Digital Healthcare Ecosystems: The Future of Digital Health, 2040 |
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从一次性就诊到持续性照护,由共用信任和数据基础驱动的代理主导照护
本研究揭示了2040年数位健康生态系统可能的发展和演变趋势,以及这对医疗服务提供者、支付者、技术供应商和零售/社区合作伙伴的意义。我们将数位健康生态系统定义为一个可互通的平台,该平台将家庭、零售和医院环境中的人员、数据和决策整合在一起,并透过共用的信任服务来保护身分、同意、资料来源和安全。
该报告透过对护理历程(事件前/事件后;终身预防)、技术能力(数据和互通性、人工智慧/智能体、体验、安全性和管治)以及生态系统参与者(患者/看护者、医疗服务提供者、支付方、零售/区域机构、公共部门和技术合作伙伴)进行简单的细分,描述了从碎片化、依赖地域的家庭护理模式更为由智能服务的家庭保健模式更贴近性服务、更贴近性。关键趋势包括人工智慧与人类的融合(数位医生助手)、医院到个人的去中心化、患者自主管理的数据可移植性以及连接护理和支付的持续证据管道。
成长驱动因素包括人工智慧代理的成熟、云端和边缘平台、互通性要求、寿命延长和复杂疾病、以结果为导向的经济模式,以及网路安全作为采购要求。需要应对的限制因素包括监管和责任的不确定性、数位化成熟度和人机融合程度的不均衡、公平性和获取途径的差距、奖励错位以及日益增长的网络/模型风险。
该研究识别出高潜力机会,并阐明了供应商的具体需求:平台可靠性、API/数据流动性、保障和可观测性、性能报告以及生态系统伙伴关係。分阶段的基础技术蓝图(2024-2040 年)将这些研究成果转化为近期试点项目,并为 2040 年的实现提供可扩展的路径。
From Episodic Visits to Continuous, Agent-orchestrated Care on Shared Trust/Data Rails
This study charts how digital health ecosystems are likely to form and scale through 2040 and what that implies for providers, payers, technology vendors, and retail/community partners. We define a digital health ecosystem as an interoperable platform that coordinates people, data, and decisions across home, retail, and hospital settings-secured by shared trust services for identity, consent, provenance, and security.
Using a simple segmentation-care journey (pre/at/post; lifelong prevention), technological capabilities (data and interoperability, AI/agents, experience, security and governance), and ecosystem actors (patients/caregivers, providers, payers, retail/community, public and tech partners)-the report describes a shift from episodic, place-based care to continuous, agent-supported services delivered near home. Key trends include AI-human convergence (digital doctor co-pilots), decentralization from hospitals to people, patient-managed data portability, and continuous evidence pipelines that connect care to payment.
Growth is propelled by maturing AI agents, cloud-edge platforms, interoperability mandates, longevity and multimorbidity, outcome-oriented economics, and cybersecurity becoming a buying requirement. Restraints to manage include regulatory and liability uncertainty, uneven digital maturity and human-technology integration, equity and access gaps, misaligned incentives, and rising cyber/model risks.
The study identifies high-potential opportunities and specifies what vendors must get right: platform trust, API/data liquidity, assurance and observability, outcome reporting, and ecosystem partnerships. A staged enabling-technologies roadmap (2024-2040) translates these findings into near-term pilots and scalable paths to 2040.