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市场调查报告书
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1630451

亚太地区核子反应炉退役：市场占有率分析、产业趋势和成长预测（2025-2030）

Asia-Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 110 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

预计亚太地区核子反应炉退役市场在预测期内的复合年增长率将超过6%。

亚太核电反应器退役-市场-IMG1

COVID-19 对 2020 年市场产生了负面影响。目前，市场已达到疫情前水准。

主要亮点

  • 从中期来看，太阳能和风能等再生能源来源的渗透率不断提高，产生更清洁、更经济的能源，预计将在预测期内推动市场发展。
  • 另一方面，除役成本高和成熟电厂数量少预计将成为预测期内限制市场成长的主要因素。
  • 工厂退役中越来越多地使用机器人和人工智慧预计将为亚太核子反应炉退役市场创造重大机会。
  • 由于除役计划数量不断增加和政府支持措施，日本预计将在预测期内主导亚太核子反应炉除役市场。

亚太核子反应炉退役市场趋势

商业核子反应炉预计将主导市场

  • 商业核能发电厂是部署在社区内用于发电的发电厂，用于国家能源网，将电力传输和分配到国家各部门。在亚太地区，大多数核能发电厂属于商业反应器类别。
  • 根据世界核能协会统计，亚太地区有 140 座商业核能发电厂在运作中。此外，还有35座商业发电厂正处于建设阶段，约40-50座商业发电厂正处于规划阶段。
  • 亚太核子反应炉退役市场在预测期内将会成长，因为中国、日本、韩国和印度等亚太主要国家在 1960 年代和 1970 年代设计和持有了 70 多座核子反应炉，预计将引领这一市场。
  • 2021年亚太地区核能发电总量为714.3兆瓦时(TWh)，高于该地区2020年的655太瓦时。该地区许多国家仍在发展核能发电，预计将阻碍该地区的市场成长。
  • 2021年，韩国水力核能发电（KHNP）向核能安保障委员会（NSSC）申请拆除釜山附近古里核能发电厂1号机组的许可。该机组于2017年6月永久关闭，成为韩国第一座除役的核子反应炉。该公司正在等待许可证核准。
  • 因此，鑑于上述几点，商业动力反应炉很可能在预测期内主导亚太核子反应炉除役市场。

日本预计主导市场

  • 截至2021年，日本透过33座核子反应炉生产61.2TWh电力，总合容量为31.68GWe。截至2022年12月，日本有两座在建核子反应炉，总合2.75 GWe，一座规划核子反应炉，总合1.38 GWe，在建、规划、规划核子反应炉11.56 GWe，各有8台。中国第一座商用核子反应炉于1966年中期开始运行，自1973年以来核能一直是国家战略重点。 2011年福岛核电事故对此进行了修订。
  • 截至2021年，日本运作核能容量已从2015年的24,932 MWe减少至16,321 MWe。此次减产意味着日本正努力削减核能能。
  • 截至2022年12月，日本已关闭27座核子反应炉，总合容量为17,128兆瓦。不过，日本8%的电力需求仍由核能满足。
  • 此外，鑑于乌克兰和俄罗斯之间的战争，日本政府将重点转向获取能源安全。因此，政府宣布将在2022年冬季前加速运作7个反应炉。
  • 此外，2023年11月，经济产业省提案了一项前进道路，透过用现代化、安全的核电站取代老化的核能发电厂，并排除检查延误，允许一些核子反应炉继续运行60年以上。创建根据该行动计划，33座运行核能发电厂中的大部分将在未来几年内除役。
  • 例如，日本美国核能管理委员会于2021年核准了东京电力公司（Tepco）对福岛第二核能发电厂（位于受损的福岛第一核电厂附近）的四个核子反应炉除役的计画。除役工作预计需要44年时间。储存在该装置储存池中的 10,000 个燃料组件将在 22 年内拆除和重新处理。
  • 鑑于上述情况，预计日本将在预测期内主导亚太核子反应炉退役市场。

亚太核子反应炉退役产业概况

亚太地区核子反应炉退役市场适度细分。该市场的主要企业（排名不分先后）包括日立通用电气核能有限公司、日本原子能公司、Snc-Lavalin Group Inc（阿特金斯）、东京电力公司控股公司、韩国水电与核电公司等。 。

其他好处

  • Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
  • 3 个月分析师支持

目录

第一章简介

  • 调查范围
  • 市场定义
  • 研究场所

第 2 章执行摘要

第三章调查方法

第四章市场概况

  • 介绍
  • 至2028年市场规模及需求预测（单位：十亿美元）
  • 最新趋势和发展
  • 政府法规和措施
  • 市场动态
    • 促进因素
    • 抑制因素
  • 供应链分析
  • 波特五力分析
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 消费者议价能力
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 替代品的威胁
    • 竞争公司之间的敌对关係

第五章市场区隔

  • 核子反应炉类型
    • 压水式反应炉
    • 加压重水反应器
    • 沸水式反应炉
    • 高温反应炉
    • 液态金属快滋生反应器
    • 其他核子反应炉
  • 目的
    • 商业动力反应炉
    • 演示反应炉
    • 研究反应器
  • 核子反应炉容量
    • 100MW以下
    • 100～1,000MW
    • 1,000MW以上
  • 市场分析：按地区（2028 年之前的市场规模和需求预测）
    • 日本
    • 中国
    • 其他亚太地区

第六章 竞争状况

  • 合併、收购、联盟和合资企业
  • 主要企业策略
  • 公司简介
    • GE-Hitachi Nuclear Energy, Ltd.
    • The Japan Atomic Power Co.
    • TUV Rheinland Group
    • Snc-Lavalin Group Inc（Atkins）
    • Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc.
    • Orano SA
    • Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co., Ltd.
    • Toshiba Corp

第七章 市场机会及未来趋势

简介目录
Product Code: 71562

The Asia-Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning Market is expected to register a CAGR of greater than 6% during the forecast period.

Asia-Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning - Market - IMG1

COVID-19 negatively impacted the market in 2020. Presently the market has reached pre-pandemic levels.

Key Highlights

  • Over the medium term, increasing penetration of renewable energy sources such as solar and wind, which produce cleaner and more economical energy, are expected to drive the market during the forecasted period.
  • On the other hand, the high cost of decommissioning plants and few numbers of mature power plants are significant restraints expected to hinder the market's growth during the forecasted period.
  • Nevertheless, the increasing usage of robots and artificial intelligence for plant decommissioning is expected to create significant opportunities for the Asia Pacific nuclear power reactor decommissioning market.
  • Japan is expected to dominate the Asia Pacific nuclear power reactor decommissioning market over the forecast period due to the increasing decommissioning projects and supportive government policies.

Asia Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning Market Trends

Commercial Power Reactor Expected to Dominate the Market

  • Commercial nuclear power plants are the power plants deployed in the region to generate electricity and utilized in the national energy grid through which the generated electricity is transmitted and distributed to various sectors of the country. In the Asia-pacific region, the majority of the nuclear power plants fall under the commercial reactor category.
  • According to World Nuclear Association, 140 active commercial nuclear power plants exist in the Asia-pacific region. Moreover, 35 commercial power plants are in the construction stage, while around 40-50 commercial power plants are in the planning stages.
  • The major countries in the region, such as China, Japan, South Korea, and India, are expected to drive the nuclear power reactor decommissioning market in the Asia-Pacific region during the forecast period, as the region has more than 70 reactors that are designed and built in the 1960s and 1970s.
  • The total power produced by nuclear energy in Asia-Pacific in 2021 was 714.3 terawatt-hours (TWh), which was higher than the region produced in 2020, which was 655 TWh. Many countries in the region are still developing nuclear power for electricity, which is anticipated to hinder the regional market growth.
  • In 2021, Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power (KHNP) applied to the Nuclear Safety & Security Commission (NSSC) for approval to dismantle unit 1 of the Kori nuclear power plant near Busan. The unit was permanently shut down in June 2017, becoming the first South Korean reactor to enter decommissioning. The company is waiting for the permit approval.
  • Hence, owing to the above points, the commercial power reactor will likely dominate the Asia-Pacific nuclear power reactor decommissioning market during the forecast period.

Japan Expected to Dominate the Market

  • As of 2021, Japan has generated 61.2 TWh of electricity from its thirty-three nuclear reactors with a combined capacity of 31.68 GWe. As of December 2022, the country has two nuclear reactors under construction with a combined total of 2.75 GWe; one reactor is under planning stages with a total of 1.38 GWe, and eight reactors with a combined capacity of 11.56 GWe under construction, planned, and proposed stages, respectively. The country's first commercial nuclear power reactor began operating in mid-year 1966, and nuclear energy has been a national strategic priority since 1973. This came under review after the 2011 Fukushima accident.
  • As of 2021, Japan's operable nuclear energy capacity reduced to 16321 MWe compared to 24932 MWe in 2015. This decreasing capacity signifies Japan's effort to reduce its nuclear capacity.
  • As of December 2022, Japan has shut down 27 nuclear reactors with a total capacity of 17128 MWe. But still, the country's 8% of electricity needs are met through nuclear energy.
  • Moreover, in light of the war between Ukraine and Russia, the government of Japan shifted its focus to gaining energy security. Thus, the government announced that the country would accelerate the restart of nine units by winter 2022 and seven units by summer 2023.
  • Furthermore, in November 2023, the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry proposed an action plan to replace old nuclear power plants with modern, safer ones and create a path for some reactors to remain in operation for more than 60 years by excluding inspection delays. As per this action plan, most of the 33 operable nuclear power plants will be decommissioned in the coming years.
  • For instance, in 2021, Japan's nuclear regulator approved Tokyo Electric Power Company's (Tepco's) decommissioning plan for the four reactors at its Fukushima Daini nuclear power plant, close to the damaged Fukushima Daiichi plant. The decommissioning process is expected to take 44 years. The 10,000 fuel assemblies held in the units' storage pools will be removed over 22 years and will be reprocessed.
  • Hence, owing to the above points, Japan is expected to dominate the Asia-Pacific nuclear power reactor decommissioning market during the forecast period.

Asia Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning Industry Overview

The Asia-Pacific Nuclear Power Reactor Decommissioning Market is moderately fragmented. Some of the key players in this market (not in a particular order) include Hitachi-GE Nuclear Energy, Ltd., Japan Atomic Power Co., Snc-Lavalin Group Inc (Atkins), Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc., and Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co., Ltd.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Scope of the Study
  • 1.2 Market Definition
  • 1.3 Study Assumptions

2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4 MARKET OVERVIEW

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Market Size and Demand Forecast in USD billion, till 2028
  • 4.3 Recent Trends and Developments
  • 4.4 Government Policies and Regulations
  • 4.5 Market Dynamics
    • 4.5.1 Drivers
    • 4.5.2 Restraints
  • 4.6 Supply Chain Analysis
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Force Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes Products and Services
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SEGMENTATION

  • 5.1 Reactor Type
    • 5.1.1 Pressurized Water Reactor
    • 5.1.2 Pressurized Heavy Water Reactor
    • 5.1.3 Boiling Water Reactor
    • 5.1.4 High-temperature Gas-cooled Reactor
    • 5.1.5 Liquid Metal Fast Breeder Reactor
    • 5.1.6 Other Reactor Types
  • 5.2 Application
    • 5.2.1 Commercial Power Reactor
    • 5.2.2 Prototype Power Reactor
    • 5.2.3 Research Reactor
  • 5.3 Capacity
    • 5.3.1 Below 100 MW
    • 5.3.2 100-1000 MW
    • 5.3.3 Above 1000 MW
  • 5.4 Regional Market Analysis {Market Size and Demand Forecast till 2028 (for regions only)}
    • 5.4.1 Japan
    • 5.4.2 China
    • 5.4.3 Rest of Asia-Pacific

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Mergers, Acquisitions, Collaboration and Joint Ventures
  • 6.2 Strategies Adopted by Key Players
  • 6.3 Company Profiles
    • 6.3.1 GE- Hitachi Nuclear Energy, Ltd.
    • 6.3.2 The Japan Atomic Power Co.
    • 6.3.3 TUV Rheinland Group
    • 6.3.4 Snc-Lavalin Group Inc (Atkins)
    • 6.3.5 Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc.
    • 6.3.6 Orano SA
    • 6.3.7 Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co., Ltd.
    • 6.3.8 Toshiba Corp

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE TRENDS