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市场调查报告书

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1666935

公车市场机会、成长动力、产业趋势分析与 2025 - 2034 年预测

Transit Bus Market Opportunity, Growth Drivers, Industry Trend Analysis, and Forecast 2025 - 2034

出版日期: 2024年12月17日 | 出版商:

Global Market Insights Inc. | 英文 180 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

价格

简介目录

全球公车市场正在经历显着成长，预计到 2024 年将达到 4,887 亿美元的价值，2025 年至 2034 年的复合年增长率预计为 8.3%。随着城市面积的扩大，对高效、永续的公共交通解决方案的需求日益加剧。交通运输部门正在努力实现公车网路现代化，以满足不断增长的人口的需求、提高机动性并减少交通拥堵。对便利、经济的交通选择的需求不断增长，进一步促使政府投资即时追踪系统和更智慧的路线解决方案等先进技术，将公车定位为实现经济成长和环境目标的关键。

永续交通的需求也推动交通运输产业走向零排放解决方案。世界各国政府都在强制采用电动和氢动力公车，以实现雄心勃勃的碳减排目标。透过制定旨在减少排放的严格法规和政策，各国政府正在提供财政激励措施来支持向更绿色技术的转变。转向更清洁汽车的是对气候变迁问题和改善城市空气品质需求的直接回应。因此，交通运输业的企业正在抓住新机会，将电动和氢动力公车纳入其车队。

市场范围
起始年份	2024
预测年份	2025-2034
起始值	4887亿美元
预测值	1.07兆美元
复合年增长率	8.3%

市场按燃料类型细分，其中柴油、压缩天然气、电动和其他是主要类别。柴油公车目前占据市场主导地位，到 2024 年将占据 51% 以上的市场份额。混合动力柴油电动系统也越来越受欢迎，为传统柴油公车和全电动车型之间提供了过渡选择。这些系统将柴油引擎的燃油效率与电动马达的优点（例如再生煞车和优化能源管理）结合在一起，使其成为在向全面电气化过渡的同时减少排放的可行解决方案。

座位容量在塑造市场方面起着重要作用，公车通常分为三类：40 座以下、40-70 座和 70 座以上。随着电动动力系统和电池技术的进步，预计到 2034 年，40-70 座级飞机市场的规模将超过 5,600 亿美元。製造商越来越注重优化电池性能以提高续航里程、充电速度和成本效益。锂离子和固态电池的创新有望延长运行週期并降低生产成本，从而促进电动公车的更广泛应用。

就区域市场而言，中国继续引领全球公车市场，到 2024 年将贡献超过 55% 的收入。慷慨的政府补贴和激励措施在支持电动公车的普及方面发挥了重要作用，特别是在大城市，电动公车已成为公共交通系统的重要组成部分。中国领先的製造商在这项转型中发挥着至关重要的作用，为国家实现全电动公共交通车队的目标做出了贡献。

产业生态系统分析
供应商概况
- 零件製造商
- 汽车OEM
- 一级供应商
- 充电基础设施供应商
- 最终用途
利润率分析
技术差异化
- 电动动力总成技术
- 半自主能力
- 物联网集成
- 氢燃料电池技术
- 其他的
重要新闻及倡议
专利分析
监管格局
衝击力
- 成长动力
  - 都市化进程加快，城市人口密度增加
  - 环境法规的采用日益严格
  - 公车电气化程度不断提高
  - 公共交通基础设施投资不断增加
- 产业陷阱与挑战
  - 初期投资成本高
  - 充电基础设施法规
成长潜力分析
波特的分析
PESTEL 分析

第四章：竞争格局

介绍
公司市占率分析
竞争定位矩阵
战略展望矩阵

第五章：市场估计与预测：按燃料，2021 - 2034 年

主要趋势
柴油引擎
压缩天然气（CNG）
电的
- 纯电动车
- 燃料电池电动车
- 油电混合车

第六章：市场估计与预测：依座位容量，2021 - 2034 年

主要趋势
40席以下
- 城市交通
- 郊区交通
- 城际
- 其他的
40-70个席位
- 城市交通
- 郊区交通
- 城际
- 其他的
70席以上
- 城市交通
- 郊区交通
- 城际
- 其他的

第 7 章：市场估计与预测：按应用，2021 - 2034 年

主要趋势
城市交通
郊区交通
城际
其他的

第 8 章：市场估计与预测：按地区，2021 - 2034 年

主要趋势
北美洲
- 我们
- 加拿大
欧洲
- 英国
- 德国
- 法国
- 西班牙
- 义大利
- 俄罗斯
- 北欧
亚太地区
- 中国
- 印度
- 日本
- 韩国
- 澳新银行
- 东南亚
拉丁美洲
- 巴西
- 墨西哥
- 阿根廷
中东及非洲
- 阿联酋
- 南非
- 沙乌地阿拉伯

第九章：公司简介

Anhui Ankai Automobile
Ashok Leyland
Beiqi Foton Motor
BYD
Daimler
Ebusco
Irizar Group
IVECO
King Long United Automotive Industry
MAN
NFI Group
Proterra
Scania
Solaris Bus & Couch
TATA Motors
VDL Bus & Coach
Volvo
Xiamen Golden Dragon Bus
Yutong
Zhengzhou Yutong Bus
Zhongtong Bus

简介目录

Product Code: 7238

The Global Transit Bus Market is experiencing significant growth, projected to reach a value of USD 488.7 billion by 2024, with an expected CAGR of 8.3% from 2025 to 2034. This growth is driven by urbanization and the increasing density of populations in cities worldwide. As urban areas expand, the demand for efficient, sustainable public transportation solutions is intensifying. Transit agencies are working to modernize bus networks to meet the needs of growing populations, improve mobility, and reduce congestion. The rising demand for accessible, cost-effective transport options is further motivating governments to invest in advanced technologies like real-time tracking systems and smarter routing solutions, positioning buses as key to achieving both economic growth and environmental goals.

The need for sustainable transportation is also pushing the transit sector towards zero-emission solutions. Governments worldwide are mandating the adoption of electric and hydrogen-powered buses to meet ambitious carbon reduction targets. With strict regulations and policies aimed at reducing emissions, governments are offering financial incentives to support the shift toward greener technologies. This transition to cleaner vehicles is a direct response to climate change concerns and the need for better urban air quality. As a result, businesses in the transit sector are seizing new opportunities to integrate electric and hydrogen-powered buses into their fleets.

Market Scope
Start Year	2024
Forecast Year	2025-2034
Start Value	$488.7 Billion
Forecast Value	$1.07 Trillion
CAGR	8.3%

The market is segmented by fuel type, with diesel, CNG, electric, and others being the key categories. Diesel buses currently dominate the market, holding over 51% of the market share in 2024. However, advancements in emission control technologies, such as selective catalytic reduction (SCR) and diesel particulate filters (DPF), are enabling diesel buses to meet increasingly stringent environmental standards. Hybrid diesel-electric powertrains are also gaining popularity, providing a transitional option between traditional diesel buses and fully electric models. These systems combine the fuel efficiency of diesel engines with the benefits of electric motors, such as regenerative braking and optimized energy management, making them a viable solution for reducing emissions while transitioning to full electrification.

Seating capacity plays a significant role in shaping the market, with buses typically falling into three categories: below 40 seats, 40-70 seats, and above 70 seats. The 40-70 seat segment is anticipated to exceed USD 560 billion by 2034, driven by advances in electric powertrains and battery technologies. Manufacturers are increasingly focused on optimizing battery performance to improve range, charging speed, and cost-efficiency. Innovations in lithium-ion and solid-state batteries are expected to extend operational cycles and lower production costs, facilitating wider adoption of electric buses.

In terms of regional markets, China continues to lead the global transit bus market, contributing over 55% of revenue in 2024. Stringent government policies aimed at reducing emissions and improving air quality have accelerated the shift to electric buses. Generous government subsidies and incentives have played a significant role in supporting the adoption of electric buses, particularly in major cities where these buses are becoming a crucial part of public transport systems. Leading manufacturers in China are playing a vital role in this transformation, contributing to the country's goal of achieving a fully electric public transport fleet.

Chapter 1 Methodology & Scope

1.1 Research design
- 1.1.1 Research approach
- 1.1.2 Data collection methods
1.2 Base estimates and calculations
- 1.2.1 Base year calculation
- 1.2.2 Key trends for market estimates
1.3 Forecast model
1.4 Primary research & validation
- 1.4.1 Primary sources
- 1.4.2 Data mining sources
1.5 Market definitions

Chapter 2 Executive Summary

2.1 Industry 360⁰ synopsis, 2021 - 2034

Chapter 3 Industry Insights

3.1 Industry ecosystem analysis
3.2 Supplier landscape
- 3.2.1 Component manufacturers
- 3.2.2 Automotive OEM
- 3.2.3 Tier-1 suppliers
- 3.2.4 Charging infrastructure providers
- 3.2.5 End use
3.3 Profit margin analysis
3.4 Technology differentiators
- 3.4.1 Electric powertrain technology
- 3.4.2 Semi-autonomous capabilities
- 3.4.3 IoT integration
- 3.4.4 Hydrogen fuel cell technology
- 3.4.5 Others
3.5 Key news & initiatives
3.6 Patent analysis
3.7 Regulatory landscape
3.8 Impact forces
- 3.8.1 Growth drivers
  - 3.8.1.1 Growing urbanization and increasing population density in urban areas
  - 3.8.1.2 Growing adoption of environmental regulations
  - 3.8.1.3 Growing electrification of transit buses
  - 3.8.1.4 Growing infrastructure investments in public transportation
- 3.8.2 Industry pitfalls & challenges
  - 3.8.2.1 High initial investment costs
  - 3.8.2.2 Charging infrastructure regulations
3.9 Growth potential analysis
3.10 Porter’s analysis
3.11 PESTEL analysis

Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape, 2024

4.1 Introduction
4.2 Company market share analysis
4.3 Competitive positioning matrix
4.4 Strategic outlook matrix

Chapter 5 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Fuel, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn, Units)

5.1 Key trends
5.2 Diesel
5.3 Compressed natural gas (CNG)
5.4 Electric
- 5.4.1 Battery electric vehicle
- 5.4.2 Fuel cell electric vehicle
- 5.4.3 Hybrid electric vehicle

Chapter 6 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Seating Capacity, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn, Units)

6.1 Key trends
6.2 Below 40 seats
- 6.2.1 Urban transit
- 6.2.2 Suburban transit
- 6.2.3 Intercity
- 6.2.4 Others
6.3 40-70 seats
- 6.3.1 Urban transit
- 6.3.2 Suburban transit
- 6.3.3 Intercity
- 6.3.4 Others
6.4 Above 70 seats
- 6.4.1 Urban transit
- 6.4.2 Suburban transit
- 6.4.3 Intercity
- 6.4.4 Others

Chapter 7 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Application, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn, Units)

7.1 Key trends
7.2 Urban transit
7.3 Suburban transit
7.4 Intercity
7.5 Others

Chapter 8 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Region, 2021 - 2034 ($Bn, Units)

8.1 Key trends
8.2 North America
- 8.2.1 U.S.
- 8.2.2 Canada
8.3 Europe
- 8.3.1 UK
- 8.3.2 Germany
- 8.3.3 France
- 8.3.4 Spain
- 8.3.5 Italy
- 8.3.6 Russia
- 8.3.7 Nordics
8.4 Asia Pacific
- 8.4.1 China
- 8.4.2 India
- 8.4.3 Japan
- 8.4.4 South Korea
- 8.4.5 ANZ
- 8.4.6 Southeast Asia
8.5 Latin America
- 8.5.1 Brazil
- 8.5.2 Mexico
- 8.5.3 Argentina
8.6 MEA
- 8.6.1 UAE
- 8.6.2 South Africa
- 8.6.3 Saudi Arabia