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航空和航太

市场调查报告书

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1666972

永续航空燃料市场机会、成长动力、产业趋势分析与 2025 - 2034 年预测

Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market Opportunity, Growth Drivers, Industry Trend Analysis, and Forecast 2025 - 2034

出版日期: 2024年12月04日 | 出版商:

Global Market Insights Inc. | 英文 240 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

价格

简介目录

2024 年全球永续航空燃料市场价值为 17 亿美元，预计 2025 年至 2034 年期间的复合年增长率将达到 46.2%。这些燃料来自生物质、农业残留物和废油等再生资源，与传统航空燃料相比，碳足迹显着减少。

人们对环境议题的认识不断增强，促使航空公司和乘客都选择更环保的替代方案。 SAF 支持航空公司实现永续发展目标、提高环境评级并遵守国际碳减排要求。预计这一转变将推动对 SAF 生产和绿色航空技术的投资。需求的增加可能会促进生产能力和创新，进一步巩固 SAF 在航空业转型中的作用。

市场范围
起始年份	2024
预测年份	2025-2034
起始值	17亿美元
预测值	746亿美元
复合年增长率	46.2％

世界各国政府正在实施减轻航空对环境影响的策略。旨在促进SAF生产、采用和创新的政策正在普及，加速该行业的成长。税收优惠、补贴和其他资助计画有助于实现全球气候目标，同时促进永续航空技术的进步。

就燃料类型而言，SAF 市场分为生物燃料、氢燃料、电转液和气转液。生物燃料占据市场主导地位，到 2024 年将占据 90.1% 以上的份额。这些燃料可以与传统的喷射燃料混合，而无需对现有的飞机引擎进行重大改变，使其成为减少航空领域排放的实用选择。多样化的原料选择和生产技术的进步支持了它们的发展。

从技术上来看，市场包括加氢酯和脂肪酸合成石蜡煤油（HEFA-SPK）、费托合成石蜡煤油（FT-SPK）、醇基喷射合成石蜡煤油（ATJ-SPK）等方法。 HEFA-SPK 以其高相容性和可扩展性而处于领先地位，它使用废油和脂肪等原料来生产高品质的直接燃料。它的多功能性和与现有航空基础设施的协调性使其成为永续发展目标的关键贡献者。

预计北美将主导 SAF 市场，到 2034 年市场规模将超过 280 亿美元。该地区在新加坡航空发展中的领导地位反映了对减少排放和推动绿色航空技术的更广泛承诺。

产业生态系统分析
- 影响价值链的因素
- 利润率分析
- 中断
- 未来展望
- 製造商
- 经销商
供应商概况
利润率分析
重要新闻及倡议
监管格局
衝击力
- 成长动力
  - 对永续航空燃料解决方案的需求不断增加
  - 全球政府政策支持绿色航空倡议
  - SAF 生产技术与效率的进步
  - 再生能源和航空领域的投资不断增加
  - 消费者对环保航空旅行的偏好日益增长
- 产业陷阱与挑战
  - 永续航空燃料的生产成本高
  - SAF 生产原料供应有限
成长潜力分析
波特的分析
PESTEL 分析

第四章：竞争格局

介绍
公司市占率分析
竞争定位矩阵
战略展望矩阵

第 5 章：市场估计与预测：按燃料类型，2021-2034 年

主要趋势
生物燃料
氢燃料
电转液
气转液

第 6 章：市场估计与预测：按技术，2021 年至 2034 年

主要趋势
加氢酯和脂肪酸合成石蜡煤油 (HEFA-SPK)
费托合成石蜡煤油（FT-SPK）
发酵氢醣合成异构烷烃 (HFS-SIP)
酒精喷射合成石蜡煤油 (ATJ-SPK)
催化水热解喷射 (CHJ)

第 7 章：市场估计与预测：依混合容量，2021-2034 年

主要趋势
低于30％
30% 至 50%
超过 50%

第 8 章：市场估计与预测：依最终用途，2021 年至 2034 年

主要趋势
航空
- 大型航空公司
- 中型航空公司
- 小型航空公司
非定期航班
政府/军队

第 9 章：市场估计与预测：按地区，2021 年至 2034 年

主要趋势
北美洲
- 我们
- 加拿大
欧洲
- 英国
- 德国
- 法国
- 义大利
- 西班牙
- 俄罗斯
亚太地区
- 中国
- 印度
- 日本
- 韩国
- 澳洲
拉丁美洲
- 巴西
- 墨西哥
中东及非洲
- 南非
- 沙乌地阿拉伯
- 阿联酋

第十章：公司简介

Aemetis, Inc.
Alder Energy, LLC
Amyris
BP Plc
Cemvita
DG Fuels
Fulcrum BioEnergy Inc.
Gevo Inc.
LanzaJet
Neste
Northwest Advanced Bio-Fuels, LLC
OMV Aktiengesellschaft
Preem AB
Red Rock Biofuels
SAF Plus International Group
Sasol Corporation
Shell
SkyNRG BV
TotalEnergies SE
USA BioEnergy
WasteFuel
World Energy

简介目录

Product Code: 7733

The Global Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market was valued at USD 1.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a remarkable CAGR of 46.2% from 2025 to 2034. As the aviation sector faces mounting pressure to minimize its environmental footprint, SAF is emerging as a vital solution. These fuels are derived from renewable sources such as biomass, agricultural residues, and waste oils, offering a significantly reduced carbon footprint compared to traditional jet fuels.

Growing awareness of environmental issues has prompted airlines and passengers alike to favor greener alternatives. SAF supports airlines in meeting sustainability objectives, enhancing environmental ratings, and aligning with international carbon-reduction mandates. This shift is expected to drive investments in SAF production and green aviation technologies. Increasing demand will likely boost production capacity and innovation, further solidifying SAF's role in transforming the aviation industry.

Market Scope
Start Year	2024
Forecast Year	2025-2034
Start Value	$1.7 Billion
Forecast Value	$74.6 Billion
CAGR	46.2%

Governments around the world are implementing strategies to mitigate the environmental impact of aviation. Policies aimed at promoting SAF production, adoption, and innovation are becoming widespread, accelerating the sector's growth. Tax incentives, subsidies, and other funding programs are helping to achieve global climate targets while fostering advancements in sustainable aviation technologies.

In terms of fuel types, the SAF market is segmented into biofuels, hydrogen fuel, power-to-liquid, and gas-to-liquid. Biofuels dominate the market with over 90.1% of the share in 2024. Produced from biological materials like plant oils and agricultural residues, biofuels represent a cleaner alternative to conventional jet fuels. These fuels can be blended with traditional jet fuels without significant changes to existing aircraft engines, making them a practical choice for reducing emissions in the aviation sector. Their development is supported by diverse feedstock options and advancements in production techniques.

Technologically, the market includes hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids synthetic paraffinic kerosene (HEFA-SPK), Fischer-Tropsch synthetic paraffinic kerosene (FT-SPK), alcohol-to-jet synthetic paraffinic kerosene (ATJ-SPK), and other methods. HEFA-SPK leads with its high compatibility and scalability, using feedstocks such as waste oils and fats to produce a high-quality, drop-in fuel. Its versatility and alignment with existing aviation infrastructure make it a key contributor to sustainability goals.

North America is anticipated to dominate the SAF market, reaching over USD 28 billion by 2034. Robust policies, technological advancements, and investments are driving regional growth, particularly in the US. The region's leadership in SAF development reflects a broader commitment to reducing emissions and advancing green aviation technologies.

Chapter 1 Methodology & Scope

1.1 Market scope & definitions
1.2 Base estimates & calculations
1.3 Forecast calculations
1.4 Data sources
- 1.4.1 Primary
- 1.4.2 Secondary
  - 1.4.2.1 Paid sources
  - 1.4.2.2 Public sources

Chapter 2 Executive Summary

2.1 Industry synopsis, 2021-2034

Chapter 3 Industry Insights

3.1 Industry ecosystem analysis
- 3.1.1 Factor affecting the value chain
- 3.1.2 Profit margin analysis
- 3.1.3 Disruptions
- 3.1.4 Future outlook
- 3.1.5 Manufacturers
- 3.1.6 Distributors
3.2 Supplier landscape
3.3 Profit margin analysis
3.4 Key news & initiatives
3.5 Regulatory landscape
3.6 Impact forces
- 3.6.1 Growth drivers
  - 3.6.1.1 Increasing demand for sustainable aviation fuel solutions
  - 3.6.1.2 Government policies supporting green aviation initiatives globally
  - 3.6.1.3 Advancements in SAF production technology and efficiency
  - 3.6.1.4 Rising investments in renewable energy and aviation sectors
  - 3.6.1.5 Growing consumer preference for eco-friendly air travel
- 3.6.2 Industry pitfalls & challenges
  - 3.6.2.1 High production costs of sustainable aviation fuels
  - 3.6.2.2 Limited availability of feedstock for SAF production
3.7 Growth potential analysis
3.8 Porter’s analysis
3.9 PESTEL analysis

Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape, 2024

4.1 Introduction
4.2 Company market share analysis
4.3 Competitive positioning matrix
4.4 Strategic outlook matrix

Chapter 5 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Fuel Type, 2021-2034 (USD Million & Gallons)

5.1 Key trends
5.2 Biofuel
5.3 Hydrogen fuel
5.4 Power-to-Liquid
5.5 Gas-to-Liquid

Chapter 6 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Technology, 2021-2034 (USD Million & Gallons)

6.1 Key trends
6.2 Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (HEFA-SPK)
6.3 Fischer-Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK)
6.4 Synthetic Iso-Paraffins from Fermented Hydroprocessed Sugar (HFS-SIP)
6.5 Alcohol-to-Jet Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (ATJ-SPK)
6.6 Catalytic Hydrothermolysis Jet (CHJ)

Chapter 7 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Blending Capacity, 2021-2034 (USD Million & Gallons)

7.1 Key trends
7.2 Below 30%
7.3 30% to 50%
7.4 Above 50%

Chapter 8 Market Estimates & Forecast, By End Use, 2021-2034 (USD Million & Gallons)

8.1 Key trends
8.2 Airline
- 8.2.1 Large airline
- 8.2.2 Medium airline
- 8.2.3 Small airline
8.3 Non-scheduled operator
8.4 Government/military

Chapter 9 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Region, 2021-2034 (USD Million & Gallons)

9.1 Key trends
9.2 North America
- 9.2.1 U.S.
- 9.2.2 Canada
9.3 Europe
- 9.3.1 UK
- 9.3.2 Germany
- 9.3.3 France
- 9.3.4 Italy
- 9.3.5 Spain
- 9.3.6 Russia
9.4 Asia Pacific
- 9.4.1 China
- 9.4.2 India
- 9.4.3 Japan
- 9.4.4 South Korea
- 9.4.5 Australia
9.5 Latin America
- 9.5.1 Brazil
- 9.5.2 Mexico
9.6 MEA
- 9.6.1 South Africa
- 9.6.2 Saudi Arabia
- 9.6.3 UAE