碳补偿/排碳权市场报告：趋势、预测和竞争分析（至 2031 年）

全球碳补偿/排碳权市场前景看好，电力、能源、航空、运输、工业和建筑市场都存在机会。预计到 2031 年全球碳补偿/排碳权市场规模将达到 33,044 亿美元，2025 年至 2031 年的复合年增长率为 29.8%。该市场的主要驱动力是减少全球暖化和碳排放的日益增长的需求、企业对碳信用额的部分吸收增加以及对碳捕获技术的投资增加。

• 根据Lucintel的预测，不受合规市场当局监管的自愿市场预计将在预测期内实现高速成长。
• 就最终用途类别而言，电力可能仍是最大的部分。这是因为电力是高排放产业，而我们使用低温室气体技术。
• 根据地区划分，由于人们对气候变迁的认识不断提高，预计亚太地区将在预测期内实现最高成长。

碳补偿/排碳权市场的策略成长机会

碳补偿/排碳权市场为不同的应用提供了多种成长机会。这些机会由技术创新、政策变化和不断变化的市场需求所推动。主要成长机会包括：

• 可再生能源计划：投资风能、太阳能和水力发电等可再生能源计划具有巨大的碳补偿潜力。这些计划因其扩充性且符合全球永续性目标而具有吸引力，为成长和投资提供了重大机会。
• 林业和再造林林业和重新造林计划为碳储存和增强生物多样性提供了巨大的潜力。这些计划因其多种益处（包括栖息地恢復和气候变迁适应力）已成为碳补偿投资的有前景的领域。
• 农业碳补偿：永续农业和土壤碳储存等农业实践为排碳权提供了新的机会。这些农耕实践提供了创新的解决方案，有助于土壤健康和生产力，同时封存碳、排放排放并支持永续农业。
• 城市基础设施计划：城市发展和基础设施计划，包括绿色建筑计画和节能维修，已成为碳补偿计划的重点领域。这些计划将解决城市排放并促进永续发展，为市场成长创造新的机会。
• 技术创新：捕碳封存技术的进步为碳补偿计划开闢了新的途径。直接空气捕获和提高采收率等技术创新正变得越来越可行和有吸引力，为排放排放和推进技术解决方案提供了新的选择。

这些策略性成长机会凸显了碳补偿/排碳权市场的多样化潜力。透过关注可再生能源、林业、农业、城市发展和技术进步，相关人员可以在排放和永续性方面取得巨大进步。

碳补偿/排碳权市场驱动因素与挑战

碳补偿/排碳权市场受到各种驱动因素​​和挑战的影响，这些驱动因素和挑战决定了其成长和有效性。这些因素包括技术、经济和监管因素。

推动碳补偿/排碳权市场的因素包括：

• 增加监管支持：各国政府正在实施政策和法规来支持碳市场的发展，包括碳定价和排放目标。这种监管支持将创造更结构化、更可靠的市场环境，鼓励对碳补偿计划的投资。
• 企业永续性目标：企业正在製定雄心勃勃的永续性目标并投资碳补偿以履行其气候变迁承诺。企业需求推动了排碳权市场的不断增长，为计划开发和信用发放创造了新的机会。
• 技术进步：碳测量、检验和捕获技术的创新正在提高碳补偿计划的效率和准确性。这些进步将提高市场透明度和信任度，使排碳权更易于追踪和检验。
• 市场需求不断增长：能源、运输和製造业等各领域对排碳权的需求不断增长。需求的成长将刺激市场和投资，从而促进新的补偿计划的扩张和发展。
• 国际合作：全球倡议和伙伴关係正在促进碳市场的整合和国际标准的发展。此次合作将促进跨境贸易和投资，增加市场流动性和可近性。

碳补偿/排碳权市场面临的挑战是：

• 市场波动：排碳权市场受监管变化和经济状况影响，价格和需求会波动。这种波动给投资者和计划开发商带来了不确定性，并影响了市场稳定性。
• 检验和诈欺问题：确保碳补偿计划的可信度和真实性是一项重大挑战。检验、监督和潜在诈欺等问题可能会破坏市场信任，阻碍排碳权的有效性。
• 监管衝突：不同地区碳信用法规和标准的差异将为国际贸易和计划开发带来复杂性。不一致的监管可能会影响市场效率并限制全球碳补偿努力的有效性。

影响碳补偿/排碳权市场的主要驱动因素和挑战凸显了强有力的法律规范、技术进步和市场稳定性的必要性。应对这些挑战并利用市场驱动力对于碳补偿倡议的持续成长和有效性至关重要。

目录

第一章执行摘要

第二章 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场：市场动态

• 简介、背景和分类
• 供应链
• 产业驱动因素与挑战

第 3 章 市场趋势与预测分析（2019-2031）

• 宏观经济趋势（2019-2024）与预测（2025-2031）
• 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场趋势（2019-2024）及预测（2025-2031）
• 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场类型
  • 遵守
  • 自愿
• 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场（按计划类型）
  • 避免并减少计划
  • 拆除/隔离计划
• 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场（按最终用途划分）
  • 力量
  • 活力
  • 航空
  • 运输
  • 产业
  • 大楼
  • 其他的

第 4 章。

• 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场（按地区）
• 北美碳补偿/排碳权市场
• 欧洲碳补偿/排碳权市场
• 亚太地区碳补偿/排碳权市场
• 其他地区的碳补偿/排碳权市场

第五章 竞争分析

• 产品系列分析
• 营运整合
• 波特五力分析

第六章 成长机会与策略分析

• 成长机会分析
  • 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场按类型分類的成长机会
  • 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场按计划类型分類的成长机会
  • 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场按最终用途分類的成长机会
  • 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场各区域成长机会
• 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场的新趋势
• 战略分析
  • 新产品开发
  • 扩大全球碳补偿/排碳权市场容量
  • 全球碳补偿/排碳权市场中的合併、收购和合资企业
  • 认证和许可

第七章主要企业公司简介

• South Pole
• 3Degrees
• Finite Carbon
• EKI Energy Services
• NativeEnergy
• CarbonBetter
• Carbon Care Asia

The future of the global carbon offset/carbon credit market looks promising with opportunities in the power, energy, aviation, transportation, industrial, and building markets. The global carbon offset/carbon credit market is expected to reach an estimated $3304.4 billion by 2031 with a CAGR of 29.8% from 2025 to 2031. The major drivers for this market are the increasing need to reduce global warming and carbon emissions, the rise in the partial use of carbon credits by companies, and growing investments in carbon capture technologies.

• Lucintel forecasts that, within the type category, the voluntary market is expected to witness higher growth over the forecast period, as it is free from regulations imposed by authorities in the compliance market.
• Within the end-use category, power will remain the largest segment, as it is a significant emitting sector and uses low-GHG technologies.
• In terms of regions, APAC is expected to witness the highest growth over the forecast period due to increasing awareness of climate change in the region.

Gain valuable insights for your business decisions with our comprehensive 150+ page report.

Emerging Trends in the Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market

The carbon offset/carbon credit market is influenced by emerging trends that are reshaping how offsets are generated, verified, and traded. These trends reflect a growing emphasis on transparency, innovation, and global collaboration in combating climate change.

• Increased Corporate Engagement: Companies are increasingly integrating carbon offset purchases into their sustainability strategies to meet net-zero targets. This trend is driven by heightened environmental awareness and consumer demand for corporate accountability, leading to a significant rise in demand for verified carbon credits.
• Technological Advancements in Carbon Measurement: Innovations such as satellite monitoring and blockchain technology enhance the accuracy and transparency of carbon credit tracking and verification. These technologies help ensure that carbon offset projects deliver genuine emission reductions, improving market credibility and efficiency.
• Expansion of Carbon Markets: A trend is emerging toward the expansion and integration of regional and national carbon markets into a more global system. This development facilitates greater liquidity and price stability in carbon markets, allowing more efficient trading and investment in carbon credits.
• Focus on High-Quality Projects: Emphasis is shifting toward high-quality, verifiable carbon offset projects that provide additional environmental and social benefits. This trend is driven by increased scrutiny from investors and regulators, leading to higher standards and greater market confidence in offset projects.
• Increased Regulatory and Policy Frameworks: Governments are implementing stricter regulations and policies to govern carbon markets and ensure transparency and accountability. These frameworks aim to prevent fraud, enhance market integrity, and support the growth and development of the carbon offset market.

These trends are reshaping the carbon offset/carbon credit market by improving market integrity, expanding market reach, and increasing demand for high-quality projects. They reflect a broader commitment to more effective climate action and sustainable business practices.

Recent Developments in the Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market

The carbon offset/carbon credit market is undergoing significant changes as countries and organizations adapt to new environmental policies and technological advancements. Key developments include:

• Expansion of Regulatory Frameworks: Governments worldwide are introducing comprehensive regulations to enhance the credibility of carbon credits. These regulations focus on improving transparency and verification processes, ensuring that carbon offset projects meet high standards and contribute to real emission reductions.
• Growth in Corporate Investment: Major corporations are increasingly investing in carbon credits to offset their emissions and achieve sustainability targets. This trend is driven by growing pressure from stakeholders and investors, leading to a surge in demand for carbon credits and a more dynamic market.
• Advancements in Verification Technologies: New technologies, such as satellite monitoring and blockchain, are being adopted to improve the accuracy and reliability of carbon credit verification. These advancements enhance market transparency and trust, making it easier to track and validate carbon offset projects.
• Development of Carbon Markets: The expansion of carbon markets, including regional and national systems, is creating more opportunities for trading and investment. This trend supports the integration of different markets into a global system, improving liquidity and efficiency.
• Increased Focus on Co-Benefits: There is a growing emphasis on carbon offset projects that provide additional environmental and social benefits. Projects that contribute to biodiversity, community development, and other positive outcomes are gaining more attention and investment.

These developments drive the growth and evolution of the carbon offset/carbon credit market, enhancing market dynamics and improving the effectiveness of carbon offsetting as a tool for combating climate change.

Strategic Growth Opportunities for Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market

The carbon offset/carbon credit market presents various growth opportunities across different applications. These opportunities are driven by technological innovations, policy changes, and evolving market needs. Key growth opportunities include:

• Renewable Energy Projects: Investing in renewable energy projects such as wind, solar, and hydro provides significant carbon offset potential. These projects are attractive due to their scalability and alignment with global sustainability goals, offering substantial opportunities for growth and investment.
• Forestry and Reforestation: Forestry and reforestation projects offer high potential for carbon sequestration and biodiversity enhancement. These projects are gaining traction due to their multiple benefits, including habitat restoration and climate resilience, making them a promising area for carbon offset investments.
• Agricultural Carbon Offsets: Agricultural practices such as sustainable farming and soil carbon sequestration present new opportunities for carbon credits. These practices contribute to soil health and productivity while capturing carbon, offering innovative solutions for offsetting emissions and supporting sustainable agriculture.
• Urban and Infrastructure Projects: Urban development and infrastructure projects, including green building initiatives and energy-efficient retrofits, are emerging as significant areas for carbon offset projects. These projects address urban emissions and promote sustainable development, creating new opportunities for market growth.
• Technological Innovations: Advances in carbon capture and storage technologies are opening new avenues for carbon offset projects. Innovations such as direct air capture and enhanced oil recovery are becoming more viable and attractive, providing additional options for offsetting emissions and advancing technological solutions.

These strategic growth opportunities highlight the diverse potential within the carbon offset/carbon credit market. By focusing on renewable energy, forestry, agriculture, urban development, and technological advancements, stakeholders can drive significant progress in emission reduction and sustainability.

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market Driver and Challenges

The carbon offset/carbon credit market is influenced by various drivers and challenges that shape its growth and effectiveness. These factors include technological, economic, and regulatory elements.

The factors driving the carbon offset/carbon credit market include:

• Increased Regulatory Support: Governments are implementing policies and regulations that support the growth of carbon markets, including carbon pricing and emission reduction targets. This regulatory support creates a more structured and reliable market environment, encouraging investment in carbon offset projects.
• Corporate Sustainability Goals: Companies are adopting ambitious sustainability targets and investing in carbon offsets to meet their climate commitments. This corporate demand drives the growth of the carbon credit market, creating new opportunities for project development and credit issuance.
• Technological Advancements: Innovations in carbon measurement, verification, and capture technologies are enhancing the efficiency and accuracy of carbon offset projects. These advancements improve market transparency and credibility, making it easier to track and validate carbon credits.
• Growing Market Demand: There is increasing demand for carbon credits from various sectors, including energy, transportation, and manufacturing. This growing demand stimulates market activity and investment, leading to the expansion and development of new offset projects.
• International Collaboration: Global initiatives and partnerships are promoting the integration of carbon markets and the development of international standards. This collaboration facilitates cross-border trading and investment, enhancing market liquidity and access.

Challenges in the carbon offset/carbon credit market are:

• Market Volatility: The carbon credit market can experience fluctuations in prices and demand, driven by regulatory changes and economic conditions. This volatility can create uncertainty for investors and project developers, impacting market stability.
• Verification and Fraud Issues: Ensuring the credibility and authenticity of carbon offset projects is a significant challenge. Issues related to verification, monitoring, and potential fraud can undermine market confidence and hinder the effectiveness of carbon credits.
• Regulatory Inconsistencies: Differences in carbon credit regulations and standards across regions can create complexities for international trading and project development. Inconsistent regulations can impact market efficiency and limit the effectiveness of global carbon offset efforts.

The major drivers and challenges impacting the carbon offset/carbon credit market highlight the need for robust regulatory frameworks, technological advancements, and market stability. Addressing these challenges while leveraging market drivers will be crucial for the continued growth and effectiveness of carbon offset initiatives.

List of Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Companies

Companies in the market compete on the basis of product quality offered. Major players in this market focus on expanding their manufacturing facilities, R&D investments, infrastructural development, and leverage integration opportunities across the value chain. With these strategies carbon offset/carbon credit companies cater increasing demand, ensure competitive effectiveness, develop innovative products & technologies, reduce production costs, and expand their customer base. Some of the carbon offset/carbon credit companies profiled in this report include-

• South Pole
• 3Degrees
• Finite Carbon
• EKI Energy Services
• NativeEnergy
• CarbonBetter
• Carbon Care Asia

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit by Segment

The study includes a forecast for the global carbon offset/carbon credit market by type, project type, end use, and region.

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Type [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Compliance Market
• Voluntary Market

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Project Type [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Avoidance/Reduction Projects
• Removal/Sequestration Projects

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by End Use [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• Power
• Energy
• Aviation
• Transportation
• Industrial
• Buildings

Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Region [Analysis by Value from 2019 to 2031]:

• North America
• Europe
• Asia Pacific
• The Rest of the World

Country Wise Outlook for the Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market

The carbon offset/carbon credit market is rapidly evolving as countries implement new policies, corporate initiatives, and technological advancements to combat climate change. As governments and businesses strive to meet emission reduction targets, the market sees significant shifts in regulation, investment, and market dynamics. Here is a look at recent developments in key countries.

• United States: In the U.S., the carbon credit market has seen a surge in activity due to the Inflation Reduction Act, which provides significant incentives for carbon capture and storage projects. Major corporations are also increasing their investment in carbon credits to meet sustainability goals, leading to a growing demand for verified credits and innovative carbon offset projects.
• China: China is advancing its carbon trading system with the expansion of its national carbon market to include more industries. The government is also encouraging the development of carbon capture technologies and integrating carbon credits into its broader climate strategy, which includes international partnerships and increased transparency in carbon credit issuance.
• Germany: Germany is focusing on the integration of carbon credits into its renewable energy sector. The country has introduced new regulations to enhance the credibility of carbon offset projects and improve the tracking of carbon credits. Additionally, Germany is exploring international carbon credit markets to support its ambitious climate targets and energy transition goals.
• India: India has been actively participating in global carbon markets through the clean development mechanism and is exploring new carbon offset projects, especially in renewable energy and forestry. The Indian government is working on improving the regulatory framework to facilitate smoother transactions and increase the credibility of domestic carbon credits.
• Japan: Japan has been integrating carbon credits into its corporate sustainability strategies, with significant investments in forest conservation and renewable energy projects. The Japanese government is also revising its carbon credit regulations to align with international standards, aiming to enhance the efficiency and transparency of its carbon offset market.

Features of the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market

Market Size Estimates: Carbon offset/carbon credit market size estimation in terms of value ($B).

Trend and Forecast Analysis: Market trends (2019 to 2024) and forecast (2025 to 2031) by various segments and regions.

Segmentation Analysis: Carbon offset/carbon credit market size by type, project type, end use, and region in terms of value ($B).

Regional Analysis: Carbon offset/carbon credit market breakdown by North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Rest of the World.

Growth Opportunities: Analysis of growth opportunities in different types, project types, end uses, and regions for the carbon offset/carbon credit market.

Strategic Analysis: This includes M&A, new product development, and competitive landscape of the carbon offset/carbon credit market.

Analysis of competitive intensity of the industry based on Porter's Five Forces model.

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This report answers following 11 key questions:

• Q.1. What are some of the most promising, high-growth opportunities for the carbon offset/carbon credit market by type (compliance market and voluntary market), project type (avoidance/reduction projects and removal/sequestration projects), end use (power, energy, aviation, transportation, industrial, buildings, and others), and region (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Rest of the World)?
• Q.2. Which segments will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.3. Which region will grow at a faster pace and why?
• Q.4. What are the key factors affecting market dynamics? What are the key challenges and business risks in this market?
• Q.5. What are the business risks and competitive threats in this market?
• Q.6. What are the emerging trends in this market and the reasons behind them?
• Q.7. What are some of the changing demands of customers in the market?
• Q.8. What are the new developments in the market? Which companies are leading these developments?
• Q.9. Who are the major players in this market? What strategic initiatives are key players pursuing for business growth?
• Q.10. What are some of the competing products in this market and how big of a threat do they pose for loss of market share by material or product substitution?
• Q.11. What M&A activity has occurred in the last 5 years and what has its impact been on the industry?

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

2. Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market : Market Dynamics

• 2.1: Introduction, Background, and Classifications
• 2.2: Supply Chain
• 2.3: Industry Drivers and Challenges

3. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis from 2019 to 2031

• 3.1. Macroeconomic Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.2. Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market Trends (2019-2024) and Forecast (2025-2031)
• 3.3: Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Type
  • 3.3.1: Compliance Market
  • 3.3.2: Voluntary Market
• 3.4: Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Project Type
  • 3.4.1: Avoidance/Reduction Projects
  • 3.4.2: Removal/Sequestration Projects
• 3.5: Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by End Use
  • 3.5.1: Power
  • 3.5.2: Energy
  • 3.5.3: Aviation
  • 3.5.4: Transportation
  • 3.5.5: Industrial
  • 3.5.6: Buildings
  • 3.5.7: Others

4. Market Trends and Forecast Analysis by Region from 2019 to 2031

• 4.1: Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Region
• 4.2: North American Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 4.2.1: North American Market by Type: Compliance Market and Voluntary Market
  • 4.2.2: North American Market by End Use: Power, Energy, Aviation, Transportation, Industrial, Buildings, and Others
• 4.3: European Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 4.3.1: European Market by Type: Compliance Market and Voluntary Market
  • 4.3.2: European Market by End Use: Power, Energy, Aviation, Transportation, Industrial, Buildings, and Others
• 4.4: APAC Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 4.4.1: APAC Market by Type: Compliance Market and Voluntary Market
  • 4.4.2: APAC Market by End Use: Power, Energy, Aviation, Transportation, Industrial, Buildings, and Others
• 4.5: ROW Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 4.5.1: ROW Market by Type: Compliance Market and Voluntary Market
  • 4.5.2: ROW Market by End Use: Power, Energy, Aviation, Transportation, Industrial, Buildings, and Others

5. Competitor Analysis

• 5.1: Product Portfolio Analysis
• 5.2: Operational Integration
• 5.3: Porter's Five Forces Analysis

6. Growth Opportunities and Strategic Analysis

• 6.1: Growth Opportunity Analysis
  • 6.1.1: Growth Opportunities for the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Type
  • 6.1.2: Growth Opportunities for the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Project Type
  • 6.1.3: Growth Opportunities for the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by End Use
  • 6.1.4: Growth Opportunities for the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market by Region
• 6.2: Emerging Trends in the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
• 6.3: Strategic Analysis
  • 6.3.1: New Product Development
  • 6.3.2: Capacity Expansion of the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 6.3.3: Mergers, Acquisitions, and Joint Ventures in the Global Carbon Offset/Carbon Credit Market
  • 6.3.4: Certification and Licensing

7. Company Profiles of Leading Players

• 7.1: South Pole
• 7.2: 3Degrees
• 7.3: Finite Carbon
• 7.4: EKI Energy Services
• 7.5: NativeEnergy
• 7.6: CarbonBetter
• 7.7: Carbon Care Asia