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市场调查报告书
商品编码
1842529

二手车：市场份额分析、行业趋势、统计数据和成长预测（2025-2030 年）

Used Car - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

预计到 2025 年二手车市值将达到 2.31 兆美元，到 2030 年将达到 2.98 兆美元。

二手车市场-IMG1

这一成长轨迹证实了二手车市场在消费者面临通膨压力和供应链不稳定的情况下依然保持韧性。新车与二手车之间价差的扩大、数位零售平台的兴起以及认证二手车 (CPO) 计划的日趋成熟（这些计划旨在解决二等车主的品质问题）推动了二手车市场的成长。亚太地区正经历最快的成长，因为收入水准的提高和快速的都市化推动了首次购车者对经济实惠的需求。同时，疫情后近全新车辆的供不应求正在推高残值并增强经销商的定价能力，但这也限制了许多供应商的存货周转。

全球二手车市场趋势与洞察

新车价格上涨

2024年，新车平均价格将升至4.9万美元，与二手车近3.3万美元的价差将进一步扩大。 1.6万美元的价差将是史上最大，这将鼓励高所得家庭选择二手车。在半导体短缺期间，汽车製造商将生产重点放在高阶车型上，导致凯迪拉克CT5等热门车款的标价上涨高达23%。因此，目前五分之一的美国购车者每月还款超过1000美元，从而刺激了对更实惠二手车的需求。

扩展数位零售平台

eBay于2025年1月收购Caramel，简化了消费者对消费者（C2C）的交易流程，而Carvana则以22亿美元收购ADESA旗下的56个竞标网站，确保了上游供应和物流规模。这些措施凸显了在二手车市场建立全国性、垂直整合的电商业务所需的资本密集度。

二手车融资有限

由于贷款机构收紧评分标准，二手车贷款平均年利率在2025年升至14.73%。高利率使终身利息增加数千美元，降低了行动电子钱包的负担能力。在印度和非洲部分地区，许多家庭仍未纳入正式的信用资料库，这迫使他们进行现金购买，抑制了潜在的需求。使用手机钱包历史记录的替代信用评分正在兴起，但规模仍然较小，并且面临监管审查。

細項分析

到2024年，SUV和MPV将占据二手车市场份额的48.21%。随着汽车製造商持续推出兼具燃油经济性和高载客量的紧凑型跨界车，预计该细分市场将以9.50%的强劲复合年增长率成长。随着特斯拉Model Y和福特Mustang Mach-E的大规模上市，电动SUV正显示出在该细分市场中主导的迹象。轿车仍然受到预算有限的消费者和叫车车队的青睐，而掀背车则吸引了寻求低营运成本和便捷停车的城市通勤者。

车身尺寸持续增加的趋势将导致经销商基础设施发生变化。维修站将需要更大容量的升降机和更大的储存空间来存放更大的面板。物流伙伴也将调整其装运船隻配置，以便在单程运输中容纳更多SUV。行销策略将强调多功能性和家庭安全，这些主题与二手车市场的广泛领域产生了共鸣。

虽然非正规经销商将在2024年占据二手车市场规模的68.54%，但由于透明度更高且保固覆盖全国，预计到2030年，正规连锁经销商的复合年增长率将达到12.05%。数位化检验报告、7天退货和一体化融资使授权零售商与路边经销商区分开来。在印度，随着Cars24等平台扩大其农村业务并推出上门取车服务，预计到2030年，授权经销商的份额将从30%上升到50%。

专有软体和翻新中心的资本支出仍然很高。因此，私募股权继续向拥有网路规模和技术蓝图的参与者註入资金。规模较小的独立经销商面临利润率压缩，通常会转向古董车和商用货车等利基市场。

汽油车仍占二手车市场的65.65%，但二手电动车的成长速度将超过其他燃料汽车，到2030年，其复合年增长率将达到16.40%。早期采用者将以旧换新，换购续航里程更长的后续车型，从而为经销商提供充足的供应。随着欧洲低排放气体区的扩大，柴油车数量将下降，而混合动力汽车汽车将填补那些担心充电基础设施有限的买家的中间空白。

电池健康评级是价格发现的决定性因素。健康评分高于 90% 的车辆可获得溢价，而低于 80% 的车辆则可获得大幅折扣。供应商会宣传免费的家用充电桩套餐和公用事业收费折扣，以在公共充电密度较低的地区为电动车提供更优惠的价格。

区域分析

北美二手车市场将继续在各地区占据主导地位，到 2024 年将占 38.06% 的份额。这是由于稳定的租赁回报流和成熟的金融基础设施支援快速的存货周转。虽然随着车辆接近饱和，成长正在放缓，但全通路零售商继续增加产能，并实施人工智慧主导的定价引擎，以平滑批发波动。欧洲在以金额为准紧随其后，但其扩张受到排放法规的影响，这些法规正在推动买家从旧款柴油车型转向低排放气体汽油和混合动力车型。欧洲内部的跨境交易增加了流动性，特别是对于在英国脱欧后从英国采购库存的右侧驾驶国家。同时，经销商集团正在标准化认证二手车通讯协定并加速整合以与线上参与企业竞争。

亚太地区将成为所有地区中成长最快的地区，增幅达7.90%。随着监管机构取消省级过户限制并开放城际贸易，缩短全球车队的销售时间，中国二手车市场规模预计到2025年将达到3,850亿美元。印度的目标是到2028财年达到5兆印度卢比（602亿美元），这得益于商品及服务税协调和智慧型手机普及带来的数位清单扩张。日本将利用日圆疲软的机会向非洲和大洋洲出口五年车龄的紧凑型SUV，缓解国内定价压力，并扩大当地竞标中心作为出口基地的角色。因此，亚太地区的二手车市场将扩大，抵销西方成熟经济体经济放缓的影响。

《涂料世界》称，随着宏观经济回归稳定，南美洲正重拾成长动能。预计2024年巴西新车销售将创十年新高，为该地区的二手车市场提供未来供应。融资利差仍然较大，外汇波动使库存采购变得复杂，导致经销商越来越依赖国内租赁回报和已租车辆。在中东和非洲，阿联酋和沙乌地阿拉伯占销售量的大部分，因为日本和韩国品牌在恶劣气候条件下仍享有很高的转售价值。杜拜正在试行基于区块链的数位产权，以遏制里程表欺诈，而南非的十年原厂保固则提高了购买新车的可靠性。这些新兴地区具有长期上涨空间，儘管基础设施差距和信贷管道继​​续限制二手车市场份额的成长。

其他福利：

  • Excel 格式的市场预测 (ME) 表
  • 3个月的分析师支持

目录

第一章 引言

  • 研究假设和市场定义
  • 调查范围

第二章调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章 市场状况

  • 市场概况
  • 市场驱动因素
    • 新车价格上涨
    • 扩展数位零售平台
    • OEM认证二手车的普及
    • 新兴市场个人出行需求快速成长
    • OTA电动汽车电池健康认证
    • OEM回购保证
  • 市场限制
    • 二手车融资限制
    • 加强进口废气监管
    • 新冠疫情导致供不应求
    • 资讯娱乐资料隐私问题
  • 价值/供应链分析
  • 监管状况
  • 技术展望
  • 波特五力分析
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 买家/消费者的议价能力
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 替代品的威胁
    • 竞争对手之间的竞争强度

第五章市场规模及成长预测

  • 按车辆类型
    • 掀背车
    • 轿车
    • SUV和MPV
  • 依供应商类型
    • 组织
    • 无组织的
  • 按燃料类型
    • 汽油
    • 柴油引擎
    • 杂交种
    • 电
    • 其他替代燃料
  • 按销售管道
    • 线上平台
    • 线下经销商
  • 车龄
    • 不到3年
    • 3-5年
    • 5-8岁
    • 8岁以上
  • 按里程
    • 少于2万公里
    • 20,001至50,000公里
    • 超过5万公里
  • 价格分布范围
    • 低于10,000美元
    • 10,001美元至30,000美元
    • 超过3万美元
  • 按地区
    • 北美洲
      • 美国
      • 加拿大
      • 北美其他地区
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 其他南美
    • 欧洲
      • 德国
      • 英国
      • 法国
      • 西班牙
      • 俄罗斯
      • 其他欧洲国家
    • 亚太地区
      • 中国
      • 印度
      • 日本
      • 韩国
      • 其他亚太地区
    • 中东
      • 沙乌地阿拉伯
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
      • 南非
      • 埃及
      • 土耳其
      • 其他中东地区

第六章 竞争态势

  • 市场集中度
  • 策略倡议
  • 市占率分析
  • 公司简介
    • CarMax Inc.
    • Cox Automotive
    • AutoNation
    • Penske Automotive Group
    • Asbury Automotive Group
    • Hertz Global Holdings
    • Pendragon PLC
    • Arnold Clark Automobiles
    • Emil Frey AG
    • Mahindra First Choice Wheels
    • Maruti Suzuki True Value
    • Carro
    • Cars24
    • AUTO1 Group
    • Cazoo Group
    • ACV Auctions
    • BCA Marketplace
    • Copart Inc.
    • Vroom Inc.

第七章 市场机会与未来展望

简介目录
Product Code: 66802

The Used Car Market was valued at USD 2.31 trillion in 2025 and is forecast to climb to USD 2.98 trillion by 2030, translating into a steady 5.20% CAGR.

Used Car - Market - IMG1

This trajectory confirms that the used car market remains resilient despite inflationary pressure on consumers and supply-chain volatility. Growth is supported by the widening price gap between new and pre-owned vehicles, the rise of digital retail platforms, and the maturing of certified-pre-owned (CPO) programs that ease quality concerns for second owners. Asia-Pacific delivers the fastest regional expansion as rising income levels and rapid urbanisation push first-time buyers toward affordable mobility. Meanwhile, supply shortages of near-new vehicles following the pandemic increase residual values and strengthen dealer pricing power, though they also constrain inventory turnover for many vendors.

Global Used Car Market Trends and Insights

Rising New-Car Prices

Average new vehicle prices climbed to USD 49,000 in 2024, widening the gap with used equivalents priced near USD 33,000. The USD 16,000 delta is the broadest on record and pushes even higher-income households toward pre-owned choices. Automakers concentrated output on premium trims during semiconductor shortages, inflating sticker prices on popular models such as the Cadillac CT5 by up to 23%. Consequently, one in five US buyers now faces monthly payments above USD 1,000, reinforcing demand for the more affordable used car market.

Expansion of Digital Retail Platforms

Online platforms recorded a major growth in transaction volume, as 83% of shoppers began their vehicle search on dealer websites. eBay's January 2025 acquisition of Caramel streamlines consumer-to-consumer trades, while Carvana's USD 2.2 billion purchase of ADESA's 56 auction sites secures upstream supply and logistics scale. These moves underline the capital intensity required to build nationwide, vertically-integrated ecommerce footprints in the used car market.

Limited Used-Car Financing

Average used loan rates rose to 14.73% APR in 2025 as lenders tightened score thresholds. High rates add thousands in lifetime interest, eroding affordability for mainstream buyers. In India and parts of Africa, many households remain outside formal credit databases, forcing cash purchases and suppressing addressable demand. Alternative credit scoring using mobile-wallet histories is emerging but still small-scale and faces regulatory review.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. OEM Certified-Pre-Owned Penetration
  2. OEM Buy-Back Guarantees
  3. Supply Crunch of Near-New Vehicles Post-COVID

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

SUVs and MPVs controlled 48.21% used car market share in 2024. The segment is projected to grow at a robust 9.50% CAGR as automakers release successive generations of compact crossovers that combine fuel efficiency with higher seating. The Tesla Model Y and Ford Mustang Mach-E are now appearing in significant quantities, signalling that electric SUVs will deepen segment leadership. Sedans retain relevance among budget shoppers and ride-hailing fleets, while hatchbacks appeal to city commuters seeking lower operating costs and easier parking.

The continuing tilt toward larger body styles drives changes in dealership infrastructure. Service bays require higher-capacity lifts and more storage space for bulkier panels. Logistics partners also adjust carrier configurations to fit more SUVs per haul. Marketing strategies emphasise versatility and family safety, themes that resonate with a wider demographic spread in the used car market.

Unorganised dealers held 68.54% of the used car market size in 2024, yet organised chains are forecast for a 12.05% CAGR to 2030 due to superior transparency and nationwide warranty reach. Digital inspection reports, seven-day return policies, and integrated finance offer a differentiation between formal retailers and kerbside sellers. In India, the organised share is set to climb from 30% to 50% by 2030 as platforms such as Cars24 expand rural footprints and introduce doorstep pick-up services.

Capital expenditure on proprietary software and reconditioning hubs remains high. As a result, private equity continues to inject funds into players with network scale and technology roadmaps. Smaller independent lots face margin compression and often pivot to niche segments like vintage cars or commercial vans.

Gasoline units still command 65.65% of the used car market size, but pre-owned EVs outpace other fuels with a 16.40% CAGR to 2030. Early adopters are trading first-generation models for longer-range successors, releasing supply into dealer pipelines. Diesel volumes taper as low-emission zones expand in Europe, while hybrids secure a middle ground for buyers wary of limited charging infrastructure.

Battery-health grading becomes a decisive factor in price discovery. Vehicles with state-of-health scores above 90% secure premiums, whereas those below 80% face steep discounts. Vendors advertise complimentary home-charger bundles and discounted utility tariffs to sweeten EV deals in regions where public charging density remains low.

The Used Car Market Report is Segmented by Vehicle Type (Hatchback, Sedan, and More), Vendor Type (Organized and Unorganized), Fuel Type (Gasoline, Diesel, and More), Sales Channel (Online Platforms and More), Vehicle Age (Below 3 Years and More), Mileage (Less Than 20, 000 Kms and More), Price Band (Less Than USD 10, 000 and More), and Geography. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD) and Volume (Units).

Geography Analysis

The North American used car market remains the largest regional contributor with a 38.06% share in 2024, benefiting from a steady flow of lease returns and a mature financing infrastructure that supports rapid inventory turnover. Growth is moderating as vehicle ownership levels approach saturation, yet omnichannel retailers keep adding capacity and deploy AI-driven pricing engines to smooth wholesale volatility. Europe follows in value terms, but its expansion is shaped by emission legislation that pushes buyers away from older diesel models toward low-emission gasoline and hybrid units. Cross-border trade inside the bloc enhances liquidity, particularly for right-hand-drive countries sourcing stock from the United Kingdom after BREXIT. At the same time, dealer groups accelerate consolidation to standardise certified-pre-owned protocols and compete with online entrants.

The Asia-Pacific region delivers the fastest growth with 7.90% among all geographies. China's used car market is projected to reach USD 385 billion in 2025 after regulators scrapped province-level transfer restrictions, unlocking intercity trades that shorten days-to-sale for Global Fleet. India aims for an INR 5 trillion turnover (USD 60.2 billion) by FY 2028 as GST harmonisation and smartphone penetration expand digital listings. Japan leverages a weak yen to export five-year-old compact SUVs to Africa and Oceania, cushioning domestic price pressure and widening the export-hub role of local auction houses. The result is a rising Asia-Pacific used car market size that offsets slower momentum in mature Western economies.

South America is regaining momentum as macro stability returns, with Brazil recording a 10-year high in new-vehicle sales during 2024 that will feed future supply for the regional used car market, Coatings World. Financing spreads remain wide, and currency volatility complicates inventory sourcing, prompting dealers to rely more on domestic lease returns and ex-rental fleets. In the Middle East and Africa, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia dominate volumes as Japanese and Korean brands enjoy strong resale values under harsh climate conditions. Dubai is piloting blockchain-based digital titles to curb odometer fraud, while South Africa's decade-long factory warranties boost confidence in late-model purchases. Together, these emerging regions provide long-term upside, although infrastructure gaps and credit access continue to restrain the used car market share capture.

  1. CarMax Inc.
  2. Cox Automotive
  3. AutoNation
  4. Penske Automotive Group
  5. Asbury Automotive Group
  6. Hertz Global Holdings
  7. Pendragon PLC
  8. Arnold Clark Automobiles
  9. Emil Frey AG
  10. Mahindra First Choice Wheels
  11. Maruti Suzuki True Value
  12. Carro
  13. Cars24
  14. AUTO1 Group
  15. Cazoo Group
  16. ACV Auctions
  17. BCA Marketplace
  18. Copart Inc.
  19. Vroom Inc.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Rising new-car prices
    • 4.2.2 Expansion of digital retail platforms
    • 4.2.3 OEM certified-pre-owned penetration
    • 4.2.4 Surging personal-mobility demand in emerging markets
    • 4.2.5 OTA EV battery-health certification
    • 4.2.6 OEM buy-back guarantees
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Limited used-car financing
    • 4.3.2 Stricter import-emission rules
    • 4.3.3 Supply crunch of near-new vehicles post-COVID production slump
    • 4.3.4 Infotainment data-privacy concerns
  • 4.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts (Value (USD) and Volume (Units))

  • 5.1 By Vehicle Type
    • 5.1.1 Hatchbacks
    • 5.1.2 Sedans
    • 5.1.3 SUVs & MPVs
  • 5.2 By Vendor Type
    • 5.2.1 Organized
    • 5.2.2 Unorganized
  • 5.3 By Fuel Type
    • 5.3.1 Gasoline
    • 5.3.2 Diesel
    • 5.3.3 Hybrid
    • 5.3.4 Electric
    • 5.3.5 Other Alternative Fuels
  • 5.4 By Sales Channel
    • 5.4.1 Online Platforms
    • 5.4.2 Offline Dealerships
  • 5.5 By Vehicle Age
    • 5.5.1 Below 3 Years
    • 5.5.2 3 - 5 Years
    • 5.5.3 5 - 8 Years
    • 5.5.4 Above 8 Years
  • 5.6 By Mileage
    • 5.6.1 Less Than 20,000 km
    • 5.6.2 20,001 - 50,000 km
    • 5.6.3 Above 50,000 km
  • 5.7 By Price Band
    • 5.7.1 Less Than USD 10,000
    • 5.7.2 USD 10,001 - USD 30,000
    • 5.7.3 Above USD 30,000
  • 5.8 By Geography
    • 5.8.1 North America
      • 5.8.1.1 United States
      • 5.8.1.2 Canada
      • 5.8.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.8.2 South America
      • 5.8.2.1 Brazil
      • 5.8.2.2 Argentina
      • 5.8.2.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.8.3 Europe
      • 5.8.3.1 Germany
      • 5.8.3.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.8.3.3 France
      • 5.8.3.4 Spain
      • 5.8.3.5 Russia
      • 5.8.3.6 Rest of Europe
    • 5.8.4 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.8.4.1 China
      • 5.8.4.2 India
      • 5.8.4.3 Japan
      • 5.8.4.4 South Korea
      • 5.8.4.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.8.5 Middle East
      • 5.8.5.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.8.5.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.8.5.3 South Africa
      • 5.8.5.4 Egypt
      • 5.8.5.5 Turkey
      • 5.8.5.6 Rest of the Middle East

6 Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 CarMax Inc.
    • 6.4.2 Cox Automotive
    • 6.4.3 AutoNation
    • 6.4.4 Penske Automotive Group
    • 6.4.5 Asbury Automotive Group
    • 6.4.6 Hertz Global Holdings
    • 6.4.7 Pendragon PLC
    • 6.4.8 Arnold Clark Automobiles
    • 6.4.9 Emil Frey AG
    • 6.4.10 Mahindra First Choice Wheels
    • 6.4.11 Maruti Suzuki True Value
    • 6.4.12 Carro
    • 6.4.13 Cars24
    • 6.4.14 AUTO1 Group
    • 6.4.15 Cazoo Group
    • 6.4.16 ACV Auctions
    • 6.4.17 BCA Marketplace
    • 6.4.18 Copart Inc.
    • 6.4.19 Vroom Inc.

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

  • 7.1 White-space & Unmet-Need Assessment