封面
市场调查报告书
商品编码
1700080

2032 年碳补偿市场预测:按计划类型、信用类型、认证标准、最终用户和地区进行的全球分析

Carbon Offsets Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Project Type, Credit Type, Certification Standard, End User and By Geography

出版日期: | 出版商: Stratistics Market Research Consulting | 英文 200+ Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

价格

根据 Stratistics MRC 的数据,全球碳补偿市场预计在 2025 年达到 6,250 亿美元,到 2032 年将达到 2,6,340 亿美元,预测期内的复合年增长率为 22.8%。

温室气体排放的显着减少可用于补偿其他地方发生的排放,即所谓的碳补偿。碳补偿是透过排放或阻止温室气体排放的努力来实现的,例如透过捕获甲烷、可再生能源和重新造林。为了平衡碳足迹并促进国际环保倡议,公司和个人购买碳补偿。检验的措施可确保可信度,促进更清洁的能源和环境保护,并减缓气候变迁。

根据AlliedOffsets的数据,截至2025年3月,全球整体共有33,882个活跃的碳补偿计划。

提高对气候变迁的认识

政府、企业和个人越来越多地采用碳中和目标来减少对环境的影响。 《巴黎协定》和企业 ESG 承诺等倡议正在扩大对碳信用额的需求。此外,越来越多的媒体报告和科学报告正在向全球暖化施加压力,迫使工业界减少排放,并鼓励对补偿计划的投资。这种向永续性的集体转变凸显了碳补偿作为平衡不可避免的排放的关键槓桿,从而加速了市场成长。

碳补偿计划高成本

重新造林、可再生能源设施和甲烷捕获等计划需要大量资金、先进技术和长期维护。此外,与第三方检验和认证相关的成本进一步给预算带来压力,尤其是对于中小型企业而言。这些经济壁垒阻碍了成本敏感产业进入市场,并限制了市场扩张潜力。虽然大公司能够承担这些成本,但中小型企业往往举步维艰,造成不公平的竞争环境,并减缓碳补偿倡议的广泛采用。

区块链和人工智慧集成

区块链透过实现碳信用交易的不可变追踪,提高了透明度并降低了诈欺风险。人工智慧正在透过预测分析优化计划选择和影响评估,提高效率。利用这些技术的新兴企业正在吸引投资者的兴趣,企业正在寻求技术主导的解决方案来实现其永续性目标。此外,分散式平台有可能实现碳市场准入民主化,并鼓励小型企业参与。这种创新与永续性的协同效应将重新定义市场动态并推动成长和信任。

缺乏标准化和透明度

碳储存测量方法的多样性和定价机制的不一致导致了市场的分散。此外,对「绿色清洗」和补偿计划合法性的担忧正在损害相关人员的信任。儘管 Verra 和 Gold Standard 等组织致力于解决这些差距,但地区监管差异仍然存在。如果没有统一的指导方针,市场可能会变得效率低、缺乏信任,从而阻碍潜在的参与企业。

COVID-19的影响

由于经济放缓减少了工业排放,并将企业预算重新用于危机管理,COVID-19 疫情暂时扰乱了碳补偿市场。计划延误,特别是林业和可再生能源领域的工程延误,导致信贷发放停滞。但后疫情时代的復苏战略强调了绿色投资,政府和企业已将碳中和纳入奖励策略。远距工作也促进了抵消检验和交易的数位化解决方案。虽然需求最初有所下降,但这场危机增强了气候行动的迫切性,随着经济復苏和对永续性的更加重视,市场必将加速成长。

预计林业和土地利用领域在预测期内将占最大份额

由于林业和土地利用领域已证明具有碳封存能力,并且具有生物多样性保护等共同效益,预计在预测期内将占据最大的市场占有率。造林、重新造林和避免毁林计划符合全球气候变迁目标,并吸引公共和私人投资。此外,REDD+(减少毁林和劣化造成的排放)等倡议正在开发中国家获得支持。这些计划切实的生态和社会影响增加了它们的吸引力并确保了持续的需求。

预计在预测期内,技术和 IT 领域将以最高的复合年增长率成长。

在碳计量、监测和交易平台技术创新的推动下,技术和 IT 领域预计将在预测期内实现最高成长率。数位工具可以实现即时排放追踪和自动信用购买,从而简化企业合规流程。此外,人工智慧主导的平台优化了抵消计划的选择,而区块链则确保了交易的完整性。在创投涌入的推动下,提供碳管理 SaaS 解决方案的新兴企业如雨后春笋般涌现。随着各行各业优先考虑资料主导的永续性策略,该领域预计将因其灵活性和可扩展性而快速成长。

比最大的地区

在预测期内,欧洲预计将占据最大的市场占有率,这得益于欧盟排放权交易体系(ETS)和绿色交易等严格的法规结构。高碳价、企业永续性要求以及政府主导的气候变迁措施正在推动对补偿的需求。此外,能源、航空、製造等产业的积极参与也增强了该地区的优势。成员国为实现净零目标而进行的合作努力进一步支持了市场成长,欧洲已成为实施碳补偿的全球领导者。

复合年增长率最高的地区

在预测期内,由于工业化进程加快以及应对气候变迁的力度加大,预计亚太地区将呈现最高的复合年增长率。中国和印度等国家正在投资可再生能源和重新造林计划,以平衡经济成长和排放。此外,越来越多的企业采用 ESG 和国际气候变迁融资计画正在加速市场扩张。该地区庞大的人口,加上都市化和技术主导的创新,为该地区的碳补偿解决方案创造了肥沃的土壤。

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目录

第一章执行摘要

第二章 前言

  • 概述
  • 相关利益者
  • 研究范围
  • 调查方法
    • 资料探勘
    • 资料分析
    • 资料检验
    • 研究途径
  • 研究材料
    • 主要研究资料
    • 主要研究资料
    • 先决条件

第三章市场走势分析

  • 介绍
  • 驱动程式
  • 限制因素
  • 机会
  • 威胁
  • 最终用户分析
  • 新兴市场
  • COVID-19的影响

第四章 波特五力分析

  • 供应商的议价能力
  • 买家的议价能力
  • 替代品的威胁
  • 新进入者的威胁
  • 竞争对手之间的竞争

5. 全球碳补偿市场(依计划类型)

  • 介绍
  • 可再生能源计划
  • 林业和土地利用
  • 甲烷捕获和销毁
  • 能源效率计划
  • 捕碳封存(CCS)
  • 农业实践
  • 蓝碳计划
  • 其他的

6. 全球碳补偿市场(按信用类型)

  • 介绍
  • 自愿碳信用额
  • 合规排碳权

7. 全球碳补偿市场(依认证标准)

  • 介绍
  • 检验碳标准 (VCS/Verra)
  • 黄金标准
  • 气候行动储备(CAR)
  • 美国碳登记处(ACR)
  • 清洁发展机制(CDM)
  • 国际碳减排与抵销联盟(ICROA)
  • 碳补偿检验的ISO标准

8. 全球碳补偿市场(依最终用户)

  • 介绍
  • 能源公共产业
  • 运输
  • 製造业和工业
  • 技术与 IT
  • 政府和公共部门
  • 个人和家庭

9. 全球碳补偿市场(按地区)

  • 介绍
  • 北美洲
    • 美国
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥
  • 欧洲
    • 德国
    • 英国
    • 义大利
    • 法国
    • 西班牙
    • 其他欧洲国家
  • 亚太地区
    • 日本
    • 中国
    • 印度
    • 澳洲
    • 纽西兰
    • 韩国
    • 其他亚太地区
  • 南美洲
    • 阿根廷
    • 巴西
    • 智利
    • 南美洲其他地区
  • 中东和非洲
    • 沙乌地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
    • 卡达
    • 南非
    • 其他中东和非洲地区

第十章 重大进展

  • 协议、伙伴关係、合作和合资企业
  • 收购与合併
  • 新产品发布
  • 业务扩展
  • 其他关键策略

第十一章 公司概况

  • South Pole Group
  • 3Degrees Group, Inc.
  • EcoAct
  • Verra
  • Gold Standard
  • Climate Impact Partners
  • NativeEnergy
  • Carbon Credit Capital
  • TerraPass
  • Cool Effect
  • ClimateCare
  • Natural Capital Partners
  • Pachama
  • Carbonfund.org Foundation
  • Shell
Product Code: SMRC28983

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Carbon Offsets Market is accounted for $625 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $2634 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 22.8% during the forecast period. Measurable decreases in greenhouse gas emissions that are utilized to make up for emissions generated elsewhere are known as carbon offsets. They are accomplished by initiatives that eliminate or stop emissions, such as methane capture, renewable energy, and reforestation. To balance their carbon footprints and promote international environmental initiatives, businesses and individuals purchase carbon offsets. Credibility is ensured by verified initiatives, which also promote cleaner energy and environmental conservation, mitigating climate change.

According to AlliedOffsets as of March 2025 there were 33,882 carbon offset projects globally.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Rising awareness of climate change

Governments, corporations, and individuals are increasingly adopting carbon neutrality goals to mitigate environmental impacts. Initiatives like the Paris Agreement and corporate ESG commitments have amplified demand for carbon credits. Additionally, heightened media coverage and scientific reports on global warming have pressured industries to reduce emissions, fostering investments in offset projects. This collective shift toward sustainability underscores carbon offsets as a critical tool for balancing unavoidable emissions, thereby accelerating market growth.

Restraint:

High cost of carbon offset projects

Projects such as reforestation, renewable energy installations, or methane capture require substantial capital, advanced technologies, and long-term maintenance. Moreover, costs associated with third-party verification and certification further strain budgets, particularly for smaller enterprises. These financial barriers deter participation from cost-sensitive industries, limiting market scalability. While large corporations can absorb these expenses, SMEs often struggle; creating an uneven competitive landscape and slowing broader adoption of carbon offset initiatives.

Opportunity:

Integration with blockchain & AI

Blockchain enhances transparency by enabling immutable tracking of carbon credit transactions, reducing fraud risks. AI optimizes project selection and impact assessment through predictive analytics, improving efficiency. Startups leveraging these technologies are attracting investor interest, while corporations seek tech-driven solutions to meet sustainability targets. Additionally, decentralized platforms could democratize access to carbon markets, fostering participation from smaller entities. This synergy of innovation and sustainability is poised to redefine market dynamics, driving growth and credibility.

Threat:

Lack of standardization & transparency

Varying methodologies for measuring carbon sequestration and inconsistent pricing mechanisms create market fragmentation. Moreover, concerns over "greenwashing" and the legitimacy of offset projects erode stakeholder trust. While organizations like Verra and Gold Standard aim to address these gaps, regulatory disparities across regions persist. Without harmonized guidelines, the market risks inefficiencies and reduced credibility deterring potential participants.

Covid-19 Impact:

The Covid-19 pandemic temporarily disrupted the carbon offsets market as economic slowdowns reduced industrial emissions and diverted corporate budgets toward crisis management. Project delays, particularly in forestry and renewable energy, stalled credit issuance. However, post-covid recovery strategies emphasized green investments, with governments and businesses integrating carbon neutrality into stimulus plans. Remote work also spurred digital solutions for offset verification and trading. While initial demand dipped, the crisis reinforced the urgency of climate action, positioning the market for accelerated growth as economies rebounded with a stronger sustainability focus.

The forestry & land use segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The forestry & land use segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to its proven carbon sequestration capabilities and co-benefits like biodiversity conservation. Afforestation, reforestation, and avoided deforestation projects align with global climate goals, attracting public and private investments. Additionally, initiatives such as REDD+ (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation) have gained traction in developing nations. The tangible ecological and social impacts of these projects enhance their appeal, ensuring sustained demand.

The technology & IT segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the technology & IT segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate driven by innovations in carbon accounting, monitoring, and trading platforms. Digital tools enable real-time emission tracking and automated credit purchasing, streamlining corporate compliance. Moreover, AI-driven platforms optimize offset project selection, while blockchain ensures transactional integrity. Startups offering SaaS solutions for carbon management are proliferating, supported by venture capital inflows. As industries prioritize data-driven sustainability strategies, this segment's agility and scalability position it for rapid growth.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share fueled by stringent regulatory frameworks like the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) and the Green Deal. High carbon pricing, corporate sustainability mandates, and government-led climate initiatives drive demand for offsets. Additionally, robust participation from industries such as energy, aviation, and manufacturing reinforces regional dominance. Collaborative efforts among member states to achieve net-zero targets further bolster market growth, positioning Europe as a global leader in carbon offset adoption.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR driven by rapid industrialization and increasing climate commitments. Countries like China and India are investing in renewable energy and afforestation projects to balance economic growth with emission reductions. Moreover, rising corporate ESG adoption and international climate financing programs accelerate market expansion. The region's large population, coupled with urbanization and tech-driven innovations, creates a fertile ground for carbon offset solutions in the region.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Carbon Offsets Market include South Pole Group, 3Degrees Group, Inc., EcoAct, Verra, Gold Standard, Climate Impact Partners, NativeEnergy, Carbon Credit Capital, TerraPass, Cool Effect, ClimateCare, Natural Capital Partners, Pachama, Carbonfund.org Foundation and Shell.

Key Developments:

In March 2025, South Pole is proud to support a major milestone in Ghana's transition to sustainable transport with the signing of an Article 6 Mitigation Action Purchase Agreement (MOPA) between the Swedish Energy Agency (SEA) & Solar Taxi Ltd, a leading electric vehicle company in Ghana. This marks South Pole's second major ITMO deal in the transport sector and its first with the Swedish Energy Agency, advancing international carbon finance under Article 6.2 of the Paris Agreement, which enables countries to collaborate on emission reduction targets.

In August 2024, 3Degrees, a leading global climate solutions provider and certified B Corporation, announced the launch of its Supply Chain Emission Reduction Agreement product. This innovative approach empowers suppliers to deliver products with reduced emissions intensity, helping organizations hit their scope 3 goals. This solution is initially available for organizations in the food and apparel industry with North American agricultural supply chains.

Project Types Covered:

  • Renewable Energy Projects
  • Forestry & Land Use
  • Methane Capture & Destruction
  • Energy Efficiency Projects
  • Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS)
  • Agricultural Practices
  • Blue Carbon Projects
  • Other Project Types

Credit Types Covered:

  • Voluntary Carbon Credits
  • Compliance Carbon Credits

Certification Standards Covered:

  • Verified Carbon Standard (VCS/Verra)
  • Gold Standard
  • Climate Action Reserve (CAR)
  • American Carbon Registry (ACR)
  • Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
  • International Carbon Reduction and Offset Alliance (ICROA)
  • ISO Standards for Carbon Offset Verification

End Users Covered:

  • Energy & Utilities
  • Transportation
  • Manufacturing & Industrial
  • Technology & IT
  • Government & Public Sector
  • Individuals & Households

Regions Covered:

  • North America
    • US
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • UK
    • Italy
    • France
    • Spain
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia Pacific
    • Japan
    • China
    • India
    • Australia
    • New Zealand
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • South America
    • Argentina
    • Brazil
    • Chile
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East & Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE
    • Qatar
    • South Africa
    • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

  • Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
  • Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
  • Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
  • Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
  • Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
  • Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
  • Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
  • Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

  • Company Profiling
    • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
    • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
  • Regional Segmentation
    • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
  • Competitive Benchmarking
    • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

  • 2.1 Abstract
  • 2.2 Stake Holders
  • 2.3 Research Scope
  • 2.4 Research Methodology
    • 2.4.1 Data Mining
    • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
    • 2.4.3 Data Validation
    • 2.4.4 Research Approach
  • 2.5 Research Sources
    • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
    • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
    • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Drivers
  • 3.3 Restraints
  • 3.4 Opportunities
  • 3.5 Threats
  • 3.6 End User Analysis
  • 3.7 Emerging Markets
  • 3.8 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

  • 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
  • 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
  • 4.3 Threat of substitutes
  • 4.4 Threat of new entrants
  • 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Carbon Offsets Market, By Project Type

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Renewable Energy Projects
  • 5.3 Forestry & Land Use
  • 5.4 Methane Capture & Destruction
  • 5.5 Energy Efficiency Projects
  • 5.6 Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS)
  • 5.7 Agricultural Practices
  • 5.8 Blue Carbon Projects
  • 5.9 Other Project Types

6 Global Carbon Offsets Market, By Credit Type

  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 Voluntary Carbon Credits
  • 6.3 Compliance Carbon Credits

7 Global Carbon Offsets Market, By Certification Standard

  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 Verified Carbon Standard (VCS/Verra)
  • 7.3 Gold Standard
  • 7.4 Climate Action Reserve (CAR)
  • 7.5 American Carbon Registry (ACR)
  • 7.6 Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
  • 7.7 International Carbon Reduction and Offset Alliance (ICROA)
  • 7.8 ISO Standards for Carbon Offset Verification

8 Global Carbon Offsets Market, By End User

  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 Energy & Utilities
  • 8.3 Transportation
  • 8.4 Manufacturing & Industrial
  • 8.5 Technology & IT
  • 8.6 Government & Public Sector
  • 8.7 Individuals & Households

9 Global Carbon Offsets Market, By Geography

  • 9.1 Introduction
  • 9.2 North America
    • 9.2.1 US
    • 9.2.2 Canada
    • 9.2.3 Mexico
  • 9.3 Europe
    • 9.3.1 Germany
    • 9.3.2 UK
    • 9.3.3 Italy
    • 9.3.4 France
    • 9.3.5 Spain
    • 9.3.6 Rest of Europe
  • 9.4 Asia Pacific
    • 9.4.1 Japan
    • 9.4.2 China
    • 9.4.3 India
    • 9.4.4 Australia
    • 9.4.5 New Zealand
    • 9.4.6 South Korea
    • 9.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
  • 9.5 South America
    • 9.5.1 Argentina
    • 9.5.2 Brazil
    • 9.5.3 Chile
    • 9.5.4 Rest of South America
  • 9.6 Middle East & Africa
    • 9.6.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 9.6.2 UAE
    • 9.6.3 Qatar
    • 9.6.4 South Africa
    • 9.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

10 Key Developments

  • 10.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
  • 10.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
  • 10.3 New Product Launch
  • 10.4 Expansions
  • 10.5 Other Key Strategies

11 Company Profiling

  • 11.1 South Pole Group
  • 11.2 3Degrees Group, Inc.
  • 11.3 EcoAct
  • 11.4 Verra
  • 11.5 Gold Standard
  • 11.6 Climate Impact Partners
  • 11.7 NativeEnergy
  • 11.8 Carbon Credit Capital
  • 11.9 TerraPass
  • 11.10 Cool Effect
  • 11.11 ClimateCare
  • 11.12 Natural Capital Partners
  • 11.13 Pachama
  • 11.14 Carbonfund.org Foundation
  • 11.15 Shell

List of Tables

  • Table 1 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Region (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 2 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Project Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 3 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Renewable Energy Projects (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 4 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Forestry & Land Use (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 5 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Methane Capture & Destruction (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 6 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Energy Efficiency Projects (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 7 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 8 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Agricultural Practices (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 9 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Blue Carbon Projects (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 10 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Other Project Types (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 11 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Credit Type (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 12 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Voluntary Carbon Credits (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 13 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Compliance Carbon Credits (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 14 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Certification Standard (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 15 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Verified Carbon Standard (VCS/Verra) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 16 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Gold Standard (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 17 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Climate Action Reserve (CAR) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 18 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By American Carbon Registry (ACR) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 19 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 20 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By International Carbon Reduction and Offset Alliance (ICROA) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 21 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By ISO Standards for Carbon Offset Verification (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 22 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 23 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Energy & Utilities (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 24 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Transportation (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 25 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Manufacturing & Industrial (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 26 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Technology & IT (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 27 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Government & Public Sector (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 28 Global Carbon Offsets Market Outlook, By Individuals & Households (2024-2032) ($MN)

Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.