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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1800239
针状焦市场-2025年至2030年的预测Needle Coke Market - Forecasts fom 2025 to 2030 |
针状焦市场预计将从 2025 年的 41.91 亿美元成长到 2030 年的 57.41 亿美元,复合年增长率为 6.49%。
预计全球针状焦市场将在2025年至2030年期间强劲成长,这得益于电动车(EV)和钢铁生产(尤其是透过电弧炉(EAF)技术)需求的成长。针状焦是一种从石油和煤焦油中提取的高品质碳材料,对于电弧炉炼钢和电动汽车锂离子电池阳极所使用的石墨电极的生产至关重要。严格的环境法规促进了永续钢铁生产,全球也大力推行交通电气化,这推动了针状焦市场的发展。挑战包括原材料供应有限和生产成本高。
市场驱动因素
电动车需求不断成长
电动车的兴起是针状焦市场的主要驱动力,因为针状焦对于锂离子电池石墨阳极的生产至关重要。国际能源总署 (IEA) 报告称,电动车销量显着成长,2024 年全球销量将达到 1,700 万辆,较 2023 年成长 25%。这种成长,尤其是在中国,正在推动对高品质针状焦的需求,以满足电池生产需求。政府政策,例如美国在 2035 年强制要求 100% 实现零排放汽车,以及印度到 2030 年实现私家车中电动车普及率 30% 的目标,进一步推动了电池应用对针状焦的需求。
电弧炉炼钢产量增加
在更严格的环境法规推动下,全球转向电弧炉炼钢,这增加了对针状焦(石墨电极的关键原料)的需求。电弧炉技术的碳排放低于传统高炉,正变得越来越普及。 2023 年 11 月,JFE 钢铁公司宣布计划在其日本仓敷厂建造一座大型电弧炉,目标是到 2027 年每年减少排放260 万吨。同样,海格集团有限公司将在 2023 年 11 月将其石墨电极产能扩大到每年 10 万吨,这将进一步增加其对针状焦的需求。中国于 2022 年发布的工业碳达峰计画预测,到 2030 年,电弧炉炼钢将占钢铁产量的 20% 以上,废钢加工能力将超过每年 1.8 亿吨。
市场限制
针状焦市场面临挑战,因为原料供应有限且生产成本高昂,这可能会限制供应并推高价格。部分地区的监管不统一和基础设施限制也阻碍了市场成长。此外,经济不确定性和供应链中断也对持续生产和分销构成风险,尤其是在新兴市场。
The needle coke market is expected to grow from USD4.191 billion in 2025 to USD5.741 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 6.49%.
The global needle coke market is projected to experience robust growth from 2025 to 2030, driven by increasing demand for electric vehicles (EVs) and steel production, particularly through electric arc furnace (EAF) technology. Needle coke, a high-quality carbon material derived from petroleum or coal tar, is critical for manufacturing graphite electrodes used in EAF steelmaking and lithium-ion battery anodes for EVs. The market is fueled by stringent environmental regulations promoting sustainable steel production and the global push for electrification in transportation. Challenges include raw material supply constraints and high production costs.
Market Drivers
Rising Demand for Electric Vehicles
The surge in EV adoption is a primary driver of the needle coke market, as needle coke is essential for producing graphite anodes in lithium-ion batteries. The International Energy Agency reported significant EV sales growth, with global sales reaching 17 million in 2024, a 25% increase from 2023. This growth, particularly in China, drives demand for high-quality needle coke to meet battery production needs. Government policies, such as the U.S. mandate for 100% zero-emission vehicles by 2035 and India's target for 30% EV penetration in private cars by 2030, further boost demand for needle coke in battery applications.
Increasing Steel Production via EAF
The global shift toward EAF steelmaking, driven by stricter environmental regulations, is increasing demand for needle coke, a key raw material for graphite electrodes. EAF technology, which emits less carbon than traditional blast oxygen furnaces, is gaining traction. In November 2023, JFE Steel announced plans to build a large-scale EAF at its Kurashiki plant in Japan, aiming to reduce emissions by 2.6 million tons annually by 2027. Similarly, HEG Limited expanded its graphite electrode capacity to 100 kilotons per annum in November 2023, reinforcing the growing need for needle coke. China's Industrial Carbon Peaking plan, issued in 2022, projects EAF steelmaking to account for over 20% of steel production by 2030, with an annual scrap processing capacity exceeding 180 million metric tons.
Market Restraints
The needle coke market faces challenges due to limited raw material availability and high production costs, which can constrain supply and increase prices. Regulatory discrepancies and infrastructural limitations in some regions also hinder market growth. Additionally, economic uncertainties and supply chain disruptions pose risks to consistent production and distribution, particularly in emerging markets.
Market Segmentation
By Application
The market is segmented into graphite electrodes, lithium-ion batteries, and other applications like specialty carbon and ferroalloys. Graphite electrodes dominate, holding over 55% of the market share in 2023, driven by their critical role in EAF steelmaking. Lithium-ion battery applications are growing rapidly, fueled by EV production and energy storage demands, with needle coke used in high-performance anode materials.
By Grade
The market includes intermediate, premium, and super-premium grades. Intermediate-grade needle coke held over 50% of the market revenue in 2023 due to its cost-effectiveness and versatility in steel and battery applications. Super-premium grades are gaining traction for their low sulfur content and high performance in advanced applications.
By Geography
The Asia-Pacific region dominates, accounting for 63.5% of global market revenue in 2024, with China leading due to its robust steel and EV industries. China's needle coke market is expected to reach $2.47 billion by 2030, driven by its position as the world's largest steel producer, with 67.4 million metric tons produced in 2023. India is the fastest-growing market in the region, with its lithium-ion battery market projected to grow at a CAGR of 50% to 220 GWh by 2030. North America and Europe are also significant, driven by EV adoption and steel industry modernization.
Key Industry Developments
In January 2025, Chevron Lummus Global and TAQAT signed an agreement to enhance needle coke production for steel and battery applications, emphasizing technological advancements. In November 2023, Nippon Steel Corporation acquired a 20% stake in Elk Valley Resources to secure raw materials for needle coke production. These developments highlight the industry's focus on capacity expansion and sustainability.
The needle coke market is set for strong growth from 2025 to 2030, driven by EV battery production and EAF steelmaking. Asia-Pacific, particularly China, leads due to its dominant steel and EV sectors. Despite challenges like raw material scarcity, strategic investments and technological innovations will drive market expansion. Industry players must focus on sustainable production and supply chain stability to capitalize on growing demand.
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