市场调查报告书
商品编码
1520451
2024-2032 年按反应器类型(压水反应器、沸水反应器、气冷反应器等)、策略、容量和地区分類的核退役市场报告Nuclear Decommissioning Market Report by Reactor Type (Pressurized Water Reactor, Boiling Water Reactor, Gas Cooled Reactor, and Others), Strategy, Capacity, and Region 2024-2032 |
IMARC Group年,全球核能退役市场规模达68亿美元。再生能源利用率的提高、核反应器的关闭以及对放射性废物管理的关注正在扩大市场的成长。
主要市场驱动因素:对再生能源的需求和老化核电厂数量的增加正在推动市场的成长。
主要市场趋势:对环境修復的日益关注,以及创新技术的持续采用,正在促进市场成长。
地理趋势:由于严格的核安监管框架,欧洲占了最大的市场。
竞争格局:核退役产业的一些主要市场参与者包括 Aecom、Babcock International Group PLC、Bechtel Corporation、Electricite de France SA、EnergySolutions、General Electric Company、James Fisher and Sons plc、Northstar Group Services Inc.、Ontario Power Generation Inc .、Orano SA、Studsvik AB 和Westinghouse Electric Company LLC. 等。
挑战与机会:虽然市场面临技术问题等影响市场的挑战,但在开发有效且安全的退役过程中也遇到了机会。
对再生能源的需求不断增加
太阳能、风能和水力发电等可再生能源现在比核能等传统能源更具成本竞争力。因此,再生能源的趋势日益增强,可在能源市场上与核电直接竞争。竞争会影响核电厂的获利能力和生存能力,从而导致核电厂提前退役。除此之外,公众对环境问题、核子安全和放射性废弃物处理的认识不断提高,这可能会影响公众舆论和能源选择,这也支持了市场的成长。与核能相比,再生能源通常被认为更清洁、更安全、更永续。这反过来又增加了公众对再生能源计划的支持和需求。公众舆论的这种变化可能会给政策制定者带来压力,要求他们优先发展再生能源,同时逐步淘汰核电,从而导致核设施退役。核电厂的拆除正在导致再生能源等其他能源的采用。根据国际能源总署报告,预计到2028年,再生能源将占全球发电量的42%以上,其中风能和太阳能光电发电的份额将翻一番,达到25%。
关闭核反应炉
世界核能协会2024年报告称,过去20年来,全球有107座核反应器被关闭。当核反应器达到使用寿命或在经济上变得不可行时,它们将永久关闭。因此,世界各地核退役计画的数量正在增加。随着越来越多的反应器被关闭,对能够安全、高效和经济高效地管理复杂的退役过程的熟练专业人员和公司的需求不断增加。除此之外,核反应器的关闭正在导致先进退役技术和方法的发展。公司正在研发(R&D)活动上投入资金,以找到更安全、更有效率和更具成本效益的拆除、净化、废弃物管理和现场修復方法,预计将影响核退役市场的成长。
放射性废弃物管理日益受到关注
根据太平洋西北国家实验室(PNNL)2022年报告,全球固体放射性废弃物总量约为3,800万立方米,其中81%被永久处置,另外19%被储存等待处理。退役活动期间也会产生放射性废弃物,这正成为一个重大挑战。因此,对放射性废弃物的创新废弃物处理和一次性方法的需求不断增加。此外,监管机构正在对退役活动期间产生的放射性废弃物的安全管理和处置制定严格的规则。遵守这些规定对于获得继续退役专案的许可和批准至关重要。随着处理环境和安全问题的规则不断变化,参与核退役的公司正在投资废弃物管理解决方案以遵守这些规则。此外,有效的放射性废弃物管理是保护公众健康和环境的关键。放射性废弃物处理或丢弃不当会导致土壤、水和空气污染,对人类健康和环境造成长期危害。此外,监管机构、当地社区和环境组织等利益相关者正在密切审查退役项目,以确保放射性废物得到安全和负责任的处理。
IMARC Group提供了每个市场区隔市场的主要趋势的分析,以及 2024-2032 年全球、区域和国家层级的核退役市场预测。我们的报告根据反应器类型、策略和容量对市场进行了分类。
压水反应器(PWR)
沸水反应器 (BWR)
气冷反应器 (GCR)
其他的
压水器(PWR)占据大部分市场份额
该报告根据反应器类型对市场进行了详细的细分和分析。这包括压水器(PWR)、沸水器(BWR)、气冷器(GCR)等。根据该报告,压水器(PWR)代表了最大的部分。
压水器(PWR)是全世界核能发电中最常用的反应器技术。随着许多反应炉的使用寿命即将结束,对退役服务的需求正在增加。此外,与其他反应器相比,压水器规模庞大,这反过来又导致退役过程变得复杂,需要大量资源和专家。此外,压水堆退役计画通常涉及大量放射性废弃物,需要复杂的废弃物管理解决方案。
延期拆除
窀穸
立即拆除
即时拆解占业界最大份额
报告还提供了基于该策略的详细市场细分和分析。这包括延迟拆除、埋葬和立即拆除。报告显示,即时拆解占了最大的市场份额。
从退役核设施中立即清除放射性材料和结构就是立即拆除。这种方法允许释放场地以供潜在的再利用或重新开发,从而最大限度地减少与维护退役设施相关的长期财务负债。除此之外,核退役市场最近技术和专业知识的发展使得立即拆除变得可行且具有成本效益,从而推动其广泛采用。
高达 800 兆瓦
1000兆瓦以上
高达 800 MW 代表领先的细分市场
该报告根据产能对市场进行了详细的细分和分析。其中包括 800 MW 以下、801 MW-1000 MW 以及 1000 MW 以上。根据该报告,最大的部分为 800 MW。
与更大、更现代化的工厂相比,这一领域的小型反应器往往更旧,运作的经济可行性也较低。因此,它们更有可能退役。此外,无论核电厂规模如何,退役的监管要求和安全标准通常都是相似的,与小型反应器退役相关的复杂性和挑战通常与大型反应器相当。因此,800兆瓦以下反应器的退役项目占核退役整体需求的很大一部分。
北美洲
美国
加拿大
亚太
中国
日本
印度
韩国
澳洲
印尼
其他的
欧洲
德国
法国
英国
义大利
西班牙
俄罗斯
其他的
拉丁美洲
巴西
墨西哥
其他的
中东和非洲
欧洲引领市场,占最大的核退役市场份额
该报告还对所有主要区域市场进行了全面分析,其中包括北美(美国和加拿大);亚太地区(中国、日本、印度、韩国、澳洲、印尼等);欧洲(德国、法国、英国、义大利、西班牙、俄罗斯等);拉丁美洲(巴西、墨西哥等);以及中东和非洲。报告称,欧洲是核退役最大的区域市场。
根据世界核能协会 2024 年报告,到 2024 年,英国将关闭 36 座核反应器。由于许多工厂是几十年前建成的,因此退役它们已成为必然。其次,欧洲国家有严格的核安和退役监管框架,需要周密的规划并遵守严格的标准。这些法规为退役活动创造了强而有力的框架,确保安全、负责任地进行这些活动。
市场研究报告也对市场竞争格局进行了全面分析。也提供了所有主要核退役公司的详细资料。核退役产业的一些主要市场参与者包括 Aecom、Babcock International Group PLC、Bechtel Corporation、Electricite de France SA、EnergySolutions、General Electric Company、James Fisher and Sons plc、Northstar Group Services Inc.、Ontario Power Generation Inc.。 Orano SA、Studsvik AB 和Westinghouse Electric Company LLC。
(请注意,这只是关键参与者的部分列表,报告中提供了完整列表。)
公司正在不断开发创新的退役解决方案,例如先进的机器人技术和远端处理技术。他们还製造专门的设备和工艺,用于处理和处理退役活动期间产生的放射性废物,以增加核退役市场收入。许多主要参与者正在提供一系列服务,包括拆除、净化、废弃物管理和场地修復。此外,许多领先企业正在提供全面的退役解决方案,包括反应炉拆除、废弃物包装和场地恢復。由于预期运作寿命老化,一些公司正在关闭其核电厂。例如,2022 年,Entergy 公司关闭了位于密西根湖的 Palisades 核电厂,该核电厂容量为 800 兆瓦。
2023 年 10 月 31 日:柏克德和西屋电气扩大了与捷克共和国的合作伙伴关係,提供四台 AP1000 反应炉,这是最先进的核子技术。
2023 年 6 月 21 日:核工业主要服务供应商 EnergySolutions 宣布将提供经验丰富的专案管理和监督,以支援美国核电厂延长寿命和新核电厂建设,并支援能源产业 2050 年净零排放目标。
The global nuclear decommissioning market size reached US$ 6.8 Billion in 2023. Looking forward, IMARC Group expects the market to reach US$ 10.6 Billion by 2032, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 4.9% during 2024-2032. Rising utilization of renewable energy sources, shutting down of nuclear reactors, and focus on radioactive waste management are expanding the market growth.
Major Market Drivers: The demand for renewable energy and rising number of ageing nuclear power plants is contributing to the growth of the market.
Key Market Trends: The rising focus on environmental remediation, along with the ongoing adoption of innovative technologies, are facilitating the market growth.
Geographical Trends: Europe holds the largest segment because of stringent regulatory frameworks for nuclear safety.
Competitive Landscape: Some of the major market players in the nuclear decommissioning industry include Aecom, Babcock International Group PLC, Bechtel Corporation, Electricite de France S.A, EnergySolutions, General Electric Company, James Fisher and Sons plc, Northstar Group Services Inc., Ontario Power Generation Inc., Orano SA, Studsvik AB and Westinghouse Electric Company LLC., among many others.
Challenges and Opportunities: While the market faces challenges like technical issues, which impacts the market, it also encounters opportunities in the development of effective and safe decommissioning process.
Increasing demand for renewable energy sources
Renewable energy sources like solar, wind, and hydropower are now becoming more cost-competitive with the traditional sources such as nuclear power. Therefore, the trend of renewable energy is increasing, which can directly compete with nuclear power in the energy market. The competition can affect the profitability and viability of the nuclear power plants, which results in their early decommissioning. Besides this, the rising public awareness about environmental issues and nuclear safety and radioactive waste disposal that can affect public opinion and choices on energy sources is supporting the market growth. Renewable energy is usually recognized as cleaner, safer, and more sustainable compared to nuclear power. This, in turn, is increasing the public support and demand for renewable energy initiatives. This change in the public opinion can create a pressure on the policymakers to prioritize the development of renewable energy and at the same time phase out the nuclear power, which is leading to the decommissioning of the nuclear facilities. The dismantlement of nuclear power plants is leading to the adoption of other energy sources like the renewable energy. According to the International Energy Agency report, it is expected that the renewable energy sources will account for over 42% of global electricity generation in 2028, with the share of wind and solar PV doubling to 25%.
Shutting down of nuclear reactors
The World Nuclear Association report of 2024 claims that over the past 20 years, 107 nuclear reactors were shut down across the globe. As nuclear reactors reach the end of their operational lifespans or become economically unviable, they are shut down permanently. Thus the number of nuclear decommissioning projects is rising around the world. With the growing number of reactors being shut down, there is an increasing demand for skilled professionals and firms that can manage the complex decommissioning process safely, efficiently, and cost-effectively. Besides this, the shutdown of nuclear reactors is leading to the development of advanced decommissioning technologies and methods. Companies are spending on research and development (R&D) activities to come up with the safer, more efficient, and cost-effective ways of dismantling, decontamination, waste management, and site remediation, which is anticipated to influence the nuclear decommissioning market growth.
Rising focus on radioactive waste management
As per the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) report of 2022, the total global inventory of solid radioactive waste was approximately 38 million m3, of which 81% of the total waste was disposed of permanently and a further 19% was in storage awaiting for final disposal. Radioactive waste is also generated during decommissioning activities, which is becoming a significant challenge. As a result, there is an increasing demand for innovative waste treatment and disposable methods for radioactive waste. Moreover, regulatory agencies are imposing strict rules for the safe management and disposal of radioactive waste that is produced during decommissioning activities. The compliance with these regulations is vital for getting the permits and the approvals to proceed with the decommissioning projects. As rules are changing to deal with the environmental and safety issues, firms participating in nuclear decommissioning are investing in waste management solutions to comply with these rules. In addition, effective radioactive waste management is the key to the protection of public health and the environment. Improper handling or throwing away the radioactive waste can cause the pollution of the soil, water, and air, which is leading long-term dangers to human health and the environment. Furthermore, stakeholders, among which regulatory authorities, local communities, and environmental organizations, are closely examining decommissioning projects to make sure that the radioactive waste is handled safely and responsibly.
IMARC Group provides an analysis of the key trends in each segment of the market, along with nuclear decommissioning market forecasts at the global, regional, and country levels for 2024-2032. Our report has categorized the market based on reactor type, strategy, and capacity.
Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR)
Boiling Water Reactor (BWR)
Gas Cooled Reactor (GCR)
Others
Pressurized water reactor (PWR) accounts for the majority of the market share
The report has provided a detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the reactor type. This includes pressurized water reactor (PWR), boiling water reactor (BWR), gas cooled reactor (GCR), and others. According to the report, pressurized water reactor (PWR) represents the largest segment.
Pressure water reactor (PWR) is the most used reactor technology for nuclear power generation around the world. As many of these reactors are approaching the end of their operational life spans, the need for decommissioning services is increasing. Additionally, PWRs are huge in size in comparison to other reactors, which, in turn, causes the decommissioning processes to be complicated and requires a lot of resources and experts. Moreover, PWR decommissioning projects usually involve large amounts of radioactive waste, requiring sophisticated waste management solutions.
Deferred Dismantling
Entombment
Immediate Dismantling
Immediate dismantling holds the largest share of the industry
A detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the strategy have also been provided in the report. This includes deferred dismantling, entombment, and immediate dismantling. According to the report, immediate dismantling accounts for the largest market share.
The instant removal of the radioactive materials and structures from a decommissioned nuclear facility is the immediate dismantling. This approach allows for the release of the site for potential reuse or redevelopment, minimizing the long-term financial liabilities associated with maintaining a decommissioned facility. Besides this, nuclear decommissioning market recent development of the technology and expertise is making the immediate dismantling feasible and cost-effective, thereby driving its widespread adoption.
Upto 800 MW
Above 1000 MW
Upto 800 MW represents the leading market segment
The report has provided a detailed breakup and analysis of the market based on the capacity. This includes upto 800 MW, 801 MW-1000 MW, and above 1000 MW. According to the report, upto 800 MW represents the largest segment.
Smaller reactors within this segment tend to be older and less economically viable to operate compared to larger and more modern plants. Consequently, they are more likely to be decommissioned. Furthermore, regulatory requirements and safety standards for decommissioning are generally similar regardless of plant size, and complexities and challenges associated with decommissioning smaller reactors are often comparable to those of larger ones. As a result, decommissioning projects for reactors up to 800 MW represent a substantial portion of the overall nuclear decommissioning demand.
North America
United States
Canada
Asia-Pacific
China
Japan
India
South Korea
Australia
Indonesia
Others
Europe
Germany
France
United Kingdom
Italy
Spain
Russia
Others
Latin America
Brazil
Mexico
Others
Middle East and Africa
Europe leads the market, accounting for the largest nuclear decommissioning market share
The report has also provided a comprehensive analysis of all the major regional markets, which include North America (the United States and Canada); Asia Pacific (China, Japan, India, South Korea, Australia, Indonesia, and others); Europe (Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, and others); Latin America (Brazil, Mexico, and others); and the Middle East and Africa. According to the report, Europe represents the largest regional market for nuclear decommissioning.
According to the World Nuclear Association report of 2024, in UK 36 nuclear reactors were shut down by 2024. Europe has a notable number of ageing nuclear power plants that are reaching the end of their operational lifespans. As many of these plants were built several decades ago and decommissioning them are becoming a necessity. Secondly, European countries have stringent regulatory frameworks governing nuclear safety and decommissioning, which necessitate thorough planning and compliance with rigorous standards. These regulations create a robust framework for decommissioning activities, ensuring that they are carried out safely and responsibly.
The market research report has also provided a comprehensive analysis of the competitive landscape in the market. Detailed profiles of all major nuclear decommissioning companies have also been provided. Some of the major market players in the nuclear decommissioning industry include Aecom, Babcock International Group PLC, Bechtel Corporation, Electricite de France S.A, EnergySolutions, General Electric Company, James Fisher and Sons plc, Northstar Group Services Inc., Ontario Power Generation Inc., Orano SA, Studsvik AB and Westinghouse Electric Company LLC.
(Please note that this is only a partial list of the key players, and the complete list is provided in the report.)
Companies are continuously developing innovative decommissioning solutions, such as advanced robotics and remote handling technologies. They are also manufacturing specialized equipment and processes for handling and treating radioactive waste generated during decommissioning activities to increase the nuclear decommissioning market revenue. Many key players are providing a range of services, including dismantling, decontamination, waste management, and site restoration. In addition, many leading players are offering comprehensive decommissioning solutions, including reactor dismantling, waste packaging, and site restoration. Several companies are shutting down their nuclear plants due to their aging intended operational lifespans. For instance, in 2022, Entergy Corporation shut down its Palisades nuclear plant on Lake Michigan, which was an 800-megawatt facility.
October 31, 2023: Bechtel and Westinghouse expanded their partnership with Czech Republic to supply four AP1000 reactors, which is the most advanced nuclear technology.
June 21, 2023: EnergySolutions, a major supplier of services to the nuclear industry announced that it will deliver experienced project management and supervision in support of U.S. nuclear plant life extension and new plant construction, and it is also supporting the energy industry's 2050 net zero goals.