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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1771254
自动驾驶车辆的4D影像雷达市场 - 产业,市场,竞争分析(2025年版)4D Imaging Radar in Autonomous Vehicles - Industry, Market, and Competition Analysis, Edition 2025 |
用于 ADAS 和自动驾驶汽车内外感知的 4D 成像雷达,60GHz、76-81GHz、140GHz 频段,SAE 2+ 级及以上应用,新兴 4D 成像公司竞争力评估
M14 Intelligence 凭藉其在自动驾驶、网联、电动和共享出行领域关键趋势识别方面的核心竞争力,发布了关于 4D 成像雷达技术的研究成果。
自动驾驶汽车的 4D成像雷达市场处于汽车技术创新的前沿,推动着高级驾驶辅助系统 (ADAS) 和自动驾驶汽车 (AV) 的发展。预计该市场规模将在 2024 年达到约 20 亿美元,到 2030 年将达到 100 亿美元,复合年增长率为 38%。这得益于对更高安全性、法规要求以及更高级别自动驾驶(SAE 4/5 级)的不断增长的需求。
本报告摘要探讨了雷达感测器在ADAS和AV中的应用、4D雷达取代3D雷达的普及情况、当前和未来的雷达技术及频段、主要参与者和新兴参与者、竞争策略、近期趋势、4D雷达在AV中的关键作用以及机器人出租车和穿梭巴士的市场发展潜力,重点关注亚太地区等前景广阔的地区。
雷达感知器在ADAS和AV中至关重要,可实现自适应巡航控制 (ACC)、自动紧急煞车 (AEB)、盲点侦测 (BSD)、车道变换辅助 (LCA) 和儿童存在侦测 (CPD) 等关键功能。与摄影机和雷射雷达不同,雷达在恶劣天气条件(雾、雨、雪等)和低光源条件下表现更佳,可提供可靠的物体侦测和测距。预计到2024年,全球雷达感测器出货量将超过1.69亿个,平均每辆车配备0.8个远端雷达,到2030年将接近1个。自动驾驶计程车,例如Cruise(每辆车配备21个雷达)和Waymo(配备6个高性能4D雷达),已证明其在4/5级自动驾驶中高度依赖雷达,以确保强大的环境感知能力。在消费者对安全性的需求和监管要求(例如,2024年7月欧盟 "车辆通用安全法规" )的推动下,ADAS的普及正在加速雷达在乘用车、商用卡车和自动驾驶班车中的部署。
4D成像雷达在3D雷达的距离、方向和多普勒数据的基础上增加了速度和高度数据,凭藉其卓越的分辨率和精度,正在迅速取代传统雷达。到2025年,4D雷达预计将占据汽车雷达市场的11.4%,并在2-3年内从小众技术发展成为主流技术。与难以实现高程解析度和复杂物体分离(例如区分行人和车辆)的3D雷达不同,4D雷达利用大规模多输入多输出 (MIMO)、数位码调变 (DCM) 和人工智慧驱动的处理技术,产生高解析度点云,在某些应用领域可与雷射雷达相媲美。例如,搭载Drive Pilot系统的宾士EQS和搭载大陆集团ARS540 4D雷达的现代IONIQ 5在低能见度下均表现出色。这种转变源自于3-5级自动驾驶对精准感知的需求,以及对路口行人AEB等高阶安全功能的监管要求。
现有企业充分利用专注于高解析度雷达和光达/摄影机感测器融合的研发、全球布局以及与原始设备製造商 (OEM) 的合作伙伴关係(例如,博世与大众的合作)。同时,新兴企业则在成本效益设计(RadSee 的 COTS、Uhnder 的 RoC)、AI 整合(Waveye、Zendar)和利基应用(Sensrad 的工业重点)方面脱颖而出。与一级供应商和原始设备製造商 (OEM)(例如,Arbe-BAIC)的合作方式正在加速新进入者的市场准入。
亚太地区是成长最快的地区,其复合年增长率最高,这得益于中国电动车的蓬勃发展和政府对智慧城市的支持。上汽集团和蔚来汽车等公司正在整合 4D 雷达(例如,采埃孚 (ZF) 和上汽集团的合作(2022 年 12 月))。北美市场以美国为主导,占据了最大的销售占有率,福特、通用和特斯拉等汽车製造商在其 BlueCruise、Super Cruise 和 Autopilot 系统中都采用了 4D 雷达。由于严格的安全法规(例如,欧盟 2024 年强制规定),欧洲市场成长强劲。例如,梅赛德斯-奔驰和宝马在 2+/3 级系统方面处于领先地位,而高阶汽车和合规驱动型市场也蕴藏着巨大的机会。
包括自动驾驶计程车和接驳车在内的 SAE 4/5 级自动驾驶汽车市场是 4D 雷达的主要成长动力。 Cruise和Waymo 已广泛部署 4D 雷达,预计到 2024 年,其车队规模将超过 1,000 辆,这标誌着商业化自动驾驶计程车服务的兴起。预计到 2035 年,仅 Level 4/5 自动驾驶汽车的全球 4D 雷达市场规模将达到 9.11 亿美元,其中,自动驾驶计程车和接驳车在城市和高速公路上的自动驾驶过程中将消耗大量雷达单元。
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In-cabin and Exterior Sensing Applications of 4D imaging radar in ADAS and Autonomous Vehicles; 60 GHz, 76-81 GHz, and 140 GHz Band, SAE Level 2+ and above applications, Emerging 4D imaging players competition assessment.
Countries Covered: Global (China, India, Japan, South Korea, US, Canada, South America, Germany, France, Italy, UK, Israel, others).
M14 Intelligence with its core capabilities in understanding the key trends of autonomous, connected, electric, and shared mobility published the research on 4D imaging radar technology which talks about following important factors of the market.
The 4D imaging radar market for autonomous vehicles is at the forefront of automotive innovation, driving the evolution of Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicles (AVs) . Valued at approximately USD 2 billion in 2024, the market is projected to reach USD 10 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 38%, fueled by the increasing demand for enhanced safety, regulatory mandates, and the push for higher autonomy levels (SAE Level 4/5).
This report summary explores the adoption of radar sensors in ADAS and AVs, the penetration of 4D radar replacing 3D radar, current and future radar technologies and frequency bands, leading and emerging players, competitive strategies, recent developments, the critical role of 4D radar in AVs, and market potential for robotaxis and shuttles, with a focus on high-potential regions like Asia-Pacific.
Radar sensors are integral to ADAS and AVs, enabling critical features like Adaptive Cruise Control (ACC), Automatic Emergency Braking (AEB), Blind Spot Detection (BSD), Lane Change Assist (LCA), and Child Presence Detection (CPD) . Unlike cameras and LiDAR, radar excels in adverse weather conditions (e.g., fog, rain, snow) and low-light scenarios, providing reliable object detection and ranging. In 2024, over 169 million radar sensors were shipped globally, with an average of 0.8 long-range radars per vehicle in 2024, expected to approach 1 per vehicle by 2030. Robotaxis, such as Cruise (21 radars per vehicle) and Waymo (six high-performance 4D radars), demonstrate heavy reliance on radar for Level 4/5 autonomy, ensuring robust environmental perception. The rising adoption of ADAS, driven by consumer demand for safety and regulatory mandates (e.g., EU's Vehicle General Safety Regulations, July 2024), is accelerating radar deployment across passenger vehicles, commercial trucks, and autonomous shuttles.
4D imaging radar, which adds velocity and elevation to the range, azimuth, and Doppler data of 3D radar, is rapidly replacing its predecessor due to superior resolution and accuracy. By 2025, 4D radar is expected to penetrate 11.4% of the automotive radar market, transitioning from a niche to a mainstream technology within 2-3 years. Unlike 3D radar, which struggles with elevation resolution and complex object separation (e.g., distinguishing a pedestrian from a vehicle), 4D radar leverages Massive MIMO, Digital Code Modulation (DCM) , and AI-driven processing to create high-resolution point clouds, rivaling LiDAR in some applications. For instance, Mercedes-Benz EQS with Drive Pilot and Hyundai IONIQ 5 with Continental's ARS540 4D radar showcase enhanced performance in poor visibility. The shift is driven by the need for precise perception in Level 3-5 autonomy and regulatory requirements for advanced safety features like Junction Pedestrian AEB.
Established players leverage R&D, global presence, and OEM partnerships (e.g., Bosch's collaboration with Volkswagen) focusing on high-resolution radar and sensor fusion with LiDAR/cameras. On the other hand, start-ups differentiate through cost-effective designs (RadSee's COTS, Uhnder's RoC), AI integration (Waveye, Zendar), and niche applications (Sensrad's industrial focus). A collaborative approach is wherein partnership with Tier 1s and OEMs (e.g., Arbe-BAIC) is accelerating market entry for new players.
Asia-Pacific is the fastest-growing region with the highest CAGR, driven by China's EV boom and government support for smart cities. Companies like SAIC and NIO integrate 4D radar (e.g., ZF's partnership with SAIC, Dec 2022). Opportunities lie in mass-market EVs and robotaxi fleets in urban centers like Shanghai. North America holds largest revenue share, led by the US with OEMs like Ford, GM, and Tesla adopting 4D radar for BlueCruise, Super Cruise, and Autopilot. Europe shows strong growth due to stringent safety regulations (e.g., EU's 2024 mandates). For instance, Mercedes-Benz and BMW lead with Level 2+/3 systems and opportunities are evidently reflected in premium vehicles and compliance-driven markets.
The market for SAE Level 4/5 AVs, including robotaxis and shuttles, is a key growth driver for 4D radar. By 2035, the AV segment is expected to exhibit the highest CAGR (127%) from 2025 to 2035 within the 4D radar market, driven by the need for multiple high-performance radars (6-21 per vehicle). Cruise and Waymo deploy 4D radar extensively, with fleets exceeding 1,000 vehicles in 2024, signaling commercial robotaxi services' rise. The global 4D radar market is projected to reach USD 911 million by 2035 for Level 4/5 AVs alone, with robotaxis and shuttles consuming significant radar units for urban and highway autonomy.
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