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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1866406
全球巴士市场-2025-2030年预测Global Bus Market - Forecasts from 2025 to 2030 |
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预计到 2025 年,巴士市场规模将从 802.13 亿美元成长到 2030 年的 1,053.83 亿美元,复合年增长率为 5.61%。
由于快速的都市化、对永续公共交通日益增长的需求以及各国政府(尤其是在开发中国家)对交通基础设施的投资,全球公车市场预计将迎来显着成长。公车,包括城市公车、远距公车和校车,对于解决城市交通难题、缓解交通拥堵和减少排放气体至关重要。电动和混合动力公车技术的进步正在提升环保性能和营运效率,推动市场发展。关键趋势包括公车电气化(优先考虑乘客的舒适性和安全性)以及与快速公车系统 (BRT) 和出行即服务 (MaaS) 的整合。然而,电动公车的高成本以及某些地区对放弃柴油车的抵触情绪等挑战可能会阻碍市场成长。
市场驱动因素
全球城市人口的成长是推动这一趋势的关键因素,预计到2050年,城市人口比将达到68%。在新增的25亿居住者中,预计90%将分布在亚洲和非洲(联合国数据)。人口的快速成长给交通系统带来了压力,并增加了对公车的需求,尤其是在中国和印度等人口稠密的地区。开发中国家政府为扩大公共运输基础设施所采取的措施也进一步推动了市场成长。在严格的排放法规和政府奖励的支持下,永续性措施正在推动电动公车的普及,这与全球脱碳目标一致。
市场限制
电动公车前期投入成本高昂,且基础建设要求高,这成为推广应用的一大障碍,尤其对于发展中地区的小规模公车机构而言更是如此。此外,由于既有做法和成本方面的顾虑,人们不愿从柴油公车转向电动公车,这也阻碍了市场扩张。确保不同市场间安全性和可靠性标准的一致性也是一项挑战。
The Bus Market is set to climb from USD 80.213 billion in 2025 to USD 105.383 billion in 2030, at a CAGR of 5.61%.
The global bus market is poised for significant growth, driven by rapid urbanization, increasing demand for sustainable public transportation, and government investments in transit infrastructure, particularly in developing nations. Buses, encompassing city transit, intercity coaches, and school buses, are critical for addressing urban mobility challenges, reducing traffic congestion, and lowering emissions. The market is evolving with advancements in electric and hybrid bus technologies, enhancing environmental performance and operational efficiency. Key trends include bus electrification, bus rapid transit (BRT) systems, and mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) integrations, which prioritize passenger comfort and safety. Challenges such as high costs of electric buses and reluctance to shift from diesel in some regions may hinder growth.
Market Drivers
The primary driver is the global rise in urban population, projected to reach 68% by 2050, with 90% of the 2.5 billion additional urban dwellers in Asia and Africa (United Nations). This population surge strains transportation systems, increasing demand for buses, particularly in densely populated regions like China and India. Government initiatives in developing countries to expand public transport infrastructure further propel market growth. The push for sustainability drives electric bus adoption, supported by stringent emission regulations and government incentives, aligning with global decarbonization goals.
Market Constraints
High initial costs and infrastructure requirements for electric buses pose barriers, particularly for smaller transit agencies in developing regions. Resistance to transitioning from diesel buses, due to established conventions and cost concerns, also limits market expansion. Additionally, ensuring consistent safety and reliability standards across diverse markets remains a challenge.
Market Segmentation
The bus market is segmented by type, application, and geography. By type, it includes diesel, electric, and other fuel types like compressed natural gas and hybrids, with electric buses expected to grow rapidly due to regulatory support. By application, the market covers transit buses, school buses, and others, with transit buses holding a significant share due to their role in urban commuting. Geographically, the market spans North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, South America, and the Middle East and Africa, with regional growth tied to urbanization and policy support.
Geographical Outlook
The Asia Pacific region dominates the market, driven by high reliance on public transportation in low- and middle-income households, particularly in China and India. Rapid urbanization and government investments in transit infrastructure fuel growth. North America and Europe maintain substantial shares, supported by advanced infrastructure and sustainability initiatives. South America and the Middle East and Africa are expected to see steady growth as public transport systems expand.
Competitive Landscape
Key players are focusing on electrification and innovative technologies to enhance passenger experience and meet environmental standards. Companies are investing in electric and hydrogen-powered buses and integrating advanced safety features like ADAS. Strategic partnerships and government collaborations are common to address infrastructure challenges and scale operations.
Opportunities and Challenges
Opportunities lie in expanding electric bus fleets and leveraging MaaS to enhance urban mobility. Challenges include overcoming cost barriers for electric bus adoption and addressing infrastructure gaps in developing regions. Industry experts should prioritize cost-effective electrification strategies and policy advocacy to capitalize on the bus market's growth potential in a rapidly urbanizing, sustainability-focused global landscape.
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The Global Bus Market is analyzed into the following segments: