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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1690788
东南亚火力发电-市场占有率分析、产业趋势与统计、成长预测(2025-2030)Southeast Asia Thermal Power - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030) |
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东南亚火力发电市场规模预计在2025年为214.48吉瓦,预计到2030年将达到245.52吉瓦,预测期内(2025-2030年)的复合年增长率为2.74%。
由于供应链中断,东南亚火力发电市场受到新冠疫情的不利影响。然而,预计市场将在 2021 年復苏,并在预测期内实现稳步成长。
预计预测期内,电力需求的增加和电力产业投资的增加将推动东南亚火力发电市场的成长。例如,该地区的电力需求预计将在未来 30 年内大幅成长,到 2050 年将达到 2,690兆瓦时 (TWh)。预计印尼、越南、泰国和菲律宾将在预测期内创下最高的电力需求。
然而,可再生能源领域的快速成长预计将抑制东南亚火力发电市场的成长。预计2019年至2040年间东南亚能源需求将成长三分之二,这将推动对新能源发电和输电的大规模投资,为火力发电创造充足的市场机会。
印尼是东南亚最大的经济体之一,2021 年发电量创下历史新高。预计该国将在即将实施和计划实施的发电工程发电工程中占据市场主导地位。
东南亚各国电力需求的不断增长以及发电煤炭价格的低廉将使发电煤炭在预测期内占据主导地位。
印尼是电力产业的主要市场。儘管目标是到 2025 年将可再生能源在发电中的份额提高到 23%,但正在进行和计划中的产能扩张计划预计将导致热能,尤其是煤炭发电的增加。
越南、泰国和印尼等国家的燃煤发电量持续增加。 2014年印尼煤炭发电量将达119.5TWh,2021年将增加至190TWh。
国际能源总署预测,在既定政策情境下,东南亚对煤炭的初级能源需求预计将在 2030 年增长至 2.16 亿吨油当量,在 2040 年增长至 2.70 亿吨油当量。
由于环境问题以及人们对天然气和可再生能源的兴趣日益浓厚,燃煤发电厂的成长率正在放缓。然而,运作和运作的发电厂预计将推动燃煤发电市场的成长。
印尼是东南亚最大的经济体和电力大国,其发电严重依赖石化燃料,主要是褐煤和烟煤。儘管与煤炭不同,天然气预计仍将是该国能源结构的重要组成部分。
该国的发电严重依赖石化燃料,主要是天然气,其次是煤炭和石油。根据英国石油统计报告,2021年煤炭将占总发电量的61.4%,其次是天然气,占18.2%。
截至 2021 年 5 月,该国自 2015 年以来一直实施一项计划,向国家电网增加约 35 吉瓦的燃煤发电厂。除了这3500万千瓦外,还有一项并行计划,将向电网增加7000万千瓦的燃煤发电工程。煤炭发电使用量高的主因是该国煤炭蕴藏量,为东南亚最高,达348.7亿吨。 2021年10月,三菱发电厂在印尼的Muara Karang发电厂开始一台500兆瓦天然气燃气涡轮机的商业运作。
在各种传统火力发电来源中,2021 年的大部分能源来自煤炭。煤炭将占传统火力发电的约66%,到2021年发电量将达190兆瓦时(TWh)。
随着电力需求的增加,发电量也增加。印尼2021年的发电量将达到310TWh。需求的增加将导致新计画的增加,预计这将在预测期内推动所研究市场的成长。
东南亚火电市场区隔程度适中。市场的主要企业(不分先后顺序)包括泰国电力局、印尼电力公司、电力发展公司、越南电力公司和马拉科夫集团有限公司。
The Southeast Asia Thermal Power Market size is estimated at 214.48 gigawatt in 2025, and is expected to reach 245.52 gigawatt by 2030, at a CAGR of 2.74% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
The Southeast Asian thermal power market was adversely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic due to disruptions in the supply chain. However, the market rebounded in 2021, and it is expected to grow steadily during the forecast period.
The rising power demand and increasing investments in the power industry are expected to drive the Southeast Asian thermal power market's growth during the forecast period. For instance, the electricity demand in the region is expected to increase significantly over the next three decades and is expected to reach 2,690 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2050. Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand, and the Philippines are expected to register the highest electricity demand during the forecast period.
However, the rapid growth in the renewable energy sector is expected to restrain the growth of the Southeast Asian thermal power market. The energy demand in Southeast Asia is expected to grow by two-thirds between 2019 and 2040, thereby leading to massive investment in new energy generation and transmission, creating ample market opportunities for thermal power generation.
Indonesia is one of the largest economies in Southeast Asia and witnessed the highest power generation in 2021. The nation is expected to dominate the market with upcoming and planned thermal power projects.
The rising power demand across different nations in Southeast Asia and the affordability of coal for power generation are resulting in the dominance of coal for power generation during the forecast period.
Indonesia is the leading market for the power sector. Despite its goals to increase the renewable share in electricity generation to 23% by 2025, the electricity generation from thermal energy, especially coal, is expected to increase due to ongoing and planned capacity expansion plans.
Countries like Vietnam, Thailand, and Indonesia are witnessing a continuous increase in electricity generation from coal. Indonesia produced 119.5TWh of electricity from coal in 2014, which rose to 190 TWh in 2021.
According to the IEA, coal's primary energy demand in Southeast Asia in the Stated Policies Scenario is expected to rise to 216 Mtoe in 2030 and 270 Mtoe in 2040.
The growth rate of coal-based thermal plants is decreasing due to environmental concerns and increasing interest in natural gas and renewable energy. However, the already operating plants and a few upcoming plants are expected to drive the coal thermal power market's growth.
Indonesia, the largest economy in Southeast Asia and an electricity sector, is highly dependent upon fossil fuels for electricity production, mainly lignite and bituminous coal. Although not the same as coal, natural gas is also expected to remain an integral part of the country's energy mix.
The country's electricity generation is heavily reliant on fossil fuels, mainly natural gas, followed by coal and oil. According to BP Statistical Review, in 2021, coal had a share of 61.4% in total electricity generation, followed by natural gas at 18.2%.
As of May 2021, the country has had an ongoing program since 2015 of adding around 35 GW of coal-fired power plants to its national grid. Added to 35 GW, there's a parallel program to add 7 GW of coal power projects to the grid. The high usage of coal for power generation has been mainly due to the country's high amount of coal reserves at 34.87 billion tons, the highest in Southeast Asia. In October 2021, Mitsubishi Power started commercial operations of a 500-megawatt natural gas turbine in Indonesia's Muara Karang Power Plant; thus, such projects are expected to drive the thermal power market.
Out of the various sources of generating conventional thermal power, most of the energy came from coal in 2021. Coal contributed approximately 66% to the traditional thermal power electricity generation, producing 190 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity in 2021.
With increasing power demand, power generation is also growing. Indonesia generated 310 TWh of electricity in 2021. The growing demand is in resulting in new projects, which are expected to drive the growth of the market studied during the forecast period.
The Southeast Asia thermal power market is moderately fragmented in nature. Some of the major players in the market (in no particular order) include the Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand, Indonesia Power PT, Electric Power Development Co. Ltd, Vietnam Electricity, and Malakoff Corporation Berhad, among others.