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市场调查报告书
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1937353

空运货代:市场占有率分析、产业趋势与统计、成长预测(2026-2031)

Air Freight Forwarding - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)

出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 150 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3个工作天内

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简介目录

2025年航空货运代理市场价值为942.7亿美元,预计到2031年将达到1,255.5亿美元,而2026年为988.8亿美元。

预计在预测期(2026-2031 年)内,复合年增长率将达到 4.89%。

空运代理市场-IMG1

成长要素包括强劲的跨境电子商务、对温度敏感型药品需求的激增以及正在进行的货机改装项目,这些项目正在填补货舱运力的缺口。竞争格局的特点是旨在扩大规模的併购,其中DSV和Schenker的合併重塑了关键贸易航线的定价权和合约谈判格局。数位化,包括即时货物可视性工具,正在提高服务可靠性并实现溢价定价。同时,永续性和喷射机燃料价格使货运代理商的利润管理更加复杂,并促使他们进行策略性运力多元化。

全球空运代理市场趋势与洞察

全球电子商务的快速成长

跨境电商目前占亚洲空运货运量的50%以上,缩短了旺季运输时间,并增加了对货运代理快递运力的需求。预计到2025年,全球线上零售渗透率将达到24%,美国将达到26%,这将进一步强化对优先选择空运而非海运的加急运输解决方案的需求。美国计划于2025年8月29日取消最低限额豁免,这将增加清关的复杂性,并促使托运人合併货物以减轻合规负担,从而导致国际小包裹运输量增加。为此,货运代理商正在将舱位包租合约重新分配给小小包裹密度高的航线,尤其是在亚洲和北美之间,并实施基于API的预订系统以缩短报价週期。虽然这些趋势增加了盈利波动性,但它们有利于那些能够柔软性调整网路运力以应对季节性需求高峰的营运商。

近岸外包与时间敏感型供应链

随着企业将韧性置于成本最低采购之上,製造业的区域化正在北美地区催生新的运输走廊。这导緻美国区域机场(例如圣贝纳迪诺国际机场和威尔明顿机场)在2024年和2025年的货运量创下历史新高。近岸外包趋势正将货物从拥挤的海岸门户转移到内陆设施,加速从卡车到飞机的转运速度,提升高价值电子产品和汽车零件价值链的灵活性。蒂华纳和凤凰城-梅萨门户机场等跨境枢纽表明,专用基础设施如何加速墨西哥和美国之间的电子商务流通。分散式网路缓解了主要机场的航班时刻限制,并分散了地缘政治风险。货运代理商正利用这些路线,为寻求更短补货週期的客户提供差异化的服务。

喷射机燃料价格波动

国际航空运输协会(IATA)预测,2025年喷射机燃料平均价格为每桶87美元(2024年为每桶99美元),但燃油成本仍占航空公司营运成本的26.4%,对货运代理商的采购利润造成压力。永续航空燃油(SAF)的强制使用加剧了成本波动,因为SAF的交易价格远高于煤油。儘管预计2025年产量将达到7.1326亿加仑,但供应限制导致价格居高不下。货运代理商透过与指数挂钩的合约对冲风险,但中小托运人往往抵制燃油额外费用的上涨,从而挤压了利润空间。净零排放强制要求迫使航空公司不计成本地采用SAF,将结构性价格风险纳入航空货运的经济结构中。

细分市场分析

预计到2025年,普通货物将占航空货运收入的61.35%,其中电子产品、服装和零件的货运量将支撑航空货运市场规模。由于价格竞争加剧和模式转换方式选择的增加,其成长率预计将保持温和。特殊货物及其他货物板块预计在2026年至2031年间以4.38%的复合年增长率增长,主要受对温控药品、危险品和高价值电子产品等高服务水准货物的需求驱动。国际航空运输协会(IATA)和国际民航组织(ICAO)的规定设置了准入壁垒,限制了新进入者的进入,从而支撑了该板块可观的利润率。

货机改装为特殊货物运输提供了独特的优势,因为主甲板的便利通道和特定的装载配置使得处理大型货物比在腹舱更为轻鬆。 CRYOPDP(每年处理超过60万件临床试验和生物製药货物)是特种货物运输能力策略投资的一个例证,该公司于2025年被DHL收购。儘管电子商务的蓬勃发展使普通货物运输保持了韧性,但随着托运人将基础服务商品化,利润率持续下降。相较之下,特种货物运输则维持了定价权,使营运商免受燃油额外费用纠纷的影响,并有助于提升高服务供应商在空运代理市场的份额。

区域分析

亚太地区预计到2025年将占全球收入的34.62%,并在2026年至2031年间以5.14%的复合年增长率增长,这主要得益于中国出口引擎的强劲增长、印度预计6-9%的货运量增长以及区域内电子商务的扩张。印度宽体货机的短缺为能够快速部署运力的货运代理商提供了成长机会,而安克拉治等枢纽机场则有助于实现高效的跨太平洋运输。

北美凭藉其完善的电子商务基础设施以及与墨西哥和加拿大的近岸贸易,继续占据着较大的市场份额。为了满足对时效性要求高的货物运输需求,区域门户机场正在不断扩建,例如圣贝纳迪诺和威尔明顿等内陆机场正在分流原本经由洛杉矶和纽约运输的货物量。与欧洲相比,北美地区对环境法规的压力较小,因此快递服务仍有成长空间。

在欧洲,日益严格的环境法规正促使非紧急货物转向海运和铁路运输。然而,药品和高价值电子产品仍然支撑着航空货运需求,航空公司在航班时刻紧张的情况下,正透过合资企业优化运力。中东和非洲地区是连接亚洲、欧洲和非洲的枢纽。对资料中心和电子商务基础设施的投资,加上优越的地理位置,正在推动IT设备和生鲜食品等专业货物的运输。

其他福利:

  • Excel格式的市场预测(ME)表
  • 3个月的分析师支持

目录

第一章 引言

  • 研究假设和市场定义
  • 调查范围

第二章调查方法

第三章执行摘要

第四章 市场情势

  • 市场概览
  • 市场驱动因素
    • 全球电子商务的快速成长
    • 近岸外包与时间敏感型供应链
    • 温控和高价值货物的成长
    • 透过货物转换释放潜力
    • 即时货物可视性平台支援高级定价
    • 二线机场的跨境电子商务枢纽
  • 市场限制
    • 喷射机燃料价格波动
    • 模式转换,并强调永续性。
    • 主要货运机场的航班时刻限制
    • 数位转送平台的网路安全风险
  • 价值/供应链分析
  • 监管环境
  • 技术展望
  • 波特五力模型
    • 供应商的议价能力
    • 买方的议价能力
    • 新进入者的威胁
    • 替代品的威胁
    • 竞争对手之间的竞争

第五章 市场规模与成长预测

  • 按货物类型
    • 普通货物
    • 特殊货物及其他
  • 目的地
    • 国际的
    • 国内的
  • 按最终用户行业划分
    • 电子商务与零售
    • 製造业和汽车业
    • 医疗保健和製药
    • 生鲜食品和农产品
    • 高科技电子产品
    • 其他的
  • 按地区
    • 北美洲
      • 我们
      • 加拿大
      • 墨西哥
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 秘鲁
      • 智利
      • 阿根廷
      • 其他南美洲
    • 亚太地区
      • 印度
      • 中国
      • 日本
      • 澳洲
      • 韩国
      • 东南亚(新加坡、马来西亚、泰国、印尼、越南、菲律宾)
      • 亚太其他地区
    • 欧洲
      • 英国
      • 德国
      • 法国
      • 西班牙
      • 义大利
      • 比荷卢经济联盟(比利时、荷兰、卢森堡)
      • 北欧国家(丹麦、芬兰、冰岛、挪威、瑞典)
      • 其他欧洲地区
    • 中东和非洲
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公国
      • 沙乌地阿拉伯
      • 南非
      • 奈及利亚
      • 其他中东和非洲地区

第六章 竞争情势

  • 市场集中度
  • 策略趋势
  • 市占率分析
  • 公司简介
    • DHL Supply Chain & Global Forwarding
    • Kuehne+Nagel
    • DSV
    • UPS Supply Chain Solutions
    • Expeditors International
    • Nippon Express
    • Hellmann Worldwide Logistics
    • Kintetsu World Express
    • CEVA Logistics
    • GEODIS
    • Sinotrans
    • Yusen Logistics
    • CH Robinson
    • LX Pantos
    • Rhenus Logistics
    • Scan Global Logistics
    • Kerry Logistics
    • AWOT Global Logistics Group
    • DACHSER
    • Savino Del Bene

第七章 市场机会与未来展望

第八章附录

简介目录
Product Code: 70692

The Air Freight Forwarding Market was valued at USD 94.27 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 98.88 billion in 2026 to reach USD 125.55 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 4.89% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

Air Freight Forwarding - Market - IMG1

Growth stems from resilient cross-border e-commerce, a surge in temperature-controlled pharmaceuticals, and sustained freighter-conversion programs that counteract belly-hold capacity shortages. Competitive activity is marked by scale-seeking mergers, with the DSV-Schenker combination reshaping pricing power and contract negotiations across major trade lanes. Digitalization, including real-time cargo-visibility tools, improves service reliability and enables premium pricing. At the same time, sustainability mandates and volatile jet-fuel costs complicate forwarders' margin management and prompt strategic capacity diversification.

Global Air Freight Forwarding Market Trends and Insights

Global E-commerce Boom

Cross-border e-commerce now represents more than 50% of Asia-originating air cargo volumes, compressing peak-season timelines and amplifying forwarder demand for express capacity. It is forecasted that global online retail penetration to reach 24% worldwide and 26% in the United States by 2025, reinforcing demand for fast transit solutions that favor air over ocean. The scheduled removal of the U.S. de minimis exemption on August 29, 2025, increases customs-clearance complexity and is expected to lift international parcel volumes as shippers consolidate shipments to reduce compliance burdens. Forwarders respond by reallocating block-space agreements toward lanes with high small-parcel density, particularly Asia-North America, while deploying API-based booking engines that shorten quotation cycles. These dynamics raise yield volatility yet reward operators that can flex network capacity to seasonal surges.

Near-shoring & Time-Critical Supply-Chains

Regionalization of manufacturing has spawned new North America-centric corridors as companies prioritize resilience over lowest-cost sourcing, pushing secondary U.S. airports such as San Bernardino International and Wilmington Air Park to record cargo growth in 2024 and 2025. Near-shoring dynamics shift volume away from congested coastal gateways toward inland facilities that offer faster truck-to-air transfers, enhancing supply-chain agility for high-value electronics and automotive components. Cross-border hubs in Tijuana and Phoenix-Mesa Gateway Airport illustrate how specialized infrastructure accelerates Mexico-U.S. e-commerce flows. Distributed networks mitigate slot constraints at tier-1 airports and disperse geopolitical risk. Forwarders leverage these routes to differentiate service offerings aimed at customers seeking shorter replenishment cycles.

Volatile Jet-Fuel Prices

IATA projects average jet-fuel at USD 87 per barrel in 2025 versus USD 99 in 2024, yet fuel still accounts for 26.4% of airline operating costs, putting pressure on forwarder procurement margins. Sustainable Aviation Fuel mandates elevate cost variability because SAF trades at a significant premium to kerosene. Production volumes are slated to reach 713.26 million gallons in 2025, but supply limitations keep prices elevated. Forwarders hedge exposure through index-linked contracts, yet smaller shippers often resist fuel-surcharge escalations, squeezing margins. Net-zero commitments press carriers to adopt SAF irrespective of cost, embedding structural price risk into air cargo economics.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Growth in Temperature-Controlled & High-Value Cargo
  2. Freighter Conversions Unlocking Latent Capacity
  3. Sustainability-Driven Modal Shift to Sea & Rail

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

General cargo accounted for 61.35% of 2025 revenues, anchoring the air freight forwarding market size through volumes generated by electronics, apparel, and spare parts. Its growth rate remains modest as pricing competition intensifies and modal shift options proliferate. Special cargo and others are expected to climb at a 4.38% CAGR (2026-2031) because temperature-controlled pharmaceuticals, dangerous goods, and high-value electronics demand elevated service standards. This segment benefits from regulatory moats created by IATA and ICAO rules that limit new entrant penetration and underpin attractive yields.

Freighter conversions have disproportionate benefits for special cargo because main-deck access and specific load configurations accommodate outsized items better than belly holds. DHL's 2025 acquisition of CRYOPDP, which manages more than 600,000 clinical-trial and biopharma shipments annually, demonstrates strategic investment in special-cargo capacity. General cargo retains resilience from the e-commerce surge, but margin dilution persists as shippers commoditize basic services. Specialized cargo, by contrast, maintains pricing power that shields operators from fuel-surcharge debates, contributing positively to the air freight forwarding market share held by high-service providers.

The Air Freight Forwarding Market Report is Segmented by Cargo Type (General Cargo and Special Cargo & Others), Destination (International and Domestic), End-User Industry (E-Commerce & Retail, Manufacturing & Automotive, Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals, Perishables & Fresh Produce, and More), Geography (North America, South America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Geography Analysis

Asia-Pacific accounted for 34.62% of global revenues in 2025 and is projected to advance at a 5.14% CAGR (2026-2031), propelled by China's export engine, India's 6-9% projected cargo growth, and intra-regional e-commerce expansion. Wide-body freighter scarcity in India offers growth prospects for forwarders that can deploy capacity quickly, while hubs like Anchorage enable efficient trans-Pacific transfers.

North America maintains a significant share through embedded e-commerce infrastructure and near-shoring trade with Mexico and Canada. Regional gateways expand to accommodate time-critical flows, with San Bernardino and Wilmington illustrating how inland airports capture volumes that once funneled through Los Angeles or New York. Sustainability pressures are lower relative to Europe, granting growth runway for express freight services.

Europe faces tighter environmental regulations that nudge shippers toward sea or rail for non-urgent cargo. Still, pharmaceuticals and high-value electronics sustain air freight demand, and carriers leverage joint ventures to optimize capacity amid stringent slot allocations. The Middle East and Africa serve as connective hubs linking Asia, Europe, and Africa. Investments in data centers and e-commerce infrastructure, paired with the region's geographic advantage, foster specialized freight flows for IT equipment and perishables.

  1. DHL Supply Chain & Global Forwarding
  2. Kuehne + Nagel
  3. DSV
  4. UPS Supply Chain Solutions
  5. Expeditors International
  6. Nippon Express
  7. Hellmann Worldwide Logistics
  8. Kintetsu World Express
  9. CEVA Logistics
  10. GEODIS
  11. Sinotrans
  12. Yusen Logistics
  13. C.H. Robinson
  14. LX Pantos
  15. Rhenus Logistics
  16. Scan Global Logistics
  17. Kerry Logistics
  18. AWOT Global Logistics Group
  19. DACHSER
  20. Savino Del Bene

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Global e-commerce boom
    • 4.2.2 Near-shoring & time-critical supply-chains
    • 4.2.3 Growth in temperature-controlled & high-value cargo
    • 4.2.4 Freighter conversions unlocking latent capacity
    • 4.2.5 Real-time cargo-visibility platforms enabling premium pricing
    • 4.2.6 Secondary-airport cross-border e-commerce hubs
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Volatile jet-fuel prices
    • 4.3.2 Sustainability-driven modal shift to sea & rail
    • 4.3.3 Slot constraints at tier-1 cargo airports
    • 4.3.4 Cyber-security risks in digital forwarding platforms
  • 4.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts

  • 5.1 By Cargo Type
    • 5.1.1 General Cargo
    • 5.1.2 Special Cargo and Others
  • 5.2 By Destination
    • 5.2.1 International
    • 5.2.2 Domestic
  • 5.3 By End-user Industry
    • 5.3.1 E-commerce & Retail
    • 5.3.2 Manufacturing & Automotive
    • 5.3.3 Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals
    • 5.3.4 Perishables & Fresh Produce
    • 5.3.5 High-Tech & Electronics
    • 5.3.6 Others
  • 5.4 By Geography
    • 5.4.1 North America
      • 5.4.1.1 United States
      • 5.4.1.2 Canada
      • 5.4.1.3 Mexico
    • 5.4.2 South America
      • 5.4.2.1 Brazil
      • 5.4.2.2 Peru
      • 5.4.2.3 Chile
      • 5.4.2.4 Argentina
      • 5.4.2.5 Rest of South America
    • 5.4.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.4.3.1 India
      • 5.4.3.2 China
      • 5.4.3.3 Japan
      • 5.4.3.4 Australia
      • 5.4.3.5 South Korea
      • 5.4.3.6 South East Asia (Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam, and Philippines)
      • 5.4.3.7 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.4 Europe
      • 5.4.4.1 United Kingdom
      • 5.4.4.2 Germany
      • 5.4.4.3 France
      • 5.4.4.4 Spain
      • 5.4.4.5 Italy
      • 5.4.4.6 BENELUX (Belgium, Netherlands, and Luxembourg)
      • 5.4.4.7 NORDICS (Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, and Sweden)
      • 5.4.4.8 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.5 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.4.5.1 United Arab of Emirates
      • 5.4.5.2 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.4.5.3 South Africa
      • 5.4.5.4 Nigeria
      • 5.4.5.5 Rest of Middle East And Africa

6 Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 DHL Supply Chain & Global Forwarding
    • 6.4.2 Kuehne + Nagel
    • 6.4.3 DSV
    • 6.4.4 UPS Supply Chain Solutions
    • 6.4.5 Expeditors International
    • 6.4.6 Nippon Express
    • 6.4.7 Hellmann Worldwide Logistics
    • 6.4.8 Kintetsu World Express
    • 6.4.9 CEVA Logistics
    • 6.4.10 GEODIS
    • 6.4.11 Sinotrans
    • 6.4.12 Yusen Logistics
    • 6.4.13 C.H. Robinson
    • 6.4.14 LX Pantos
    • 6.4.15 Rhenus Logistics
    • 6.4.16 Scan Global Logistics
    • 6.4.17 Kerry Logistics
    • 6.4.18 AWOT Global Logistics Group
    • 6.4.19 DACHSER
    • 6.4.20 Savino Del Bene

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

  • 7.1 White-space & Unmet-need Assessment

8 Appendix